Russia Invades Ukraine. Again by captaincrunch

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Russia Invades Ukraine. Again

POSTED BY: CAPTAINCRUNCH
UPDATED: Monday, June 8, 2026 08:10
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PAGE 208 of 208

Saturday, June 6, 2026 9:06 PM

THG

Keep it real please, and use a VPN

The Future of Drone Tech: Long-Range Strikes

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Saturday, June 6, 2026 9:10 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Maybe gay boy will get lucky and he'll be right on this one. The only thing he's been right about in the last 5 years is that your stupid EVs weren't going to become a thing.

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Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 5:39 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

NATO allies weigh new €70B military aid pledge for Ukraine

Allies are currently discussing the new funding target, which would be announced as part of NATO’s Ankara summit next month.

https://www.politico.eu/article/nato-allies-weigh-new-e70b-military-ai
d-pledge-for-ukraine/

Allies are scrambling to shore up support for Ukraine more than four years into Russia’s full-scale invasion. The debate has gained fresh urgency as many experts say Kyiv is tilting the balance of the war in its favor.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 5:53 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Weekend Update #188: Ukraine Reaches Out And Touches Putin--Twice

Trump Is Helping Putin As Much As He Can

Phillips P. OBrien
Jun 07, 2026

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/weekend-update-188-ukraine-reac
hes

The other major story of the week revolves around the ever closer relationship between the US government and Russia. Though there was a great deal of comment about the vote in the US House on aid to Ukraine, this sadly is a non-event for now. The real story is how the Trump administration is reaching out to Putin more and more.

. . . Now this year’s forum [St Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF)] was shaping up to be a truly weird one. On the one hand, world leaders were shunning the event. Only two eventually joined Putin on stage, the presidents of Uzbekistan and Tanzania. On the other hand, the Trump administration in its continuing efforts to reach out to Putin, sent a delegation led by Rodney Mims Cook Jr. who serves as the Chairman of the U.S. Commission of Fine Arts and might best be described as a cut-price Albert Speer. He is one of the leading supporters of Trump’s hideous architectural plans which are threatening to deface Washington DC. This included the ludicrously grandiose new Ballroom and the proposed new victory arch, a favored memorial of empires throughout history.

There were other Americans at the SPIEF as well this year, such as fruitcake Candace Owens and alleged rapist Andrew Tate, so Trump was indeed represented officially and unofficially.

. . . Final point that needs to be understood by looking at the effectiveness of these Ukrainian long-range strike attacks is that the Ukrainians could have hit the Victory Day Parade, or at least major strategic targets in Moscow, on May 9. They have that ability now and Putin was wise to have Trump beg the Ukrainians not to attack. If the war is on next year the odds against any parade happening are rather high.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 6:47 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

“We consider it a good one”: Russian report outlines nuclear option if Ukraine conflict continues unchanged

By Jens Asbjørn Bøgen • June 4, 2026

https://www.dagens.com/war/we-consider-it-a-good-one-russian-report-ou
tlines-nuclear-option-if-ukraine-conflict-continues-unchanged

The report outlined a good, a bad, and a continued path for Russia’s future.

Two prominent Russian hardliners presented several future paths for the country at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, also known as “Putin’s Davos.”

According to the Russian business newspaper Kommersant, the presentation was made by Russian oligarch Konstantin Malofeev, known for his affiliation with the Kremlin, and Alexander Dugin, an ultranationalist philosopher and ideologue known as “Putin’s brain” because of his influence on the Russian leader.

Before starting the presentation, Malofeev stated that “this is a scientific report prepared by a whole group of experts.” He then started the slideshow, which outlined a good, a bad, and a continued path for Russia’s future.

And one of the paths included a nuclear strike within the next decade.

A dangerous trajectory

The continuing path focused on what happens if the war in Ukraine simply keeps going at its current pace until 2036.

The outlook for this continuing track is explosive. According to the presentation slides, if the battlefield situation remains stuck in its current rut, Russia will ultimately use nuclear weapons.

“We don’t consider the use of nuclear weapons a ‘slow-fire’ scenario; we consider it a good one,” Malofeev declared.

The “good” and the “bad” scenarios

In the good scenario outlined in the presentation, Russia will have occupied most of Ukraine, including Kyiv, Odesa, and Kharkiv, by 2036.

This scenario also includes the collapse of the European Union.

The “bad” scenario outlined a Russian military defeat in Ukraine, which, according to the presentation, would lead to the “colonization of Russia” by 2050.
Walking a tightrope

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) suggests in its June 3 update on the war that these extreme ideas may actually serve a political purpose for the current government.

By allowing hardliners to voice such radical outcomes, the Kremlin can make President Vladimir Putin appear calm and moderate by comparison.

However, the think tank also suggests that the Russian government must walk a fine line. Putin relies heavily on the backing of these passionate hardliners to sustain the war effort. He cannot simply dismiss their radical demands without risking their crucial support.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 2:14 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.

Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

The Future of Drone Tech: Long-Range Strikes

There's a name for long- range drones. They're called missiles.

Here's the problem: the longer the range, the greater the fuel requirement, and the smaller the expolsive payload.

Really long range, loitering drones are useful for reconnaissance. Armed long range drones might be useful for small targets or assassinations,

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 3:04 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Quote:
Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:
Originally posted by THG:

The Future of Drone Tech: Long-Range Strikes

There's a name for long- range drones. They're called missiles.

Here's the problem: the longer the range, the greater the fuel requirement, and the smaller the expolsive payload.

Really long range, loitering drones are useful for reconnaissance. Armed long range drones might be useful for small targets or assassinations,

The FP-1 is NOT a missile. It is an airplane, with wings and a propeller and an internal combustion engine which breathes air, but is still long-range:

Ukraine’s drones got bigger warheads. A Russian corvette in the Baltic just found out.

The Fire Point FP-1 that struck Boikiy at Kronstadt on 3 June crossed 1,100 km to get there — and arrived with a heavier warhead than the model that started Ukraine’s deep-strike campaign.

By David Axe

06/06/2026

https://euromaidanpress.com/2026/06/06/fp-1-anti-ship/

The Fire Point FP-1 drone hit the corvette Boikiy. Overhead satellite imagery confirmed the strike, and a video from the adjacent pier made clear how bad the damage is. The 105-m corvette, one of the Baltic Fleet's frontline warships, "burned for hours," Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty reporter Mark Krutov noted.

The FP-1's design explains the heavy damage. "It seems that drone was carrying quite a substantial payload," Krutov mused.

It's true. Ukrainian drone-maker Fire Point has been tweaking the propeller-driven FP-1 to increase its explosive firepower, finally addressing a longstanding problem with Ukraine's deep strike drones. Fire Point claimed it produces 300 of the $50,000 FP-1s and similar FP-2s every day.

The first version of the FP-1 flew 1,000 km but, like many Ukrainian drones, carried a fairly small warhead weighing just 60 kg. The earliest FP-2s traded away fuel for explosive payload and thus struck with a 105-kg warhead, albeit at much shorter range.

It wasn't enough firepower to destroy the toughest targets. Ukrainian analysis group Frontelligence Insight blamed the "relatively small warhead size of certain Ukrainian drones" for the limited damage Ukrainian strikes inflicted on Russian refineries in 2024.

It was a serious problem but an understandable one. Ukrainian drone developers were focused on boosting the range of their drones in order to inflict some damage, even if modest, on the most distant Russian targets. "Given the long distances these drones must travel, increasing their warhead size would require adjustments to weight, fuel capacity and overall design," Frontelligence Insight explained.

With time, developers found a way to add firepower without sacrificing range. In March, Fire Point co-founder Denys Shtilerman told Army TV that the company had redesigned the FP-1 and FP-2, adding fuel tanks inside the wings in order to free up space for bigger warheads.

Now the FP-1 can strike with a 105-kg warhead. The short-range FP-2 now packs an impressive 158-kg warhead. It's not clear which variant hit Boikiy, but the heavier payload is consistent with the damage.

The FP-1 and FP-2 carry an OFB-60-type blast-fragmentation warhead, with a TNT main charge boosted by the more powerful OKFOL explosive. The combination delivers heavy fragmentation and blast effects on impact — designed to start fires and damage internal systems rather than punch cleanly through armor.

That's well-suited to anti-ship strikes. Modern warships aren't normally heavily armored above the waterline, and a blast-fragmentation warhead that ignites cable routes, ventilation channels, and the spaces between decks can do as much damage through the fire it starts as through the initial explosion.

Ukrainian defense outlet Defense Express, analyzing the strike, argued that the post-strike fire likely did more damage to the corvette than the warhead itself. Naval fires spread through cable runs, ventilation shafts, and the spaces between decks — reaching equipment well beyond the impact point. And in a dry dock, with watertight doors propped open for maintenance and automatic firefighting systems offline, the fire spreads further than it would at sea.

It's not clear that the drone that hit Boikiy inflicted maximal damage. But it inflicted enough to take the ship out of commission, possibly for good — and to demonstrate that the Baltic Fleet's home port is no longer beyond reach.

Fire Point FP-1 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fire_Point_FP-1

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 5:27 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Maybe gay boy will get lucky and he'll be right on this one. The only thing he's been right about in the last 5 years is that your stupid EVs weren't going to become a thing.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

No reply to that one by either of you fags, huh?

C'mon, Second.

You spent two years insulting me over this issue.

How's that piece of shit Ford 150 Lightning treating you these days? I don't hear you talking much about it anymore.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 9:01 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Angry poor white trash and Russians don't buy EVs because trash mechanics can't reliably troubleshoot fuel injection. They barely understand carburetors. And certainly not EVs. But the car industry, except in the US and Russia, has adapted to change.

Global electric vehicle (EV) sales, which include both battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrids (PHEVs), exceeded 20 million units in 2025, representing roughly 25% of all new cars sold worldwide.

Industry trackers report the full-year totals as follows:

• Total Sales: Ranged between 20.7 million and 21.6 million units, representing a 20% growth over 2024.

• China: The dominant market with roughly 12.9 to 13 million units sold, accounting for over 60% of global volume.

• Europe: Approximately 4.3 million units sold, driven by a 33% increase in the market.

• North America: North American sales were sluggish at 1.8 million (down roughly 4%).

• Rest of World: While other emerging markets surged by over 40%.

How stupid are Russians? Electric vehicle (EV) sales in Russia are relatively small, totaling roughly 11,200 units across the year 2025, experiencing a slowdown of about 31% compared to the previous year. Overall, EVs make up less than 1% of the total Russian auto market, with the segment heavily dominated by domestic brands and Chinese imports.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Sunday, June 7, 2026 9:45 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Don't care about your numbers dude. Whether or not they're fake, they don't even begin to tell the whole picture.

They sold a bunch of shitty, underperforming cars that cost twice as much to insure as a regular car does. Nobody ever bothered building any new charging stations across the nation even though billions were spent on it. When the battery goes, that'll be $25,000 or more to replace.

And there's soon to be ZERO secondhand market. Zero.

Once the people who are left holding the bag when the car dies and is barely a decade old realize how badly they fucked themselves over, they will tell everyone they know about that. And nobody is going to be buying used EVs again once that starts to happen.

People are stupid. People are trendy. Buying EVs for most of these people wasn't any different than women buying ridiculously large Stanley cups because some dipshit influencers on the internet told them to buy it.

For everybody else NOT getting paid to shill all this shit, there's nothing but a lot of regrets over their vehicle purchase.

--------------------------------------------------

Those who dance always seem crazy to those who can't hear the music.

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Monday, June 8, 2026 7:19 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

Ukraine Is Not Losing. Russia Is Not Winning.

A momentum shift that changes everything

By Anne Applebaum | June 7, 2026, 8 AM ET

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/06/ukraine-war-momentum-shift/6
87444/

In a field outside of Kyiv last weekend, a van was parked discreetly behind some trees. Inside the van there were no passenger seats, just a long desk, two office chairs, two laptops, extra screens. Outside appearances to the contrary, this was a mobile drone-interceptor base, one of hundreds of similar vehicles now scattered around Ukraine. It’s also part of something much bigger: a set of technological advances that have changed the war with Russia, and maybe all wars, forever.

On one of the laptops, a soldier showed me a bird’s-eye view of a part of the Ukrainian countryside more than 100 miles away. His job is to identify the objects flying above it, to distinguish birds and bats from lethal Russian drones. When he sees the latter, the soldier on the laptop beside him can then direct an interceptor—a small drone that looks like a miniature rocket ship—to track and destroy the incoming Russian aerial vehicles before they hit their targets.

At first glance, the images on the screens look simple, like a video game. But this is not a low-tech operation. The AI-powered drone interceptors are made possible by a complicated network of radar systems, acoustic sensors, and other tools that hundreds of large and small Ukrainian tech companies are creating and updating every day, using data they get directly from soldiers like the ones I met. Almost none of these companies existed four years ago. They have emerged from a tech-literate civil society whose members changed their professions or their focus to help defend their country. I have met Ukrainian defense-company CEOs who come from financial services, architecture, politics. I met another one last weekend who had returned just that day from the front line. He told me he finds it useful to learn how soldiers are using his products, and how they might be improved.

Other kinds of teams across the country are connected to this constantly improving information system too, and not just in vans. Last year I was in an underground room in Ukraine where dozens of people were monitoring hundreds of miles of the front line on a series of screens. The Ukrainian defense analyst Andriy Zagorodnyuk calls this system of drones, monitors, AI-powered navigation, battle-tested robots, and interconnected soldiers “networked situational awareness,” and it explains why perceptions of this war have suddenly changed.

Ukrainian military technology has been evolving rapidly since the first years of the war. But only now are outsiders—in Europe, the United States, the Persian Gulf, and of course Russia—beginning to understand what that evolution means. Since 2022, many public arguments about the war, even in Europe and the U.S., have adopted the narrative put out by Russian propaganda, tacitly assuming that Ukraine, outmanned and outgunned, would eventually lose. Helping Ukraine was a way to stave off disaster, nothing more. When the Trump administration stopped sending military and financial aid to Kyiv in 2025, some in Washington expected (and maybe wanted) the end to come quickly.

Instead, Europeans have provided money. Ukrainian society produced networked situational awareness. And when Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky toured the Gulf states in late March and signed a series of security agreements, something changed in the international narrative. The leaders of Qatar, the United Arab Emirates, and Saudi Arabia were talking to Ukraine, not because they felt sorry for a war victim, but because they wanted to acquire drone interceptors like the ones I saw in action last weekend. Iranians use the same drone technology as the Russians, and the Ukrainians know better than anyone how to fight it.

The Gulf leaders are not alone: Suddenly, many people have understood that the Russian narrative is wrong: The Ukrainians are not losing. The Russians are not winning, and more important, they don’t know how to win. Ukrainians and outside analysts have described this dynamic in three main theaters of the war.

1) The ground war. If the story of the past two years was one of slow, grinding forward progress for Russia, the story of this year is very different. Since early spring, at the start of its annual offensive, Russia has lost more territory in Ukraine than it has gained. Right now, it is hard to see how the Russian army can move forward, because the front line is not a line at all, but rather a broad no-go zone, some 20 miles wide. Everything inside this zone is visible to drones, which means that any Russian truck, tank, or infantryman seeking to attack new territory is instantly identified and can easily be hit. Because the Russian commanders keep attacking anyway, the Ukrainians are killing and wounding thousands of enemy soldiers, perhaps as many as 30,000, every month. They say their goal is to remove more Russians from the battlefield than can be recruited to replace them, and they may be close to succeeding.

2) The long-range war. Although they are unable to move the front line, Russians can still use drones and missiles to kill civilians and destroy civilian infrastructure in Ukrainian cities, as they did once again this week. Indeed, Russian President Vladimir Putin’s appetite for this kind of attack is escalating, as he has no other practical way to damage Ukraine. He also knows that the Ukrainians don’t have enough air defense to stop ballistic missiles, even if they can now stop the majority of drones. Ukraine still relies heavily on air-defense equipment from the United States, especially ammunition for Patriot batteries. A European fund was set up to purchase these interceptor missiles, although some observers fear that there are simply not enough to buy. According to Zelensky, more Patriots were used during the first three days of the U.S.-Iran conflict than have been used during the entire Russia-Ukraine war.

What Putin doesn’t acknowledge is that his side is running out of air defense, too. That has helped Ukraine’s long-range drones more reliably target Russian oil and gas infrastructure, producing spectacular explosions and reducing Russian refining capacity by at least 20 percent. Almost all major oil refineries in central Russia ?have halted or scaled back production, and some have been hit more than once.

With equal regularity, a new crop of Ukrainian drones with a range of 100 miles can target arms depots, logistical centers, and supply chains far behind the front line in Russian-occupied territories. These strikes are less spectacular than ones deep inside Russia, but they have already created crucial fuel shortages on the Crimean peninsula, and they are making it difficult for the Russians to supply their troops fighting in the East and the South.

3) The psychological war. For the past four years, the Kremlin has repeatedly told the Russian public that the war is going well, that Ukraine isn’t a real country, that victory is certain. But that’s hard to square with the panic that took hold of Moscow last month, when an annual military parade was shortened for fear it would be interrupted by Ukrainian drones. Nor does it square with the spectacular columns of black smoke that were billowing into the air on Wednesday morning, after Ukrainian drones hit a local refinery on the opening day of the Kremlin’s annual St. Petersburg economic forum. Kyrill Budanov, the former defense-intelligence chief who is now head of the Ukrainian president’s office, told me there is a lot of evidence that Russians are now finally facing the up to the falsehood of state propaganda: “They cannot understand why they have to keep fighting and why they are getting hit now, because they were told they were going to win and Ukraine is nothing.”

Not everybody thinks this means the war will end soon. One young woman, a Ukrainian civil servant, told me last weekend that she and her friends have already given up on the idea that they will ever live in a “normal” country again, because the war will last forever. She reminisced about a flight she and some friends took to Barcelona, before the war: “That beautiful life will never return.”

But there are signs that some in Moscow, at least, are preparing for the war to end. Recently, a set of slides leaked from the office of Sergei Kiryienko, a former Russian prime minister and now a senior official in Putin’s administration. They describe a plan to sell the end of the war to the country: declare victory, describe the Russian army as “the most combat-ready in the world,” portray small territorial gains as a huge success, claim that Europe suffered a huge economic blow, from which it will not recover, and that Ukraine will soon fall apart. Budanov believes that the Kremlin’s decision to cut off Telegram, the social-media platform most widely used in Russia, was a preemptive move, designed to prepare for this kind of narrative change, “so that when the time comes, they have only one official position and nothing else but that.”

Budanov also continues to believe that the negotiations started by the Trump administration could produce a cease-fire, along the current front line, as early as this year. “And then we will start resolving the other issues we have.” On Thursday, Zelensky wrote a letter directly to Putin proposing exactly that: an immediate cease-fire, accompanied by face-to-face negotiations between the two leaders. Putin publicly dismissed the idea, saying he sees “no point” in a meeting.

Russia still has other options. The Russian president, who has never acknowledged that Ukraine is a legitimate country, or that Zelensky is its legitimate president, could continue to bomb Ukrainian cities, hoping to destroy the electrical grid and make the country unlivable. He could call for mass mobilization, and continue trying to overwhelm Ukraine’s defenses, sacrificing thousands of lives. Some fear he could use this moment to widen the conflict and to attack a NATO country, possibly to test American willingness to defend allies. A Latvian general this week said that even if Russian drones can’t win in Ukraine, they have an advantage over NATO defenses that have yet to catch up with the fast-evolving technology.

Even without negotiations, Russia and Ukraine may be heading toward a new status quo. The transparent frontline zone may now be 20 miles wide, but as drone technology improves, it could soon be 30 or even 40 miles wide. At some point the front line will become not just a no-man’s-land but a de facto demilitarized zone, similar to the one that separates North and South Korea, regularly patrolled and maintained by drones.

After that, it could become a border—a temporary border, one that will not be recognized by either side—but a border nevertheless: no different from a river or mountain range, impossible to move, difficult to cross. This would not be a clear victory for Ukraine, but it would be a major defeat for Putin, whose central goal—the destruction of all of Ukraine, the removal of Ukraine from the map—would never be realized.
_________________________________

Anne Applebaum is a staff writer at The Atlantic. She is also a senior fellow at the SNF Agora Institute at Johns Hopkins University and the School of Advanced International Studies. Her books include Red Famine: Stalin’s War on Ukraine; Iron Curtain: The Crushing of Eastern Europe 1944–1956; and Gulag: A History, which won the 2004 Pulitzer Prize for General Nonfiction. Her most recent books include the New York Times best sellers Twilight of Democracy and Autocracy, Inc: The Dictators Who Want to Run the World.

Download these books for free from https://annas-archive.gl/search?q=Anne+Applebaum

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Monday, June 8, 2026 8:10 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

ANALYSIS: Russia’s Air Defense Problems Are Growing

Moscow did not expect such a war at the start of the full-scale invasion. Now many Russians have gone into panic mode as they watch Ukrainian drones hit targets in Russia almost at will. It seems the tables have turned and Moscow is now on the back foot, forced to adapt to how Ukrainians have managed to scale up quantities of relatively cheap drones to inflict heavy damage on Russia’s air defense capabilities.

By David Kirichenko

June 8, 2026, 1:38 pm

https://www.kyivpost.com/analysis/77743

The roads to Crimea are beginning to tell the story of Russia’s defensive dilemma. Burned trucks, stranded convoys and air defense systems hit while being transported suggest that Ukraine’s drone war is reaching deeper into the logistical arteries that sustain Russia’s occupation.

. . . while Moscow focused on offense, Ukraine was forced into defensive adaptation, building layered drone defenses that gradually evolved into an offensive drone campaign of its own. Russia, by contrast, invested far less in cheap drone interception, continuing to rely heavily on expensive surface-to-air missiles that Russian milbloggers increasingly warn are in short supply.

“With its dwindling stocks of these expensive assets, Russia has little choice but to develop and rush new interceptors into service,” said open-source analyst Roy Gardiner . . .

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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