REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

new deadly human-to-human-transmissible coronavirus emerges out of China

POSTED BY: 1KIKI
UPDATED: Thursday, October 12, 2023 02:05
SHORT URL:
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PAGE 29 of 57

Saturday, April 25, 2020 3:00 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


The only link between MILLIONS OF PEOPLE STARVING THROUGHOUT THE WORLD because you're afraid of getting a cough and people who will start committing suicide (mostly males) in the United States because you're afraid of getting a cough is that they are both things that will happen because you're afraid of getting a cough.

You've already made it quite clear that you both don't give a single shit about one of them. I thought that since the other one is likely to kill many magnitudes of people more of both sexes as well as children that you might take the other one more seriously.



But that's cool. Make jokes. At least you don't have a cold and you're stocked on food and toilet paper. You'll both be fine.





EDIT: Oh, and here's the original article with a link. I feel that I have to post it again since we're on a new page and you both seem to have amnesia now from the stay at home orders.

https://people.com/food/world-face-multiple-famines-biblical-proportio
ns-coronavirus-crisis
/

Quote:


UN Leader Says the World Could Face 'Famines of Biblical Proportions' amid Coronavirus Crisis

“While dealing with a COVID-19 pandemic, we are also on the brink of a hunger pandemic,” David Beasley, the director of the UN World Food Program warned

As the world continues to battle the coronavirus pandemic, the United Nations is warning that without action, the world is at risk of numerous famines “of biblical proportions” in the near future.

He explained that famines could be seen “in about three dozen countries,” ten of which already have more than 1 million people on the verge of starvation.

“There is also a real danger that more people could potentially die from the economic impact of COVID-19 than from the virus itself,” he warned.



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 3:57 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Strangely enough, I never issued any stay-at-home orders.

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 4:11 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


So, on to real facts.

The virus might be damaging the heart even in patients who do not suffer from heart disease.

Quote:

https://www.mdlinx.com/internal-medicine/article/6590

The virus attaches to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2), which is found in the cells of the lungs. This allows the virus to invade and cause respiratory illness.

But, ACE2 is also found in heart muscles and the cells that line blood vessels. In addition, ACE2 is part of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system, which regulates cardiovascular function, kidney function, and blood pressure.

Given the association with ACE2, researchers are suggesting that COVID-19 can damage the heart directly. In a study conducted in Wuhan Province, China, nearly 20% of hospitalized patients with COVID-19 showed signs of heart damage. Half of the patients with heart damage died, compared with 4.5% of COVID-19 patients without heart damage.

ACE inhibitors and angiotensin II receptor blockers are commonly prescribed for patients with underlying cardiovascular symptoms. However, some animal models show that the use of these drugs may increase the risk of severe disease in patients with COVID-19.


One thing to look out for when unscrambling the statistic later is elevated heart attack deaths and heart failure deaths. Some articles I've read indicate a 5X sudden death rate from those causes in otherwise young, healthy people while at home.

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 4:26 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Huh, neither did I.

The reason why India is fucked with Covid is because it was fucked without Covid. Unlike China, India was never able to get it's shit together and create enough surplus to get thru hard times.

I feel sorry for the people of India because their government is not only corrupt it's incompetent, but just like I don't feel the need to swoop in and "fix" another nation with missiles and guns, I don't feel the need to swoop in and "fix" India's internal policies.

If we have a grain surplus we can help then with food

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 10:17 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Strangely enough, I never issued any stay-at-home orders.



Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Huh, neither did I.



I'm sure that regular ole' Germans who weren't a part of the Nazi party said some similar stuff. Particularly the old who had loud vocal support for everything that was being done but were too old to don an SS jacket.


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
The reason why India is fucked with Covid is because it was fucked without Covid. Unlike China, India was never able to get it's shit together and create enough surplus to get thru hard times.

I feel sorry for the people of India because their government is not only corrupt it's incompetent, but just like I don't feel the need to swoop in and "fix" another nation with missiles and guns, I don't feel the need to swoop in and "fix" India's internal policies.

If we have a grain surplus we can help then with food

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK





WTF kind of obtuse replies are these?

Who said anything about India? The article certainly didn't. The only time India was mentioned was when Karen thought she was being witty using India and Indiana in a sentence. That joke wasn't funny or witty because A) The article didn't mention India once, and B) none of my family lives in Indiana.

But you said this yesterday, Sigs...

Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:

So when the death rate from covid-related suicide reaches 2000/day, let me know. Otherwise .... zzzzzzzz.



I thought maybe if you saw that the death-toll from the Western World's lockdowns was going to be far greater than 2000 per day it might wake you up. Sorry to interrupt your quarantine nap.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 10:23 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Hey, you're the one that wants to kill off the old and the 'weak' without so much as a shrug. So long dad! Adios bro! Too bad for you if you've got a target on your back!


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Saturday, April 25, 2020 10:36 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Seriously. Fuck you, Karen.

Glad you're not going to get a cold.

I'm glad that your cunty disposition toward me is such that you can now completely tune out any and all outside death tolls caused by the world shutting down so your weak old ass doesn't get the sniffles.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 10:52 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Yeah, like India's Modi listens to me.

My conscience is clean. All I'm calling for are masks and hand sanitizers. Well, and testing, contact tracing, and quarantine of those who are provably infected. I'm even OK with states throwing the doors wide open, if it passes by referendum, and as long as those states don't then go to the daddy Trump for help if things go $outh.

You're all about writing your family off, along with everyone else, without the least bit of quibble if they happen to be old or 'weak'.

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Saturday, April 25, 2020 11:50 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Here's one good thing about the pandemic. Fewer car fatalities.

2018 US fatalities: 36,560 or 11.18/1M

Historically they've been about on par with a year of 'the' flu, but after stay-at-home they dropped by half at least here in California.

Coronavirus stay-at-home orders have reduced traffic accidents by half
https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2020-04-01/coronavirus-stay-
at-home-orders-have-reduced-traffic-accidents-by-half
#

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 1:53 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Seriously. Fuck you, Karen.

Glad you're not going to get a cold.

I'm glad that your cunty disposition toward me is such that you can now completely tune out any and all outside death tolls caused by the world shutting down so your weak old ass doesn't get the sniffles.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Jeezus, SIX, you have seriously gone off the rails. Do you honestly think that Modi, or Joko Widodo, or Muhyiddin Yassin, or Arif Alvi, or Ould Gazouani or any of the other leaders of nations potentially facing starvation ordered a lockown because of *karens* in the USA???

Hey, let us know when you've come back to earth, m'kay?

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 9:42 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Seriously. Fuck you, Karen.

Glad you're not going to get a cold.

I'm glad that your cunty disposition toward me is such that you can now completely tune out any and all outside death tolls caused by the world shutting down so your weak old ass doesn't get the sniffles.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

Jeezus, SIX, you have seriously gone off the rails. Do you honestly think that Modi, or Joko Widodo, or Muhyiddin Yassin, or Arif Alvi, or Ould Gazouani or any of the other leaders of nations potentially facing starvation ordered a lockown because of *karens* in the USA???

Hey, let us know when you've come back to earth, m'kay?

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK




They didn't order a lockdown because of the Karens, Karen.


They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.

I was never a fan of the practice for many reasons in the first place, but that doesn't change the fact that this is an abrupt and devastating change to tens of millions of people's lives worldwide. Rather than doing the right thing and weening people of these nations off of outside help and teaching them how to provide for themselves, we've forced them to go cold turkey.

Going cold turkey off a drug has challenges of its own. Going cold turkey off of food is just deadly.




And the other Karen really needs to stop bringing up India as an example. I never said anything about India, and the article I posted never said anything about India. She's lost in her "witty" joke now.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 9:44 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Jeezus, SIX, you have seriously gone off the rails. Do you honestly think that Modi, or Joko Widodo, or Muhyiddin Yassin, or Arif Alvi, or Ould Gazouani or any of the other leaders of nations potentially facing starvation ordered a lockown because of *karens* in the USA???

Hey, let us know when you've come back to earth, m'kay?

Those foreign politicians are not facing Trump's reelection problem. 6ix is being very practical about that problem without admitting that it is all about the November election.

Trump wants social distancing to end, but he keeps his distance from actually ordering people back to work because he would then be blamed for their deaths.

If the economy is not doing well in the month before the November election because of social distancing, Trump knows that his chances of winning are slightly reduced and that is why 6ix and Trump want social distancing to end.

Powerless 6ix is very explicit about what he wants because he can’t be blamed for the deaths, while Trump dares not say that he doesn't care how many die so long as he wins. But 6ix and Trump want the same thing: a Trump victory. Coronavirus is getting in the way of victory.
https://odds.watch/trump-2020

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 9:54 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Jeezus, SIX, you have seriously gone off the rails. Do you honestly think that Modi, or Joko Widodo, or Muhyiddin Yassin, or Arif Alvi, or Ould Gazouani or any of the other leaders of nations potentially facing starvation ordered a lockown because of *karens* in the USA???

Hey, let us know when you've come back to earth, m'kay?

Those foreign politicians are not facing Trump's reelection problem. 6ix is being very practical about that problem without admitting that it is all about the November election.

Trump wants social distancing to end, but he keeps his distance from actually ordering people back to work because he would then be blamed for their deaths.

If the economy is not doing well in the month before the November election because of social distancing, Trump knows that his chances of winning are slightly reduced. That likelihood has been around 50% this year and that is why 6ix and Trump want social distancing to end.

Powerless 6ix is very explicit about what he wants because he can’t be blamed for the deaths, while Trump dares not say that he doesn't care how many die so long as he wins. But 6ix and Trump want the same thing: a Trump victory. Coronavirus is getting in the way of victory.
https://odds.watch/trump-2020

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly





I'm sure you're right about Trump, but you're not right about me here.

I thought GWB was going to go down as the worst president ever after what his administration did to the economy. Then swoops in the Obama administration and took that crown from Bush with force. Things started looking slightly different under Trump for a while (although I've always been the first person to say the great numbers regarding the economy and unemployment were still bullshit and the DOW is in no way a barometer for the economic health of the nation).

Then this shit happens... Not the virus, but the extreme overreaction to it.

I've been against shut downs since day one. Even when Trump wasn't against them. Do I desire the economy to re-open. You bet your ass I do. Do I want Trump to be re-elected? I certainly want him elected over Biden or any of the trash the Democrats had up on the debate stage.

But the two have very little in common with each other. I don't think Trump has much of a problem winning either way here, whether we keep the economy closed or re-open it. There is zero chance that Biden can keep it together and not look like a babbling old man who is losing his mind when debating Trump.



What I'm concerned about is what life is going to be like for the survivors of The Coomph. The many, many, many, many, many, many survivors.

The dead are dead. They dying are going to die. You can't put the shit back into the horse, and one day just like the common cold (another coronavirus), everybody will get it.

Time to try to salvage the economy and let the chips fall where they may.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 10:14 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

What I'm concerned about is what life is going to be like for the survivors of The Coomph. The many, many, many, many, many, many survivors.

What a load of bullshit. There is nothing you have ever written that shows you are "concerned". You could be a politician lying about caring for "survivors".

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 10:21 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

What I'm concerned about is what life is going to be like for the survivors of The Coomph. The many, many, many, many, many, many survivors.

What a load of bullshit. There is nothing you have ever written that shows you are "concerned". You could be a politician lying about caring for "survivors".

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly




It's not a load of bullshit. How so?

Even when I talk about our overpopulation problem that most people are afraid to even bring up because of dumbass comments like yours from dumbass people like you, I always talk about them with the survivors in mind.

At the end of the day this little cold isn't going to do anything at all to solve a much larger problem we all face down the road. There are far too many people on this planet. That is just a fact.



And with 360,000 more babies being born every single day, we're not even coming close to putting a dent in the growth of new lives by adding any temporary death increases brought about by The Coomph.

Not even close.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 10:48 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

What I'm concerned about is what life is going to be like for the survivors of The Coomph. The many, many, many, many, many, many survivors.

What a load of bullshit. There is nothing you have ever written that shows you are "concerned". You could be a politician lying about caring for "survivors".

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly




It's not a load of bullshit. How so?

Even when I talk about our overpopulation problem that most people are afraid to even bring up because of dumbass comments like yours from dumbass people like you, I always talk about them with the survivors in mind.

At the end of the day this little cold isn't going to do anything at all to solve a much larger problem we all face down the road. There are far too many people on this planet. That is just a fact.



And with 360,000 more babies being born every single day, we're not even coming close to putting a dent in the growth of new lives by adding any temporary death increases brought about by The Coomph.

Not even close.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

You went to the place I was thinking you would be going. It is no surprise that you found the movie Joker admirable. Joker plays a number game, too, and will kill an unlimited number of people to get for himself what he wants.
www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=36&tid=63327&mid=1095451#
1095451


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 12:25 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.
Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.

Poor nations around the world don't get "free shit" from the USA and the EU. The reason why they're poor is because the USA and the EU have predatory relationships with them.

Why do you suppose we have bases all over the goddamn world, SIX? Do you think it's because people everywhere are grateful for all the "free shit" that we give them?



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 3:07 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


DANG. It took only 10 days for deaths to double in LACounty. It might be time for me to estimate doubling time to see if that's improving at all.

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63473&p=20

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 6:32 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Let me know what you find out about the doubling time.

Offhand I'd say that it wasn't until this past Thursday and the Thursday before that almost everyone in the grocery store was wearing masks. Also, the weather just got hot, so if there's going to be a down turn it looks to be a week or two from now in cases, and a month or so from now in deaths. And by "cases" I don't mean measured, I mean in reality whether they're measured or not.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 7:21 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


It'll take a bit. The formulas for doubling time don't work when the rate is so high. I'll probably have to throw in a factor of 1/10 or maybe even 1/100 to try and make them work, or find some other means. And the fact that the numbers are getting thrown in in chunks as backlogged labs catch up doesn't make for a clean time sequence.

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Sunday, April 26, 2020 7:25 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


I just wanted to thrown this in: article head in CNN "You can catch it more than once"

Reading down into the article, it says no such thing. It says you may not be protected - but leaves unstated that then again you may - but nobody knows for sure.

That kind of misrepresentation really irks me.

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Monday, April 27, 2020 12:09 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.
Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.



No it's not. We've talked about this shit ad nauseam in the past and we're in agreement on it. You just forget that we used to agree about stuff.

Quote:

Poor nations around the world don't get "free shit" from the USA and the EU. The reason why they're poor is because the USA and the EU have predatory relationships with them.


No shit.

But I'm sure the fact that you and I know this is going to look great on the tombstone for the mass graves of millions of people dying of hunger because the free shit train stopped immediately overnight.

There is a difference between being poor and exploited and being dead from starvation. It might not be much of a difference, but the overreaction in the Western World to The Coomph is going to make that pretty clear soon.

Quote:

Why do you suppose we have bases all over the goddamn world, SIX? Do you think it's because people everywhere are grateful for all the "free shit" that we give them?


Why are you asking me these questions as if we haven't discussed this before and we aren't in agreement on it?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 27, 2020 12:11 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by second:
Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:

What I'm concerned about is what life is going to be like for the survivors of The Coomph. The many, many, many, many, many, many survivors.

What a load of bullshit. There is nothing you have ever written that shows you are "concerned". You could be a politician lying about caring for "survivors".

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly




It's not a load of bullshit. How so?

Even when I talk about our overpopulation problem that most people are afraid to even bring up because of dumbass comments like yours from dumbass people like you, I always talk about them with the survivors in mind.

At the end of the day this little cold isn't going to do anything at all to solve a much larger problem we all face down the road. There are far too many people on this planet. That is just a fact.



And with 360,000 more babies being born every single day, we're not even coming close to putting a dent in the growth of new lives by adding any temporary death increases brought about by The Coomph.

Not even close.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

You went to the place I was thinking you would be going. It is no surprise that you found the movie Joker admirable. Joker plays a number game, too, and will kill an unlimited number of people to get for himself what he wants.
www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=36&tid=63327&mid=1095451#
1095451


The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly




Whatever, faggot.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 27, 2020 12:13 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


If you don't want to read the whole article, basically what it says is that in almost all of 14 countries that they looked at (except Denmark), the total number of "excess" deaths compared to five-year average is 60% higher than the officially reported Covid-19 deaths. In some underdeveloped areas (presumably where testing and reporting is overwhelmed) the excess deaths are 100X reported Covid-19 deaths.

The conclusion is that Covid deaths are being underreported.

Quote:

Coronavirus Deaths Likely 60% Higher Than Official Numbers Reflect, FT Finds

As experts try to model the true number of coronavirus deaths, and some random 'surveillance' studies have suggested that - at least in some badly hit areas - the number of confirmed coronavirus cases might be many multiples of the official count, the FT has published its latest attempt at trying to 'model' the true coronavirus death toll.

The FT used a fairly straightforward methodology: the paper took data on national death tolls over a certain stretch of time going back five years, calculated the mean for each country, then compared that figure to the number of deaths reported during the same time period in 2020.

To calculate excess deaths, the FT has compared deaths from all causes in the weeks of a location’s outbreak in March and April 2020 to the average for the same period between 2015 and 2019. The total of 122,000 amounts to a 50 per cent rise in overall mortality relative to the historical average for the locations studied.

The difference between the average from the past five years and the 2020 number is, roughly, the number of deaths caused by the coronavirus (by far the biggest differentiating factor). Across countries in the developed world, the FT found 122,000 deaths 'in excess' of normal levels. That's compared with ~77k reported coronavirus deaths. If the FT's methodolgy checks out, that would mean coronavirus deaths have been 60% higher than official statics reflect - at least in the developed world.

The death toll from coronavirus may be almost 60 per cent higher than reported in official counts, according to an FT analysis of overall fatalities during the pandemic in 14 countries. Mortality statistics show 122,000 deaths in excess of normal levels across these locations, considerably higher than the 77,000 official Covid-19 deaths reported for the same places and time periods. If the same level of underreporting observed in these countries was happening worldwide, the global Covid-19 death toll would rise from the current official total of 201,000 to as high as 318,000.

The only country that showed almost now deviation between 'excess deaths' and the number of confirmed coronavirus cases was Denmark.





The gulf between the 'official' coronavirus death toll and the 'excess mortality' rate tabulated by the FT. was widest in the emerging world. In some places, the difference was ~100x (that's 100x not 100%). Officials reported roughly 250 deaths due to the virus, but the number of 'excess' deaths was 10,200 in Ecuador's Guayas Province.

In Ecuador’s Guayas province, just 245 official COVID-19-related deaths were reported between March 1 and April 15, but data on total deaths show that about 10,200 more people died during this period than in a typical year - an increase of 350 per cent.

If we assume that every single 'excess' case calculated by the FT is representative of a single case of COVID-19 (not exactly a scientific assumption, but fair enough for an estimate...), then we can compare which provinces, states and countries were most badly impacted. According to the FT, the region surrounding the Italian city of Bergamo suffered a much more severe outbreak than New York State.

In the northern Italian region of Lombardy, the heart of Europe’s worst outbreak, there are more than 13,000 excess deaths in the official statistics for the nearly 1,700 municipalities for which data is available. This is an uptick of 155 per cent on the historical average and far higher than the 4,348 reported Covid deaths in the region. The region surrounding the Italian city of Bergamo registered the worst increase internationally with a 464 per cent rise in deaths above normal levels, followed by New York City with a 200 per cent increase, and Madrid, Spain, with a 161 per cent increase.

The FT isn't the only financial news organization to try and determine by how much some countries are underreporting cases and deaths linked to the novel coronavirus.

Bloomberg on Sunday reported that the number of severe respiratory infections reported in Mexico over the past two months, coinciding with the end of flu season, were up more than 50% compared with last year. Experts working for the Mexican government quietly told Bloomberg that the increase is likely 100% attributable to the virus.

Severe acute respiratory infections in Mexico spiked 50% this season compared with a year ago, almost certainly all due to coronavirus, suggesting that government figures on Covid-19 cases are far too low.

In the most recent week, health ministry data show, Mexico registered 12,000 new cases of such respiratory infections, versus 671 in the same period a year ago.

"Of course that jump in cases is Covid-19, because influenza is on its way out this time of year," said Alejandro Macías, the former national commissioner for influenza in Mexico during the H1N1 outbreak. "There’s no doubt."


To be sure, the FT doesn't question the general trends displayed in global data - well, at least not in developed countries like the US and Italy. But it's just the latest reminder that armchair experts claiming that the true mortality rate for the virus is actually a small fraction of a percent are likely also gravely underestimating the total number of deaths that have gone underreported.

This just means that the grainy videos released by brave Wuhanese during the early days of the outbreak remain the most reliable indicators of what the novel coronavirus is capable of if left unchecked.

Though they've been wiped from the Chinese Internet, millions around the world witnessed the videos of dead bodies of the elderly in the streets, hospital hallways packed with the doomed, pandemonium, chaos - and Party officials firing up the crematorium out back.


https://www.zerohedge.com/geopolitical/coronavirus-deaths-likely-60-hi
gher-official-numbers-reflect-ft-finds


Originally reported here
https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c?emailI
d=5ea5bed7ea83a3000415ee72&segmentId=ce31c7f5-c2de-09db-abdc-f2fd624da608https://www.ft.com/content/6bd88b7d-3386-4543-b2e9-0d5c6fac846c?emailId=5ea5bed7ea83a3000415ee72&segmentId=ce31c7f5-c2de-09db-abdc-f2fd624da608


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Monday, April 27, 2020 2:50 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.





That's quite significant, Signy.

I did somewhat anticipate it, but in the context of China.

Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63473&p=1
Ultimately, long after the fact, the number could be estimated by population-wide statistical 'excess deaths', if there are enough to move the overall death rate enough beyond chance probabilities.




Yes, that's the other way to look for COVID-19 deaths, is 'excess' deaths. For example, the reportedly 5X 'excess' deaths due to specifically heart attack and heart failure, which I've already mentioned. But if COVID-19 is a multi-system pathology - heart, kidney, clotting, lung, GI, liver, and brain ... that we know of ... and who knows what else ... then a big spike in 'other' deaths and all deaths would be an indicator.


And it looks like those numbers are SO high, we don't need to sift through data like I thought we might.



And those excess deaths in NYC track the real-life facts of overwhelmed ERs and hospitals, hundreds on hundreds of dead every day, reefer storage for bodies, and mass graves.

So I'm very interested in those actual numbers, and at the same time, discouraged.

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Monday, April 27, 2020 6:17 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


A couple of comments on those graphs:

Those are legitimate graphs. Do you know how some illustrators start the vertical axis at something other than zero, to exaggerate the difference between "before" and "after"? Well, NOT HERE. The vertical axis starts at zero, and the increased death rate is as big and bad as shown: double, triple, quadruple OR MORE the usual death rate. (And no, SIX, it's not due to starvation or suicide.)

One explanation is that Covid-19 DIRECTLY caused these deaths thru non-pneumonia pathways that simply weren't recognized as covid. Another explanation is that, as hospitals are overwhelmed, other illnesses and trauma sinply aren't treated. I have a hard time believing that second explanation as causing more than some small fraction ... say, 10%... of those excess deaths.


Another thing about those graph: despite the fact that Covid-19 is reducing only slowly, the excess deaths are dropping pretty quickly. I don't know if that's because the drop is really proportionate to the reduction of covid-19 cases and its just time scale that makes it look so steep, or whether the "excess deaths" really are dropping a lot faster than the covid-19 cases. I would have to chart both to see if they're both dropping equaly sharply. If not, it's a puzzle to pursue.

But rather than finding these discouraging, I find them encouraging because the excess death rates seem to be dropping very quickly. Except for Jakarta, which still seems to be on the way up. London which has JUST passed its peak, and Sweden which has just reached its peak (maybe). It's too bad that they didn't study India. Yhere you wouldhave had a confounding factor of fewer air pollution deaths and higher covid-19 deaths.

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Monday, April 27, 2020 9:53 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.
Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.



No it's not. We've talked about this shit ad nauseam in the past and we're in agreement on it. You just forget that we used to agree about stuff.

Quote:

Poor nations around the world don't get "free shit" from the USA and the EU. The reason why they're poor is because the USA and the EU have predatory relationships with them.


No shit.

But I'm sure the fact that you and I know this is going to look great on the tombstone for the mass graves of millions of people dying of hunger because the free shit train stopped immediately overnight.

There is a difference between being poor and exploited and being dead from starvation. It might not be much of a difference, but the overreaction in the Western World to The Coomph is going to make that pretty clear soon.

Quote:

Why do you suppose we have bases all over the goddamn world, SIX? Do you think it's because people everywhere are grateful for all the "free shit" that we give them?


Why are you asking me these questions as if we haven't discussed this before and we aren't in agreement on it?

Do Right, Be Right. :)





Did you see this reply, Sigs?

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, April 27, 2020 4:10 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX: They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.

SIGNY:Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.

SIX: No it's not. We've talked about this shit ad nauseam in the past and we're in agreement on it. You just forget that we used to agree about stuff.

Germany and the other NATO nations, plus Japan, don't spend as much on the military because they have USA bases presumably "protecting them" from attack. But these are not the nations in danger of mass starvation, which was your concern.

The nations that are in danger of starvation are South Asia (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh), Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia etc), parts of the Mideast that the USA had destabilized (Syria, Iran, Iraq), all of Africa, and all of Central and South America.

WHAT "free shit" does the USA give them?

Quote:

SIGNY: Poor nations around the world don't get "free shit" from the USA and the EU. The reason why they're poor is because the USA and the EU have predatory relationships with them.

SIX: No shit. But I'm sure the fact that you and I know this is going to look great on the tombstone for the mass graves of millions of people dying of hunger because the free shit train stopped immediately overnight.

WHAT "free shit"? Show me in dollars where this "free shit" is going. Be specific.

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Monday, April 27, 2020 4:15 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
A couple of comments on those graphs:

Those are legitimate graphs. Do you know how some illustrators start the vertical axis at something other than zero, to exaggerate the difference between "before" and "after"? Well, NOT HERE. The vertical axis starts at zero, and the increased death rate is as big and bad as shown: double, triple, quadruple OR MORE the usual death rate. (And no, SIX, it's not due to starvation or suicide.)
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I think the peaks look so sharp because the graphs are over a full year time span.

And I think they're interesting because they show background seasonal variation, as well as the wide variation in when cities started their outbreaks.

Something that I've been thinking about for a while is why large cities seem especially vulnerable to such rapid escalation (and perhaps deescalation), beyond a scaled-up version of smaller cities that have the same interaction patterns in a smaller footprint. Is there a density factor? Is there a very rare event that shows up better in larger cities, like perhaps the presence of super-super spreaders? And how do very large, very dense cities like Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Seoul, manage in the face of what appears to be a severe environment for outbreaks?

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Tuesday, April 28, 2020 1:57 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.




Spain
March 16, 2020 lockdown
April 13, 2020 some construction and factory workers may return to work, masks recommended
May 9, 2020 preliminary date for lockdown expiration


New York
March 22, 2020 stay at home order
TBA


England
March 16, 2020 avoid all non-essential contact
March 23, 2020 lockdown
TBA


Italy
February 21, 2020 quarantine covering eleven municipalities of the province of Lodi enacted
March 8, 2020 expanded to cover much of Norther Italy, with some limits. Except for mass events and limited hours, most businesses were kept open with social distancing in place. However, people weren't permitted to enter or leave the area.
March 10, 2020 quarantine was expanded to all of Italy with travel to and from work and for necessities only allowed.
March 21, 2020 all non-essential businesses closed down
April 14, 2020 stationery shops, bookshops and children clothing's shops are allowed to open
May 4, 2020 projected time to reopen travel within municipalities


France
March 16, 2020 'strict' lockdown instituted including mandatory home confinement
May 11, 2020 projected date to ease restrictions




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Tuesday, April 28, 2020 4:52 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


91-DIVOC shows a strong California 'cases' inflection point at ~March 28, 2020. One and a half weeks before that March 19, 2020, California issued a stay at home order. A week before that April 03, 2020, the CDC and LACounty recommended all residents wear a mask in public.

91-DIVOC shows a strong California 'deaths' inflection point at ~April 12, 2020. Three weeks before that March 19, 2020, California issued a stay at home order. Two weeks before that April 03, 2020, the CDC and LACounty recommended all residents wear a mask in public.

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Tuesday, April 28, 2020 5:15 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

SIX: They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.

SIGNY:Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.

SIX: No it's not. We've talked about this shit ad nauseam in the past and we're in agreement on it. You just forget that we used to agree about stuff.

Germany and the other NATO nations, plus Japan, don't spend as much on the military because they have USA bases presumably "protecting them" from attack. But these are not the nations in danger of mass starvation, which was your concern.

The nations that are in danger of starvation are South Asia (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh), Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia etc), parts of the Mideast that the USA had destabilized (Syria, Iran, Iraq), all of Africa, and all of Central and South America.

WHAT "free shit" does the USA give them?

Quote:

SIGNY: Poor nations around the world don't get "free shit" from the USA and the EU. The reason why they're poor is because the USA and the EU have predatory relationships with them.

SIX: No shit. But I'm sure the fact that you and I know this is going to look great on the tombstone for the mass graves of millions of people dying of hunger because the free shit train stopped immediately overnight.

WHAT "free shit"? Show me in dollars where this "free shit" is going. Be specific.

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If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK



I already gave you the link.

Tens of millions of people are already starving and third world nations will be facing "starvation of a biblical proportion" due directly to developed nations overreaction to a cold.

Don't use the fact that I didn't provide a link every time we talk about this as a cop out so you can pretend it isn't happening.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, April 28, 2020 5:45 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Which thread was that link in? I don't recall a link and you post roughly a dozen posts a day. WAY too many to dig through.


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Tuesday, April 28, 2020 8:04 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


You're joking, right?

First post on the page you're looking at right now, Karen.


I only sent it to you specifically no less than 3 times the other day when you kept changing the subject.

Yanno, the article that never said India but you kept claiming did.











lol...

I even put it in an edit to make sure that it carried over to this page, and said that I felt it was important to do so because you both have amnesia now.



Quote:



EDIT: Oh, and here's the original article with a link. I feel that I have to post it again since we're on a new page and you both seem to have amnesia now from the stay at home orders.

https://people.com/food/world-face-multiple-famines-biblical-proportio
ns-coronavirus-crisis/

Quote:

UN Leader Says the World Could Face 'Famines of Biblical Proportions' amid Coronavirus Crisis

“While dealing with a COVID-19 pandemic, we are also on the brink of a hunger pandemic,” David Beasley, the director of the UN World Food Program warned

As the world continues to battle the coronavirus pandemic, the United Nations is warning that without action, the world is at risk of numerous famines “of biblical proportions” in the near future.

He explained that famines could be seen “in about three dozen countries,” ten of which already have more than 1 million people on the verge of starvation.

“There is also a real danger that more people could potentially die from the economic impact of COVID-19 than from the virus itself,” he warned.






Why don't you read it again and tell me more about India. And then pretend tomorrow that you never read it, again.


Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, April 28, 2020 9:10 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

JACK:
the obligatory trolling and snark

fify
Quote:

First post on the page you're looking at right now, Karen.
https://people.com/food/world-face-multiple-famines-biblical-proportio
ns-coronavirus-crisis
/
It says nothing about the US giving the world free stuff. Nothing at all.
Quote:

I only sent it to you specifically no less than 3 times the other day when you kept changing the subject.
I didn't respond because it was pointless. It didn't say anything about anybody giving starving nations free stuff in the past. It didn't address your claim that people will starve BECAUSE nations that used to give them free stuff in the past have suddenly stopped. It says nothing about nations starving because the US specifically will stop giving them free stuff. In fact - to reiterate - it says nothing about the US giving starving nations free stuff. To be even more excruciatingly detailed, your article says nothing about the US at all.
Quote:

Yanno, the article that never said India but you kept claiming did.
I never claimed it did. And I never claimed it said anything about Indiana, either.

I brought up India, because India is facing hunger RIGHT NOW. And it's not because they're not getting 'free stuff'. It's because there's no one to harvest the spring crops. And even if there were, there're no markets to sell the crops in. And it's also facing starvation down the road as lack of sales will lead to lack of money will lead to lack of planting the next season of crops.

https://news.yahoo.com/indias-farmers-face-shortage-harvest-091822471.
html

http://www.ipsnews.net/2020/04/covid-19-indias-harvests-also-locked/
https://www.voanews.com/science-health/coronavirus-outbreak/indian-far
mers-struggle-harvest-sell-crops-during-covid

https://in.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-india-harvests-idINK
BN21J4W3

https://in.news.yahoo.com/diminished-agricultural-selling-may-now-1201
00042.html

Quote:

Why don't you read it again and tell me more about India.
I could, but why be redundant.


Why don't YOU read it again and tell me more about how people around the globe will starve just because the US stopped giving them free stuff?


And why don't you tell us all again about how the nations of the world are doing what they're doing because they're terrified about what the "karens" in the US think?

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 2:50 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIX: They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.

SIGNY:Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.

SIX: No it's not. We've talked about this shit ad nauseam in the past and we're in agreement on it. You just forget that we used to agree about stuff.

SIGNY: Germany and the other NATO nations, plus Japan, don't spend as much on the military because they have USA bases presumably "protecting them" from attack. But these are not the nations in danger of mass starvation, which was your concern.

The nations that are in danger of starvation are South Asia (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh), Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia etc), parts of the Mideast that the USA had destabilized (Syria, Iran, Iraq), all of Africa, and all of Central and South America.

WHAT "free shit" does the USA give them?

SIX: No shit. But I'm sure the fact that you and I know this is going to look great on the tombstone for the mass graves of millions of people dying of hunger because the free shit train stopped immediately overnight.

SIX:I already gave you the link.
Tens of millions of people are already starving and third world nations will be facing "starvation of a biblical proportion" due directly to developed nations overreaction to a cold.
Don't use the fact that I didn't provide a link every time we talk about this as a cop out so you can pretend it isn't happening.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

SIX, there is NOTHING IN THE ARTICLE ABOUT THE GRAVY TRAIN COMING TO A SUDDEN HALT BECAUSE OF COVID-19. THERE IS NOTHING IN THERE ABOUT THE USA AT ALL. YOUR READING COMPREHENSION HAS GOTTEN AS BAD AS GSTRING'S.

I put it in caps hoping it would catch your short attention span.

YOU were the one who extended the article waaaaaay beyond truthfulness. Go back, re-read it, and stop making shit up, m'kay?

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 2:58 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Meanwhile, in the REAL real world ... looking at Sweden as the bellweather of "doing nothing"... despite its natural advantages of inbuilt social isolation, where many people live by themselves in their own houses and work from home, SWEDEN comes in third in the "new deaths per week per MM people" category, lower only than Ireland and Belgium.

I see that Sweden's policy is a resounding success. /snark

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 3:18 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Important things to note:

More extensive data indicates remdesivir might be a useful treatment in COIVD-19. Earlier data indicated no positive effect, but more extensive data now indicates about 31% of patients with severe COVID-19 improved. I think that the reason why improvement was so limited was because many people with severe COVID-19 had already entered into cytokine storm, which became the primary pathology. I believe that administering the drug early, along with positioning and O2 monitoring and administration, could be an important part of COVID-19 treatment that'll save many lives and prevent long-term organ damage in survivors.

Moderna Therapeutics is starting human trials on a SARS-COV-2 vaccine, of the novel mRNA type. The company has been working on coronavirus vaccines for decades, and therefore was able to modify an existing vaccine to match SARS-COV-2 genetics in 42 days after the genetic code was published. Safety data has already been generated for other versions of mRNA type coronavirus vaccines. This vaccine proved effective in preventing infection in monkeys over 6 days. Much more work is needed to be done on dosing, effectiveness, and length of protection in people, but the company is already geared up to produce millions of vaccines.

In the meantime

#WEARAMASK

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 8:52 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Quote:

SIX: They're not getting all the free shit that Western cultures give to them on any given usual day because we're not producing the free shit to give them anymore.

SIGNY:Another gross misunderstanding of how the world works.

SIX: No it's not. We've talked about this shit ad nauseam in the past and we're in agreement on it. You just forget that we used to agree about stuff.

SIGNY: Germany and the other NATO nations, plus Japan, don't spend as much on the military because they have USA bases presumably "protecting them" from attack. But these are not the nations in danger of mass starvation, which was your concern.

The nations that are in danger of starvation are South Asia (India, Pakistan, Bangladesh), Southeast Asia (Vietnam, Myanmar, Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia etc), parts of the Mideast that the USA had destabilized (Syria, Iran, Iraq), all of Africa, and all of Central and South America.

WHAT "free shit" does the USA give them?

SIX: No shit. But I'm sure the fact that you and I know this is going to look great on the tombstone for the mass graves of millions of people dying of hunger because the free shit train stopped immediately overnight.

SIX:I already gave you the link.
Tens of millions of people are already starving and third world nations will be facing "starvation of a biblical proportion" due directly to developed nations overreaction to a cold.
Don't use the fact that I didn't provide a link every time we talk about this as a cop out so you can pretend it isn't happening.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

SIX, there is NOTHING IN THE ARTICLE ABOUT THE GRAVY TRAIN COMING TO A SUDDEN HALT BECAUSE OF COVID-19. THERE IS NOTHING IN THERE ABOUT THE USA AT ALL. YOUR READING COMPREHENSION HAS GOTTEN AS BAD AS GSTRING'S.

I put it in caps hoping it would catch your short attention span.

YOU were the one who extended the article waaaaaay beyond truthfulness. Go back, re-read it, and stop making shit up, m'kay?





Article link: /world-face-multiple-famines-biblical-proportions-coronavirus-crisis/

Article title: UN Leader Says the World Could Face 'Famines of Biblical Proportions' amid Coronavirus Crisis

Article sub title: “While dealing with a COVID-19 pandemic, we are also on the brink of a hunger pandemic,” David Beasley, the director of the UN World Food Program warned

Quote from Director of UN World Food Program: “There is also a real danger that more people could potentially die from the economic impact of COVID-19 than from the virus itself,” he warned.




Further down the article: The WFP already estimated that in 2020, nearly 135 million people would be facing starvation.

With the addition of the coronavirus pandemic, Beasley is sounding the alarm that there could be an additional 130 million people “pushed to the brink of starvation.”




Last paragraph of the article: “The truth is, we do not have time on our side,” he continued to warn. “I do believe that with our expertise and partnerships, we can bring together the teams and the programs necessary to make certain the COVID-19 pandemic does not become a humanitarian and food crisis catastrophe.”



I don't know what article you read, but it certainly wasn't the one I linked. The whole fucking article says exactly what I said it says. It HEAVILY implies that the actions taken to prevent the spread of The Coomph will be directly responsible for the starvation deaths of some 130 million people if we don't open stuff back up soon.



And I never said it was just the US shutting down alone causing this (and neither did the article). It's the entire civilized Western World shutting down and ceasing aid overnight.

Again, I'll state that we shouldn't be doing that in the first place. But when the spigit is shut off immediately, people will starve almost as immediately. We need to ween these people off of "aid" that we give them and let them learn to fend for themselves so something like this doesn't happen again.




And it should be noted that hardly anybody in Africa is dying from The Coomph itself compared to industrialized nations who were providing all the free shit. The average age of some of these countries where people are going to starve to death is as low as 15 years old. There aren't a shit ton of old people in Africa.



Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 9:23 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


SIX, WHERE DOES IT SAY ANYTHING ABOUT THE "FREE SHIT" GRAVY TRAIN FROM THE WEST COMING TO A HALT BEING THE CAUSE OF STARVATION?

IT DOESN'T

Many nations at risk from starvation, as the article points out, are ALREADY at risk from starvation. THEY THEMSELVES HAVE THEIR OWN LOCKDOWNS. India has a lockdown. Malaysia has a lockdown. Iran has a lockdown. Phlippines has a lockdown. Ecuador. Vietnam. South Africa. Colombia. Argentina. Morocco. Kenya. Thailand is under curfew. And more.

What?

You thought "lockdowns" only happened in the panicky, developed, karen-filled, risk-averse west???

These nations at risk of starvation have their own covid-19 policies. They are at risk because of their own economic status and their own policies, not because of anything the west is doing because of covid.

Many of those nations, with or without lockdown, are experiencing such disruption from mass deaths that their own internal economies are put under strain. On top of that, they have (predatory) western loans to service and (predatory) contracts with the west to fill.

The statement is a giant donation request. They just want MORE money from the west.

Yanno, it would help if you got your head outta your ass on this topic.





-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 9:38 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


And what did he think was the root cause? It wasn't because western nations suddenly stopped the gravy train.

The title of his talk was “Protection of civilians from conflict-induced hunger”.

https://insight.wfp.org/wfp-chief-warns-of-hunger-pandemic-as-global-f
ood-crises-report-launched-3ee3edb38e47


Quote:

Speaking at an online briefing broadcast by the UN on YouTube, Facebook and Twitter, Beasley highlighted the fact that there are CURRENTLY 821 million food-insecure people in the world. “If we don’t prepare and act now, to secure access, avoid funding shortfalls and disruptions to trade,” he said, the result could be a “humanitarian catastrophe … in a short few months”.

Beasley added: “Millions of civilians living in conflict-scarred nations, including many women and children, face being pushed to the brink of starvation, with the spectre of famine a very real and dangerous possibility.”



His talked was based on the WFP report

https://insight.wfp.org/covid-19-will-almost-double-people-in-acute-hu
nger-by-end-of-2020-59df0c4a8072


which said
Quote:

The greatest worry is for people living in conflict zones and those forced from their homes and into refugee camps, with countries of concern including northeastern Nigeria, South Sudan, Syria and Yemen.

“These are the people I’m most worried about,” said Husain. “They did not need COVID-19. Even without it their lives were hanging by a thread. They literally depend on us for their lives. If we cannot get to them for any reason they end up paying the ultimate price. We need to prioritize the people and make sure we’re there. Because if it’s not us, it’s no one else.”




It's not about people routinely subsisting on the western gravy train.

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 9:44 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
SIX, WHERE DOES IT SAY ANYTHING ABOUT THE "FREE SHIT" GRAVY TRAIN FROM THE WEST COMING TO A HALT BEING THE CAUSE OF STARVATION?

IT DOESN'T




Read it again. It does.

It said there were already 135 million people. Now there are 265 million people.

Stop playing dumb. You're not dumb. It doesn't suit you.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Wednesday, April 29, 2020 9:48 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

JACK:
Read it again. It does.

No it doesn't.

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Thursday, April 30, 2020 12:58 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/30/coronavirus-death-projections-comp
are-causes-of-death
/

One (model) stands out for the fact that it is not associated with a big-name institution. Produced by independent data scientist Youyang Gu, it has been tracking actual U.S. cases and deaths better than many.

Gu’s model projects that U.S. Covid-19 deaths by early August could be as low as 88,217 and as high as 293,381, with a most likely toll of 150,760.

With U.S. deaths from Covid-19 passing 61,000 this week, the question is as difficult as ever: Are these large numbers or small numbers?

So far this season, flu deaths total 24,000 to 62,000 (data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are estimates with wide uncertainties). Whether you think a tally as much as 12 times higher is a tragedy or merely unfortunate is a personal call. For comparison, about 8,000 Americans die every day from, almost overwhelmingly, diseases and other natural causes. Those, of course, haven’t stopped; Covid-19 deaths are in addition to those ...







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Thursday, April 30, 2020 8:25 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Singapore was among the countries that originally seemed to have SAS-COV-2 well under control. Now, looking at 91-DIVOC, it seems to be on an unstoppable explosion, albeit at low levels compared to other countries. But low numbers are deceiving, as even the most devastated countries started at low levels. Direction is important!

(Singapore's total cases on a log scale are on an steep slope upward with no 'bend' visible.) Or, as headlined April 20, 2020 " Singapore tops Southeast Asia in terms of COVID-19 infections, with a record 1,426 cases announced on April 20 raising its total to 8,014."


20 April 2020
https://en.vietnamplus.vn/singapore-posts-highest-covid19-infections-i
n-southeast-asia/172041.vnp



18 April 2020
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/singapore-covid-19-outb
reak-evolved-coronavirus-deaths-timeline-12639444

4 Jan 4 - 1 Feb 2020 increasing travel, entry, and quarantine restrictions and screening for travelers
4 Feb 2020 first travel-related cluster of cases and community spread leads to increased internal and external screening as well as cancellation of voluntary interschool activities
1 Feb 2020 "All mass activities should be suspended" and dormitories (purpose-built slums for foreign workers) are to be cleaned more regularly and common spaces should have staggered use
17 Feb - 12 March 2020 Stay at home orders for travelers are made mandatory, more clusters emerge

senior-centric activities are suspended for 2 weeks, mosques - as centers of infection - are closed
13 March 2020 general safe-distancing measures announced, all events of 250+ people are cancelled
15 March - 20 March 2020 new clusters emerge with unknown sources, more countries are added to the 14-day stay at home list for travelers, travel abroad is encouraged to be deferred
20 March 2020 expanded mandatory safe distancing measures rolled out, with business enforcement and penalties
24 March 2020 all entertainment venues are to close, religious gatherings are to be cancelled, tuition centers are to close, returning travelers are to be quarantined in separate facilities
more clusters of domestic cases and in dormitories are found
31 March 2020 people are urged to stay at home as much as possible
2 April 2020 safe distancing measures are introduced in markets
7 Apr to 4 May 2020 CIRCUIT BREAKER INSTITUTED Only essential services can be open, all schools will close, masks should be used when people leave the house for essential needs, but Singaporeans are urged to stay at home as much as possible


16 April 2020
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/technology/singapore-had-the-coronaviru
s-under-control-now-its-locking-down-the-country/ar-BB12ITcq

Last month, it appeared that Singapore had managed to keep a lid on coronavirus infections through a system that included exhaustive contact tracing, early travel restrictions and strict social distancing measures. Though it was one of the worst-hit places in the early stages of the pandemic, the country managed to keep cases to fewer than 390 and had zero deaths until March 21, nearly two months after it reported its first coronavirus infection.
Until early April, Singapore was one of a few countries that refrained from closing schools, pointing to early research that suggested children aren't as vulnerable to the COVID-19 disease as adults, even as more than 150 countries had shut down their educational institutions.
Since then, Singapore's confirmed cases have risen dramatically.
The semi-lockdown came after Singapore witnessed an explosion of confirmed coronavirus cases, from 106 infections on March 1 to 1,000 on April 1. Those figures indicate most infections were transmitted locally and that a growing number of cases have no known links to confirmed patients.
On Wednesday, Singapore's Ministry of Health announced that coronavirus cases had climbed to a fresh record daily high of 447, with a majority of cases coming from the migrant worker dormitories.
As part of Singapore's stricter "circuit breaker" measures, it shuttered most workplaces last Tuesday. The following day, school closures went into effect for at least a month, shifting students to "full home-based learning." The government has also banned public and private social gatherings of any size, meaning residents who entertain guests face six months of jail time or a fine of up to $7,000.
"We have decided that instead of tightening incrementally over the next few weeks, we should make a decisive move now, to preempt escalating infections," Singapore's prime minister, Lee Hsien Loong, said in an address to the nation on April 3.

13 April 2020
https://www.news.com.au/world/coronavirus/global/coronavirus-singapore
-authorities-clamp-down-amid-resurgence-of-covid19-cases/news-story/5805f66424f5b7ac8a7a59488494b104



12 Apr, 2020
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=
12324356



9 April 2020
https://asiatimes.com/2020/04/singapore-migrant-worker-dormitories-qua
rantined
/

What this graphic shows is that border controls and quarantines work on imported cases, that intermediate social distancing and contact tracing can slow the spread but not reverse it (it took a US-style shelter-at-home program to reverse spread of the virus, public mask-wearing early-on wasn't tried), but that in places where you can't practice social distancing, spread is rampant in crowded conditions.



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Thursday, April 30, 2020 8:32 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
Quote:

JACK:
Read it again. It does.

No it doesn't.



Yes. It does.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Thursday, April 30, 2020 8:44 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


South Korea, Vietnam, and Taiwan still have the virus well-controlled; Japan like Singapore has experienced a sudden sustained spike, albeit, like Singapore, at low levels relative to most countries.

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Thursday, April 30, 2020 8:44 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

JACK:
Read it again. It does.

Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
No it doesn't.

Quote:

JACK:

Yes. It does.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

lol

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Thursday, April 30, 2020 10:19 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

JACK:
Read it again. It does.



Quote:

1KIKI:
No it doesn't.



Quote:

JACK:
Yes. It does.



Quote:

1KIKI: lol


lol

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Friday, May 1, 2020 7:17 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Originally posted by 1KIKI:
South Korea, Vietnam, and Taiwan still have the virus well-controlled; Japan like Singapore has experienced a sudden sustained spike, albeit, like Singapore, at low levels relative to most countries.

I see Sweden has equalled or surpassed Netherlands and Ireland in deaths/MM population.
Next to catch up to: France and Italy.
GO SWEDEN!
YOU CAN DO IT!

*****

Meanwhile, in the UK, the number of deaths/MM has taken a significant jump up in that last update. I find that unusual so far in their epidemic, and with so many cases already counted it must mean a very large increase in absolute numbers.

Every time I see an increase like that, I wonder what happened a month or so beforehand. Was there a significant holiday? Or have they just gotten better at counting Covid-19 deaths?

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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