REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

new deadly human-to-human-transmissible coronavirus emerges out of China

POSTED BY: 1KIKI
UPDATED: Thursday, September 5, 2024 19:55
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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:22 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Nope. Your count is off. Your sizing is off. And you didn't specify how many cupboards you're assuming.

Try again.

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:50 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by captaincrunch:
You can always tell when SIGNUTS is about to lie her @ss off because she'll accuse others of lying.
Check out this whopper:

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
I don't have enuf frig space for more than a week's-worth of food, and my smallish freezer (the one that I already said was too small) only has enough room for two or three weeks of meat and cheese, and no room left over for frozen vegies. I know my storage limits. When we unpack groceries, the frig and freezer are full. By the next week, they're pretty empty. So I shop, once per week.



You have a fridge, 2 freezers, a pantry / storage for dry goods and you say you can't make it last for more than a week?
You must have the fattest family in California.

"When we unpack groceries, the frig and freezer are full." Both freezers?
WTF do you put in both your freezer? Whole pig? How many pounds of meat do you eat in a week? How many eggs? How many loaves of bread...how many gallons of milk do you drink in a day?

On top of which you "say" you're "also on a modified fast most of the time."
Is that the kind of fast where you eat more than usual?

You're such a lying sack of sh*t.

Wrong again, fool. Find me the post where I said I had a pantry and two freezers.

WHY do you keep posting stuff about me that you couldn't POSSIBLY know, is always wrong, and biased to the negative??? Why do you keep lying?

Now, do you mind not shitting up this thread with lies, personal attacks, and irrelevancies? Or is that how you earn your "working from home" paycheck?

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If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:59 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Maybe he's really, really confused.

Yanno, I swear he's Geezer, after the stroke, and then dementia set in. All of the mendacity, zero of the mental acuity. Which leads to a crap ton of very poorly done lying. Which is why he was put out to pasture here.

Anyway, for all I know, maybe HE's the one with the pantry and 2 freezers!

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 12:00 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Gotta hop!

Ciao.

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 12:02 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

6IXSTRINGJACK:

I heard they've developed a self-testing kit that is similar to a pregnancy test that will allow you to test not only whether or not you have COVID currently, but if you already had it and recovered.

Not sure if that's true at all because we're in the era of Post-Truth, but if it is, imagine the implications of that. Both good, and bad.


"You're free to go back to work, as long as you clear the results with us and send us a sample of your DNA along with it.", among others.



The good news is that we'd finally have legitimate death ratios instead of all the fear mongering that's been going on for months now.



Quote:

SIGNYM:
That would be interesting if true

links please



Quote:

6IXSTRINGJACK:

I don't have any. It's something my old man mentioned yesterday. He doesn't troll the internet so I'm assuming it was some Legacy Media news source he heard it from. Just thought it was interesting and wondered if anybody heard about it. I'll see if I can find anything.



Quote:

Originally posted by second:

"Self-testing at home to find out whether somebody has had Covid-19 is an efficient way to find out if they are safe to return to work, a senior health official has said.

Prof Yvonne Doyle, the medical director of Public Health England, told the health select committee that finger-prick home tests would be available very soon. “We expect that to come within a couple of weeks, but I wouldn’t want to promise on that,” she said."

More at www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/26/covid-19-self-test-could-allow-r
eturn-to-work-says-public-health-england
]




Thanks.

Though I don't usually put any stock in what theguardian has to say about anything, I'll choose to remain optomistic that this is actually legit.

There's also this article that they linked to in there.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/25/uk-coronavirus-mass-home
-testing-to-be-made-available-within-days


Quote:

“Several million tests have been purchased for use. These are brand new products. We have to be clear they work as they are claimed to do,” Peacock said. “Once they have been tested this week and the bulk of tests arrive, they will be distributed into the community.”

Amazon has agreed to carry out distribution and the tests are also set to go on sale in chemist shops.

The test detects the presence of IgM, an antibody that arises very early on in the infection, and IgG, which is increased in the body’s response to the virus. The results of some of the tests on order can be read by anyone, but others would need to be interpreted by healthcare professionals.




Like I said before though, this is both obviously very good news and potentially very bad as well. It all depends on how it is used.

My guess, since we still live in America and we're going to at least try to put up a pretense of being in a free country, there are not ever going to be any mandates to take these tests and hand over the results to the government by gunpoint, but there could be huge financial incentives to do so and/or equal penalties for choosing not to.



Just for a moment, think about exactly how something like this would need to be carried out. Ask yourself a few questions. Here's a few that I could think of right off the top of my head, but I'm sure I can come up with more, especially when we see what happens with this product in the coming weeks and months.

1. How would the government and your employer be sure that you took the test and you're cleared for work?

2. How would they know that you didn't have somebody else take the test for you?

3. Short of forcing people to take the tests, how could the government incentivize people to do so?

4. In areas where they may have started handing out tickets to people not complying with social distancing mandates, how would police enforcement know that two people standing a foot apart in the street be safe to do so after they've both been cleared?

5. What are possible implications of this entire process that most people might not immediately think about when this goes into action?






************************************************************
Think about those questions to yourself and come up with your own answers to them, or decide if you think they are just bullshit too before you read my own answers to them. I'd like to hear what you think, and I really think you should think about this.
************************************************************



So... you've thought about it and came up with your own answers. Good.

Here's mine.

1. How would the government and your employer be sure that you took the test and you're cleared for work?

I don't see any other way to do this than to submit the tests themselves to the government. What does this mean? It means for sure that none of this is going to happen overnight, no matter how quickly the tests can be produced in mass quantities since there is no existing system in place to catalog this type of thing on a mass scale.

The closest thing we probably have is drug testing labs for employment and court ordered purposes for criminals. None of these labs are big enough to handle this type of work. We'd likely have to submit them to our doctors (if we have one), or possibly the police or some other government entity if we didn't.

If you think it's taking a long time to cut Stimulus Checks or re-vamp unemployment sites to handle the stimulus bill changes, that's nothing compared to the time it's going to take to build this infrastructure.



2. How would they know that you didn't have somebody else take the test for you?

DNA, likely. Short of walking into a police station or drug testing lab and having somebody hold your wiener for you while you pee on it, there's no other way that's going to happen.

Those online DNA testing companies that tons of people already willingly submitted their DNA to for medical or family history related reasons have already come under fire for sharing their databases with the government. So for many, they already have something to match it to.

Maybe additional hoops will need to be jumped through for individuals who don't already have their DNA on file for comparison.




3. Short of forcing people to take the tests, how could the government incentivize people to do so?

They're already talking about a second round of stimulus checks. Maybe just hold those hostage. Are you getting unemployment with the additional $600 per week? Well... we're just going to hold onto the rest of those extended benefits for you until you take the test.

Beyond financial incentives, people are really just going to be dying to get back to their old lives and are probably going to be going a little bit crazy while on lockdown. It might not even take any financial incentives at all.




4. In areas where they may have started handing out tickets to people not complying with social distancing mandates, how would police enforcement know that two people standing a foot apart in the street be safe to do so after they've both been cleared?

I dunno. Maybe we bring back the "Scarlet Letter"? Holocaust Badges, anyone?

https://www.holocaustcenter.org/visit/library-archive/holocaust-badges/

Only this time, it's a good thing if you're wearing one, and you know to shun, shame and keep your distance from anyone who isn't wearing one.



(I guess that's further incentivizeation to get people to do it after it starts rolling out. Make those who haven't social pariahs).




5. What are possible implications of this entire process that most people might not immediately think about when this goes into action?

I could go on and on with this question until the end of time.

But for now, I'll just say that to anybody who was opposed to the idea of a question asking if you were a legal US Citizen on the 2020 Census, well... You're probably REALLY not going to like any of the processes coming down the pike when this thing is implemented.




Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 1:03 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX: I heard they've developed a self-testing kit that is similar to a pregnancy test that will allow you to test not only whether or not you have COVID currently, but if you already had it and recovered.
Not sure if that's true at all because we're in the era of Post-Truth, but if it is, imagine the implications of that. Both good, and bad.
"You're free to go back to work, as long as you clear the results with us and send us a sample of your DNA along with it.", among others.
The good news is that we'd finally have legitimate death ratios instead of all the fear mongering that's been going on for months now.

SIGNYM:
That would be interesting if true. links please


SECOND:
"Self-testing at home to find out whether somebody has had Covid-19 is an efficient way to find out if they are safe to return to work, a senior health official has said.
Prof Yvonne Doyle, the medical director of Public Health England, told the health select committee that finger-prick home tests would be available very soon. “We expect that to come within a couple of weeks, but I wouldn’t want to promise on that,” she said."

More at www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/26/covid-19-self-test-could-allow-r
eturn-to-work-says-public-health-england
]



Thanks from me too.

Quote:

SIX: Though I don't usually put any stock in what theguardian has to say about anything, I'll choose to remain optomistic that this is actually legit.

There's also this article that they linked to in there.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/25/uk-coronavirus-mass-home
-testing-to-be-made-available-within-days


“Several million tests have been purchased for use. These are brand new products. We have to be clear they work as they are claimed to do,” Peacock said. “Once they have been tested this week and the bulk of tests arrive, they will be distributed into the community.”

Amazon has agreed to carry out distribution and the tests are also set to go on sale in chemist shops.

The test detects the presence of IgM, an antibody that arises very early on in the infection, and IgG, which is increased in the body’s response to the virus. The results of some of the tests on order can be read by anyone, but others would need to be interpreted by healthcare professionals.

Er ... IgM and IgG (Immunoglobulin M and immunoglobulin G ... respond to things OTHER THAN Covid-19. If the test is just looking for generic rises in the Igs, it's likely to produce "false positives" since people get sick with flu and cold too. Reading the article, it seems that it is NOT specific for Covid-19.

Also, this is the SECOND finger-stick serological test to be approved by the FDA.

BOTH test kits (Cellex, and BD) are made in ... guess what? ... China. Another example of our dependence on China for manufacturing.

Quote:

SIX: Like I said before though, this is both obviously very good news and potentially very bad as well. It all depends on how it is used.
My guess, since we still live in America and we're going to at least try to put up a pretense of being in a free country, there are not ever going to be any mandates to take these tests and hand over the results to the government by gunpoint, but there could be huge financial incentives to do so and/or equal penalties for choosing not to.
Just for a moment, think about exactly how something like this would need to be carried out. Ask yourself a few questions. Here's a few that I could think of right off the top of my head, but I'm sure I can come up with more, especially when we see what happens with this product in the coming weeks and months...

1. How would the government and your employer be sure that you took the test and you're cleared for work?

I don't see any other way to do this than to submit the tests themselves to the government.

If it's like a home pregnancy test, the stripes or indicators fade with time. What would the government want with a bunch of blood-contaminated unreadable plastic gizmos of unknown provenance?

Quote:

SIX: ...

2. How would they know that you didn't have somebody else take the test for you?

DNA, likely. Short of walking into a police station or drug testing lab and having somebody hold your wiener for you while you pee on it, there's no other way that's going to happen.

Those online DNA testing companies that tons of people already willingly submitted their DNA to for medical or family history related reasons have already come under fire for sharing their databases with the government. So for many, they already have something to match it to.

Maybe additional hoops will need to be jumped through for individuals who don't already have their DNA on file for comparison.

For many, they don't. It seems to me that the DNA sample itself would have to to be taken under observation, with the person presenting proper ID, and all chain of custody being followed, if you want the test result AND the DNA to have relevant legal meaning.


Quote:

SIX: 3. Short of forcing people to take the tests, how could the government incentivize people to do so?

They're already talking about a second round of stimulus checks. Maybe just hold those hostage. Are you getting unemployment with the additional $600 per week? Well... we're just going to hold onto the rest of those extended benefits for you until you take the test.

Beyond financial incentives, people are really just going to be dying to get back to their old lives and are probably going to be going a little bit crazy while on lockdown. It might not even take any financial incentives at all.

Again, if you incentivize people to take the test, you incentivize people to cheat. All kinds of controls would be required on getting those results, I would imagine.

Quote:

4. In areas where they may have started handing out tickets to people not complying with social distancing mandates, how would police enforcement know that two people standing a foot apart in the street be safe to do so after they've both been cleared?

I dunno. Maybe we bring back the "Scarlet Letter"? Holocaust Badges, anyone?
https://www.holocaustcenter.org/visit/library-archive/holocaust-badges/
Only this time, it's a good thing if you're wearing one, and you know to shun, shame and keep your distance from anyone who isn't wearing one.


(I guess that's further incentivizeation to get people to do it after it starts rolling out. Make those who haven't social pariahs).

Isn't it a lot simpler to just WEAR A MASK? Why clusterfuck things??



Quote:

SIX: 5. What are possible implications of this entire process that most people might not immediately think about when this goes into action?

I could go on and on with this question until the end of time.
But for now, I'll just say that to anybody who was opposed to the idea of a question asking if you were a legal US Citizen on the 2020 Census, well... You're probably REALLY not going to like any of the processes coming down the pike when this thing is implemented.


Probably not.

The test makers have already characterized the sensitivity (false negatives) and specificity (false positives) of the test. The FDA is going to review the results and decide whether or not to allow the test.

But I think, given all of the logistical and legal hurdles in the way of making this test legally relevant (plus the fact that you should probably take the test two or three times, a week apart each time to allow the antibodies a chance to develop if you just happened to test yourself right after exposure the first time) an "in-home" test is going to be like a blood sugar test or pregnancy test: FYI only.

Very useful information, to be sure, but just for you.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 1:25 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Johns Hopkins
http://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/resources/COVID-19/200228-Serol
ogy-testing-COVID.pdf

200228-serology-testing-COVID.pdf

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 1:58 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


I can't read your reply. You should remove the image so the text doesn't scroll off the border.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 8:11 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Would people who die from COVID-19 have died within a year anyway?



No.

Those COVID-19 deaths represent EXCESS deaths.



https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/coronavirus-poses-higher-risk
-for-those-with-diabetes-and-heart-disease-%E2%80%94-not-just-older-australians/ar-BB12chzP

death rates were above 10 per cent for those with a heart condition and 7 per cent for those with diabetes
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/risk-severe-covid-19-increases-decade-ag
e/story

https://www.yourlifechoices.com.au/health/covid19/chronic-illness-and-
covid19

13 per cent of infected people aged 80 or over will die
Hypertension proportion who die 6%
Diabetes proportion who die 7%
Cardiovascular disease proportion who die 11%
Chronic respiratory disease proportion who die 6%
Cancer proportion who die 6%
http://theconversation.com/why-are-older-people-more-at-risk-of-corona
virus-133770

80+ death rate 14.8%
70-79 8.0%
60-69 3.6%
50-59 1.3%
40-49 0.4%


How can I be so unequivocal?

Here's one example: roughly 34M Americans have diabetes, but only somewhat less than a quarter million die from diabetes in a year. That's 0.8% who die from diabetes. And yet, that same population dying at a normal rate of 0.8% from diabetes dies at a rate of 7% from COVID-19. That's A LOT of EXCESS deaths: 6% of diabetics who weren't going to die anyway, had their lives cut short by COVID-19.

You can run the same calculation for other conditions, or for age.

No matter which category you calculate, the people who die were NOT at death's door, ready to be written off by Jack.



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Sunday, April 5, 2020 8:23 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Would people who die from COVID-19 have died within a year anyway?



No.

Those COVID-19 deaths represent EXCESS deaths.



https://www.msn.com/en-au/news/australia/coronavirus-poses-higher-risk
-for-those-with-diabetes-and-heart-disease-%E2%80%94-not-just-older-australians/ar-BB12chzP

death rates were above 10 per cent for those with a heart condition and 7 per cent for those with diabetes
https://abcnews.go.com/Health/risk-severe-covid-19-increases-decade-ag
e/story

https://www.yourlifechoices.com.au/health/covid19/chronic-illness-and-
covid19

13 per cent of infected people aged 80 or over will die
Hypertension proportion who die 6%
Diabetes proportion who die 7%
Cardiovascular disease proportion who die 11%
Chronic respiratory disease proportion who die 6%
Cancer proportion who die 6%
http://theconversation.com/why-are-older-people-more-at-risk-of-corona
virus-133770

80+ death rate 14.8%
70-79 8.0%
60-69 3.6%
50-59 1.3%
40-49 0.4%


How can I be so unequivocal?

Here's one example: roughly 34M Americans have diabetes, but only somewhat less than a quarter million die from diabetes in a year. That's 0.8% who die from diabetes. And yet, that same population dying at a normal rate of 0.8% from diabetes dies at a rate of 7% from COVID-19. That's A LOT of EXCESS deaths: 6% of diabetics who weren't going to die anyway, had their lives cut short by COVID-19.

You can run the same calculation for other conditions, or for age.

No matter which category you calculate, the people who die were NOT at death's door, ready to be written off by Jack.






What percentage of any of those categories are within the age range of those dying? You're throwing in everybody who has those illnesses, including all of them who are much younger and aren't likely to die even if they get the Coomf and they will recover from it.

Your numbers are dumb, and your comparisons are flawed.


And as I've stated before, it's not just people who were going to die this year, but people who would have died in the next couple of years from one of those illnesses anyhow.

There will be less deaths among old people with those illnesses over the next few years than expected before because, yes, they will die this year instead.

Facts of life, hun. Get over it.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 8:32 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


KIKI, I wanted to get your feedback on this

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
So since the SARS Cov-2 virus docks onto human cells via the ACE-2 receptor (typically found in the small vessels of the lungs but also the kidneys, which explains the kidney damage that is ALSO found after Covid-19) I wondered whether the ACE receptor blockers (ARBs) would interfere with docking and blunt the infection. But it turns out that ARBs actually cause an overexpression of ACE-2 recpetors (by a factor of 3-5X) which may explain why people with high blood pressure or heart problems far so poorly: Not because of the blood pressure or heart failure but because of the medications they're taking. THAT might explain the high death rate in Italy.

I guess I wasn't the first person to think about this, there is an active discussion about this in the medical community. https://www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinical/ace-inhibitors-arbs-and-covi
d-19-what-gps-need-to


On the other hand, a comment buzzed past my ear while I was doing other things that soking prevented the kind of cytokine storm that quickly sent patients CTD (circling the drain). Since it was kind of random, I don't recall where I heard it, but what I found when looking it up is that according to the only studies that could be found on the topic, smoing actually RAISES the risk of severe complications and deaths. http://www.tobaccoinduceddiseases.org/COVID-19-and-smoking-A-systemati
c-review-of-the-evidence,119324,0,2.html
So much for THAT idea (although I will continue to try and find the source of that comment, and any supporting info.)



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Sunday, April 5, 2020 8:34 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX: And as I've stated before, it's not just people who were going to die this year, but people who would have died in the next couple of years from one of those illnesses anyhow.
SIX, we're ALL going to die of "something" anyhow.

SO why don't we just hurry the process along and just shove everyone over 60 into to gas chambers?

Yours is a stupid argument.

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If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 8:50 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

What percentage of any of those categories are within the age range of those dying? You're throwing in everybody who has those illnesses, including all of them who are much younger and aren't likely to die even if they get the Coomf and they will recover from it.

Your numbers are dumb, and your comparisons are flawed.


And as I've stated before, it's not just people who were going to die this year, but people who would have died in the next couple of years from one of those illnesses anyhow.

There will be less deaths among old people with those illnesses over the next few years than expected before because, yes, they will die this year instead.

Facts of life, hun. Get over it.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

I agree with Signy.

In fact, why not abort every fetus ever conceived if it's just going to die anyway? Because - according to you - it's merely a matter of time, place, and cause; and those are meaningless details. According to you.

Yours is not only a really stupid argument, it's a morally bankrupt one.

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 9:16 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


So, here's the interesting case of Germany's really low case fatality rate ... and it's not just about a lot of quickly-available testing, or a younger, healthier population.

Quote:



Germany has remarkably few COVID-19 deaths. Its healthcare system shows how Germany prevented a runaway death toll.

Here's how Germany turned itself around as one of the European countries with the highest number of COVID-19 cases to having one of the lowest mortality rates of COVID-19 worldwide.

† February: Germany has one of the highest infection rates in the world
But Germany sprung into action. By the time Trump made his comments (February 26, 2020), Germany was already taking action to address the coronavirus threat.

† Late February and early March: Germany's forceful and rapid response
In late February, the country extended school and daycare facility closures and required anyone who had contact with confirmed cases to remain in isolation for 14 days. Even in unconfirmed cases — those who had been near someone with coronavirus-like symptoms — were told to self-isolate.
Meanwhile, the government said that it would limit outside travel into the country and begin acquiring protective medical equipment to prepare for the COVID-19 fight. Along the way, despite an inability to get rapid test results, Germany was ramping up its testing efforts.
Germany was one of the first countries to develop a testing system for COVID-19. It's early access to reliable tests for COVID-19 meant that Germany could "get a much better handle on who was infected, isolate contacts, and treat those who need care," Jennifer Kates, the senior vice president and global health and HIV policy director at the Kaiser Family Foundation said.

† March 9-10: The first deaths
German chancellor Angela Merkel and her administration told Germany that they would need to do "everything possible" to slow the coronavirus spread and save lives. She announced that gatherings of more than 1,000 people would be shut down. This was 7 days before Trump recommended social distancing measures in the US based on CDC guidelines.
But perhaps what has contributed to Germany's low death rate most is an ace up its sleeve that many other countries can't match: An extremely high bed-to-person ratio. According to data from HealthSystemTracker, Germany has 8.1 hospital beds per 1,000 people and 6.1 ICU beds per 1,000 people. Italy has 3.2 hospital beds per 1,000 and 2.6 ICU beds per 1,000. The US has 2.8 hospital beds per 1,000 and 2.4 ICU beds per 1,000 people.
"Germany hospital capacity surpasses that of many other countries," Kates said. It's been a key factor in saving lives and not overwhelming a strained healthcare system.

† March 17: A bigger risk — and problems testing
On March 17, the Robert Koch Institute, which monitors public health across the country, changed COVID-19's health risk to "high" in Germany.
The German government said that because of a lag of about three to four days between testing and results, it believed the real number of cases was higher than the recorded 7,000, or so. Germany quickly expanded the number of COVID-19 beds by 1,000 to accommodate extra needs.
In the ensuing days, more curfews and quarantines went into effect. Social distancing, a core component in any country's battle with COVID-19, was further tightened as schools, daycare facilities, and other gathering limitations were extended. At the right time, Germany responded forcefully, experts said.

† March 22: A widespread crackdown
By March 22, Germany's cases hovered at around 25,000, but deaths were just 86 — a fatality rate of approximately 0.3% that easily outpaced China, Italy, and nearly every other country around the world.
That day, the German government announced that people would need to remain six feet apart, and gatherings of more than two people were forbidden. Germans were also asked to stay home, unless necessary.
It was a move made just a day after Italy announced similar national restrictions on movement and non-essential business activity. But by then, the differences between Germany and Italy were stark: Italy reached more than 59,000 cases that day and nearly 5,500 deaths.

† Late March into April: Questions abound
"Germany is not out of the woods yet," Kates said.

https://www.businessinsider.com/why-germany-has-a-low-covid-19-mortali
ty-rate-2020-4





Of course it helps that Germany is the Queen of the EU, with lots of spare cash to forward its agendas.


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Sunday, April 5, 2020 9:37 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

What percentage of any of those categories are within the age range of those dying? You're throwing in everybody who has those illnesses, including all of them who are much younger and aren't likely to die even if they get the Coomf and they will recover from it.

Your numbers are dumb, and your comparisons are flawed.


And as I've stated before, it's not just people who were going to die this year, but people who would have died in the next couple of years from one of those illnesses anyhow.

There will be less deaths among old people with those illnesses over the next few years than expected before because, yes, they will die this year instead.

Facts of life, hun. Get over it.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

I agree with Signy.

In fact, why not abort every fetus ever conceived if it's just going to die anyway? Because - according to you - it's merely a matter of time, place, and cause; and those are meaningless details. According to you.

Yours is not only a really stupid argument, it's a morally bankrupt one.




Boo Hoo. Cry me a river.

I noticed you're not even going to touch the property tax issue, are you?


Why don't you stick to Chemistry and Biology and leave taxes and statistics to people who know what they're doing. Numbers certainly are not in your wheelhouse.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 9:57 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


I replied to your property tax 'issue'.

Please read it.

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 10:05 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


To further address Jack's fallacious claim that people with diabetes are going to die in a couple of years anyway, I took a look at average lifespan of people with diabetes.


https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/317477#life-expectancy-with-
type-2-diabetes


A 2010 report from the United Kingdom estimated that type 2 diabetes reduced life expectancy by *up to 10 years* ... A 2012 Canadian study calculated... that the disease caused an average reduction of 6 years in females and 5 years in males.

(So with) ... the average (US) life expectancy at birth for males (of) 76.4 years .... for females ... 81.2 years

...the average diabetic can expect to live to about 71.4 years for males, and about 75.4 years for females. Is a 40 year old diabetic at a 6-7% risk of dying from COVID-19 getting ready to die within the year? In another year? Or two? Or is it more like in 35-40 years?

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:17 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
I replied to your property tax 'issue'.

Please read it.




No.

You didn't.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:21 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
To further address Jack's fallacious claim that people with diabetes are going to die in a couple of years anyway, I took a look at average lifespan of people with diabetes.


https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/317477#life-expectancy-with-
type-2-diabetes


A 2010 report from the United Kingdom estimated that type 2 diabetes reduced life expectancy by *up to 10 years* ... A 2012 Canadian study calculated... that the disease caused an average reduction of 6 years in females and 5 years in males.

(So with) ... the average (US) life expectancy at birth for males (of) 76.4 years .... for females ... 81.2 years

...the average diabetic can expect to live to about 71.4 years for males, and about 75.4 years for females. Is a 40 year old diabetic at a 6-7% risk of dying from COVID-19 getting ready to die within the year? In another year? Or two? Or is it more like in 35-40 years?




I didn't say that "people with diabetes are going to die in a few years anyway".

In fact, NOBODY is saying that, even about those who are not extremely old and have the virus. Even the statistics you site all the time from Johns Hopkins say that, nor does the CDC or the WHO.

I said that old people close to the average age of COVID deaths, (yanno those who are OLDER than both the average age spans of people who die of diabetes that you just posted here) who also have diabetes and/or chronic heart issues and/or lung disease and/or high blood pressure are going to die in a few years anyway. (ie: Those who are roughly 80 years or older who are already in poor health for one reason or another).




And, BTW, your "40 year old diabetic at a 6-7% risk of dying from COVID-19" statistic is pure bullshit.

That's based off of confirmed cases vs. deaths. There is ZERO way to know how many people who currently have it (healthy or otherwise) that don't even know that they have it. With testing kits as hard to come by as they are, unless you're deathly ill you are not getting tested in most parts of the country and you aren't being counted.

That being said, at least until the new testing kits are proven to work, distributed en masse, and legitimately cataloged, there is also no way to even know how many people have had it that are already over it and immune either.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:51 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


And to finally put the nail into the coffin of Jack's argument, I did look up statistics, because there are statistical techniques for unscrambling multiple causes from each other. I was confident that there were plenty of statistical analyses, and I was right. How could there not be? People need to find out what's important and what isn't.

Here's one written for the semi-layperson:

Quote:

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/03/who-is-getting-sick-and-how-sick-a
-breakdown-of-coronavirus-risk-by-demographic-factors
/

After taking into account the patients’ ages and smoking status, the researchers found that the 399 patients with at least one additional disease (including cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, hepatitis B, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney diseases, and cancer) had a 79% greater chance of requiring intensive care or a respirator or both, or of dying, they reported last week in a paper posted to medRxiv, a preprint site that posts research before it has been peer-reviewed. The 130 with two or more additional diseases had 2.5 times the risk of any of those outcomes.



This article is even more to the point of Jack's ridiculous posts:
Quote:

https://medium.com/wintoncentre/how-much-normal-risk-does-covid-repres
ent-4539118e1196

Mashing all conditions and diseases into one grand average by decade of age, if you're a 40-49 year old male, and get COVID-19, you will lose, on average, 7 months off your life. If you're a 60-69 year old female and get infected, you'll lose, on average, over 2 years off your life. A male in the 70-79 year old age range can expect to lose 4 years off their lifespan from COVID-19.

OBVIOUSLY, COVID-19 isn't merely harvesting people who were going to die that year anyway, as Jack originally posted. Or even within a year or two, as he later dodged.

Especially older people who get COVID-19 can expect to die, on average, multiple years earlier than normal.

This isn't swapping out one imminent cause of death for another imminent cause of death, as he claims.

It's killing people off who wouldn't ordinarily have died for quite some time.



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Sunday, April 5, 2020 11:53 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Added to my last post while you were posting more bullshit:





And, BTW, your "40 year old diabetic at a 6-7% risk of dying from COVID-19" statistic is pure bullshit.

That's based off of confirmed cases vs. deaths. There is ZERO way to know how many people who currently have it (healthy or otherwise) that don't even know that they have it. With testing kits as hard to come by as they are, unless you're deathly ill you are not getting tested in most parts of the country and you aren't being counted.

That being said, at least until the new testing kits are proven to work, distributed en masse, and legitimately cataloged, there is also no way to even know how many people have had it that are already over it and immune either.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 6, 2020 12:01 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


I hope you realize I don't read your posts because they offer no data, no evidence, no links - just your personal opinion. Which is like an asshole. Everybody has one.

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Monday, April 6, 2020 12:06 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


To continue on ... contrary to Jack's contention that the people who die are at death's door anyway, Germany provides a striking example of how that is untrue. Its case fatality rate is a smidge over 1%. So dying seems to be more related to how interested-in, and capable-of, the society is in saving people medically.

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Monday, April 6, 2020 2:45 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


I don't give a shit what your opinion is, woman.

I deal with facts, statistics and probability, as well as factoring in unknowns. Unknowns that your simple mind is apparently completely incapable of even pondering or even admitting exist in the first place.

But keep watching your news and wearing your masks and cowering in fear of the 125 micron bogey man. They didn't scare you with Russia, but they sure as hell got you pissing yourself right now.



I see you still haven't replied to the property tax thread after I gave you an education smack down as a retort your feeble attempt at wit.

That's the first smart thing I've seen you do in a while. Do yourself a favor and keep it that way.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 6, 2020 3:45 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


lol

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Monday, April 6, 2020 4:45 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


SIX is clinging to the contention that we don't know the REAL "case fatality rate" and that somehow makes all of the bodies stacking up in refrigerated trucks (because they ran out of morgue space) disappear.

SIX, you're right, we DON'T know the case fatality rate. OTOH, with over 1,000 deaths per day caused by Covid-19 (and evidence that coroners, medical examiners etc are undercounting those deaths even so) it's turned into the third-highest cause of death IN THE USA.

NOT your typical flu!

And if "nothing" was done, as you seem to be advocating, what would the death rate look like then? 2,000/day? More? Until it becomes THE leading cause of death?

So what's your point? That it's not "worth" slowing the economy down temporarily to save hundreds of thousands or millions of people? That approach only benefits the wealthy. Which brings up an interesting philosophical point: Is "the economy" supposed to be working for people? Or are people supposed to be "working for" the economy? What is an economy FOR, anyway?



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

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Monday, April 6, 2020 4:47 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.



KIKI, I wanted to get your feedback on this

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
So since the SARS Cov-2 virus docks onto human cells via the ACE-2 receptor (typically found in the small vessels of the lungs but also the kidneys, which explains the kidney damage that is ALSO found after Covid-19) I wondered whether the ACE receptor blockers (ARBs) would interfere with docking and blunt the infection. But it turns out that ARBs actually cause an overexpression of ACE-2 recpetors (by a factor of 3-5X) which may explain why people with high blood pressure or heart problems far so poorly: Not because of the blood pressure or heart failure but because of the medications they're taking. THAT might explain the high death rate in Italy.

I guess I wasn't the first person to think about this, there is an active discussion about this in the medical community. https://www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinical/ace-inhibitors-arbs-and-covi
d-19-what-gps-need-to


On the other hand, a comment buzzed past my ear while I was doing other things that soking prevented the kind of cytokine storm that quickly sent patients CTD (circling the drain). Since it was kind of random, I don't recall where I heard it, but what I found when looking it up is that according to the only studies that could be found on the topic, smoing actually RAISES the risk of severe complications and deaths. http://www.tobaccoinduceddiseases.org/COVID-19-and-smoking-A-systemati
c-review-of-the-evidence,119324,0,2.html
So much for THAT idea (although I will continue to try and find the source of that comment, and any supporting info.)



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

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Monday, April 6, 2020 5:54 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


The first Covid 19 case diagnosed in New Jersey
www.nytimes.com/2020/04/05/magazine/first-coronavirus-patient-new-jers
ey.html


Commentary on the above article: Remdesivir III

Robert Waldmann | April 5, 2020 8:20 pm

https://angrybearblog.com/2020/04/remdesivir-iii.html

The first Covid 19 case diagnosed in New Jersey

Around 3 a.m. on March 10, Balani arrived at the hospital. The medicine had come in, and she did not want to wait until the morning to administer it. With Balani in the room, a nurse woke Cai up so that he could sign the legal papers. Soon after, he was hooked up, intravenously, to the drug.

The next day Cai’s fever, which he’d had for at least nine days, finally broke. Even before he received the remdesivir, his oxygen levels started to stabilize. Now they indicated he was on the mend. He was still so weak in the following days that he could barely speak without exhaustion; every time he tried, he was racked by coughs. But the progress was steady

Chloroquine also ran, It was used for a day while the Remdesivir was in the mail,

Cai’s boss, Dr. George Hall, also made a call, not long after Huang spoke to the infectious-disease doctor on call. He spoke with another doctor on Cai’s caregiving team, a hospitalist named Danit Arad.

[skip]

Hall explained …that the Chinese National Health Commission had just published the seventh edition of guidelines on how to treat coronavirus. It was true that they were based more on clinical experience than on published studies, but he urged Arad to follow some of its protocols, which included prescribing two drugs that were commonly given to patients in China soon after they showed symptoms like shortness of breath: chloroquine, an antiviral drug once used to treat malaria, and Kaletra, another antiviral that had once been used to treat H.I.V.

[skip]

at the time that neither drug had been through extensive clinical trials or had F.D.A. approval. She listened patiently to Hall and expressed her concern that his suggestions did not conform to standard medical procedure or C.D.C. guidelines.

Hall understood the need for evidence-based medicine as well as she did, he told her. But this was life and death.

[skip]

That day, Cai was given chloroquine and Kaletra

Comment: I do not understand the need for “evidence-based medicine” or rather I do not understand how the phrase is used by doctors. There is no evidence that Covid 19 patients (without heart disease) do better without Chloroquine. I learn that “evidence based medicine” does not imply choosing the therapy that a fair balance of evidence suggests is best for the patient. Pharmaceuticals are presumed guilty until proven safe and effective. The evidence is treated as evidence in a criminal trial with the burden of proof on the pharmaceutical.

I have no idea what “standard medical procedure” might mean in the context of Covid 19. it appears that as soon as a new disease is discovered, there is a standard procedure for treating it, which can’t be based on data or evidence.

The story has a happy ending, but it is not reassuring. It also doesn’t surprise me.

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Monday, April 6, 2020 10:42 AM

CAPTAINCRUNCH

... stay crunchy...


Always fun to see the SIGGY deflection two step - another tell that she just dropped a load of BS on the forum.

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Wrong again, fool. Find me the post where I said I had a pantry and two freezers.



This thread. Does your refrigerator have a freezer? Uh-huh - so that's 2 freezers.

I said "pantry / storage"

Do you have storage in your kitchen? Somewhere you could store cans, beans, rice, pasta? Things that you could easily eat + all the pounds of meat and fruit and veg in your 2 freezers and fridge?

Face it, you lied your f*ckin' @ss off. Again.

The only question is, as it is with almost everything you post, is: how many lies.
Did you lie about the clerk having plexiglass? Or did you just lie because I mentioned it in a previous post? Did you lie about talking to her on how to clean her mask? Or are you lying to make it sound like you were being a dear, how dare we question you? Was there even a clerk, or is that another lie? So many lies.

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
WHY do you keep posting stuff about me that you couldn't POSSIBLY know, is always wrong, and biased to the negative??? Why do you keep lying?



I could POSSIBLY know it because you actually posted it.

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Now, do you mind not shitting up this thread with lies, personal attacks, and irrelevancies? Or is that how you earn your "working from home" paycheck?



I think it's relevant to protect the integrity of this forum from people such as yourself who constantly fill it with their BS.
Who would pay me to call you out for lying? That'd be constant employment though, pretty awesome.

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
#STAYTHEFUCKHOME



OMG! What are you going to do this week? Dr. Birx says this is the week we should NOT go to the pharmacy or grocery store! Your XL family is going to starve!

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Monday, April 6, 2020 10:50 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SIX is clinging to the contention that we don't know the REAL "case fatality rate" and that somehow makes all of the bodies stacking up in refrigerated trucks (because they ran out of morgue space) disappear.

SIX, you're right, we DON'T know the case fatality rate. OTOH, with over 1,000 deaths per day caused by Covid-19 (and evidence that coroners, medical examiners etc are undercounting those deaths even so) it's turned into the third-highest cause of death IN THE USA.

NOT your typical flu!

And if "nothing" was done, as you seem to be advocating, what would the death rate look like then? 2,000/day? More? Until it becomes THE leading cause of death?

So what's your point? That it's not "worth" slowing the economy down temporarily to save hundreds of thousands or millions of people? That approach only benefits the wealthy. Which brings up an interesting philosophical point: Is "the economy" supposed to be working for people? Or are people supposed to be "working for" the economy? What is an economy FOR, anyway?



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME



Talk to me about the economy a few months from now.

Especially if the disproportionate response so far is continued and we pass another 2.5 Trillion stimulus bill or three before it's over.


Meanwhile, not a single Stimulus check has been cut or direct deposited, and today is the day that we heard we'd all get them by. Those don't even begin to go out until the 9th, and the government says it can only print and send out 5 Million a month, so to those who don't have direct deposits on their taxes already or even a checking account to begin with (yanno, those likely in the most need of the money), they're being told that the last checks might not even be in the hands of people until September.

And it's still a coin toss in most states if you can even file for unemployment, despite the fact that millions of Americans have lost their jobs temporarily (and possibly permanently).



I'm more worried about the survivors than the people who are dying from this. I'm also more concerned about the spike in suicides, murder and just basic civil unrest that is sure to happen, especially if money doesn't get into the hands of people who really need it now AND the price of goods doesn't skyrocket in the mean time. Especially while hundreds of millions of Americans are going stir crazy in their houses feeding on whatever poison the Legacy Media is dishing out everyday to make a buck.

I'm absolutely fine with being labeled an asshole for this opinion.

I'm not the guys in China who decided to engineer this virus in an attempt to wipe out their elderly and sick population. I'm also not in any position to do anything about it either.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 6, 2020 1:03 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

KIKI, I wanted to get your feedback on this

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
So since the SARS Cov-2 virus docks onto human cells via the ACE-2 receptor (typically found in the small vessels of the lungs but also the kidneys, which explains the kidney damage that is ALSO found after Covid-19) I wondered whether the ACE receptor blockers (ARBs) would interfere with docking and blunt the infection. But it turns out that ARBs actually cause an overexpression of ACE-2 recpetors (by a factor of 3-5X) which may explain why people with high blood pressure or heart problems far so poorly: Not because of the blood pressure or heart failure but because of the medications they're taking. THAT might explain the high death rate in Italy.

I guess I wasn't the first person to think about this, there is an active discussion about this in the medical community. https://www1.racgp.org.au/newsgp/clinical/ace-inhibitors-arbs-and-covi
d-19-what-gps-need-to


On the other hand, a comment buzzed past my ear while I was doing other things that soking prevented the kind of cytokine storm that quickly sent patients CTD (circling the drain). Since it was kind of random, I don't recall where I heard it, but what I found when looking it up is that according to the only studies that could be found on the topic, smoing actually RAISES the risk of severe complications and deaths. http://www.tobaccoinduceddiseases.org/COVID-19-and-smoking-A-systemati
c-review-of-the-evidence,119324,0,2.html
So much for THAT idea (although I will continue to try and find the source of that comment, and any supporting info.)



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

It's perfectly plausible.

WAY back at the beginning, the idea was floated that ARBs might be a therapy, because they would block the same receptors (angiotensin-II receptors) that SARS-COV-2 docks onto. I didn't notice anything else about that as a follow-up, but then I didn't look, either.

I didn't know that ARBs cause the body to create more receptors!

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Monday, April 6, 2020 1:09 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
the 12th or so dodge on his capacious wheel of dodges to shift his argument off of yet another losing point



fify

lol

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Monday, April 6, 2020 1:23 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


You have unread replies regarding property taxes and national defense.

I really wonder why you haven't responded on either of those topics. /sarcasm



Owned much, Kiki?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 6, 2020 4:14 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


BoJo (Britain's Conservative PM Boris Johnson who engineered Brexit) is doing just what he recommended for Covid-19: "Taking it on the chin".

BoJo was moved to ICU last night as a precaution bc his symptoms worsened. Because he's listed as "still conscious" it's unlikely that he's on a ventilator.

At least the Queen is still tottering around!

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

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Monday, April 6, 2020 4:46 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Well, I set a time limit to go into Kevin's wall of shame, and time's up! But there are 61 individual lies, trolls, insults, opinions, non-facts, dodges, and implied threats in his posts through March 17 in this thread alone. And that includes a number of days where he didn't post at all. And that ALSO leaves weeks more to count!

And there's not one single fact, or link, about COVID-19.

If what you do is what you are, that's exactly what Kevin is.

So, putting him on 'ignore', since he's utterly irrelevant.

Quote:

Tuesday, January 21, 2020 9:21 PM
I wouldn't worry about the corona virus.
Sunday, January 26, 2020 1:41 PM
Meh... it will be fine.
Sunday, January 26, 2020 1:41 PM
But with the internet and cable news today I'm sure people are hearing about it 10 times a day at least.
Sunday, January 26, 2020 2:36 PM
you're thinking too much about it is all
Sunday, January 26, 2020 10:38 PM
people online are going all Y2K about this
Sunday, January 26, 2020 10:38 PM
Meanwhile, nobody I know IRL has even brought it up.
Thursday, January 30, 2020 10:04 AM
I'm not at all worried about this thing
Thursday, January 30, 2020 10:04 AM
people are taking this way to seriously
(Thursday, January 30, 2020 10:04 AM
I was talking to my grandma on the phone yesterday)
Sunday, February 2, 2020 3:00 AM
I'm as prepared for the unexpected as I'll ever be right now. I'll let the kids who have to deal with the future worry about things.
Sunday, February 2, 2020 12:05 PM
My take away from that is people just don't want to hear about it.
Sunday, February 2, 2020 12:05 PM
2% actually seems quite high as a mortality rate, I'll grant that, but if every single person in the world were to contract it, that would be only 150,000,000 deaths, and that's not even a drop in the bucket to the over population problem in the world.
Sunday, February 2, 2020 2:53 PM
This virus is a joke.
Sunday, February 2, 2020 2:53 PM
Nothing is going to happen.
Sunday, February 2, 2020 2:53 PM
You're going to be alright.
Monday, February 3, 2020 1:14 AM
Don't be a bitch.
Monday, February 3, 2020 6:43 PM
I expect this behavior from the lefties here. You should know better.
Wednesday, February 12, 2020 12:08 PM
just the flu
Wednesday, February 12, 2020 7:32 PM
Dumb.
Saturday, February 15, 2020 11:01 PM
I think everybody is just over reporting on this right now because they want to deflect from how awful the Democratic Party is right out of the gates in 2020.
Thursday, February 27, 2020 12:45 AM
I'm still not convinced that this isn't just a social experiment.
Thursday, February 27, 2020 12:45 AM
Its been something like 32 years and I've never known somebody with AIDS or known anybody who knew anybody with AIDS.
Saturday, February 29, 2020 6:21 AM
16,000+ people is nothing.
Saturday, February 29, 2020 2:53 PM
Wednesday, March 4, 2020 12:57 PM
I've heard new numbers for the virus fatality rate are extremely low.
0% fatality rate for those under 10.
.2% fatality rate for those under 40.
.4% fatality rate for those under 50.
Wednesday, March 4, 2020 12:57 PM
It gets a little higher from there, but not even on the level of the common flu.
Wednesday, March 4, 2020 3:53 PM
I'm not denying that Corona virus exists. Just saying that it's not scary.
Thursday, March 5, 2020 12:20 PM
lol rich people. (re cruise ships)
Friday, March 6, 2020 1:11 PM
You know how many people are going to die from smoking in America ...
Friday, March 6, 2020 1:11 PM
... by the end of December this year?
Friday, March 6, 2020 1:11 PM
Total cases of Coronavirus in America after a month is under 200?
Friday, March 6, 2020 1:11 PM
Color me unperturbed.
Monday, March 9, 2020 1:43 AM
lol
Monday, March 9, 2020 1:43 AM
If that's what living is going to be like in the future just kill me now.
Monday, March 9, 2020 1:43 AM
Never going to do any of that.
Monday, March 9, 2020 4:46 PM
I'm probably more bored hearing about this than I was the Russiagate hoax conspiracy theory.
Thursday, March 12, 2020 8:10 PM
Might as well get it now and let the dust settle.
Thursday, March 12, 2020 8:10 PM
otherwise you're just postponing the inevitable
Friday, March 13, 2020 1:09 PM
Average age of deaths from Coronavirus in the US: 80
Friday, March 13, 2020 1:09 PM
Total young and middle aged deaths from Coronavirus in the US: 0
Friday, March 13, 2020 1:09 PM
More than half of those died in a single old folks home in Washington State.
Friday, March 13, 2020 1:10 PM
This is starting to look more and more like a big nothing burger to me.
Friday, March 13, 2020 3:00 PM
If you've managed to live into your 80's and don't feel that you've lived a full life, maybe it's time to get with God or something.
Friday, March 13, 2020 3:00 PM
We're all going to get it. Every single one of us. It's inevitable at this point.
Friday, March 13, 2020 4:34 PM
I've always been about flushing 33% or more of the population of the planet.
Have fun in your bunkers.
Friday, March 13, 2020 4:34 PM
See you when this all blows over.
Saturday, March 14, 2020 5:39 PM
Play ball, I say.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 10:03 AM
Not sure why this COVID-19 scare has you willing to go full Government Control over everything.
I suppose everyone has their price and they found yours.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 10:05 AM
Ratings must be down.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 10:05 AM
We need to scare young people so they buy more car insurance.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 2:45 PM
There is zero chance that 53.6% of Italians are dying of the virus and only 56.4% of them are recovering.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 3:04 PM
Keep spreading the panic, Maddow.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 3:04 PM
Cause there's zero chance that over 14.5% of Italians that got it have died either.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 3:04 PM
Even more likely 0.14% or less.
Sunday, March 15, 2020 6:36 PM
BTW.. once they figure out how much of a money generator this is for some sectors, expect this to become a yearly happening on a lower and more controlled level.
Tuesday, March 17, 2020 12:01 AM
You're not listening to me.
Tuesday, March 17, 2020 12:24 AM
I haven't lied about anything.
Tuesday, March 17, 2020 12:24 AM
You're really starting to piss me off right now, and I don't like being pissed off at you.
Tuesday, March 17, 2020 3:35 AM
You're turning into a lunatic.


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Monday, April 6, 2020 4:51 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

You have unread replies regarding property taxes and national defense.

I really wonder why you haven't responded on either of those topics. /sarcasm



Owned much, Kiki?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Well, I set a time limit to go into Kevin's wall of shame, and time's up! But there are 61 individual lies, trolls, snarks, insults, unsupported opinions, non-facts, dodges, irrelevancies, and implied threats in his posts through March 17 in this thread alone. And that includes a number of days where he didn't post at all. And that ALSO leaves weeks more to count!

And there's not one single fact, or link, about COVID-19.

If what you do is what you are, that's exactly what Kevin is.

So, putting him on 'ignore', since he's utterly irrelevant.


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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 1:06 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

This thread. Does your refrigerator have a freezer? Uh-huh - so that's 2 freezers.
No, that's 1 frig and 1 freezer (since counting the frig also counts the freezer that comes with it). At least, that's what people mean here in the US when they say 'refrigerator'. I'm surprised you didn't know that.
Quote:

I said "pantry / storage"
And for all YOU know, one cupboard is all the storage available.

Do you think that would be sufficient?
Quote:

... your 2 freezers and fridge?
And repeats the lie!

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 1:11 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

You have unread replies regarding property taxes and national defense.

I really wonder why you haven't responded on either of those topics. /sarcasm



Owned much, Kiki?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Well, I set a time limit to go into Kevin's wall of shame, and time's up! But there are 61 individual lies, trolls, snarks, insults, unsupported opinions, non-facts, dodges, irrelevancies, and implied threats in his posts through March 17 in this thread alone. And that includes a number of days where he didn't post at all. And that ALSO leaves weeks more to count!

And there's not one single fact, or link, about COVID-19.

If what you do is what you are, that's exactly what Kevin is.

So, putting him on 'ignore', since he's utterly irrelevant.






I don't give two shits about your Coomph panic. We're talking property taxes and national defense, hun.

If you didn't have anything intelligent to add to either of those conversations, you probably should have stayed out of them.


I see that you continue to do so now. Good move on your part. Good for you to not look even less intelligent than you already look.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 1:32 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.



Well, I set a time limit to go into Kevin's wall of shame, and time's up! But there are 61 individual lies, trolls, snarks, insults, unsupported opinions, non-facts, dodges, irrelevancies, and implied threats in his posts through March 17 in this thread alone. And that includes a number of days where he didn't post at all. And that ALSO leaves weeks more to count!

And there's not one single fact, or link, about COVID-19.

If what you do is what you are, that's exactly what Kevin is.

So, putting him on 'ignore', since he's utterly irrelevant.

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 1:46 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


No shame here, baby, other than how ridiculous you look.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 2:30 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

This thread. Does your refrigerator have a freezer? Uh-huh - so that's 2 freezers.
No, that's 1 frig and 1 freezer (since counting the frig also counts the freezer that comes with it). At least, that's what people mean here in the US when they say 'refrigerator'. I'm surprised you didn't know that.
Quote:

I said "pantry / storage"
And for all YOU know, one cupboard is all the storage available.

Do you think that would be sufficient?
Quote:

... your 2 freezers and fridge?
And repeats the lie!



Oh, I hadn't realized that CC was still pushing his lies. Thanks for responding for me.

CC, you have absolutely NO idea what I have or don't have, but that sure doesn't stop you from lying your as off, does it? Let's see ... according to you I'm a Russian troll who lives in Russia or- alternately- a Russian troll who has a ranch and multiple illegal servants in Simi Valley (I think it was) with enough food storage space for the next millenium.

Wrong on all counts, sweet cheeks. But yanno, I never really DID count up my food storage capacity until now. Let me tell you what I DON'T have: I have no "pantry", walkin or other. BUT I BET YOU DO. I don't have shelves in the cellar, because I have no cellar. BUT I BET YOU DO. I don't have a nice modern kitchen with lots of cupboards and cabinets and under-island storage. BUT I BET YOU DO.

I have ... wait for it ... I let my eyes wander over the kitchen. That cupboard is dinnerwear, that one's glassware, the drawer underneath is eating utensils, and the cabinet under that holds a 25-year old food processor and a few other small kitchen appliances. That drawer hold aluminum foil, parchment, storage bags and wax paper, the other ones hold dish towels, aprons, and oven mitts. The poorly-designed space under the oven holds bakeware, the one under the rangetop holds pots and pans. There are a couple of other drawers that hold cooking utensils: large slotted spoon, whisk, rolling pin, vegetable peeler, mandolin, measuring cups and spoons etc. Two other cabinets hold food storage containers, mixing bowls and strainers. I use everything that I store because I cook every goddamn day of the week.

When I stopped, I realized I had ONE small cupboard and ONE small cabinet for food. One frig and one SMALL freezer (one of the smallest you can buy commercially).

It's a typical small isolated unrenovated midcentury American kitchen, built in the postwar housing boom. I don't know what they were thinking when they designed them. Not a lot of storage there. It would be nice to have a farmhouse kitchen, or a nice big open plan kitchen with an island and pantry, but I don't have any of that.

But what does this have to do with Covid-19? Will you please stop shitting up the board with your lies, insinuations, personal attacks and irrelevancies?



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 2:50 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Checking back through the data I've been posting, it looks like 'stay at home' is bending the curve of new cases in the US - largely due to the overwhelming contribution of NYC, and bending the curve of new cases in California, and LACounty. There are still new cases, but the numbers of new cases are lower than previously.

New deaths are lagging the decrease, because it takes about 4 weeks between infection and death. But those should be dropping in due time.

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63473&mid=1
097694#1097694

The US is still #1! in cases at 388K, Spain is less than half that at 141K, Italy is a smidge under Spain at 136K, then France and Germany at 109K and 107K respectively.

Despite egregious under-counting, the US is not going to lose its number one spot - ever.

Both Spain and Italy are on the downslope. Even though Spain is slightly worse off than Italy in terms of numbers (total cases, total deaths, and normalized to 1M) I think you hear about Italy more because the vast majority is concentrated in a very small area. So even though Italy has a first-world medical system (by which I think means level of technology and availability, not necessarily capacity), it was severely overwhelmed in a smaller area. The US equivalent is NYC.






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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 3:11 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


KIKI your link takes me back to page 1. Can you repost the link to take me to the updsated data?

But in rereading page 1, I see you've been posting about this since BEFORE the first case in the USA! How far we've come since then!

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 3:25 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Sorry about that! Hopefully this is the correct one.


http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63473&mid=1
097699#1097699

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Tuesday, April 7, 2020 9:50 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
It looks like the US is on track to reach 10,000 deaths by April 14, 2020.

And if things continue at the same pace, there'll be 100,000 deaths by April 27.

It appears to be expanding at a rate of X10 every 13days.

10,000 deaths was reached April 6, 2020 (not too bad an estimate for eyeball-extrapolating a graph). But the curve is wiggling - the rate of increase went up which is why 10k was earlier, then it went way down. Over the last week, it appears to be expanding at a rate of X10 every 20days. If it continues at its recent pace, it'll be 20 days from April 6, 2020 to 100,000 deaths, or about April 26, 2020.

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Wednesday, April 8, 2020 4:35 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Almost 2,000 deaths in one day. I think prolly more, since some deaths aren't being properly recorded. That makes it the SECOND-leading cause of death, right behind heart attacks which clock in at about 2,300 per day.

Whew!

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#STAYTHEFUCKHOME

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Wednesday, April 8, 2020 9:52 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Since we have absolutely no way of knowing who is and who is not infected, except for people who are extremely ill going to hospitals that actually have the ability to test for the virus, there is zero reason to think that there have actually been less cases after the lockdown.

You're reading your own desires into results of a grand "scientific" test that doesn't have any constant and has far too many variables.

Don't lie to yourself.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Wednesday, April 8, 2020 12:47 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.




Well, I set a time limit to go into Kevin's wall of shame, and time's up! But there are 61 individual lies, trolls, snarks, insults, unsupported opinions, non-facts, dodges, irrelevancies, and implied threats in his posts through March 17 in this thread alone. And that includes a number of days where he didn't post at all. And that ALSO leaves weeks more to count!

And there's not one single fact, or link, about COVID-19.

If what you do is what you are, that's exactly what Kevin is.

So, putting him on 'ignore', since he's utterly irrelevant.

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Wednesday, April 8, 2020 1:11 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Since we have absolutely no way of knowing who is and who is not infected, except for people who are extremely ill going to hospitals that actually have the ability to test for the virus, there is zero reason to think that there have actually been less cases after the lockdown.

You're reading your own desires into results of a grand "scientific" test that doesn't have any constant and has far too many variables.

Don't lie to yourself.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Wednesday, April 8, 2020 1:32 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.




Well, I set a time limit to go into Kevin's wall of shame, and time's up! But there are 61 individual lies, trolls, snarks, insults, unsupported opinions, non-facts, dodges, irrelevancies, and implied threats in his posts through March 17 in this thread alone. And that includes a number of days where he didn't post at all. And that ALSO leaves weeks more to count!

And there's not one single fact, or link, about COVID-19.

If what you do is what you are, that's exactly what Kevin is.

So, putting him on 'ignore', since he's utterly irrelevant.

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