REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Russia Invades Ukraine. Again

POSTED BY: CAPTAINCRUNCH
UPDATED: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 14:05
SHORT URL:
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PAGE 185 of 185

Wednesday, October 29, 2025 8:37 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Ukraine and Sweden agreed to localize the production of Gripen fighters on Ukrainian territory.

The CEO of the Swedish arms company Saab Mikael Johansson told the newspaper Financial Time that within the framework of a potential contract for the supply of up to 150 Gripen fighters, has a strategy to open a plant in Ukraine where they will be assembled.

Training: Pilots with experience can master the "Gripen" in six months, while training on F-16 lasts 1.5 years.

28 October 2025

https://suspilne.media/1149794-ukraina-lokalizue-virobnictvo-sveckih-v
inisuvaciv-zelenskij
/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 8:39 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


'They’re always moving forward' — Russian troops overrun Kupiansk

By Francis Farrell | October 28, 2025 6:08 PM

https://kyivindependent.com/russian-troops-back-in-central-kupiansk-kh
arkiv-oblasts-once-liberated-city
/

"Artillery ammunition is not cheap, and it can be a waste on two or three people," he said, "so we decided not to spend money on ammunition as much, so that we would have more of it and could use it more effectively."

"In cases like this, the reconnaissance group detects the enemy's movements, and the bombers destroy the enemy for pennies."

The decision has paid off: since forming, the group has killed over 530 Russian soldiers, with more wounded, according to the commander.

Hearing the propellers of his hunter above, the soldier runs for the bushes, where the falling autumn leaves are providing less cover with every passing week.

The Russian infantryman continues scrambling through the bushes: a fatal mistake when the pilot is scanning for any sign of movement in the scratchy camera feed.

After a patient pursuit of a few minutes, the pilot locks onto his target, the payload is dropped, and the Russian soldier's journey to Kupiansk is cut short for good.

"He had his fill of apples," Mazhor said laconically as the camera zooms out and the drone returns for a battery change. One more is added to the tally that day.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 9:10 AM

THG

Keep it real please


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
Quote:

Originally posted by THG:

Agreed SECOND, agreed.



I wonder if Second is aware that you insulted him and called me "as bad as Second" when trying to manipulate Sigs in the other thread tonight?

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=62424&mid=1
232486#1232486


Quote:

It's Jack, being Jack, as Jack has made himself: a second SECOND. A self-justified pumped-up hater, laser focused on attacking people who merely disagree.









That's both sad and funny. All SECOND has to do is go to the garden thread and he'll see what you claim is a lie. You are quoting kiki talking about you and comparing you to SECOND. And your link brings him right to that exact post.

Jack, you are a pussy and liar. Point to the guy who has a boyfriend and takes it up the ass Gilligan. Yup, we all know that.

T


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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 2:51 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by THG:

Jack, you are a pussy and liar. Point to the guy who has a boyfriend and takes it up the ass Gilligan. Yup, we all know that.

T


6ixStringJack isn't exceptional for a semi-human. All the Trumptards I know, thousands of them, have similarly flawed minds. You can tell they are not human, but neither are Trump nor Putin.

Did you know that Putin is, once again, threatening to nuke the West because it is preventing him from raping the Ukrainians to death? Here is today's story showing how absolutely evil Putin is:

Russia Claims Poseidon Nuclear Torpedo ‘Can Disable Entire States’

By Amanda Castro | Oct 29, 2025 at 11:03 AM EDT

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-tests-poseidon-nuclear-torpedo-putin-1
0957717


6ix is #RootinForPutin, letting everyone know he is evil.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 4:29 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Putin's "invincible weapon" threats are an attempt at psychological pressure on the West

By Kateryna Tyshchenko | 29 October, 17:40

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/10/29/8004988/

The Centre for Countering Disinformation (CCD) under Ukraine's National Security and Defence Council (NSDC) has assessed statements by Russian leader Vladimir Putin about testing the nuclear-powered submarine complex Poseidon and the Burevestnik missile as an attempt to exert psychological pressure on the West.

Source: Centre for Countering Disinformation
https://cpd.gov.ua/international-direction/yevropa/putin-vkotre-namaga
yetsya-zalyakaty-svit-analogovnyetnoyu-zbroyeyu
/

Details: The CCD drew attention to the fact that Putin's claims about new "state-of-the-art" weapons emerged immediately after the United States introduced new sanctions against Russia's Rosneft and Lukoil companies.

Quote: "Putin's scare stories about his 'invincible' weapons are an attempt to put psychological pressure on the West. Moscow is trying to intimidate Ukraine's allies, particularly the US, to slow down military assistance and force the world to accept conditions for ending the war that favour Russia.

The sanctions have cornered Putin to such an extent that he's now recalling every Soviet and Russian missile, trying to frighten the world with nuclear weapons that Russia still wouldn't be able to use."

Details: The CCD emphasised that the Kremlin's threats are a reaction to growing isolation, economic pressure, and fear of the inevitable consequences of its own aggression.

Previously: On 29 October, Putin boasted to Russian forces that Russia had conducted tests of the Poseidon underwater complex, allegedly equipped with a nuclear power unit and supposedly impossible to intercept, claiming it has "no analogues in the world".

Background:

On 26 October, Putin held a meeting with Chief of Russia's General Staff Valery Gerasimov on tests of the Burevestnik cruise missile with a nuclear power unit. He claimed the tests "once again confirmed the reliability of Russia's nuclear shield" and said that the Burevestnik is a "unique weapon that no one else in the world has".

Putin's statement on missile testing came as US President Donald Trump announced sanctions against Russian oil companies Rosneft and Lukoil. The US president also cancelled a planned meeting with Putin in Budapest.

On 23 October, the European Union approved its 19th package of sanctions against Russia.

Back in 2022, Putin had ordered that Sarmat intercontinental missiles be put on combat duty, though media outlets reported five failed launches.

Just weeks before the US presidential election, Putin amended Russia's nuclear doctrine in an attempt to intimidate the West amid discussions of authorising long-range strikes on Russian territory.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 4:32 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR, here's your chance to redeem yourself: Further update on what's really happening on the front line:



Quote:


Originally posted by THG:
They've gone nowhere. They were supposed to win the war within a week.

SIGNY:
Says who?
Not the Russians.

Do you know what the Russians want?
No, of course not, so here goes...

THGR:
Let me repeat my irrelevant points that you already responded to, SIGNY. Follow the link I provided that shows all Russia's progress since 2014. It's a video that shows the front lines shifting around. After 2022 you'll see very little advancement by the Russians. They've even lost some territory as they go back and forth with the Ukrainians.

Now, I deleted the rest of your post because the agreement was, I would respond to your video. I did that.

SIGNY:
No, you did not. You haven't even watched it.
If you had, you would have addressed and tried to refute its specific points, instead of posting a garbage piece that's wrong from start to finish.

Your word is shit, just like your formatting.



-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 4:42 PM

THG

Keep it real please


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.






I watched it. Lying is what you do. Now, one of my sources in Russia is talking not just about blackouts, but the Russian population asking for packages of bread with only two to four slices. What are your sources saying? too funny...

tick tock comrade

T


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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 8:13 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR:
I watched it. Lying is what you do.



Yeah.
Drone videos from both sides lie.


You're an idiot.

Quote:


Now, one of my sources in Russia



He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.

When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

Quote:

T: STOP USING MY GIF!
]

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, October 29, 2025 8:18 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


You two fags still fighting the good fight?

You're the only two people in the whole fucking world who care about Ukraine.



--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 8:08 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Short Of Infantry But With Plenty Of Drones, Ukraine Now Fights Better On Open Ground

By David Axe | Oct 29, 2025

https://www.trenchart.us/p/short-of-infantry-but-with-plenty

Drones make cities harder to defend. Drones make open terrain easier to defend.

This new tactical truism is reshaping the battlefield as Russia’s wider war on Ukraine grinds through its 45th month.

“Cities were once the main point of Ukrainian defensive strategy,” French analyst Clément Molin explained. Think Kyiv. Bakhmut. Avdiivka. One of which held. Two of which ultimately fell after long, bloody sieges.

For nearly four years of wider war, the Ukrainians’ impulse has been to fortify the big cities—and hold them for as long as possible. That impulse may no longer be the right one.

Why? Because Russia makes up for certain technological shortfalls by deploying a lot of infantry. Ukraine makes up for a lack of manpower by deploying a lot of drones.

“The overwhelming number of Russian soldiers and the possibility to hide easily from drones inside cities” make a drone-based urban defense “more difficult,” Molin wrote.

Put simply: the Ukrainians’ main assets now work best on open terrain; the Russians’ main assets now work best in built-up areas.

“Paradoxically,” Molin wrote, “it has become easier to defend fields or villages than large cities: fewer soldiers are needed, the Russian infantry is quickly spotted and the increasingly numerous obstacles (ditches, barbed wire) sometimes prevent progress.”

Consider Pokrovsk, the ruined mining city that, for a year, has a been the locus of the fighting in eastern Ukraine. Short thousands of troops, mostly owing to desertion, Ukrainian brigades in Pokrovsk have struggled to maintain a continuous defensive line around the city’s southern edge.

There are just too many approaches to the city along which, with luck and persistence, Russian infantry can slip past Ukrainian drones and widely scattered infantry fighting positions that themselves mostly function as forward observation posts for the drone teams in the rear.

Once the Russians are in the built-up areas, they’re much safer from overhead surveillance and attack. “Russian soldiers often hide for weeks in abandoned houses, basements or high-rise buildings, waiting to go out and engage in street fighting,” Molin noted.

At that point, the Ukrainians must deploy infantry to root out the infiltrators. But the Russians outnumber the Ukrainians four or five to one in and around Pokrovsk. There are too many Russians and too few Ukrainians to prevent every Russian infiltration from becoming a lodgement.

After months of close fighting in Pokrovsk, the situation “is getting catastrophic,” Molin stressed, “since there is a large lack of infantry to track those groups and destroy them.”

Pokrovsk isn’t really a fortress in the conventional sense. Rather, it’s a zone of contested control that, for most of this year, favored the Ukrainians. “New Russian tactics”—the aforementioned infiltration—“gives good coverage but little solid control,” analyst Vitaly explained.

But Russia’s relative abundance of manpower means Russian regiments can keep sending troops into the city. Many die on the way. Others die downtown. But a few survive … and more follow.

Worse for the Ukrainians, the Russians endeavor to surround and cut off the biggest cities at the same time they’re infiltrating them. Early in a campaign, “Russian forces do not attempt to capture urban positions of Ukrainian forces,” analyst Playfra wrote. “Rather, they bypass them and get into their rear, staying there as long as possible and cutting and sabotaging supplies.”

“This eventually makes a frontal assault”—again, “infiltration” is the more accurate term—“possible and much easier than movement around the city through the fields,” Playfra added.

Encirclement and infiltration work together to slowly increase the pressure on the Ukrainian defenders of Pokrovsk or some other city. Eventually, a city becomes indefensible as Russian infiltrators accumulate and resupply becomes harder for the outnumbered Ukrainians.

By contrast, Ukrainian brigades excel at defense on open terrain, where even greatly outnumbered Ukrainian troops can deploy mines, artillery and drones to defeat large forces of Russian infantry or vehicles moving across miles of open ground.

It’s telling that the Russians have succeeded in infiltrating Pokrovsk from the south, but they’ve largely failed to defeat Ukrainian forces holding key villages north of the city—despite the Russians dropping hundreds of glide-bombs and deploying hundreds of carefully stockpiled tanks and infantry fighting vehicles.

“Fields … are easily controlled by Ukrainian drone operators, which can create kill zones where Russian advancement is virtually impossible and remains such for large amounts of time,” Playfra wrote.

As a Ukrainian retreat from Pokrovsk and other largely ruined front-line cities—Myrnohrod, Kostiantynivka and Kupiansk—becomes more likely, we may see a new defensive strategy. One where Ukrainian brigades look for wide open spaces Russian regiments must cross …

And transform those spaces into drone kill zones.

Thanks for reading Trench Art! This post is public so feel free to share it.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 8:11 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Russia threatens to nuke the West

Russian State Duma Defense Committee Deputy Chairperson Alexei Zhuravlyov said on October 29 that Russia can deliver nuclear-capable missiles to “Venezuela or Cuba,” which Zhuravlyov noted are located near Russia’s “main geopolitical adversary” – the United States.[1] Zhuravlyov said that Russia has an “entire range” of missiles at its disposal and will use “what is needed.” Zhuravlyov said that the United States is “not a friend or partner” of Russia but is an “enemy.”[2] Zhuravlyov’s threats are meant to evoke memories of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis as Russian officials have done in the past.[3]

Russian President Vladimir Putin continues to tout new Russian nuclear missiles to threaten the United States. Putin announced on October 29 that Russia tested the Poseidon nuclear-powered unmanned underwater vehicle on October 28 and touted the vehicle’s alleged speed and power.[4] Putin also recalled Russia’s recent test of the Burevestnik missile, which is similarly nuclear-powered and has similar characteristics. Putin’s announcements of even more newly tested nuclear-powered weapons defy US President Donald Trump’s call on October 27 for Putin to focus on ending the war in Ukraine, not testing missiles.[5] Putin is detailing the alleged attributes of the weapons to add weight and urgency to his nuclear threats to enact concessions from the United States on Ukraine. Putin is raising the specter of nuclear war to get Trump and European officials to concede to Russian demands that Russian forces cannot secure on the battlefield.

https://understandingwar.org/research/russia-ukraine/russian-offensive
-campaign-assessment-october-29-2025
/

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 8:35 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


At Least 100 Russian Officers Have Executed Their Own Comrades in Ukraine

Oct 30, 2025

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/10/30/at-least-100-russian-officer
s-have-executed-their-own-comrades-in-ukraine-vyorstka-a90987


Russian commanders have been torturing and executing their own soldiers in Ukraine since the first year of the full-scale invasion, according to an investigation by the exiled news outlet Vyorstka.

What began as punishment for disobedience or drunkenness in the trenches has evolved by late 2025 into killings over extortion disputes or personal conflicts, the report said.

Vyorstka said it collected hundreds of accounts of such executions and identified 101 Russian servicemen accused of carrying them out.

Most of the alleged perpetrators are platoon or battalion commanders and in some cases divisional officers, with an average age just over 40.

Many hold state awards, including five who have received the title Hero of Russia .

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 10:13 AM

THG

Keep it real please


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM

You're an idiot.

Quote:


Now, one of my sources in Russia



He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.

When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

Quote:

T: STOP USING MY GIF!
]






I always say signature not GIF. The way it is here is you created a quote to insert my signature. Leave it alone. Don't even mention it. Just leave it be. I'll be coming to your garden thread now to say hello.

T


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Thursday, October 30, 2025 10:26 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Short Of Infantry But With Plenty Of Drones, Ukraine Now Fights Better On Open Ground

By David Axe | Oct 29, 2025

https://www.trenchart.us/p/short-of-infantry-but-with-plenty



These analysts spent a lot of words trying to justify how open fields favor Ukraine because "drones".

I struggle to understand how that is supposed to work. Let's say you have two forces dispersed on an open battlefield. It seems to me that open fields favor whichever force has the most drones, and- generally speaking- whichever force has the most munitions. And that would be Russia.

As long as Ukrainians are fleeing, they can be scouted from above and destroyed with distance weapons.

The one thing cities are GOOD for, AFA Russians are concerned, is drawing and concentrating large numbers of Ukrainian soldiers, like ants to honey, for their destruction.

And, BTW, there are still two cities left for Ukraine to defend: Kramatorsk and Sloviansk.

So after Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, Russia will definitely have to change tactics. Taking fortified areas in pincers and cutting off supply lines, bleeding out the defenders along the remaining roadway won't work. I honestly don't know what tactic will work.

Once all of the major cities are taken ... or if Zelensky and Sirsky make the intelligent decision to withdraw troops back to their side of the Dneiper before then ... Russia will have a harder time accomplishing its goal of destroying the Ukrainian army. And if Ukrainians are smart, they'll seed the fields behind their retreat with mines.

But I'm pretty sure that we won't see a thundering charge of tanks and APCs across the plains bc they're too vulnerable to drone attack.

Drones, and constant surveillance, still favor dispersed troops.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 10:40 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:


Originally posted by SIGNY:
You're an idiot.


THGR:
Now, one of my sources in Russia....

SIGNY:
He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.
When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

T: STOP USING MY GIF!
]

THGR:
I always say signature not GIF. I'll be going to your site now and saying hello. Then I'll get to the fact of your post.

T: STOP USING MY SIGNATURE!




First you complain bc I put your "signature" in "my section". Now you complain bc I clearly leave your signature in "your section", adding your widdle tantrum and saving you the bother, but I'm calling it a gif. Which it is, BTW.

So I'm calling it a signature, and leaving it in "your section".
Some people just can't be pleased.


-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 11:10 AM

THG

Keep it real please


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR:
I watched it. Lying is what you do.



Yeah.
Drone videos from both sides lie.


You're an idiot.

Quote:


Now, one of my sources in Russia



He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.

When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.






I watched and responded to your video. Several times asshole. It's all here in this thread stupid. Shit, I've even responded to your video in another thread because you mentioned it there.

He had an anti-war blog. He had to flee Russia moron. I saw his goodbye meal video and how harrowing escaping Russia was for him. I started following him before he left.

He has a breakfast club now where Russians and Ukrainians get together and help one another. He also does his blog giving updates on what is going on. He speaks with friends, family and old colleagues within Russia every day. He posts nothing but the truth comrade. His blog is accurate. He posts things you can't dispute without posting facts. And you can't do that because he is already posting the facts. See how that works?

I was under no illusion that you would give an honest response to the electric outages in Russia and the disaster they represent. I’ve posted his blogs at different times, and you’ve never done anything but ignore them. Why would you think I’d believe you would answer facts with facts now? Of course I didn’t.

I was going to post the video anyway. And I knew you would deflect away for the point of his comments. I said you would and you did. And as planned, his video was posted. Several times now because of your fucking around; great.

Now, I can tell when you’ve arranged things, so my signature is no longer within my quote. So, I’ll tell you this again. Your garden thread is becoming useless to you. If you want to play games with me and go without the thread, I’m in.

And if you do respond to this post, you’ll do it this way lass.

I post paragraphs; complete thoughts. You pull out a sentence here and there, a sentence that now can be taken out of context. A sentence that wasn't meant to stand alone in a post, to dispute what I’ve posted which is now an incomplete thought.

Why, first because you have a lazy brain. Second, because you can’t elaborate further on a point without using propaganda to do so which doesn’t work. You’re sad.

T


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Thursday, October 30, 2025 3:49 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Shut the fuck up, Ted.

--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 4:43 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.




Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Just a reminder that THGR hasn't even watched my video, much less respond to it.

THGR:
I watched it. Lying is what you do

SIGNY:
Yeah.
Drone videos from both sides lie.

You're an idiot.

THGR:
Now, one of my sources in Russia

SIGNY:
He's not in Russia, you doofus.
I even linked his goodbye meal at a Russian McDonald's from three years ago.
When you get me actual evidence ... not just some jowly guy with a thick Russian accent blabbing about secondhand stuff, I'll watch. Videos from Russia would be nice.

THGR:
I watched and responded to your video. Several times asshole.



Your "response" was an irrelevant propaganda piece from MSN, and the phrase "You lie".
Okie dokie!
Here's my "response" to your video :

Quote:

The GDP of the Russian Federation, according to forecasts of the Bank of Russia, will increase by 1-2% in 2025, by 0.5–1.5% in 2026, and by 1.5–2.5% in 2027. This is reported in the medium-term forecast of the Central Bank.

The growth of the Russian economy in 2024 was 4.1%, which is slightly higher than the Bank of Russia predicted in October. This is largely due to a stronger-than-expected growth in domestic demand, the Central Bank said in a statement following a meeting of the regulator's board of directors, which kept the key rate at 21%.


https://www.akm.ru/eng/news/the-central-bank-forecasts-russia-s-gdp-gr
owth-in-2025-at-1-2
/

And: YOU LIE.

See how easy that is?


Quote:

THGR:
It's all here in this thread stupid. Shit, I've even responded to your video in another thread because you mentioned it there.

He had an anti-war blog. He had to flee Russia moron. I saw his goodbye meal video and how harrowing escaping Russia was for him. I started following him before he left.

He has a breakfast club now where Russians and Ukrainians get together and help one another. He also does his blog giving updates on what is going on. He speaks with friends, family and old colleagues within Russia every day. He posts nothing but the truth comrade. His blog is accurate. He posts things you can't dispute without posting facts. And you can't do that because he is already posting the facts. See how that works?



You claim he posts "facts" but where is the evidence?
Anybody can say anything, and they often do. That's what makes AI trained on LLM such garbage.

Quote:

THGR:
I was under no illusion that you would give an honest response to the electric outages in Russia and the disaster they represent. I’ve posted his blogs at different times, and you’ve never done anything but ignore them. Why would you think I’d believe you would answer facts with facts now? Of course I didn’t.

I was going to post the video anyway. And I knew you would deflect away for the point of his comments. I said you would and you did. And as planned, his video was posted. Several times now because of your fucking around; great.

Now, I can tell when you’ve arranged things, so my signature is no longer within my quote. So, I’ll tell you this again. Your garden thread is becoming useless to you. If you want to play games with me and go without the thread, I’m in.


Did it ever occur to you that all you're allowing me to do is demonstrate that you're a sensitive prick who can dish it out but can't take it?
And that you look like a stupid jerk every time you post crap into the Rain!! thread?
And that you're destroying your credibility every time you do that?

Quote:

And if you do respond to this post, you’ll do it this way lass.

I post paragraphs; complete thoughts. You pull out a sentence here and there, a sentence that now can be taken out of context. A sentence that wasn't meant to stand alone in a post, to dispute what I’ve posted which is now an incomplete thought.


If you start out with the wrong premise, the rest of your post is also wrong, no matter how many words that follow. I do read your entire posts, but there's no sense in responding to every (wrong) point that follows the first wrong point.
And since you often let cartoon and videos do your talking for you... which are sheer opinion, no facts and no logic.... what is there to respond to?

Quote:

THGR:
Why, first because you have a lazy brain. Second, because you can’t elaborate further on a point without using propaganda to do so which doesn’t work. You’re sad.


Says the guy who thinks in cartoons and name- calling!
So ... whatever.


Quote:

T



Oh, BTW ... I did watch that part of the video about blackouts in Russia.
What was he saying?
That maintenance is being done too late in the year?
So what?
As long as the juice comes back on as scheduled, what's the problem?
And, what does he point to as "evidence“?
Newspaper articles, from "local papers", written in English???
Seriously, dood, where's your critical thinking?
Nowhere.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Thursday, October 30, 2025 4:49 PM

THG

Keep it real please




And you responded exactly as I said you would. You don't like political cartoons. So what...

T


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Thursday, October 30, 2025 4:56 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by THG:


And you responded exactly as I said you would. You don't like political cartoons. So what...

T




Oh, BTW ... I did watch that part of the video about blackouts in Russia.
What was he saying?
That maintenance is being done too late in the year?
So what?
As long as the juice comes back on as scheduled, what's the problem?

WHERE IS THE 'CRISIS LIKE NEVER SEEN BEFORE'?


And, what does he point to as "evidence“?
Newspaper articles, from "local papers", written in English???
Seriously, dood, where's your critical thinking?
Nowhere.

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:11 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Pokrovsk is falling. Ukraine’s northern defense line is rising.

Pokrovsk’s fall appears imminent as more Russians slip into the city. But north of Pokrovsk, a new defensive line is taking shape.

By David Axe | 30/10/2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/30/pokrovsk-will-fall/

"The fall of Pokrovsk appears inevitable," the pro-Ukraine Conflict Intelligence Team warned.

But Ukrainian victories north of the city should temper any dooming. Pokrovsk is likely to fall, and soon. But Ukrainian brigades may be able to establish a new and stronger defensive line north of the city.

The end is coming for Pokrovsk. How soon is unclear.

"I believe the Pokrovsk battle is not over," Molin wrote. "It could last additional months. Everything will depend on what the leadership will do. Leave the city or fight for it."

Fighting for it could endanger the last few troops in the garrison, who may have to beat a hasty retreat as urban positions finally—and suddenly—become untenable. An orderly retreat could reposition Ukraine's precious manpower behind a new defensive along the open ground north of Pokrovsk.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:23 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Ranged War Is Still In Early Stages

By Phillips P. Obrien | Oct 30, 2025

https://phillipspobrien.substack.com/p/the-ranged-war-is-still-in-an-e
arly


Hello All,

I am going to start this piece with a little historical comparison. When do you think the strategic bombing of Germany first became serious? The answer is the summer of 1943. It was at that point that the Combined Bomber Offensive kicked into high gear, with operations such as the British attacks on Hamburg (Operation Gomorrah—July 1943) and the first mass US attacks on German ball-bearing and aircraft production (Schweinfurt and Regensburg—August 1943).

This was almost 4 years after World War II started in Europe. And yet, even then British and American planners had only an incomplete understanding of how to use strategic air power and still lacked the technology and needed mass to disassemble the German war economy. It would take almost another year until the British and Americans had the tools and doctrine needed to make the strategic bombing campaign truly effective. Between the Summer of 1943 and 1944 there were important advances in technology (Mustang-ranged fighters), production (US/UK aircraft were turned out in greater mass), and tactics (the focus on attacking fuel and transport) that needed to happen before strategic air power became extremely effective.

I say this because we are arguably at close to identical hazy stage of understanding about how the strategic bombing campaign/ranged war between Russia and Ukraine is really going to work out. We are only three years and eight months after the full-scale invasion of Ukraine was launched (which in World War II equivalence would be April/May 1943) and the echoes between what is happening now and what happened then is striking.

Many things will occur in the next year in terms of technology, production and mass that will make the strategic air power war between Russia and Ukraine far more destructive and potentially telling than what we are seeing now. We are not in the middle of the strategic air war, we are nearer its beginning, and many assumptions about where the war is heading will have to be rewritten over the coming months. I thought it would be useful if I wrote about how all three of these categories could/will change in the near future and how these changes could change the course of the war.

It is important that people realize that we are not in some steady state strategic air war, but in a highly dynamic one which could actually break either way. That is why articles that claim that the war is in a deadlock simply do not understand this (or any war). They must be challenged.

Here are three ways change is coming—with a World War II comparator to start each section.

In 1942 the US produced 47,836 aircraft, in 1944 they had more than doubled this to 96,318. What this meant was that the number of aircraft used in raids over Germany in 1944 went up by a factor of many times compared even to 1943. This increase in US mass meant far more US bombers reached their targets.

We are still a long way from witnessing peak production from either the Ukrainians and Russians. Indeed, Ukrainian mass production on ranged system still has a ways to reach anything like a production ceiling and Russia has scope for increases as well (particularly if Chinese components keep coming into Russia in the depressingly high rate that they are).

As both sides have the capability of increasing their ranged weapons production, the raids that we are seeing now could soon seem small. Russian raids have risen steadily in number of units over the course of 2025.

Raids that looked large in February 2025 would be light attacks today. The situation could be the same in February 2026.

Ukrainian ranged production will probably never match these kind of raw Russian numbers, but the Ukrainians have scope for large increases. The Ukrainians are investing more and more into making their own ranged systems and the hope is that they will start coming off the production lines in larger numbers. While it does seem that this process is taking longer than hoped (it is unlikely that FP-5 Flamingos are being manufactured at the hoped for rate of 7 per day which was the intended target by now) there are signs of larger and more effective Ukrainian raids.

So we can assume that raids will get larger and more destructive as the mass of units involves goes up for each side. Even with high interception rates, if attacking numbers go up, hits go up and destruction can multiply in impact.

In 1943 neither the British nor the Americans could effectively protect their bombers for that far into Germany, which led the British to concentrate on night bombing (which was of limited accuracy) and the US to try and have un-escorted bombers attack during the day (which led to catastrophically high American losses). In 1944 the allies were able, through the introduction of the technologically advanced long-range Mustang P-51 fighter, to escort their bombers over more than half of Germany, which led to far more effective raids and far greater German losses.

The Flamingo itself might be the most obvious example of the kind of technological change that can alter the course of a strategic air war, but it certainly is not alone. Remember at the start of the war the Russians did not have a single Shahed drone, now they are reportedly making around 30,000 a month. The Ukrainians barely had a drone themselves at the same time, now they have strike forces that can damage Russian refineries thousands of kilometres from Ukraine. So we have seen not only increases in mass, but increases in capabilities over the course of the war to this point.

That will continue. The key kinds of developments will be around issues such as range, survivability, accuracy and payload—and it's hard to guess which are the most likely in the short term. The Russians have upgraded the Shaheds in a number of such areas, and their version, the Geran, is a far more effective system than the Iranian one—with the possibility of greater improvement still. Just last month there were reports that the Russians have a jet-powered Geran in operation. That faster version should improve Russian survivability and effectiveness as it will be more difficult to intercept.

For the Ukrainians the areas of improvement will probably be accuracy and payload. They certainly need accurate systems as they seem intent on going after economic targets that require precision, and payload is key in making sure that the accuracy can be effectively translated into the destruction of (or at least heavy damage to) the intended targets.

On the flip side—one or the other combatants could make a technological step change in air-defense technology, that would be telling. The Ukrainians are working hard to come up with a cost effective air defense system to deal with the mass of Gerans they are facing, and there have been a number of promising developments.

All I can say is that this technological struggle is ongoing and can evolve very quickly. The one thing I can assure you is that it is the opposite of a steady state.

In 1943 the British concentrated on attacking German cities and the US focussed on specific industrial targets such as ball-bearings and aircraft production. Both were of limited strategic value. In 1944 the British and Americans changed their tactics and put much more effort into attacking German fuel production and railway transport—with far greater strategic impact. This tactical change crippled the German war effort.

As mass and technology adapt, what states can do with their new equipment also can change—sometimes shockingly quickly. We have seen a number of major changes in air power tactics in 2025 already and we are probably poised to see many more. As I pointed out in this piece on October 5, Russian tactics are broadening and, sadly, becoming more effective as instead of relying on terror attacks, they seem to be more systematically targeting Ukrainian power generation and production.

The Russians are picking out specific targets to be hit by their faster missiles, often with some success. This tactical change is having an impact. Last Autumn/Winter the Ukrainians mostly came through Russian attacks with limited blackouts. This year the situation already seems more dangerous. The mass Russian attacks last night, for instance, have led to blackouts at places across the country.

The Ukrainians are likewise trying to be more and more effective in their tactics. They are not just attacking Russian refineries now, they are going more obviously for the distillation units. And they are also broadening their targeting to include power transfer and rail links. If they can secure mass and technological advantages in these attacks—watch out.

And of course tactical changes are not just about targeting—they are about how the systems are organized to attack the systems they have been targeted. Again, in recent months both sides have shown some tactical improvement. The Russians have experimented with numbers/pairings of drones and whether it is more effective to attack from high altitude or low. The Ukrainians have not only launched fascinating operations such as Spiderweb, they are clearly experimenting in the best way possible to approach targets while avoiding Russian air defenses. The number of direct hits on distillation units show tactical adaptation. The Ukrainians are also varying their tactics with the large number of attacks that seem to be having an impact on Russian targets in Crimea.

This tactical struggle will continue.

So the strategic air war overall is anything but in a steady state. It is transforming before our eyes, and will continue to do so. Odds are it becomes increasingly sophisticated, deadly and destructive on both sides—as new systems are created and adapted and produced in mass, while tactical understanding evolves. It's why the strategic air war represents the most unstable and possibly determinative part of the war this winter.

Anyone who says the war is in a stalemate does not understand what is about to happen.

Thanks for reading Phillips’s Newsletter! This post is public so feel free to share it.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:32 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by second:

The Ranged War Is Still In Early Stages

By Phillips P. Obrien | Oct 30, 2025

Ukraine strikes major Russian energy infrastructure in multiple regions, officials, media report

By Abbey Fenbert | October 31, 2025 6:51 am

https://kyivindependent.com/drone-strike-damages-thermal-power-plant-i
n-russias-oryol-oblast-governor-says
/

Energy facilities in Russia's Oryol, Vladimir, and Yaroslavl oblasts were attacked overnight on Oct. 31, according to Russian officials and Telegram channels.

The attacks reportedly targeted the Oryol thermal power plant (TPP), the region's largest generating source of electricity and heat; the Vladimir electrical substation, a critical Russian energy hub; and the Novo-Yaroslavsky oil refinery, the largest refinery in northern Russia.

Residents of the city of Oryol reported explosions during the night, the Russian opposition news channel Astra reported. Surveillance footage captured the attack on the plant, showing a large blast.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 12:06 PM

THG

Keep it real please


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by THG:


And you responded exactly as I said you would. You don't like political cartoons. So what...

T




Oh, BTW ... I did watch that part of the video about blackouts in Russia.
What was he saying?
That maintenance is being done too late in the year?
So what?
As long as the juice comes back on as scheduled, what's the problem?

WHERE IS THE 'CRISIS LIKE NEVER SEEN BEFORE'?

And, what does he point to as "evidence“?
Newspaper articles, from "local papers", written in English???
Seriously, dood, where's your critical thinking?
Nowhere.




There have been widespread power outages in Russia recently, both from infrastructure failures and as a result of military actions. Notably, in late October 2025, thousands of residents in Russia's Far Eastern Sakhalin region experienced a major blackout after a lightning-protection cable fell onto a key transmission line, splitting the island's power grid and cutting off electricity, heating, and water in central and southern districts for much of the day. Engineers responded quickly, restoring the primary grid backbone within hours, though low-voltage repairs continued afterward. No injuries or major damage were reported from this technical incident.?

Additionally, there have been major disruptions related to the ongoing conflict with Ukraine. Russian regions such as Oryol, Vladimir, and Yaroslavl reported blackouts following drone and missile strikes targeting energy infrastructure. In Oryol, a thermal power plant fire led to city-wide outages. In Vladimir, an electrical substation was targeted and set ablaze, further affecting local power supplies. Authorities have been working to restore electric

Moreover, Russia has experienced extensive mobile internet and communications outages in 2025, with more than 2,000 shutdowns by July. While these primarily affect digital connectivity and not electrical power, they have severely impacted access to services and information across the country. These outages were mainly justified by the authorities as security measures, particularly around national events, and to reduce the risk of drone attacks using mobile communications.?

These stories highlight the vulnerability of Russian energy infrastructure to both technical failures and external attacks, as well as the broader social impact of systemic outages.

The Moscow Times
Widespread Blackout Hits Sakhalin as
Far East Region Races to Restore Powe
https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2025/10/28/widesp
read-blackout-hits-sakhalin-as-far-east-region-races-to-restore-power-a90958/pdf



His point is that circumstances in Russia are so bad this is now the norm. And that this winter is going to be catastrophic. These are not scheduled maintenances. It is electric grids failing due to a "lack of maintenance.” His further point is that unlike other shortages in Russia, "no heat, no water are killers.

You challenged his documents listing all the areas in different cities and towns suffering from outages. So, I've provided more information about that above that substantiates his reporting. The outages are substantial. I'll say it again. They are substantial and only going to get worse. And you should check out SECONDS post above this one because according to his post, the outages just got worse.

You asked, all in caps no less, "where is the crisis like never seen before?"

Am I to take it that electric grid failures across the country, leaving people without heat and water, are typical during Russian winters? Or is this a catastrophe like never seen before? Your lack of knowledge about any of this is very telling comrade. You open your mouth but only ignorance comes out.

The Moscow Times I left a link to is guess what, written in English comrade. I keep telling you. When you argue against facts, you lose every time.

T


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Friday, October 31, 2025 1:54 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Pentagon cleared giving Ukraine long-range Tomahawk missiles, leaving final decision to Trump

By Natasha Bertrand, Zachary Cohen | Oct 31, 2025

https://edition.cnn.com/2025/10/31/politics/pentagon-tomahawks-trump-u
kraine


The Pentagon doesn’t have concerns about stockpiles.

Zelenksy said Ukraine hopes to expand its long-range capabilities by the end of this year so the war can end “on fair terms” for the country.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 2:20 PM

THG

Keep it real please


Oh no...

T


RUSSIA Shuts Down The Internet






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Friday, October 31, 2025 2:38 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


THGR, if I were to total up all of the outages and disruptions just across the USA this past summer, it would look much like the "crisis" that's bring reported in Russia.

My fair city alone, plus large parts of neighboring cities, had an outage for a day when something (my guess, transformer) failed in a nearby substation. Not to mention the two-hour outages we get at least a half dozen times per year for no reason that I can see. And just recently we had an AWS (Amazon Web Service) failure that affected sites WORLDWIDE for over two days ... and the system is still hiccuping.

Do you know what IS a catastrophe?
Ukraine.
None of their hydro power plants are running, and almost none of their thermal power plants. The only thing left untouched are the nuclear power plants.

But it took two years of missile and drone strikes to reduce Ukraine to a catastrophic state. Imagine what it would take to get Russia to that point.

Do the math.
Seriously.
Do the math.

Your prediction of "catastrophe" for Russia is wishful thinking, buoyed by selective reading of ridiculous "reporting".

-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, October 31, 2025 3:57 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Pokrovsk is falling. Ukraine’s northern defense line is rising.

Pokrovsk’s fall appears imminent as more Russians slip into the city. But north of Pokrovsk, a new defensive line is taking shape.

By David Axe | 30/10/2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/30/pokrovsk-will-fall/

"The fall of Pokrovsk appears inevitable," the pro-Ukraine Conflict Intelligence Team warned.

But Ukrainian victories north of the city should temper any dooming. Pokrovsk is likely to fall, and soon. But Ukrainian brigades may be able to establish a new and stronger defensive line north of the city.

The end is coming for Pokrovsk. How soon is unclear.

"I believe the Pokrovsk battle is not over," Molin wrote. "It could last additional months. Everything will depend on what the leadership will do. Leave the city or fight for it."

Fighting for it could endanger the last few troops in the garrison, who may have to beat a hasty retreat as urban positions finally—and suddenly—become untenable. An orderly retreat could reposition Ukraine's precious manpower behind a new defensive along the open ground north of Pokrovsk.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

A Valid Complaint that Ukraine has morons who misunderstand military strategy, preferring to die heroically instead of thinking strategically

By David Axe | Oct 31 2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/10/31/pokrovsk-surrounded/

Ukrainian troops are dangerously close to being surrounded in the 30-square-kilometer pocket stretching from Pokrovsk east to Myrnohrad. The open end of the pocket, the only escape route for some or all of no fewer than three Ukrainian brigades—the 25th Air Assault Brigade, the 38th Marine Brigade and the 155th Mechanized Brigade—is barely 10 km across.

Commanders have yet to order the garrisons in Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad to withdraw north to the next line of Ukrainian defenses.

In any event, it's probably too late for a safe and orderly retreat. Russian drones and artillery can range across the only roads and footpaths out of the Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad pocket. If there's any reason to hope for anything short of a catastrophic withdrawal, it's that the front line in Ukraine isn't really a line anymore—it's a porous zone of contested control.
https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1983855718068580659/

Maybe all those Ukrainian paratroopers, marines, and mechanized troops can slip out of the pocket the same way Russian troops have been slipping into it—on foot in small groups, at night. But it's risky. And the retreating Ukrainians may leave behind a lot of heavy equipment.

Serhii Sternenko—founder of the Sternenko Fund, which equips Ukrainian forces with drones—surely spoke for many Ukrainians when he voiced his frustration.

Citing chaotic and costly Ukrainian retreats from Avdiivka, Vuhledar, and Sudzha, he asked how yet another Ukrainian force could find itself "in a fire sack."

"Every time, our forces withdrew at the last moment with heavy losses, abandoning property and equipment," Sternenko wrote. "Not everyone could get out. Some remained in their positions forever. This is happening again right now."


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Friday, October 31, 2025 4:29 PM

THG

Keep it real please


Yes

Did Russia have more Ukrainian land then it has now?

Yes, Russia has had more Ukrainian land than it currently controls. Prior to the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, Russia had annexed Crimea in 2014 and controlled parts of the Donbas region. The annexation of Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts in September 2022 was part of Russia's long-term strategy to control these areas. However, since the invasion, Ukraine has reclaimed significant territory, and Russia's control has been reduced to about 20% of Ukraine's territory.

Approximately 63%

Liberated Ukrainian Territory

As of November 12, 2024, Ukraine has liberated approximately 63% of the territory invaded by the Russian army since the start of the invasion on February 24, 2022. This liberation includes around 75,000 square kilometers of Ukrainian territory. The Russian invasion had enabled Moscow to secure or advance on one-fifth of Ukrainian territory by February-March 2022, or about 119,000 square kilometers. However, since then, the Russian withdrawal from the northern part of the country and the Ukrainian army's counter-offensives in the east and south have enabled Kiev to recover almost half of this area (47%).

CBS News



Comrade signym, get a grip. This is what I'm been trying to explain to you. For some strange reason you seem to think less is more.

Since 2014 Russia has ceded 63% of the land it captured back to Ukraine. What does that mean; too funny? Russia holds less Ukrainian land now, than it held earlier. A lot less. I don't know how you do math, but to me that's not winning.

As I've said, the way it's been going since November, one year ago, they win some and then give it back.

Facts comrade, facts.

T


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Friday, October 31, 2025 4:32 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


And nobody cares.

--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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Friday, October 31, 2025 4:42 PM

THG

Keep it real please


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

THGR, if I were to total up all of the outages and disruptions just across the USA this past summer, it would look much like the "crisis" that's bring reported in Russia.

My fair city alone, plus large parts of neighboring cities, had an outage for a day when something (my guess, transformer) failed in a nearby substation. Not to mention the two-hour outages we get at least a half dozen times per year for no reason that I can see. And just recently we had an AWS (Amazon Web Service) failure that affected sites WORLDWIDE for over two days ... and the system is still hiccuping.

Do you know what IS a catastrophe?
Ukraine.
None of their hydro power plants are running, and almost none of their thermal power plants. The only thing left untouched are the nuclear power plants.

But it took two years of missile and drone strikes to reduce Ukraine to a catastrophic state. Imagine what it would take to get Russia to that point.

Do the math.
Seriously.
Do the math.

Your prediction of "catastrophe" for Russia is wishful thinking, buoyed by selective reading of ridiculous "reporting".




MOSCOW, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Russian western city of Oryol is restricting supply of heat and hot water after Ukrainian drones hit a pipeline at a local power plant on Friday, local authorities said.

"It will be necessary to limit the heat and hot water supply to buildings in the Sovetsky, Zheleznodorozhny and Severny districts of the city of Oryol," the governor of the Oryol region, Andrey Klychkov, wrote on social media.

https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-drones-hit-power-plants-pipe
line-western-oryol-2025-10-31
/



It's you who needs to do the math. It's not the same when in Russia they do not have the means, i.e. the parts, money or expertise to deal with the outages. And all those that have yet to occur.

Most of the engineers have left Russa. Most of the others who did not, are dead or simply not enough to keep up. On top of that, they are going into winter. Time will bear me out.

Europeans will flood Ukraine with generators and whatever else is needed. They'll hold up better.

T


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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:32 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by THG:
Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

THGR, if I were to total up all of the outages and disruptions just across the USA this past summer, it would look much like the "crisis" that's bring reported in Russia.

My fair city alone, plus large parts of neighboring cities, had an outage for a day when something (my guess, transformer) failed in a nearby substation. Not to mention the two-hour outages we get at least a half dozen times per year for no reason that I can see. And just recently we had an AWS (Amazon Web Service) failure that affected sites WORLDWIDE for over two days ... and the system is still hiccuping.

Do you know what IS a catastrophe?
Ukraine.
None of their hydro power plants are running, and almost none of their thermal power plants. The only thing left untouched are the nuclear power plants.

But it took two years of missile and drone strikes to reduce Ukraine to a catastrophic state. Imagine what it would take to get Russia to that point.

Do the math.
Seriously.
Do the math.

Your prediction of "catastrophe" for Russia is wishful thinking, buoyed by selective reading of ridiculous "reporting".

THGR:

Quote:

MOSCOW, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Russian western city of Oryol is restricting supply of heat and hot water after Ukrainian drones hit a pipeline at a local power plant on Friday, local authorities said.

"It will be necessary to limit the heat and hot water supply to buildings in the Sovetsky, Zheleznodorozhny and Severny districts of the city of Oryol," the governor of the Oryol region, Andrey Klychkov, wrote on social media.

https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-drones-hit-power-plants-pipe
line-western-oryol-2025-10-31
/



It's you who needs to do the math. It's not the same when in Russia they do not have the means, i.e. the parts, money or expertise to deal with the outages. And all those that have yet to occur.

Most of the engineers have left Russa.

Evidence?
Quote:

Most of the others who did not, are dead or simply not enough to keep up.
Evidence?
Quote:

On top of that, they are going into winter. Time will bear me out.


All of those catastrophic outages you claim. They're being fixed.

How do I know?

Bc YOUR sources are so hostile to Russian that if there was an extended outage, anywhere, they'd sniff it out and blast it to the world. Have you seen any claims like that?

Quote:

Europeans will flood Ukraine with generators and whatever else is needed. They'll hold up better.

Anything bigger than portable generator will get bombed.

Quote:

T




-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Friday, October 31, 2025 6:33 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

THGR, if I were to total up all of the outages and disruptions just across the USA this past summer, it would look much like the "crisis" that's bring reported in Russia.

My fair city alone, plus large parts of neighboring cities, had an outage for a day when something (my guess, transformer) failed in a nearby substation. Not to mention the two-hour outages we get at least a half dozen times per year for no reason that I can see. And just recently we had an AWS (Amazon Web Service) failure that affected sites WORLDWIDE for over two days ... and the system is still hiccuping.

Do you know what IS a catastrophe?
Ukraine.
None of their hydro power plants are running, and almost none of their thermal power plants. The only thing left untouched are the nuclear power plants.
But it took two years of missile and drone strikes to reduce Ukraine to a catastrophic state. Imagine what it would take to get Russia to that point.
Do the math.
Seriously.
Do the math.
Your prediction of "catastrophe" for Russia is wishful thinking, buoyed by selective reading of ridiculous "reporting".

THGR:

Quote:

MOSCOW, Oct 31 (Reuters) - Russian western city of Oryol is restricting supply of heat and hot water after Ukrainian drones hit a pipeline at a local power plant on Friday, local authorities said.

"It will be necessary to limit the heat and hot water supply to buildings in the Sovetsky, Zheleznodorozhny and Severny districts of the city of Oryol," the governor of the Oryol region, Andrey Klychkov, wrote on social media.

https://www.reuters.com/world/russia-says-drones-hit-power-plants-pipe
line-western-oryol-2025-10-31
/



It's you who needs to do the math. It's not the same when in Russia they do not have the means, i.e. the parts, money or expertise to deal with the outages. And all those that have yet to occur.

Most of the engineers have left Russa.



SIGNY:
Evidence? [This is where you fail every time]

Quote:

THGR:
Most of the others who did not, are dead or simply not enough to keep up.



SIGNY:
Evidence? [More failure! ]

Quote:

THGR:
On top of that, they are going into winter. Time will bear me out



SIGNY:
All of those catastrophic outages you claim. They're being fixed.
How do I know?
Bc YOUR sources are so hostile to Russian that if there was an extended outage, anywhere, they'd sniff it out and blast it to the world. Have you seen any claims like that?
HINT: NO

Quote:

THGR:
Europeans will flood Ukraine with generators and whatever else is needed. They'll hold up better.


Anything bigger than portable generator will get bombed.

Quote:

T



-----------

"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Monday, November 3, 2025 4:04 PM

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Periods of peace in Russia are few and far between

By Max Meltzer | Nov 03, 2025 14:15

https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/4054525-periods-of-peace-in-russi
a-are-few-and-far-between.html


Putin has modified the gene of violence in the Russians

At a recent meeting with the Russian soldiers who sustained wounds in the war in Ukraine, Putin told one of them: "Look, you didn't know how your grandfather fought, and you fight like your grandfather! This suggests that it's in our genes..."

In fact, Putin has recently told the truth perhaps for the first time ever. Fighting is truly in the Russian genes. Looking at Russia (the muscovite tsardom and empire) reveals that periods of complete, absolute peace, when it did not wage any wars, wasn’t involved in external or internal conflicts, were few and far between.

From China to Syria

Basically, many historians are unanimous in holding that from the time the Muscovite principality was founded and through to the collapse of the Russian Empire, the state was constantly in a state of war. It is almost impossible to find completely peaceful years in its history. Unless you single out the gaps between major external wars.

One of the longest periods of peace (in the context of full-scale wars) was perhaps the period from 1878 to 1904, from the end of the Russo-Turkish War through to the inception of the war between Russia and Japan. But even during this period, intensive "special military operation" continued in the Caucasus, in Central Asia (for example, the conquest of Turkestan, which were actually fully fledged colonial wars) and the suppression of popular uprisings (Cossack revolts, peasant protests, etc.) within the empire.

Thus, tsarist Russia practically did not experience long enough periods of complete peace throughout all of the empire. It seems that after the bloodiest World War II, where the USSR lost the greatest number of human lives compared to each of the warring countries, it could and should have come to its senses. However, Yuri Khrystenzen, an expert at the Odesa Political Platform media center, calculated based on the Russian law “On Veterans,” that after 1945, the war with Ukraine became for the Kremlin the “anniversary” 40th war.

It all started with the war conflict with China in 1946–1950. The subsequent geography is simply amazing: Bangladesh, Cambodia, Mozambique, Laos, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, Ethiopia, Tajikistan, Angola, Syria, Yemen, Vietnam, Egypt, Korea, etc.

After the collapse of the Soviet Union, now independent Russia continued its tradition of intervening militarily in Soviet successor states:

– Transnistrian conflict (1992). Intervention by the 14th Russian Army.

– Civil War in Tajikistan (1992–1997). Border security troops and the 201st military base of the Russian Federation.

The First Russian-Chechen War (1994–1996).

– The Second Russian-Chechen War (1999–2009).

– War in Georgia (2008). The Russo-Georgian War, which ended up with the occupation of Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

– War in Ukraine (ongoing since 2014).

– Military operation in Syria (ongoing since 2015).

So, in fact, there is no relatively peaceful period in the modern history of Russia.

“Sharks” want money

Against this background, Putin’s hope to “look for and find a new Russian elite among the heroes of the Special Military Operation (SVO)” is quite understandable. He has taken a set of measures to integrate them into the country’s power structures. However, new “heroes” are much more difficult to integrate into them than they are to organize a “bloody safari” within Russia itself.

The latest case: on October 30, it emerged that in the village of Novaya Tavolzhanka, Belgorod region, a Russian serviceman killed a local resident and raped his wife. This is according to a report from the regional branch of the Investigative Committee of the Russian Federation. And here is a story from a year ago. 37-year-old Azamat Iskaliyev served less than a third of his nine-year sentence for murder (he stabbed his wife in the summer of 2021 because she demanded a divorce). Then he was released in exchange for signing a contract for war in Ukraine. Upon returning to civilian life, in October last year he stabbed a woman more than 60 times because she refused his advances. Now he has been sentenced to more than 19 years in prison.

This case is one of many eerie examples of the problems that await Russia when hundreds of thousands of such "Iskalievs" return home. The problem is so obvious that it has been officially recognized by law enforcement agencies. Official statistics from the Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs show that l11,327 people died in Russia during last year as a result of crimes aimed at intentionally causing death or serious harm to health. (This is an absolute maximum: 9,366 and 8,792 people died from violent crimes in Russia in 2022 and 2023 respectively).

The increase in the number of severe criminal offenses is associated precisely with the war in Ukraine. Such conclusions are contained in the article "The Impact of Special Operations on Crime Rate in Russia" by Willy Maslov from the Ural Law Institute of the Ministry of Internal Affairs, who points out that "the conduct of SVO negatively affects the criminogenic situation in the country at this time, and we should expect the negative impact to continue into the future."

Overall, according to various estimates for early 2025, more than 1.5 million Russian men and women partook in the war against Ukraine. The more of them are being demobilized from the military and returning home, the more Russia will face further, even more terrible violence. It is for a reason that there is open talk in the corridors of power in Moscow suggesting that SVO heroes should be sent to build a “new Russia in Siberia”.

As of October last year, almost 500 people in Russia became victims to grave crimes committed by those who returned from the war in Ukraine, resulting in at least 242 victims killed and another 227 seriously injured. What will happen next when such people begin returning to civilian life en masse is not difficult to guess.

Note that the gene of violence does not distinguish between “friend and foe”. Verstka, an independent Russian investigative news outlet that operates in exile, named 101 Russian servicemen who are suspected of being involved in "zeroing out” their own fighters at the frontline (zeroing out" is a slang term used by Russian soldiers for the summary execution or deliberate elimination of their own comrades – Ed.) Here are two of the most bloodthirsty stories. One involves Kurabek “Kurort“ Karayev, Russian army colonel, commander of the 36th separate motorized rifle brigade of the 29th Army. "He gave orders to finish off our wounded guys with drone drops," says a witness to Kurort's crimes. "At first, he told ordinary soldiers to do it - they refused. Those who refused to go into battle were tied to a tree trunk, beaten with a whip, then, bleeding, were locked in a basement."

Ilkhom “Shark” Peter, army captain, commander of an assault unit within the 80th tank regiment of the 90th tank division, the Center grouping of forces. “Shark ordered to eliminate the guy call signed Fix for the latter’s refusal to go and “reveal” a Ukrainian position (that is, to act as a live bait), - says a witness to the execution. - He was without a weapon, without a bulletproof vest... Shark forced all the other guys to write down the PIN codes of their bank cards. And before going out for a mission, he ordered that they give him everything (supposedly in order to pass them on to relatives in case of death). Expectedly enough, none of the relatives received the cards. There were a lot of dead. Almost all of them died.”

Shark’s greed is easily explained. After all, the return of such “heroes” is associated with financial problems along with moral and psychological health problems. Many of those who return to civilian life will never earn as much as they earn now fighting in Ukraine.

One example: a contract soldier from Moscow can earn at least 5.2 million rubles (almost $65,000) during the first year of service in Ukraine, including a sign-up bonuse worth 1.9 million rubles (24,000 US dollars). This is almost equal to the average annual salary in the Russian capital, where salaries are the highest in Russia. What to say about those who will return to different depressed regions across Russia -- the main suppliers of soldiers to Putin’s army. That is why Putin’s “new elite” is supposed to fight with the “SVO heroes” in the future.

Some in Moscow are already groaning: “Sometimes it seems that it would be better to just live peacefully than to experience the times of heroes and general heroism”. As the character played by Anatoly Papanov in the film “The Cold Summer of 1953” said, he finally wants to live like a human being after all the trials that have befallen his fate and that of his country. But he didn’t live to see it. “Is the same fate awaiting us?”, the character in the film ponders.

The answer is “yes”, unfortunately. Even if the hostilities in Ukraine cease, Russia’s war will not end there. Who it will be fought with -- the “new elite” versus the “SVO heroes,” migrants, or just neighbors – is hard to predict. Russian “sharks” cannot be remade.” Putin has only modified their historical gene of violence with money.

Max Meltzer

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, November 4, 2025 5:52 AM

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Ukraine scaling to 600-800 interceptor drones daily, while Berlin and Copenhagen becoming weapons export hubs

Ukraine expects Neptune missile variants and new Flamingo systems in mass production by December.

by Olena Mukhina | 03/11/2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/03/ukraine-scaling-to-600-800-inte
rceptor-drones-daily-while-berlin-and-copenhagen-become-weapons-export-hubs
/

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Tuesday, November 4, 2025 3:26 PM

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How Europe plans to phase out Russian oil and gas, explained

By Toby Woodall | November 4, 2025 6:07 PM

https://kyivindependent.com/how-europe-plans-to-phase-out-russian-oil-
and-gas-explained
/

In the coming weeks, the EU will decide whether to phase out its remaining Russian fossil fuel imports by early 2027 — or give itself another year.

Whichever deadline it sets, the bloc will face a difficult path to get there. It will have to overcome resistance from some capitals and secure new sources to replace the billion euros' worth of Russian oil and gas still flowing to the EU each month.

The EU has made substantial progress in reducing its long-standing reliance on Russian energy since the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, especially in cutting seaborne oil imports. Gas, on the other hand, continues to account for two-thirds of the bloc’s remaining imports of fossil fuels from Russia.

But how Europe replaces the remaining Russian gas imports depends on the state of the global market for liquified natural gas (LNG), which has played a significant role in substituting pipeline flows from Russia.

Persuading Hungary and Slovakia to give up the cheap flows of Russian oil and gas they continue to import via the Druzhba and Turkstream pipelines will also be key. Both countries have maintained an accommodating stance towards Moscow, repeatedly vetoing sanctions and wringing concessions from the bloc by threatening to do so.

Nevertheless, October saw a concerted effort by the EU alongside the U.S. and U.K. to intensify measures against the Russian energy sector — paving the way for final negotiations of the phase-out plan, known as Repower EU.

On Oct. 22, the U.S. imposed blocking sanctions on Russia’s two largest oil groups, Lukoil and Rosneft, just hours after the EU adopted its first sanctions on Russian LNG imports.

The EU sanctions, which require unanimous reapproval every six months, included a complete ban on Russian LNG starting in 2027. At the same time, the EU is negotiating its longer-term Repower EU legislation that would make the phase-out of Russian oil and gas permanent.

In mid-October, the European Parliament voted for a ban on Russian oil and gas from the start of 2027, while the Council of the EU — which brings together the ministers of its 27 states — backed a later date of January 2028. The two institutions will now negotiate the final timeline.

Pitfalls of the Repower EU plan

The bloc plans to phase out Russian energy under the long-term Repower EU plan by reducing overall energy consumption, expanding renewable generation, and diversifying supplies.

While progress has already been made on all of these fronts, the plan is not without its own shortcomings.

Firstly, high costs have already led European industry to limit energy consumption, and prices remain well above those of the U.S. and China.

Secondly, a shift to renewable energy implies much deeper dependence on China, which exercises a staggering degree of control over the industry — all the way through to minerals like the rare earth metals, exports of which Beijing only recently weaponized, once again, in its trade dispute with the U.S.

Thirdly, securing new supplies of fossil fuels is not without its risks. Since 2022, the U.S. has replaced Russia as the EU’s main source of fossil fuels, but under President Donald Trump has become a less predictable partner.

Trading reliances

The bloc has agreed to increase its imports of American energy even further — to the tune of $250 billion in each of the next three years, under the trade deal struck in July.

The EU remains significantly more reliant on imports of fossil fuels, which account for 58% of primary energy, than other major economies — despite progress in both expanding renewable energy and reducing energy consumption since 2021 — according to a recent Ember Energy report. This cost the bloc some 930 billion euros during the gas crisis of 2021-2024.

While Norway has become the EU’s main overall supplier of natural gas, accounting for a third of imports, mainly via pipeline, the U.S. replaced Russia as the second largest overall supplier this year, and accounted for 24% of overall gas imports in the first quarter of 2025 — providing 53% of LNG imports. Russia’s share of overall gas imports fell to 14% in the first quarter from 19% in the last quarter of 2024.

Imports of Russian LNG have nevertheless remained fairly steady this year, with the EU still Moscow’s main buyer. Despite ample regasification capacity — particularly in Spain, France, and Belgium — the bloc faces global competition for non-Russian LNG, especially from Asian buyers, George Voloshin, an expert on Russian affairs and sanctions, told the Kyiv Independent.

Beyond what could be a fraught winter — depending on the weather — a wave of new LNG supply from the U.S. and Canada is expected to calm the market in 2026. The head of the International Energy Agency recently said that LNG is becoming a buyer’s market as supply expands, reducing prices.

In the meantime, the EU is to resume coordinating firms' purchases of gas "soon," to diversify supplies and obtain more competitive prices, energy commissioner Dan Jorgensen recently said.

Central European headache

Hungary remained the largest EU importer of Russian fossil fuels in September by some margin, spending 166 million euros on oil and 226 million euros on gas. Slovakia was the second largest buyer with oil imports of 145 million euros and gas imports of 62 million euros.

While the Czech Republic drew a line under sixty years of Russian oil imports via the Druzhba pipeline in April, Hungary and Slovakia have shown little inclination to do so — despite the Croatian operator, JANAF, of a pipeline from the Adriatic insisting it can cover the volumes required by Hungarian oil group MOL’s two refineries.

Hungary and Slovakia also continue to rely on gas supplies from Russia’s last operational pipeline to Europe, Turkstream — deliveries via which have risen 7% year on year in the first nine months of 2025.

Not only does the pipeline facilitate ongoing Russian exports, it also undermines European efforts to diversify supplies by flooding the market with discounted gas, which disincentivizes the development of domestic production.

The pipeline reaches the bloc through Bulgaria, which was recently reported to support plans to end Russian gas imports by the end of 2027.

Turkey's deepening ties with Moscow

Longstanding NATO member Turkey has deepened economic cooperation with Moscow since 2022 and has become a significant hub for re-exports of Russian oil and gas to Europe.

The country is now Russia’s third-largest fossil fuel buyer, behind China and India, and the main importer of its refined oil products. In September alone, Turkey bought 2.6 billion euros of Russian fossil fuels, according to the Center for Research on Energy and Clean Air.

As part of the bloc's 18th package of sanctions adopted in July, imports of oil products are to be banned as of January from third countries that are net importers of crude oil, but this far from reliably excludes Russian crude oil, according to a CREA monthly report for July.

Closing these remaining gaps requires not only further sanctions and policy measures, but much stronger enforcement and monitoring.

"Even if the Repower EU legislation is brought forward, there still remain a few concerns," CREA energy analyst Luke Wickenden told the Kyiv Independent.

"Most notably, the controversial Article 15, reportedly introduced at Spain's request, could empower member states to ask for temporary lifting of the ban in case of emergency — though what exactly constitutes an ‘emergency’ remains undefined."

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, November 4, 2025 4:18 PM

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Norway to allocate US$7bn for Ukraine's defence needs in 2026

Ulyana Krychkovska — 4 November, 19:33

https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2025/11/04/8005845/

Norway's Defence Minister Tore O. Sandvik has announced that the country will allocate US$7 billion in 2026 to support Ukraine's defence sector.

Source: Ukrainian Defence Minister Denys Shmyhal on X (Twitter), as reported by European Pravda

Details: Shmyhal is on a visit to Norway, where he met with his Norwegian counterpart. During their meeting, Sandvik announced that Norway will provide US$7 billion for Ukraine's defence needs in 2026.

Shmyhal thanked Sandvik for inviting him to the meeting of defence ministers of the Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF), in which Ukraine will participate for the first time.

Following the meeting, the ministers signed a memorandum on unified quality standards for defence products manufactured or supplied under agreements.

They also signed a memorandum between Ukrainian and Norwegian companies to establish a joint defence production in Ukraine.

Shmyhal and Sandvik discussed the priority needs of Ukraine's Armed Forces and ways to strengthen air defence.

Background:

Recently, Ukraine received a new energy support package from Norway worth around US$150 million to help fund gas purchases for the winter season.

Norway has pledged to deliver a bridge to Sumy Oblast, which will soon be assembled in the Mykolaiv hromada in the Sumy district, as well as medical equipment worth €2 million. [A hromada is an administrative unit designating a village, several villages, or a town, and their adjacent territories – ed.]


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Tuesday, November 4, 2025 5:40 PM

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Russia’s missing army: 144,000 families now turning to Ukraine for answers

October’s findings revealed that 159 captured Russian soldiers included foreigners from Egypt to Belarus.

By Yuri Zoria | 04/11/2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/04/russias-missing-army-144000-fam
ilies-now-turning-to-ukraine-for-answers
/

Ukraine has received over 144,000 appeals from Russian families trying to locate soldiers missing in action, according to Ukraine’s Coordination Headquarters for the Treatment of Prisoners of War. In October alone, the project confirmed 159 Russian invaders held in captivity — including not only Russian nationals but also citizens of Egypt, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Belarus.

This comes amid continued, high-cost Russian offensives in eastern Ukraine, particularly aimed at capturing the rest of Donetsk Oblast.

Russians turn to Ukraine as the Kremlin hides the missing

According to the Coordination Headquarters, every day, hundreds of families from Russia contact Ukraine’s “Want to Find” project, pleading for help in discovering the fate of relatives lost during the full-scale invasion. The HQ says a total of 144,138 appeals have been submitted so far. That number only reflects those who reached out — Ukrainian officials say the actual count of missing invaders is far higher.

Since Russia continues to ignore the growing list of its soldiers reported missing in Ukraine, relatives are increasingly bypassing their own government to seek answers directly from Ukrainian channels, the Headquarters stated.

“Not all families contact the Ukrainian project,” the Coordination Headquarters said, noting the real number of unaccounted-for Russian troops likely exceeds the official appeal count.

In October alone, 9,243 new requests were submitted — about 300 per day. Relatives use the project’s tools to confirm whether someone is dead or in captivity. Those confirmations allow them to pressure Russian authorities to conduct exchanges, the report noted.

Since its launch in January 2024, “Want to Find” has verified the captivity of 3,017 Russian troops, with 1,922 of them already exchanged for Ukrainian defenders. However, many more Russian prisoners remain in Ukrainian custody, the Coordination Headquarters said.

Foreign mercenaries among Russia’s captured soldiers

In October 2025 alone, Ukraine confirmed the presence of 159 Russian invaders in captivity, all listed after appeals from their relatives. Among these were not only Russian citizens but also individuals from Egypt, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, and Belarus.

This aligns with earlier reports from the Ukrainian project “Want to Live”, which said Russia continues to rely on foreign mercenaries to sustain its war against Ukraine.

Low education, low loyalty: who Russia sends to die

Only 2% of the prisoners confirmed in October had higher education. Over half — 53% — had completed only secondary school, while some never progressed beyond primary education. Ukrainian officials say this education profile reflects deliberate recruitment by Russia’s Ministry of Defense, which targets undereducated individuals who are easier to coerce into contracts.

As for why these men chose to fight, just three named patriotism as their motive. The most common reason — cited by 42% — was money. Another 25% said they joined to avoid criminal charges or to clear previous convictions.

Mounting losses in Russia’s ranks

As of the morning of 4 November 2025, the Ukrainian Army’s General Staff reported that total Russian personnel losses since 24 February 2022 stood at approximately 1,145,670. That figure includes 840 new combat losses over the previous day.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 4:32 AM

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Russia spreads AI-powered fake news about Pokrovsk, experts explain campaign’s goal

By Kateryna Serohina | Wed, November 05, 2025 - 05:20

https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/russia-spreads-ai-powered-fake-news-ab
out-1762311377.html


On TikTok, a video is circulating allegedly showing the mass surrender of Ukrainian soldiers in the Pokrovsk direction. These videos are created using artificial intelligence, according to the Center for Countering Disinformation (CCD) of the National Security and Defense Council.
https://t.me/CenterCounteringDisinformation/16121

Most of these videos are accompanied by captions in various foreign languages, the Center notes.

Accounts spreading these videos show signs of being part of a coordinated network, specifically created to promote Kremlin narratives to foreign audiences.

The goal of the campaign, the CCD explains, is to create the impression among foreign users that Ukraine is losing and that military aid is pointless.

Within Ukraine, these fakes are intended to demoralize the population and instill a sense of a catastrophic situation on the front lines.

“Russian forces continue attempts to capture Pokrovsk, fierce battles for the city are ongoing, and the Ukrainian Defense Forces are holding back the enemy. The campaign about the ‘mass surrender of Ukrainian soldiers in Pokrovsk’ is an informational component of the Russian military operation,” the Center emphasizes.

Which fakes does Russia spread?

Previously, RBC-Ukraine, citing the CCD, reported another fake from Russian propaganda claiming that Ukrainian soldiers are allegedly ordered to shoot their own troops who want to leave positions or surrender.

The Center noted that the Russians provided no evidence of the existence of any manual. The rumors are spread, citing anonymous sources, without documents, photos, or official confirmation.

The CCD stresses that the claim about shooting their own troops is a mirror projection of practices inherent to the Russian army, which pro-Kremlin propaganda attempts to attribute to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

The CCD also reported that Russian propaganda spreads disinformation suggesting that Ukrainian troops are mining apartment buildings in Kostiantynivka and prohibiting residents from leaving the city.
https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/russian-propaganda-spreads-new-lies-ab
out-1761958951.html


By spreading such fakes, propagandists aim to justify their own numerous crimes and shift the blame onto Ukraine, the CCD believes.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 10:18 AM

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How many soldiers have Russia and Ukraine lost? And how do their armies compare?

Meduza’s military analysts answer readers’ biggest questions about the war (part 3)

10:45 am, November 4, 2025

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/11/04/how-many-soldiers-have-russia-
and-ukraine-lost-and-how-do-their-armies-compare



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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 10:22 AM

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Russia Is Taking Over 1,000 Casualties a Day Fighting in Ukraine

By Stavros Atlamazoglou | November 4, 2025

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/russia-is-taking-over-1000-casu
alties-a-day-fighting-in-ukraine-sa-110425


Thus far in 2025, the Russian forces have taken approximately 353,000 casualties.


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 1:37 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
How many soldiers have Russia and Ukraine lost? And how do their armies compare?

Meduza’s military analysts answer readers’ biggest questions about the war (part 3)

10:45 am, November 4, 2025

https://meduza.io/en/feature/2025/11/04/how-many-soldiers-have-russia-
and-ukraine-lost-and-how-do-their-armies-compare



The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two



I see, SECOND, that you're getting around to Meduza/ Mediazona.


Quote:

There’s only relatively complete data for Russian military deaths. After Russia’s Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat), stopped publishing overall mortality figures (along with much other public data), the country’s National Inheritance Registry became the only reliable and sufficiently comprehensive source for assessing Russian combat losses. Meduza and Mediazona have been jointly analyzing it since 2023, and our calculations for 2022 and 2023 closely matched demographic estimates based on Rosstat’s own mortality data.

By mid-2025, between 200,000 and 220,000 Russians had been killed in the war. This figure excludes foreign nationals — including Ukrainian citizens who fought for Russia — and those without an official death certificate (for example, missing persons). However, Russian law allows courts to declare a person dead even if no body has been recovered. Around the turn of 2024–2025, there was a sharp increase in such court rulings, most initiated by military authorities. The Russian Defense Ministry appears to have decided to reduce the number of missing soldiers by officially reclassifying them as dead. In total, between 30,000 and 40,000 court cases to declare missing soldiers dead had been opened by mid-2025.



Also

Quote:

Estimating Ukrainian losses is even more difficult. Since the start of the war, Ukraine’s statistical agencies haven’t released mortality data by age or gender, nor is there a public registry comparable to Russia’s inheritance database. The only option is to compare name-based lists of the dead compiled from obituaries and other open sources. The Russian database maintained by Mediazona, BBC News Russian, and volunteers contains over 140,000 names, while the Ukrainian list is nearly half that size. However, Ukraine also has a separate list of more than 80,000 missing soldiers.


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"It may be dangerous to be America's enemy, but to be America's friend is fatal."- Henry Kissinger

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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 2:05 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The Way Out Of Myrnohrad For Ukrainian Troops Is 3 Kilometers Across. 'It Is Time … To Abandon.'

Ukrainian forces have clung to Myrnohrad too long. The town is indefensible … and escape is risky.

The deadly pattern from Bakhmut and Avdiivka is repeating: commanders delaying withdrawal until escape becomes catastrophic.

By David Axe | November 4, 2025

https://euromaidanpress.com/2025/11/04/time-to-retreat-from-myrnohrad/

One commenter wrote that Ukrainian generals have been making the same mistake since 2014:
"Previous catastrophic withdrawals: Ilovaisk, August 2014; Debaltsevo, 2015. Who are the Ukrainian generals who keep repeating these sacrifices? They should be shot... We're at war, give or take a bullet..."

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two

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second 11.05 04:32
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