REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Russia Invades Ukraine. Again

POSTED BY: CAPTAINCRUNCH
UPDATED: Sunday, April 28, 2024 02:14
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Monday, February 12, 2024 12:19 PM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


The political leadership in Ukraine showing how stupid they are:

Front-line Ukrainian infantry units report acute shortage of soldiers

By Isabelle Khurshudyan and Anastacia Galouchka | February 8, 2024 at 3:17 p.m. EST

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/02/08/ukraine-soldiers-short
age-infantry-russia/

KRAMATORSK, Ukraine — The Ukrainian military is facing a critical shortage of infantry, leading to exhaustion and diminished morale on the front line, military personnel in the field said this week — a perilous new dynamic for Kyiv nearly two years into the grinding, bloody war with Russia.

In interviews across the front line in recent days, nearly a dozen soldiers and commanders told The Washington Post that personnel deficits were their most critical problem now, as Russia has regained the offensive initiative on the battlefield and is stepping up its attacks.

One battalion commander in a mechanized brigade fighting in eastern Ukraine said that his unit currently has fewer than 40 infantry troops — the soldiers deployed in front-line trenches who hold off Russian assaults. A fully equipped battalion would have more than 200, the commander said.

Another commander in an infantry battalion of a different brigade said his unit is similarly depleted.

The soldiers interviewed spoke on the condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to speak publicly and could face retribution for their comments.

The reports of acute troop shortages come as President Volodymyr Zelensky on Thursday replaced his military chief, Gen. Valery Zaluzhny. While their relationship had long been tense, in recent weeks one chief disagreement has been over how many new soldiers Ukraine needs to mobilize. Zelensky elevated Oleksandr Syrsky, the 58-year-old commander of Ukraine’s ground forces, to replace Zaluzhny.

The Ukrainian presidential office declined to comment, referring questions to the Defense Ministry, which in turn referred questions to the Ukrainian military’s General Staff. The General Staff did not respond to a request for comment.

Zaluzhny told Zelensky that Ukraine needs nearly 500,000 new troops, according to two people familiar with the matter, but the president has pushed back on that figure privately and publicly. Zelensky has said he wants more justification from Ukraine’s military leadership about why so many conscripts are needed and has also expressed concern about how Kyiv would pay them.

Financial assistance from Western partners cannot be used to pay soldier salaries, and Ukraine’s budget is already under strain, with a $60 billion aid package proposed by President Biden stalled in Congress. The European Union last week approved roughly $54 billion in aid after it was delayed for weeks by opposition from Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban.

The debate in Kyiv about mobilization — and to what degree the country should ramp it up — has angered soldiers on the front line.

Oleksandr, a battalion commander, said the companies in his unit on average are staffed at about 35 percent of what they should be. A second battalion commander from an assault brigade said that is typical for units that carry out combat tasks.

Asked how many new soldiers he has received — not including those who have returned after injuries — Oleksandr said his battalion was sent five people over the past five months. He and other commanders said the new recruits tend to be poorly trained, creating a dilemma about whether to send someone immediately onto the battlefield because reinforcements are needed so badly, even though they are likely to get injured or killed because they lack the know-how.

“The basis of everything is the lack of people,” Oleksandr said.

“Where are we going? I don’t know,” he added. “There’s no positive outlook. Absolutely none. It’s going to end in a lot of death, a global failure. And most likely, I think, the front will collapse somewhere like it did for the enemy in 2022, in the Kharkiv region.”

In fall 2022, the Ukrainians took advantage of a weak spot in the Russian front line, where Moscow’s forces were undermanned, and managed to liberate most of the northeast region in a swift one-week September offensive. Russian President Vladimir Putin responded to the embarrassing defeat by announcing a mobilization in his country.

The Ukrainian parliament is in the process of revising a draft law on mobilization that will lower the minimum conscription age to 25 from 27. But lawmakers working on the bill and soldiers alike have acknowledged that Kyiv has done a poor job explaining to the public why sending more people to the front is necessary.

In August, Zelensky fired the heads of all of Ukraine’s regional military recruitment offices, citing concerns about corruption. But with some of those positions left vacant, mobilization came to a halt, a high-ranking military official said. Commanders in the field confirmed that they have had few new people arrive since the fall.

“We have direct trouble with personnel,” said Mykyta, a deputy infantry battalion commander. “Because this is war, and it’s infantry in defense that’s dying.”

“I’m talking with my friends, also officers in other units, and those in infantry; it’s almost the same situation everywhere,” Mykyta added.

Shortages of ammunition and weapons are also an issue. A commander whose unit was recently moved to a new part of the front in eastern Ukraine said he received 10 shells for two howitzers. Zelensky has acknowledged that artillery ammunition deliveries have slowed as Europe struggles to manufacture enough shells to meet Ukraine’s needs and as the aid package remains stalled in Washington.

The personnel shortages can have a domino effect, Ukrainian troops in the field said.

Especially in winter, when the weather conditions are hard, infantry should be rotated out after about three days. But because units lack troops, deployments get extended — or personnel intended for the rear get pressed into front-line duty despite being ill-prepared for it. Troops who are mentally and physically exhausted because of overwork sometimes can’t defend their posts, allowing Russia — with more manpower and ammunition — to advance.

“They need to be replaced by someone,” said Oleksandr, the battalion commander. “There is no one to replace them, so they sit there more, their morale drops, they get sick or suffer frostbite. They are running out. There is no one to replace them. The front is cracking. The front is crumbling. Why can’t we replace them? Because we don’t have people; nobody comes to the army. Why doesn’t anyone come to the army? Because the country didn’t tell people that they should go to the army. The state failed to explain to people that they should go to the army. Those who knew that they should go, they have already all run out.”

Serhiy, 41, a platoon commander fighting in Avdiivka, the site of Russia’s most intense assaults, said he and his men are rarely rotated out after just three days. More often five days go by — or even 10.

Dmytro, another deputy battalion commander in a different brigade, said his infantry typically get two days of rest after five to 10 days holding the line, and because most of his soldiers are over the age of 40, their lack of physical fitness compounds the problems.

“You can feel it; people are exhausted both morally and physically,” Serhiy said. “It’s very hard, the weather conditions, the constant shelling. They have a great impact on the human psyche.”

The lack of rotations is a problem across the Ukrainian military — not just for infantry on the line. Soldiers might get a few days off to go home and see their families, but rarely more. They say they are still motivated to fight the Russian invaders, but also that they need rest and more men beside them.

Zelensky has also asked the military and parliament to prepare a law to demobilize those who have been fighting for nearly two years. Members of parliament working on the bill have said they are discussing a plan to discharge, or “demobilize,” soldiers who have been on the front for 36 months. But that would require sending people in to replace them.

“Every soldier thinks about that guy that walks around in Dnipro or Lviv or Kyiv,” Mykyta said. “They think about them and they want to have a rest, too. Of course, in their heads appears the thought: Some guys are just strolling around there, but we’re here.”

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Monday, February 12, 2024 3:38 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Oh, I see the NEW narrative is "blame the Ukrainians".

This couldn't possibly have been a neocon miscalculation!


Son, Ukraine was never gonna win, no matter how good or bad their leadership. Their big mistake came right at the beginning: being America's "friend" (i.e. patsy).

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 8:34 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Oh, I see the NEW narrative is "blame the Ukrainians".

This couldn't possibly have been a neocon miscalculation!


Son, Ukraine was never gonna win, no matter how good or bad their leadership. Their big mistake came right at the beginning: being America's "friend" (i.e. patsy).
Those dumb Ukrainians still don't have a plan for how to knock down the bridge across the Crimean Straits. The political leadership didn't spend the money on buying or building what was needed to destroy the bridge. These are not people who think clearly and far ahead about something that should have happened the first week of this war. The Russians aren't any better at planning. In contrast, the USA had an early detailed plan to win WWII, including nuking civilians.

Even today, the Russians keep claiming they could have won WWII alone. The world will allow the retarded Russians their self-delusions about Russian military competence but the world saw how that worked: Russians died by the tens of millions because average Russians could not plan ahead worth a damn. Final death toll: USA 418,500 / Russia doesn't know to nearest 10 million how many died. Russians still worry about being killed. They should be worried. They still can't plan worth a damn because millions of the smartest Russians, the ones with foresight, emigrated starting before WWI, leaving behind those with less-than-average intelligence. Stalin's killing of tens of millions of the most energetic/intelligent Russians damaged Russia's future into the 21st century.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 8:37 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Russia puts Estonian prime minister, Kaja Kallas, on wanted list

By Pjotr Sauer | Tue 13 Feb 2024 07.04 EST

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/13/russia-puts-estonian-pri
me-minister-kaja-kallas-on-wanted-list

Moscow has put the Estonian prime minister, Kaja Kallas, and other Baltic states officials on a wanted list, as Tallinn warns of an imminent Russian military buildup along its border.

The Russian foreign ministry spokesperson, Maria Zakharova, said the Estonian state secretary, Taimar Peterkop; the Lithuanian culture minister, Simonas Kairys, and Kallas were accused of “destroying monuments to Soviet soldiers”, a reference to the removal of Soviet-era second world war memorials

“This is only the start,” Zakharova wrote on her telegram channel. “Crimes against the memory of the world’s liberators from nazism and fascism must be prosecuted.” The exact charges against the three have not been revealed by Russian authorities.

Moscow has placed multiple senior Kyiv officials and generals on its wanted list since the start of the Ukraine war, but Kallas is the first known government head to be sought by Moscow.

The Estonian prime minister has been one of the strongest supporters of Ukraine, leading efforts to increase military assistance to Kyiv and tighten sanctions against Russia.

Moscow’s decision to add Kallas to its wanted list will further increase tension in the region at a time when many western capitals have sounded the alarm over a growing military threat from Russia.

When asked on Tuesday by reporters about Kallas, Vladimir Putin’s spokesperson, Dmitry Peskov, said that the Estonian leader “took hostile acts against our country and historical memory”.

The removal of Soviet-era monuments has been a delicate issue in Estonia, a former Soviet republic from 1944 until 1991 where nearly a quarter of the population of 1.3 million people are ethnic Russians.

The process has accelerated since Russian troops invaded Ukraine, with Kallas pledging to remove all communist monuments in public spaces. “We have decided … Soviet monuments must be removed from public spaces and we will do it as quickly as possible,” Kallas said in the summer of 2022 when officials removed a Soviet tank memorial from Narva, a largely Russian-speaking city close to the Russian border.

Estonia has been anxious to avoid some of the unrest it faced in 2007 after it removed a statue in Tallinn known as the Bronze Soldier, which led to two nights of rioting and looting, followed by a major cyber-attack that Estonian officials pinned on Russia.

The country has also moved to counter pro-Russian narratives about the war in Ukraine by banning from cable television four Russian television channels, a major source of news for many older ethnic Russians.

Tensions remain high and on Tuesday, Estonia’s foreign intelligence service warned Russia intended to double the number of its troops stationed along its border with the Baltic states and Finland as part of preparations for a potential military conflict with Nato within the next 10 years.

Kaupo Rosin, the director general of the Estonian service, told reporters ahead of his agency publishing its annual report: “Russia has chosen a path which is a long-term confrontation … and the Kremlin is probably anticipating a possible conflict with Nato within the next decade or so.

“We will highly likely see an increase of manpower, about doubling perhaps. We will see an increase in armed personnel carriers, tanks, artillery systems over the coming years.”

Rosin said that a military attack by Russia was “highly unlikely” in the short term, partly because Russia had to keep troops in Ukraine, but Rosin called on Europe to get prepared by rearming.

“If we are not prepared, the likelihood [of a military Russian attack] would be much higher than without any preparation,” Rosin added.

In an interview with the conservative journalist Tucker Carlson last week, Putin dismissed western warnings, saying that his country has “no interest in Poland, Latvia or anywhere else”.

In total, Russia has put several dozen Baltic politicians of various levels on the wanted list, including the former Latvian interior minister Marija Golubeva. Latvia has similarly announced plans to remove its Soviet memorials from public spaces, and drew Moscow’s ire last year when it demolished a nearly 260ft-tall obelisk, erected during the Soviet rule of Latvia.

All three Baltic states – Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania – had already expelled Russian diplomats from their countries amid tensions over the conflict in Ukraine. Relations with Moscow have remained tense since they gained independence during the collapse of the Soviet Union, which have viewed as an occupying power.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 11:54 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


NATO General Raises Prospect of New Nuclear Power

By Brendan Cole | Feb 12, 2024 at 10:32 AM EST

https://www.newsweek.com/poland-general-russia-nuclear-kraszewski-1869
036

NATO member Poland should eventually get nuclear weapons as a security measure, a top Polish general has said.

Following Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Warsaw has been a key supporter of Kyiv and has warned of the danger posed by the Kremlin, which has made repeated nuclear threats.

Brigadier General Jaroslaw Kraszewski told Polish media outlet RMF FM that if Warsaw had nuclear weapons it would deter possible aggression because "those who possess nuclear capabilities have a very high level of security."

Kraszewski said that Poland's armed forces had been modernized significantly since the country joined NATO in 1999 and that Warsaw had always shown its support for the alliance's actions in acting against threats to its borders.

He was asked about an article in British magazine The Spectator headlined "It's time to give Poland nuclear weapons," by Dalibor Rohac, a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington, D.C. https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/its-time-to-give-poland-nuclear-we
apons/

Rohac argued that the prospect of Donald Trump winning the U.S. election could endanger NATO's deterrence given his rhetoric criticizing the alliance.

"Trump-proofing the security of Eastern Europe, few measures would be as effective as arming the largest country of the region — Poland — with nuclear weapons," the Op-Ed said.

Kraszewski described such a scenario "as very real," according to a translation.

"Those who possess nuclear capabilities have a very high level of security," he said. "Usually, such countries are not attacked and the possibility of any action aimed at provoking a local crisis is not even considered. That is why I see having such an arsenal as a challenge in the coming years. I hope it will come to that."

When asked about a time frame, he said there would be a resumption of negotiations on the arrangement of nuclear forces in the world after the war in Ukraine.

"Western Europe is fed up with being intimidated by Russia," he said, describing Moscow as an "unpredictable neighbor."

Newsweek has contacted the Polish foreign ministry for comment.

In September 2022, Polish President Andrzej Duda said Warsaw had asked the U.S. for nuclear weapons to be stationed in Poland because of the perceived threat posed by Russia, which has deployed such arms to neighboring Belarus.

Warsaw has said that no progress has been made towards hosting nuclear weapons in Poland.

In reporting Kraszewski's comments, Russian state news agency TASS said Poland's National Security Bureau chief, Jacek Siewiera, had dodged the issue of nuclear weapons during an interview with newspaper Rzeczpospolita.

It said he had avoided answering a question about whether Warsaw would strike a deal with the U.S. to place such weapons in Poland under the NATO Nuclear Sharing program.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 12:29 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Oh, I see the NEW narrative is "blame the Ukrainians".
This couldn't possibly have been a neocon miscalculation!

Son, Ukraine was never gonna win, no matter how good or bad their leadership. Their big mistake came right at the beginning: being America's "friend" (i.e. patsy).

SECOND: Those dumb Ukrainians still don't have a plan for how to knock down the bridge across the Crimean Straits.


THAT is an great example of neocon miscalculation. THE CRIMEAN BRIDGE DOESNT MATTER. SURELY by now you've heard of the "land bridge" to Crimea? A robust series of rail and road lines across the newly acquired Mariupol region? THAT is what carries materiel to the front, not the Crimean bridge.

Yanno, ever since this whole thing started in 2014, your neocon sources have been grossly miscalculating. They didn't take into account the SIGNIFICANT minority (roughly 35 pct) of Rusian speaking Ukrainians who made up the bulk of anti-Kiev forces in the Donbas. They thought they could lie and cheat and break promises. Cross red lines without consequence. Because they truly believed that Russians were barely civilized orcs, that Russia was just "a gas station masquerading as a country", that the Russian army was fragmeneted and unmotivated, that Moscow fifth columnists would overthrow the hated Putin. Etc. Etc.

You, SECOND, have reposted every negative meme, every underestimation, every lie about Russia. And now that those lies are blowing up in your face I couldn't be happier. Bc I hate liars.

Meanwhile I was keeping an eye on Russia's preparation for being kicked off SWIFT, its developing relationships with China and Iran, its military rebuild and development of never-before seen weapons.

I believe that there were many tense months in the Kremlin. They TRULY did not want to wage a large scale war. That's why they bluffed Kiev and were ready to negotiate. Their army wasn't up to strength and, mostly, they were worried about SWIFT. Because the one thing Russians ARE sensitive to is a possible return to the economic crisis they experienced under USA tutelage 1990-2000.

But they had been preparing for decades, literally, for the time when the USA would attempt to destabilize them (again) and they prevailed.

All of that was invisible to you bc you live in a dark and twisted fantasy.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 2:35 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Dozens of Russian Aircraft Have Mysteriously Disappeared/Reappearing in Ukraine

Published Feb 12, 2024 at 10:00 AM EST

The Ministry of Transport audited Rosaviatsiya's records of civil aircraft in July 2023, and inconsistencies led to the criminal investigations, Izvestia reported. Employees of the Federal Air Transport Agency "removed" aircraft from a register of civil assets "without complete sets of documents, provided contradictory and unreliable information about the location of aircraft outside Russia," according to the newspaper, citing a Ministry of Transport spokesperson.

Russia's domestic security service, the FSB, is looking into allegations that Moscow's Federal Air Transport Agency, Rosaviatsiya, sent Russian civil aircraft and helicopters to nations including "unfriendly countries," state-backed Russian newspaper, Izvestia, reported on Monday.

"The Federal Security Service opened two criminal cases — negligence and abuse of power — against several employees of the Federal Air Transport Agency," according to Izvestia. The employees are "suspected of illegally removing 59 planes and helicopters from Russian jurisdiction" after Moscow launched its invasion of Ukraine nearly two years ago, the newspaper reported.

A number of the unaccounted-for aircraft were used by Ukraine in military operations against Russia, Izvestia reported, citing two anonymous Russian law enforcement sources and an unnamed source in Moscow's transport ministry.

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-helicopters-aircraft-missing-fsb-inves
tigation-rosaviatsiya-1869107

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Tuesday, February 13, 2024 2:57 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Signym, you are writing fantasies, with no facts behind your stories.
Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

THAT is an great example of neocon miscalculation. THE CRIMEAN BRIDGE DOESNT MATTER. SURELY by now you've heard of the "land bridge" to Crimea? A robust series of rail and road lines across the newly acquired Mariupol region? THAT is what carries materiel to the front, not the Crimean bridge.

Yanno, ever since this whole thing started in 2014, your neocon sources have been grossly miscalculating. They didn't take into account the SIGNIFICANT minority (roughly 35 pct) of Rusian speaking Ukrainians who made up the bulk of anti-Kiev forces in the Donbas. They thought they could lie and cheat and break promises. Cross red lines without consequence. Because they truly believed that Russians were barely civilized orcs, that Russia was just "a gas station masquerading as a country", that the Russian army was fragmeneted and unmotivated, that Moscow fifth columnists would overthrow the hated Putin. Etc. Etc.

You, SECOND, have reposted every negative meme, every underestimation, every lie about Russia. And now that those lies are blowing up in your face I couldn't be happier. Bc I hate liars.

Meanwhile I was keeping an eye on Russia's preparation for being kicked off SWIFT, its developing relationships with China and Iran, its military rebuild and development of never-before seen weapons.

I believe that there were many tense months in the Kremlin. They TRULY did not want to wage a large scale war. That's why they bluffed Kiev and were ready to negotiate. Their army wasn't up to strength and, mostly, they were worried about SWIFT. Because the one thing Russians ARE sensitive to is a possible return to the economic crisis they experienced under USA tutelage 1990-2000.

But they had been preparing for decades, literally, for the time when the USA would attempt to destabilize them (again) and they prevailed.

All of that was invisible to you bc you live in a dark and twisted fantasy.
Signym, one thing makes Russia unique: it is the millions of murders of Russians by Russians. This is a fact that Russians cannot understand about themselves. It drives them crazy. It makes them dangerous to all neighboring countries. 62 million murders caused the best Russians to emigrate or die, leaving mentally damaged Russians to run the country.

1 61,911,000 Victims: Utopianism Empowered, 1917-1987

2 3,284,000 Victims: The Civil War Period, 1917-1922

3 2,200,000 Victims: The NEP Period 1923-1928

4 11,440,000 Victims: The Collectivization Period, 1929-1935

5 4,345,000 Victims: The Great Terror Period 1936-1938

6 5,104,000 Victims: Pre-World War II Period 1939-June 1941

7 13,053,000 Victims: World War II Period, June 1941-1945

8 15,613,000 Victims: Postwar and Stalin’s Twilight Period. 1945-1953

9 6,872,000 Victims: Post-Stalin Period, 1954-1987

From the book Lethal Politics: Soviet Genocide and Mass Murder since 1917 by R. J. Rummel
Download the free book from http://libgen.is/search.php?req=R.+J.+Rummel
https://www.amazon.com/Lethal-Politics-Soviet-Genocide-Murder-ebook/dp
/B073RQ94KF/

Russia murdered 4 million Ukrainians in Holodomor, damaging the mental health of Ukrainians as much or more as the Russians murdering each other damaged their own mental health. The effect continues today, with Russians still murdering and torturing more Ukrainians.

https://www.google.com/search?q=Holodomor

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 6:09 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


The British International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) think tank stated on February 12 that Russia is likely able to sustain its current rate of vehicle losses for at least two to three years by producing new vehicles and reactivating vehicles from storage.[64] IISS estimated that Russia has lost over 3,000 armored fighting vehicles in 2023 and close to 8,000 armored fighting vehicles since February 2022. IISS stated that Russia likely reactivated at least 1,180 main battle tanks and about 2,470 infantry fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers pulled from storage in 2023. IISS stated that Russia has 10 Central Tank Reserve Bases, at least 37 mixed equipment and armaments storage bases, and at least 12 artillery storage bases. Ukrainian military analyst Oleksandr Kovalenko stated on February 11 that Russia’s reported tank production numbers in recent years largely reflect restored and modernized tanks drawn from storage rather than new production.[65]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-february-13-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 6:09 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


The Kremlin appears to be asserting the right to enforce Russian Federation law on officials of governments in NATO member states over actions taken in the performance of their official duties within the territories of their own countries. The Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs (MVD) has put dozens of government officials from NATO countries on Russia’s wanted list because of alleged violations of Russian federal law committed outside the jurisdiction of the Russian Federation. Russian opposition outlet Mediazona stated on February 13 that it gained access to the MVD’s wanted list and that the Russian MVD put Estonian Prime Minister Kaja Kallas, Estonian Secretary of State Taimar Peterkop, Latvian Justice Minister Inese Libina-Egnere, Latvian Finance Minister Arvils Aseradens, Latvian Agricultural Minister Armands Krauze, and former Latvian Interior Minister Marija Golubeva on the wanted list for allegedly destroying Soviet monuments in Estonia and Latvia — which Kremlin newswire TASS confirmed.[23] Mediazona stated that 59 Lithuanian Seimas deputies, 15 Riga municipal deputies, Lithuanian Mayor of Klaipeda Arvydas Vaitkus, Vaitkus’s deputy, 13 members of the Klaipeda city council, six deputies of the Vilnius city council, Polish Mayor of Walbrzych Roman Szelemey, and Polish Deputy Minister of State Assets Karol Rabenda also appear on the Russian MVD’s wanted list in connection with the destruction of Soviet monuments in the Baltic states and Poland.[24] Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitri Peskov stated the Baltic officials are wanted for “hostile actions against historical memory and Russia.”[25] Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) Spokesperson Maria Zakharova claimed that Kallas is “actively pursuing a policy of demolishing monuments and mocking the memory of Soviet soldiers” and that she must be held accountable for “blasphemy.”[26] Zakharova called on Russian law enforcement agencies to conduct investigations “within the framework of their powers and responsibilities in accordance with the legislation of Russia.” Zakharova claimed that the officials must “answer for their crimes” and that “this is just the beginning.”[27]

Article 243 of the Russian Criminal Code states that the destruction or damage of cultural heritage sites and monuments is punishable by up to six years in prison.[28] Russia, however, does not have the legal authority to prosecute foreign citizens for allegedly violating Russian laws in foreign states. Russia has notably used the issue of Soviet monuments to justify hybrid warfare tactics against NATO countries in the past when Russia launched large-scale cyberattacks against Estonia in 2007 after Estonia moved a Soviet World War II war memorial and the remains of Soviet soldiers from central Tallinn to the Tallinn Defense Cemetery.[29] Although it is unclear if the Russian government had planned to publicize its inclusion of the European officials on the list before Mediazona disclosed this information, this may be part of ongoing Russian effort to set informational conditions justifying possible Russian escalations against NATO states in the future, as ISW has extensively reported.[30] The Kremlin has also invoked narratives related to the historical memory of World War II to justify and sustain its full-scale invasion of Ukraine.[31]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-february-13-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 6:51 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Sinking of Tsezar Kunikov leaves Russian Black Sea Fleet with only 5 serviceable ships, down from 13

By Olena Roshchina — Wednesday, 14 February 2024, 11:31

Sources of Ukrainska Pravda in the Defence Intelligence of Ukraine reported that DIU’s drones struck the large Russian landing ship Tsezar Kunikov in the Black Sea. Later, Defence Intelligence of Ukraine officially reported that the warship was sunk by Magura V5 maritime drones and released a video.

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/02/14/7441804/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 6:55 AM

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The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


The Ukrainian military says it has destroyed a large Russian landing ship in the Black Sea off the coast of occupied Crimea in a combined operation of the armed forces and military intelligence.

The Rybar Telegram channel, which is close to the Russian Defense Ministry, confirmed the attack, although without providing details.

https://www.rferl.org/a/ukraine-destroys-large-russia-ship-caesar-kuni
kov/32819048.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 7:03 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Things are going badly for Ukraine — really badly

By Mia Jankowicz and Tom Porter | Feb 13, 2024, 11:08 AM CST

At the heart of Ukraine's problems is diminishing international aid.

Ukrainian troops are having to restrict their ammunition use, and in some parts of the front line, they're being outgunned three to one, Bloomberg reported recently.

US-supplied guns such as the howitzer are falling silent near Bakhmut — a city that has been the site of months of brutal combat — because of shell shortages, CNN reported.

Personnel problems are also growing. Among the core disagreements between Zelenskyy and Zaluzhny was recruitment, with the former military chief saying Ukraine needed to massively boost the number of people being drafted into the military, while the president was concerned about the impact on already fragile national morale.

With the prospect of another Trump presidency next year, Putin is "sitting pretty," Bury told BI. The chance of the US shutting off Ukraine aid altogether offers "a path to victory for Putin now where there wasn't for a good while," he said.

"But it always comes back to this: What do we want to do?" he added. "Do we want to see a democracy crushed by an autocracy? Where does the West draw the line here?"

https://www.businessinsider.com/things-going-badly-for-ukraine-war-rus
sia-putin-zelenskyy-aid-2024-2

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 10:15 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
At the heart of Ukraine's problems is diminishing international aid.


Good.

Fuck Ukraine.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 12:04 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



Quote:
Originally posted by second:
At the heart of Ukraine's problems is diminishing international aid.


SIX: Good.
Fuck Ukraine.


I actually feel sorry for the average Ukrainian. Average people caught up in the Maidan/ pro-EU movement thought they were agitating for a Euro lifestyle, with Euro living standards and Euro democracy. Strolling down boulevards and drinking lattes at sidewalk cafes. Maybe even less corruption and fewer oligarchs.

Wow, how little they knew of plans western neocons had for them! If they had known they would be thrown against the Russian bear, and that it would cost them a half million dead or wounded men, millions of refugees, martial law, and a shattered economy, they would have never started down this path. Even Zelensky didn't realize the sacrifices he was expected to impose on his countrymen, until BoJo set him straight.

But this isn't the first "bait and switch" globalists and neocons played on entire peoples.

Look at Europe! The elites were slavering over Russia's resources, bureaucrats were slavering over "moar power", and the MIC was slavering over the prospect of dumping old weapons onto a third-rate country and getting fat juicy contracts to replace them with expen$ive new ones.

But the average You're-a-peon was told they were "protecting democracy" and "saving Ukraine from that Terrible Tyrant". Little did they know their "ally" would blow up their pipelines and that it would double, triple, or quadruple energy prices; impose deindustrialization and de-agriculturalization (globalist "green agenda" to starve the people and save resources FOR THEMSELVES); centralize policy power in the hands of Brussels Eurocrats; and increase crime and diminish democracy at home.

And we can say the same for us, too. We're being told we're for LQBTQX+ and fighting climate change and promoting democracy abroad and helping the poor migrants and being protected from pandemics, but it's all like a boa constrictor: ever-tightening controls, ever-diminishing prospects.

"Never let a good crisis go to waste" indeed!

I'll bet you dollars to donuts that people in Russian controlled oblasts are actually enjoying more democracy than those in Kiev-controlled areas, where elections have been canceled and men are dragged off the streets and sent to die on the front lines.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 12:37 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Apropos of diminished democracy in the west

Quote:
Germany's Top Security Queen Pushes Government Dragnet To Track 'Right-Wing Extremist'* Financing

*She means the AfD (Alternative for Deutscheland) which has become Germany's 2nd most pooular party.

Quote:
Marine and Jean-Marie Le Pen to stand trial over alleged misuse of EU funds

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/dec/08/marine-and-jean-marie-le
-pen-trial-alleged-eu-funds-misuse?ref=upstract.com
Constant lawfare against Marine le Pen bc she's against more immigration into France.

Quote:
Jeffrey Sachs: The Biden-Schumer Plan To Kill More Ukrainians

https://www.commondreams.org/opinion/the-biden-schumer-plan-to-kill-mo
re-ukrainians

Quote:
CIA Had Foreign Allies Spy On Trump Team, Triggering Russia Collusion Hoax, Sources Say

https://public.substack.com/p/cia-had-foreign-allies-spy-on-trump

Quote:
Clusterfuck Nation

Mr. Luongo makes an important point. I want you to think about this: there is a reason that the WEF-Globalist cabal is losing the battle to control and dominate the rest of us. They are trying to power straight into the opposing currents of reality. Above all, they seek to centralize power and decision-making. But the world is moving in the opposite direction. All of the WEF’s aims founder on the macro trends unspooling in history.

The rising rule for human affairs now is that anything organized at the giant scale is going to wobble and fail. There will not be any world government run by the creatures of Davos or Brussels, or Washington DC, or any other place that the grandiose imagine would be their seat of global power. It’s not going to happen so you can stop worrying about it. But you’d better prepare for what is happening: everything in our world wants to get smaller, slower, finer, and more local. Anything that opposes these trends is pissing into the wind.

Since every activity we humans practice has to move in that direction, we are seeing colossal industries, institutions, and arrangements crack up: everything from national government to long-distance supply chains to giant retailing outfits to worldwide business networks to overgrown universities and high schools to transport matrices to metroplex cities to mega-farms to political parties.

Where the rot is probably greatest, but more veiled for the moment, is in the operations of organized capital, the banks and money systems, including financial markets. When these monsters blow, as they must, all the others will shake, rattle, and roll. They have to blow because the fuel tank is emptying.

American oil production may be at an all-time peak now at about 13-million barrels-a-day, but most of that — about 8-million — is shale oil, which is a manifestation of our tremendous debt roll-up since 2009. Now that we’re at the absolute limits of debt, we’re also at the limits of shale oil. The production of shale oil paralleled the accumulation of all that debt both in size and rate of increase, and as the debt goes bad — meaning, unpayable — the organized capital sector will blow and shale oil production will fall as sharply as it rose. It is also a fact that shale oil is subject to natural limits — we’re out of “sweet spots” to drill.

https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/think-about-it/


Except that nations with huge energy supplies and organized capital ... i.e Russia... will do quite nicley.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 12:39 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

I actually feel sorry for the average Ukrainian.
Feel sorry for Putin's subjects.

From the acknowledgments to Putin's Russia: The Rise of a Dictator by Darryl Cunningham

I find myself writing the same thing in the acknowledgments of every book, but it’s always true. I’m indebted to the many journalists whose work I’ve drawn from while writing/drawing this book. This time I'm particularly indebted to Winter Is Coming by Garry Kasparov, Putin’s People by Catherine Belton, The Man Without a Face by Masha Gessen and We Need to Talk About Putin by Mark Galeotti. These books are essential reading if you want to explore the subjects of Putin and Russia in greater detail.

https://www.amazon.com/Putins-Russia-Dictator-Darryl-Cunningham/dp/177
0465049/

Download the free book from the mirrors at https://libgen.is//search.php?req=Darryl+Cunningham

Other free books about Russia and Putin mentioned in the acknowledgment:

Winter Is Coming by Garry Kasparov
https://libgen.is//search.php?req=Winter+Is+Coming+Garry+Kasparov

Putin’s People by Catherine Belton
https://libgen.is//search.php?req=Putin+People+Catherine+Belton

The Man Without a Face by Masha Gessen
https://libgen.is//search.php?req=The+Man+Without+a+Face+Masha+Gessen

We Need to Talk About Putin by Mark Galeotti
https://libgen.is//search.php?req=We+Need+to+Talk+About+Putin+Mark+Gal
eotti

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 1:03 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

I actually feel sorry for the average Ukrainian.

SECOND: Feel sorry for Putin's subjects.


Why? Maybe they should ask the average Russian how THEY feel about Russia, and Putin, instead of imposing western views of Russia on Russians?

Personally, I feel sorry for most Americans. We're stuck like insects in amber in a corrupt system. But I know you hate Americans, so I don't expect you feel the same, or wish for America to improve.



-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 1:24 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:
Originally posted by second:
At the heart of Ukraine's problems is diminishing international aid.


SIX: Good.
Fuck Ukraine.


I actually feel sorry for the average Ukrainian. Average people caught up in the Maidan/ pro-EU movement thought they were agitating for a Euro lifestyle, with Euro living standards and Euro democracy. Strolling down boulevards and drinking lattes at sidewalk cafes. Maybe even less corruption and fewer oligarchs.


Oh. I agree.

I'd never say Fuck Ukrainians.

We've been really lucky to live where we do. For the most part all the international meddling and imperialism doesn't come home to roost.

But they're letting the invasion of our borders happen without either party seriously doing anything to stop it. They don't actually want to stop it. And because most of the stupid proletariat don't understand math, they don't understand that this problem is cumulative like unchecked inflation is.

America is dying.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 1:43 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

I actually feel sorry for the average Ukrainian.

SECOND: Feel sorry for Putin's subjects.


Why? Maybe they should ask the average Russian how THEY feel about Russia, and Putin, instead of imposing western views of Russia on Russians?

Personally, I feel sorry for most Americans. We're stuck like insects in amber in a corrupt system. But I know you hate Americans, so I don't expect you feel the same, or wish for America to improve.
You didn't look into any of those books about Putin, did you? You don't even believe Russians killed 62 million other Russians. If you had absorbed the fact of 62 million murders, the new idea might hit you that those mass murders changed Russia for the worse, warping it, making Russians who didn't flee the murdering into the people who would murder Ukrainians for profit. Join the Russian Army and receive a 1,000% increase in your annual income. If you die, there is a big bonus for your family in Siberia!

https://www.google.com/search?q=how+much+are+Russian+soldiers+paid

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 2:41 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


I don't need to. Have these authors BEEN TO Russia? Talked to the man/woman on the street?

What drives Russians IS NOT what happened 100 years ago. What they're terrified of is a repeat of the USA/UK "shock treatment" that collapsed Russia and turned it into a "gangsta capitalist" hellhole.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 3:03 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
I don't need to. Have these authors BEEN TO Russia? Talked to the man/woman on the street?

What drives Russians IS NOT what happened 100 years ago. What they're terrified of is a repeat of the USA/UK "shock treatment" that collapsed Russia and turned it into a "gangster capitalist" hellhole.
In what world does 100-year-old history vanish? You forgot Russia's Army occupying Eastern Europe? In what world are Russians not responsible for the Soviet Union collapsing and the aftermath? And Putin is paying Russian soldiers 1,000% more than they earn back in Siberia to travel into Ukraine and murder people for Putin's glory.

If Russian soldiers believed Putin's story that either Ukraine is conquered or Russia dies, Putin would be paying less than what the soldiers made in Siberia, not 1,000% more. Obviously from the pay differential, Russians do not believe Putin's story. Why would the West believe Putin's story?

What is the purpose of Putin's story? To convince Russians who will never fight in Ukraine that the fight is worthwhile. For those who fight, stories aren't enough. The fighters need that 1,000% raise from Putin before risking their life in service of Putin's fairytale about Ukraine.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 4:13 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Your post implied a genetic imprint from Russian experience.

Nonsense.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 4:19 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Your post implied a genetic imprint from Russian experience.

Nonsense.


That's because Second is a racist.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 6:12 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Your post implied a genetic imprint from Russian experience.

Nonsense.
Putin sanctioned David Abulafia, professor emeritus of history at the University of Cambridge, because 1,000-year-old history does not match Putin's story about Ukraine's origins. Signym, do you think that Russians murdering 62 million Russians and another 100 million of the bravest emigrating didn't change today's Russians, the leftovers?
https://news.yahoo.com/historical-research-gravely-offended-putin-1900
00404.html

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 9:03 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Your post implied a genetic imprint from Russian experience.

Nonsense.

SECOND: Putin sanctioned David Abulafia, professor emeritus of history at the University of Cambridge, because 1,000-year-old history does not match Putin's story about Ukraine's origins.
What's your point?

Quote:
SECOND: Signym, do you think that Russians murdering 62 million Russians and another 100 million of the bravest emigrating didn't change today's Russians, the leftovers?
NOPE!
If that were the case, then Australia ... which originated as a penal colony and attracted all kinds of criminals. adventurers, misfits, and pioneers ... should be loaded with defiant, rugged, if not downright oppositional individualists. They should never have meekly given up their guns and been locked down for months and months, but that's exactly what they did. As compliant and subservient as the Chinese.

You remember MAGONSDAUGHTER, right? Not exactly the kind offspring you'd expect of prisoners and rowdies and whores.


So, how do we account for YOUR psychopathy, SECOND? Something from your parents, perhaps?
Or did you come by it all on your own?


PS, SIX is right: You're a racist.


-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Wednesday, February 14, 2024 11:28 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


That's exactly right.

It's why nobody takes any of the racists and intolerant left seriously when they go around calling people Nazis.

I've said a lot of bad shit about Muslims, but Muslims aren't a color. It's a diseased and violent religion. I feel the same way about any black or white Muslims as I do about the brown ones. Fuck Islam. Fuck Allah.

I don't hate Mexicans. My stepdad was Mexican and literally grew up picking cotton with his 9 brothers and sisters while living in a train caboose. His dad was a very skilled leatherworker and his mom had her hands full taking care of him and 10 kids. He voted for Trump twice and he's going to vote for Trump a 3rd time. As a man who grew up with a harder childhood than anybody Second has ever met in his life in a family who legally immigrated and raised a daughter who is now a 3rd generation half-white/half-Mexican very successful doctor, he doesn't appreciate Biden*'s open borders and NYC giving away free room and board, medical care and credit cards to illegal alien invaders.

Half the people I've ever worked with are black. We get along great. Most of them have better rides than I do. Most of them are working 2 or more jobs too. I talk to them like human beings. Second and his idiot friends who run around calling people Nazis don't have a clue how to have a conversation with a black person. The only ones he's ever known in his life were his parents hired help that have to work twice as hard as they should for the money because his lazy ass won't take out the trash.



So let him keep going around calling me and other people Nazis while he literally cheerleads literal Nazis in Ukraine.


He's a fucking goofball who's head has been stuffed full of so much poisonous propaganda that he's nothing more than a walking caricature of a person. He has nothing of value to inject into any conversation. He thinks in sound bytes from a narrative that changes from day to day, which is why he spends his days here constantly contradicting himself. He's little more than AI in a human skin sack.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 12:27 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:

What's your point?
Russia invaded Eastern Europe and didn't leave until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Every one of those countries joined NATO or begged NATO to accept them because of their miserable experience with Russians, which involved Russians murdering Eastern Europeans.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 12:53 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia invaded Eastern Europe and didn't leave until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Every one of those countries joined NATO or begged NATO to accept them because of their miserable experience with Russians, which involved Russians murdering Eastern Europeans.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly




--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 7:15 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia invaded Eastern Europe and didn't leave until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Every one of those countries joined NATO or begged NATO to accept them because of their miserable experience with Russians, which involved Russians murdering Eastern Europeans.

6ixStringJack declares himself a dumb-ass.
The rulers of Russia give Russians a choice: do things our way or die. At least 62 million Russians died, murdered by other Russians. Since they were not oblivious, 100 million smart Russians emigrated. Who does that leave behind? The old, the passive, and the stupid.

When Putin called for more soldiers to be sent into Ukraine, between 817,000 and 922,000 smart Russians left Russia since February 2022. The passive and stupid Russians were sent to fight in Ukraine. If you are Russian, you have to be especially stupid to take a job that pays 1,000% more than normal jobs back in Siberia. For that money, you will die on the job or be permanently crippled. You are pretty stupid to sign the contract, but Russia has a huge supply of stupid people to sign away their lives.

How much are Russian soldiers paid? According to official statements, the starting salary for a Russian soldier fighting in Ukraine is 195,000 rubles per month, which is nearly 14 times higher than the median salary in some regions of Russia.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/03/22/russian-soldiers-in-ukraine-
increasingly-getting-paid-late-report-finds-a80576

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 7:17 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


The Royal United Services Institute (RUSI) reported that Russian forces typically engage in localized tactical assaults until they have lost up to 30 percent of their manpower, after which they are rotated out and reconstituted.[26] Losses of 30 percent are extremely high. Most units become combat ineffective after taking much lower losses. The Russians are therefore likely fighting their units past the point at which they have become combat ineffective before rotating them out for reconstitution.

Ukrainian Main Military Intelligence Directorate (GUR) Deputy Chief Major General Vadym Skibitskyi stated on January 11 that Russian forces withdraw their units to rear areas when they are at 50 percent or less of their intended end strength and return them to the front following recovery and replenishment.[27] 

The Russian command’s willingness to allow a unit to be severely degraded to between 50 and 70 percent of the unit’s end strength significantly impacts the unit’s combat effectiveness. This approach to force management likely explains the observable pattern of Russian operations on the ground. Localized assaults continue until they stall out, whereupon offensive operations pause while the command rotates and replenishes degraded units. ISW has observed this pattern in the Kupyansk and Lyman directions since January 2024.[28] 

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-february-14-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 7:39 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Joe Biden Could Send Millions Of Artillery Shells To Ukraine, For Free, Tomorrow. And It’s Perfectly Legal.

‘Excess defense articles’ remains a powerful authority.

By David Axe | Feb 14, 2024,10:51pm EST

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/02/14/joe-biden-could-send-
millions-of-artillery-shells-to-ukraine-for-free-tomorrow-and-its-perfectly-legal/?sh=23de8a0120c7

There’s a bureaucratically complex but perfectly legal way for the administration of U.S. president Joe Biden to send to Ukraine the thing Ukrainian brigades need the most: artillery shells. Millions of them.

As Russia’s wider war on Ukraine grinds into its third year and Russia-aligned Republicans in the U.S. Congress continue to withhold U.S. funding for Ukraine, Ukrainian artillery batteries are desperately low on ammunition.

Six months ago, Ukrainian batteries were firing as many as 6,000 shells a day and, in some sectors of the 600-mile front line, even matching Russians batteries’ own shellfire.

Today, four months after Republicans began blocking aid, the Ukrainians are firing just 2,000 shells a day. At the same time, the Russians — flush with shells from North Korea and Iran — are firing up as many as 10,000 shells a day.

That firepower disparity is the main reason why Russian forces are — admittedly at great cost — slowly advancing in and around the eastern city of Avdiivka, currently the locus of Russia’s winter offensive.

Given indicted ex-president Donald Trump’s cultish hold over the Republican Party and Trump’s longstanding affinity for authoritarian Russian leader Vladimir Putin, there’s seems to be little prospect of Biden getting much, or any, fresh funding for Ukraine now that Republicans hold a slim majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.

But that doesn’t mean Biden is powerless to help Ukraine. An under-appreciated U.S. law gives the president authority to sell at a discount, or even give away, any existing weapons the U.S. military declares excess to its needs.

The law caps annual transfers of so-called “excess defense articles” at a total value of $500 million a year. But the same law doesn’t dictate how much value the president assigns to a particular weapon. He in theory could price an item at zero dollars.

Biden only rarely has used his EDA authority for Ukraine. And where he has used it, lately it’s been a part of complex “ring-trades” where the U.S. government gives excess weapons to third countries — Ecuador and Greece, to name two — then encourages those same countries directly or indirectly to give to Ukraine some of their own surplus weapons.

The United States for instance offered Ecuador ex-U.S. Army UH-60 transport helicopters, freeing up Ecuador to donate to Ukraine its surplus Mi-17 helicopters as well as rocket-launchers and air-defense systems. Greece is getting ex-U.S. Air Force C-130 airlifters and ex-U.S. Army ground vehicles on the understanding the Greeks will try to find surplus weapons to pass onward to the Ukrainians.

There’s no legal reason Biden couldn’t cut out the middleman and use his EDA authority directly to support Ukraine. And there’s no practical reason this aid couldn’t include artillery ammunition.

Generally speaking, most artillery ammunition in U.S. Army and U.S. Marine Corps stockpiles clearly isn’t excess. Indeed, the Army and Marines need all the modern shells they can get as they prepare for Ukraine-style wars.

But there’s an important exception. There are potentially four million 155-millimeter dual-purpose improved cluster munitions in storage in the United States. M483A1 and M864 DPICM rounds respectively scatter 88 or 72 grenade-size submunitions, each of which can kill or maim a soldier.

All of these shells are obvious candidates for the “excess” label. The U.S. Army years ago determined that these DPICMs—produced in large quantities between the 1970s and 1990s—are unreliable and unsafe, as any particular submunition has up to a 14-percent chance of being a dud.

The Army around 2017 declared a requirement for a new cluster shell with a one-percent dud rate. “Rounds now in the U.S. stockpile do not meet the Office of the Secretary of Defense's goal,” wrote Peter Burke, then the service’s top ammunition manager.

That orphaned, according to a 2004 report, 402 million DPICM submunitions. Do the math. That’s as many as 4.6 million 155-millimeter shells.

The Biden administration managed to ship to Ukraine, under authorities that don’t fall under the EDA law, an undisclosed number of DPICMs—tens of thousands, perhaps—before aid ran out and Republicans blocked additional money.

The White House’s main practice, for the first two years of Russia’s wider war on Ukraine, has been to give to Ukraine weapons from U.S. stockpiles—and then immediately to replace the donated materiel with newly-produced weapons.

In that sense, almost nothing Biden has given to Ukraine actually has been free. It has cost the Ukrainians a portion of the $75 billion in financial aid the U.S. Congress approved for Ukraine before Republicans gained their majority.

If Biden abandoned this practice, he could designate all the DPICM shells remaining in U.S. Army and U.S. Marine Corps warehouses as excess—and donate them to Ukraine without needing a single dollar to replace them.

All four million or so remaining rounds should be available. Enough for years of intensive combat.

Now, there is a caveat in the EDA law. All weapons must be given away “as is, where is.” In other words, the U.S. government legally can’t pay for shipping.

But another caveat is that any weapons in Germany are excluded from this rule. Biden could ship those DPICMs to Germany aboard a few sealift ships and then declare them as excess to need before having the U.S. Army drop them off somewhere the Ukrainian armed forces would have no trouble retrieving them.

Why Biden hasn’t already put in motion this plan is unclear. It’s possible—likely, even—he prefers to hold out for $60 billion in fresh funding, which gives him more options for buying, or even developing from scratch, a wide array of weapons for Ukraine.

But once Biden decides, as many other observers already have decided, that Russia-aligned Republicans never will approve more money for Ukraine, he could lean on his EDA authority—and speed millions of shells to Ukraine’s starving batteries.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 8:42 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


After A 12-Month Wait, The Ukrainians Are Finally Firing Their 90-Mile Glide-Bombs At The Russians

By David Axe | Feb 14, 2024,09:08pm EST

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/02/14/after-a-12-month-wait
-the-ukrainians-are-finally-firing-their-90-mile-glide-bombs-at-the-russians/?sh=98a1b926308f

Ukraine’s American-made, ground-launched glide-bombs are in action—and at a critical time. Ukrainian brigades are starving for artillery ammunition—ironically because of Russia-aligned Republican lawmakers in the United States.

The 600-pound, 90-mile-range glide-bombs might help to compensate for a dire shortage of 155-millimeter howitzer shells. But only somewhat. The glide munitions aren’t artillery. And it would be a waste to pretend they are.

The first evidence of a GLSDB raid appeared online on Wednesday. Russian troops posted a video depicting a boxful of rocket fragments that seems to include a GLSDB’s distinctive tail section.

The Russians claimed the wreckage was from a Tuesday strike near Kreminna in eastern Ukraine. It’s possible the strike in question targeted a pair of Russian rocket-launchers just east of Zhytlivka. A Ukrainian drone was overhead, observing, when the launchers exploded in a dramatic fireball.

If the Zhytlivka strike indeed involved GLSDBs, it may have been a curious choice. Zhytlivka is just a few miles from the front line near Kreminna, begging the question: why waste 90-mile deep-strike munitions on a relatively shallow raid?

It’s possible there were extenuating circumstances. Maybe a GLSDB launcher happened to be in the right place at the right time for a short-notice strike on a clutch of Russian launchers. Maybe adjacent tube-artillery batteries were so low on shells that it actually made sense to expend GLSDBs.

With Republicans blocking U.S. aid to Ukraine, Ukrainian batteries are down to firing just a few thousand shells a day, perhaps a fifth what Russian batteries fire.

Kyiv is fortunate that the administration of U.S. president Joe Biden paid U.S. defense firm Boeing and its partner, Swedish company Saab, to develop the GLSDB for Ukraine a year ago, before Republicans began leveraging their slim majority in the U.S. House of Representatives.

The GLSDB contract was worth $33 million. A single GLSDB—a GBU-39 winged glide-bomb attached to a surplus M26 rocket motor—costs just $40,000.

Ukraine might get many hundreds of GLSDBs. Assuming, of course, Boeing and Saab didn’t spend most of that $33 million on development.

The munitions apparently launch from special containers that could be towed by any truck, although Saab claimed a tracked M270 or wheeled High-Mobility Artillery Rocket System mobile launcher—Ukraine has dozens of each—also would be compatible with the GLSDB.

Five or six hundred GLSDBs can’t replace the 5,000 or 6,000 so 155-millimeter shells Ukrainian artillery batteries happily would lob at the Russians every day, given an adequate supply of ammo from allied countries. At present, the Ukrainians might be firing 2,000 shells a day.

Yes, most 155-millimeter artillery is unguided and ranges just 15 miles or so with a 25-pound explosive fill. The GPS-guided GLSDB by contrast ranges six times as far with eight times as much explosives.

But tube artillery might be most decisive when it targets enemy forces in the hours before an attack, as they gather out in the open miles behind the front line and begin their movement to contact. A barrage of a few dozen shells can wreck vehicles and kill infantry across thousands of square yards.

GLSDBs by contrast might be most decisive while striking point targets deep behind the front line: supply depots, ammunition trains, command bunkers, air-defense radars. Targets whose relative rarity belies their importance to the overall Russian war effort.

In short, artillery is a day-to-day killer of combat forces across a wide area close to the front. Deep-strike munitions such as the GLSDB are for pinpoint raids targeting the basic infrastructure of mechanized warfare. The supply and command networks that support and direct the combat forces.

So maybe the Ukrainians launched a few of their GLSDBs at Russian rocket-launchers just a few miles from the front. But don’t expect a lot of short-range ground-launched glide-bomb strikes. That’s not what the weapons are for.

All that is to say, the arrival of GLSDBs doesn’t really solve Ukraine’s worsening artillery problem.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 11:35 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia invaded Eastern Europe and didn't leave until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Every one of those countries joined NATO or begged NATO to accept them because of their miserable experience with Russians, which involved Russians murdering Eastern Europeans.

6ixStringJack declares himself a dumb-ass.


Oh good. You finally figured out how the quote feature here works.

This is why I have accumulated a very long list of archived pages of all the death threats and assassination fantasies you have. There's been at least a dozen of them added since my last update.

Feel free at any time to remove them all. It will make no matter. They're archived forever, even if this site disappears.



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 12:43 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia invaded Eastern Europe and didn't leave until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Every one of those countries joined NATO or begged NATO to accept them because of their miserable experience with Russians, which involved Russians murdering Eastern Europeans.

6ixStringJack declares himself a dumb-ass.


Oh good. You finally figured out how the quote feature here works.

This is why I have accumulated a very long list of archived pages of all the death threats and assassination fantasies you have. There's been at least a dozen of them added since my last update.

Feel free at any time to remove them all. It will make no matter. They're archived forever, even if this site disappears.
To feel strong, the Russians constantly threaten to nuke the US but nothing happens. Similarly, 6ix constantly makes threats to drop the bomb on his enemy but nothing happens. Instead, the Russians steal from their weak neighbors, the Ukrainians. I expect 6ix, as Russians would in a similar situation, to burglarize his neighbors to support his $7,000 per year lifestyle and no gainful employment. 6ix and Russians are scumbags who have the rotten lives they deserve.

Maybe Russians' neighbors will arrest them? Maybe 6ix's neighbors will, too!

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 12:51 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:
Originally posted by second:
Russia invaded Eastern Europe and didn't leave until the collapse of the Soviet Union. Every one of those countries joined NATO or begged NATO to accept them because of their miserable experience with Russians, which involved Russians murdering Eastern Europeans.

6ixStringJack declares himself a dumb-ass.


Oh good. You finally figured out how the quote feature here works.

This is why I have accumulated a very long list of archived pages of all the death threats and assassination fantasies you have. There's been at least a dozen of them added since my last update.

Feel free at any time to remove them all. It will make no matter. They're archived forever, even if this site disappears.
To feel strong, the Russians constantly threaten to nuke the US but nothing happens. Similarly, 6ix constantly makes threats to drop the bomb on his enemy but nothing happens. Instead, the Russians steal from their weak neighbors, the Ukrainians. I expect 6ix, as Russians would in a similar situation, to burglarize his neighbors to support his $7,000 per year lifestyle and no gainful employment.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


I'm not threatening you. I'm simply letting you know that I've collected every time you've posted a death threat to somebody on this board, advocated for the assassination of Trump or told everyone how you'd do it and get away with it. That's just presenting you with facts.

The fact that Haken doesn't want to cover his own ass by removing your alt-profile from fff.net after removing your Reaverfan profile is the reason why I stopped bothering to take the time to update your thread. I can't force him to do anything. I'm surprised he hasn't removed you since some of your posts under this profile have been just as bad as under your Reaverfan profile, but we're still sitting here having to deal with them. I'm just letting you know that everything is still being archived behind the scenes.


Why would I burglarize my neighbors? They all love me. They all owe me favors.

I have plenty of money dude. And if I ever decide I need to spend a year or two restocking the reserves until retirement age I'll be making about $3 to $5 more per hour than I did the last time I had a job. Every year I work a stress-free, part-time, low-wage job I pay for all the expenditures I had that year and easily bank enough for another year or even two beyond that.


How about you stop posting dumb shit and I'll stop archiving what you post.

You should also probably see a psychiatrist. You're recent post history shows how unhinged you've become. We're all a little worried about what you might do if your guy doesn't win in November.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 12:59 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:

I'm not threatening you. I'm simply letting you know that I've collected every time you've posted a death threat to somebody on this board, advocated for the assassination of Trump or told everyone how you'd do it and get away with it. That's just presenting you with facts.

Why would I burglarize my neighbors? They all love me. They all owe me favors.

I have plenty of money dude. And if I ever decide I need to spend a year or two restocking the reserves until retirement age I'll be making about $3 to $5 more per hour than I did the last time I had a job. Every year I work a stress-free, part-time, low-wage job I pay for all the expenditures I had that year and easily bank enough for another year or even two beyond that.


How about you stop posting dumb shit and I'll stop archiving what you post.

You should also probably see a psychiatrist. You're recent post history shows how unhinged you've become. We're all a little worried about what you might do if your guy doesn't win in November.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.
You sound more and more like the Russians claiming they aren't threatening to nuke the USA, but the Russians bring up the subject of their incredible advances in nukes, which they then deny having any intention of using.

Kremlin dismisses U.S. warning about Russian nuclear capability in space
https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-dismisses-us-warning-about-russi
an-nuclear-capability-space-2024-02-15/

MOSCOW, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The Kremlin dismissed on Thursday a warning by the United States about Moscow's new nuclear capabilities in space, calling it a "malicious fabrication" and a trick by the White House aimed at getting U.S. lawmakers to approve more money to counter Russia.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 1:05 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Nah...

This time it all started because the other day you claimed that you were quoting Sigs to save her response, as if that means anything on this ancient website that doesn't save original posts or even let readers know that the post was edited after the fact. You could theoretically go back to every post you've ever made and delete them and they would just sit there empty with the original timestamp until the site finally shuts down.

Now that you've figured out that is not how the quote feature here works, I used that as an opportunity to remind you that every death threat and assassination fantasy you've ever posted on this board is saved remotely with timestamps.

Have a nice day. Don't kill anyone, mkay?



--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 1:15 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Nah...

This time it all started because the other day you claimed that you were quoting Sigs to save her response, as if that means anything on this ancient website that doesn't save original posts or even let readers know that the post was edited after the fact. You could theoretically go back to every post you've ever made and delete them and they would just sit there empty with the original timestamp until the site finally shuts down.

Now that you've figured out that is not how the quote feature here works, I used that as an opportunity to remind you that every death threat and assassination fantasy you've ever posted on this board is saved remotely with timestamps.

Have a nice day. Don't kill anyone, mkay?
Did you learn your childish rhetoric from Russia? It claims to be peaceful while NATO, US, UK, and Ukraine attacked Russia, which is not what happened. Only a mind-reader would know for certain if Russia and 6ix believe what they write, but I'm confident Russia and 6ix know they are getting high on the reek of their stinking bullshit.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 1:30 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


SECOND is not capable of learning.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Thursday, February 15, 2024 1:44 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SECOND is not capable of learning.
Russians are not capable of learning:

The 1967 Outer Space Treaty bans putting any weapons of mass destruction into orbit or into outer space. Russia and the US signed the treaty but Russia broke it and lies about breaking it which is standard operating procedure for Russia.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outer_Space_Treaty

Kremlin dismisses U.S. warning about Russian nuclear capability in space

https://www.reuters.com/world/kremlin-dismisses-us-warning-about-russi
an-nuclear-capability-space-2024-02-15/

MOSCOW, Feb 15 (Reuters) - The Kremlin dismissed on Thursday a warning by the United States about Moscow's new nuclear capabilities in space, calling it a "malicious fabrication" and a trick by the White House aimed at getting U.S. lawmakers to approve more money to counter Russia.

"It is obvious that the White House is trying, by hook or by crook, to encourage Congress to vote on a bill to allocate money, this is obvious," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.

"We'll see what tricks the White House will use."

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 3:28 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Meanwhile, in the real world...

Avdiivka has been cut into three cauldrons, with a fourth cauldron developing.

One Russian advance cut Avdiivka into a northern and southern portion, by occupying the largest supply road that runs north-south on the western edge of Avdiivka. Troops and supplies can no longer reinforce each other from the north or south
In the southern portion, a former air defense base has been pinched off. All supply/escape routes are under physical Russian control.
Supply/ escape routes from the west into Avdiivka are under Russian fire control. And in the far eastern portion, a major stronghold's supply lines are almost cut off.
Any place not under Russian control is being heavily bombed.
Some reports say that the local Russian commander has given a "surrender or die" ultimatum, and that while none of the local Ukrainian commanders have ordered a surrender, Ukrainian soldiers are either self-evacuating or surrendering.

Meanwhile, Chasiv Yar, the next biggest city west of Bakhmut, is being advanced on.

And Ukraine has chosen to abandon Krynky, that small toehold across the Dnieper in Kherson that they maintained at great cost.



-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Thursday, February 15, 2024 6:07 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SECOND is not capable of learning.


Yup.

--------------------------------------------------

Political correctness is just tyranny, with a smiley face.

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Thursday, February 15, 2024 6:10 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Military Summary Channel says commanders in Avdiivka have given the order to the appx 8,000 soldiers remaining in Avdiivka to withdraw, but there are no credible routes, and that soldiers can only withdraw if Putin allows it. (And why would he?) So either they run a gauntlet hoping to survive, or surrender.

Also, the 3rd Brigade (Azov) was supposed to run an "unblocking" operation, but when they saw there were no prepared defenses and that Russians were surrounding them nearly 360deg, they refused orders.

Anyway, Avdiivka, according to Dima, is toast.

-----------
"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal." - Henry Kissinger

Loving America is like loving an addicted spouse - SIGNYM



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Friday, February 16, 2024 6:00 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Russia Depicts Wounded Soldiers as Heroes, or Not at All

Troops with amputated limbs or serious injuries return home to find a patchwork system of treatment and, often, efforts to keep them out of the public eye.

By Neil MacFarquhar, Milana Mazaeva | Feb. 15, 2024, Updated 12:25 a.m. ET

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/15/world/europe/russia-soldiers-ukrain
e-war.html

A shell slammed into the ground just feet from where the Russian soldier was deployed, and the explosion tossed him into the air.

“I felt my arm fall off, then a blow to my leg, everything slowed down, just a frozen picture in my eyes — no sounds, no other sensations,” said the soldier, Andrei, a 29-year-old former convict recruited into the Wagner private military company.

Drifting in and out of consciousness, he was convinced that death loomed, he said in an interview, requesting that only his first name be used because of a fear of retribution by the Russian authorities. As shells exploded on all sides in the fighting near the Ukrainian city of Bakhmut, fellow soldiers dragged him to an evacuation point. He eventually spent more than a year in hospitals, with the remnants of his left arm amputated and one leg still at risk.

Cases like Andrei’s do not receive much publicity in Russia, where — as in Ukraine — the total number of war wounded is not disclosed. But, according to American and Ukrainian officials and numerous military analysts, the number is staggering, perhaps in the hundreds of thousands. And one senior Russian official estimated that amputees represented more than half of the seriously wounded.

Because reporters and aid groups have little or no access to hospitals or rehabilitation centers in Russia, information is scarce, often limited to community news reports and Telegram channels.

The Kremlin, military analysts and some medical personnel say, wants to avoid a repeat of the antiwar movements that forced a halt to earlier wars in Chechnya and Afghanistan.

“The Russian state has learned by experience that if it wants to maintain domestic stability, it should suppress that kind of debate,” said Nick Reynolds, a research fellow for land warfare at the Royal United Services Institute, a London-based military think tank.

Military analysts say the high number of wounded also reflects the striking indifference that Russia exhibits toward its soldiers as it sacrifices huge numbers to make small gains across the 600-mile front in Ukraine.

“The Russian leadership on every level does not care much about soldiers,” said Pavel Luzin, a Russia military expert with the Center for European Policy Analysis, a Washington-based research group.

Wounded veterans are not ignored entirely. They are occasionally featured on state television in the service of war propaganda — invariably presenting an upbeat account of how they are readily adapting to life with their injuries, including missing limbs.

On rare occasions, President Vladimir V. Putin visits the wounded in hospitals, pinning medals on their crisp, cobalt blue military pajamas. He sometimes acknowledges problems in the system, and he unfailingly promises solutions.

“As for prosthetics, there is still a lot to be done,” Mr. Putin said last month while talking to veterans. He had recently learned, he added, that former soldiers issued with prosthetics received reduced government payments, which he called “unacceptable.”

After the war’s first month, the Russian defense minister, Sergei K. Shoigu, announced 3,825 wounded, a figure Russia has never updated. So estimates of the wounded from both sides are extrapolated from the number of dead, which already involves significant guesswork.

William J. Burns, the director of the Central Intelligence Agency, wrote in an article published in Foreign Affairs last month that Russian dead and wounded soldiers numbered 315,000.

Numerous doctors, veterans or relatives, when contacted, declined to speak about the wounded, lest they breach Russia’s laws against revealing confidential information or denigrating the military, not to mention jeopardizing their jobs or benefits. Some who spoke declined to use their full names.

Multiple interviews indicated that the main aim in treating the wounded was to redeploy them to the battlefront quickly. There is a paucity of medical discharges, analysts and medical personnel said, underscoring the desperate need for soldiers, with the Ministry of Defense preferring to recycle the wounded rather than implementing another unpopular mobilization.

Dmitri, 35, was mobilized in September 2022. He said that his first horrific taste of the war came two months later, when a drone dropped a grenade on a nearby dugout holding 10 men. “There were arms ripped off, a helmet with brains on it, and one guy’s leg was torn off, although not completely torn off yet,” he recalled in an interview. “I was not ready for that. Nobody was.”

Last summer, Dmitri suffered shrapnel wounds from a drone strike that sent him to a hospital just inside Russia, he said. He counted about 400 patients in his ward, and 150 seriously wounded lying in another. With roughly 80 patients each, the doctors initially spent less than five minutes per soldier, he said: “It was a conveyor belt.”

Since Dmitri’s injuries were relatively light, nobody examined him for two days, then a doctor ran a magnet over his wounds. When it did not react, he received a splash of disinfectant and a few bandages before being discharged and told to report back to the front six days later.

“I was in shock” at the instructions, said Dmitri, who fled Russia with the help of the Georgia-based organization Go by the Forest.

Many of the accounts from doctors and the wounded suggest that Russia lacks essentials for treatment — everything from sufficient evacuation vehicles to hospital beds to drugs. The military runs a network of about 150 medical facilities nationwide, including a sophisticated medical academy in St. Petersburg and several specialized hospitals in Moscow.

The Russian Ministry of Defense did not respond to a request for comment.

Some veterans lauded what they called their fast, thorough care, but it could seem like winning the lottery. Artem Katulin, head of a training program for combat medicine, told the official RIA Novosti news agency last year that over half the war deaths were from injuries that were not life-threatening and that improperly tied tourniquets accounted for one-third of amputations.

Maxim Lukashevsky, a surgeon who volunteered at a hospital near the front and is now back working in Moscow, said in an interview that on a busy day he might treat around 45 wounded men in five hours, including up to five amputations.

A young Russian named Regina has published a diary on social media documenting the highs and lows of caring for her husband, Denis, hospitalized in St. Petersburg for more than a year with a chunk of his brain missing.

She has relied on crowd funding for everything from adult diapers to a high-tech wheelchair. While praising the dedication of the medical staff, she denounced the lack of individually tailored rehabilitation programs.

“I feel like I’m putting my loved one together like a puzzle,” she wrote. In another post, she noted, “I was so angry about how terrible everything was in terms of prescriptions for individual rehabilitation; I was just shaking with resentment.”

About 54 percent of wounded veterans classified as disabled have suffered amputations, Aleksei Vovchenko, the Russian deputy minister of labor and social protection, testified to a government committee in October, without giving an overall figure.

A traumatologist working in Siberia said that many permanently disabled young veterans had damaged organs or shattered joints. Although Russia builds prosthetic limbs, joint replacements are elusive because they were largely imported before the war, he and others said.

The traumatologist and others noted a distinct lack of public compassion for the grievously wounded. Amputees have begun to appear on the streets, begging for money, he said, and there are few facilities like wheelchair ramps.

Even Anton Filimonov, Russia’s poster boy for the upbeat amputee — he lost a leg by stepping on a land mine — said at a public forum in St. Petersburg last year that Russians were “not ready” to see amputees.

The stream of wounded will likely continue, military experts said. The losses have not prompted the armed forces “to change their fighting in this very attritional, infantry-led, frontal assault style,” said Karolina Hird, a Russia analyst with the Washington-based Institute for the Study of War.

Andrei, the Wagner recruit, was a construction worker from near Rostov who had served about three years of an eight-year sentence for severely wounding someone in a bar brawl. He trained for two weeks before being thrust onto the front lines, and was soon seriously injured.

With all the nerves and veins in his left arm destroyed, it was amputated. The doctors recommended that his heavily damaged left knee be replaced, but he was discharged last month in a wheelchair. He still endorses the war.

Originally left-handed, Andrei had to learn to depend on his right. Although a microprocessor moves the fingers on his prosthetic arm, it has a simple mechanical elbow, so he can hold a glass but cannot lift one to his lips.

“It is not a comfortable thing, to be honest,” he said.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, February 16, 2024 6:01 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Russians signing military contracts sell their souls cheap:

Russian officials continue efforts to use benefits to incentivize Russians to sign military contracts. Russian opposition outlet SOTA reported on February 15 that Chairman of the State Duma Committee on Defense Andrei Kartapolov and Russian State Duma deputies Vasily Piskarev and Sergei Neverov introduced a bill to write off debts of Russian personnel who are receiving certain categories of disability benefits.[83] Rostov Oblast Governor Vasily Golubev stated on February 15 that Russian officials will increase the one-time signing bonus for Russian contract soldiers from 200,000 rubles ($2,168) to 500,000 rubles ($5,420) in Rostov Oblast.[84]

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campai
gn-assessment-february-15-2024

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, February 16, 2024 6:14 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


60-year-old Russian T-62 tanks in Ukraine. Via social media

With its economy on a war footing and mothballed factories coming back online, Russia now is generating around 4,500 armored vehicles a year for its 470,000-person invasion force in Ukraine.

That’s one finding of a new study from the Royal United Services Institute in London.

4,500 vehicles a year isn’t quite enough vehicles to make good the 10,000 or so tanks, fighting vehicles and armored personnel carriers that, according to the analysts at Oryx, Russia has lost in the first two years of its wider war on Ukraine.

But it’s close. And it’s for that reason the Kremlin “believes that it can sustain the current rate of attrition through 2025,” RUSI analysts Jack Watling and Nick Reynolds wrote.

The catch is that, according to Watling and Reynolds, 80 percent of those 4,500 vehicles the Russians generate every year aren’t new vehicles. They’re “refurbished and modernized from Russian war stocks.”

And those stocks, once bursting with leftover Cold War-vintage vehicles, are finite. “The number of systems held in storage means that while Russia can maintain a consistent output through 2024, it will begin to find that vehicles require deeper refurbishment through 2025,” the RUSI analysts wrote.

“By 2026 it will have exhausted most of the available stocks,” they continued.

RUSI’s conclusions are consistent with the conclusions of a recent report from the Estonian defense ministry. In Russia, “production of new equipment is largely giving way to refurbishing equipment from the long-term storage,” the ministry found.

Old war stocks could hold up “for several more years,” the Estonians concluded. Open-source analysts, who scour satellite imagery to count active, destroyed and stored armored vehicles, posit trends that point to Russia’s vehicle reserves running out in 2025 or 2026.

Russia can shift more resources into producing new vehicles, of course. But where refurbishing a vehicles mostly requires a little metalwork, an engine overhaul, replacement of radios and—if the crews are lucky—a few modest upgrades to the optics and armor, from-scratch production is much more labor- and resource intensive.

For the Russians, “significantly improving production quality under international sanctions is likely unrealistic even in the medium term,” the Estonian defense ministry explained. Sanctions “have limited the Russian [military-industrial complex]’s access to high-quality components, especially machine tools, production lines and factory equipment.”

Yes, Russian can import more machinery from China, but Chinese tools might not be as good—or even as available—as the best German tools. “In the short term, the MIC is likely incapable of significantly expanding the production of new armored vehicles.”

“This will necessarily mean a significant decrease in vehicles delivered to the military,” Watling and Reynolds wrote. But not until the old war reserves run out, potentially in a couple of years.

If Russia intends to fight the way it’s been fighting, with large mechanized forces in the lead, there is—barring major industrial surprises—a ticking clock that’s counting down to the day when the Kremlin spends its existing combat power ... and can’t replace it.

Ukraine could aim to outlast Russia. But Ukrainian industry is far more constrained than Russian industry is, so Ukraine depends more on its allies than Russia does.

All that is to say, Ukraine can win a grinding war of attrition, but only with help. “If Ukraine's partners continue to provide sufficient ammunition and training support to the [armed forces of Ukraine] to enable the blunting of Russian attacks in 2024, then Russia is unlikely to achieve significant gains in 2025,” the RUSI analysts wrote.

And “if Russia lacks the prospect of gains in 2025, given its inability to improve force quality for offensive operations, then it follows that it will struggle to force Kyiv to capitulate by 2026,” the analysts added.

“Beyond 2026, attrition of systems will begin to materially degrade Russian combat power, while Russian industry could be disrupted sufficiently by that point, making Russia's prospects decline over time.”

The problem for Ukraine, of course, is that its biggest ally—the United States—hasn’t provided any fresh aid in nearly two months. Russia-aligned Republicans in the U.S. Congress have refused to vote on additional aid, and there’s no sign they might relent.

So Ukrainian troops must hold out, and attrit Russian forces, for another two years with only their poorer European allies to sustain them.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/02/15/how-to-outfight-russi
a-destroy-at-least-4500-armored-vehicles-a-year-for-two-years-and-do-it-without-american-help/?sh=7ddc55ef41df

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, February 16, 2024 6:29 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Nato members are sounding the alarm on Russia’s aggressive posture

Feb 15, 2024 | https://www.ft.com/content/83f8a7e9-dd41-4976-be39-cfd2c9b3a899

Denmark’s defence minister Troels Lund Poulsen said last week that Russia could test Nato’s mutual defence clause “within a three to five-year period”. That followed similar warnings from colleagues from Sweden, the UK, Romania, Germany and senior officials at Nato itself since the start of the year.

“We’re going to have to get used to the idea that it’s realistic that [Russian President Vladimir] Putin will [attack a Nato country within 5-8 years],” said Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann, chair of the Bundestag defence committee. “The man is driven by a kind of imperialism we never believed could exist in the 21st century.”

“It is a credible threat, and we need to be prepared for that,” said one senior Nato diplomat of the warnings of a potential Russian attack on an alliance member. “I do not find such predictions fantasy . . . We do not have the luxury to think that Russia would stop in Ukraine.”

One senior European official went as far as saying that Russia’s “intent and capability” to attack a Nato country before the end of the decade was “pretty much consensus” within the US-led military alliance. “Opportunity is the only variable,” the official said.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, February 16, 2024 6:37 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Three Million Shells. That’s How Much More Artillery Ammo Russia Thinks It Needs To Defeat Ukraine.

By David Axe | Feb 15, 2024, 06:32pm EST

https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2024/02/15/three-million-shells-
thats-how-much-more-artillery-ammo-russia-thinks-it-needs-to-defeat-ukraine/?sh=6300a415a5b3

15,000 shells per day. That’s how much artillery ammunition the Kremlin believes it needs to blast Ukrainian forces into surrender and win the war in Ukraine in 2025.

That’s 5,000 more shells than Russian batteries currently are firing every day in Ukraine—and 9,000 more shells than Russian industry produces every day.

To make up the shortfall, the Kremlin has two options, neither without its limits. One, it can try to restore some of the roughly three million old shells that still are sitting in long-term storage in Russia.

Two, it can try to secure additional shipments from Iran and, more importantly, North Korea—on top of the two million or more shells Russia already has acquired from those countries.

It’s all easier said than done, and Russian forces face “a significant shortfall” of their main 152-millimeter shells next year, according to a new report from the Royal United Services Institute in London.

The Russian army’s thousands of howitzers fired with abandon in the early months of Russia’s wider war on Ukraine beginning in February 2022. According to the Estonian defense ministry, Russian batteries initially fired as many as 60,000 shells per day.

That incredible sustained barrage quickly burned through millions of rounds in just a few months, more or less consuming every 122-millimeter and 152-millimeter round Russian forces had on hand before the war.

Eighteen months later in late 2023, the Russians were shooting just 10,000 shells a day—and the Ukrainians, flush with a million South Korean shells the Americans had bought for them, roughly matched that firing rate.

Before 2022, Russian industry was capable of producing, or generating from war reserves, just 400,000 shells per year, according to the Estonian defense ministry. As old shells run out, the Russians must compensate by building more new shells.

And they are. Two years of investment, which has contributed to the doubling or tripling of the share of its national wealth Russian spends on its armed force, has expanded annual artillery production to 2.1 million 122-millimeter and 152-millimter shells.

But that’s less than half of the 5.6 million shells that, according to RUSI, Russian officials believe they need to sustain a winning strategy in Ukraine through this year and into next.

There may be another three million old shells in storage in Russia, but “much of this is in poor condition,” RUSI analysts Jack Watling and Nick Reynolds wrote.

Do Iran and North Korea have another few million shells they’re willing to part with? Can Russia afford the multi-billion-dollar price? It’s unclear.

If there’s any comfort for the Russians in this dire projection, it’s that the Ukrainians are struggling even more to supply their biggest guns. In particular, they must find some way to make up for the abrupt end of U.S. aid to Ukraine late last year.

The Americans were the Ukrainians’ biggest supplies of artillery, donating around two million shells in the first 18 months of the war. But then, last fall, Russia-aligned Republicans in the U.S. Congress blocked further aid to Ukraine.

Ukrainian batteries went from firing 10,000 shells a day to firing just 2,000 or so.

The U.S. Army had been counting on U.S. aid to Ukraine to pay for a huge expansion of its main ammo plant in Texas—an expansion that would have increased output to 1.2 million shells a year.

Now that expansion is in doubt. And even if it proceeds, the shells the Army produces in Texas won’t be going to Ukraine. Not unless, and until, Republicans finally agree to vote on aid.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, February 16, 2024 9:52 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


‘Serious questions’ for Russia: World leaders react with horror to reports of Putin critic Navalny’s death

Published Fri, Feb 16 2024, 9:26 AM EST

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/16/world-leaders-react-to-reports-of-puti
n-critic-navalnys-death.html

“Whatever story they tell, let us be clear, Russia is responsible, and we will have more to say on this later,” U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris told the Munich Security Conference on Friday.

The number is now 62 million Russians plus one more Russian murdered by Russians. Putin is sending a message to the world that there is no alternative to his rule. Navalny will not be in line to eventually replace Putin, who wins by a landslide in the March election.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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