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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
Unemployment Rate Facts
Friday, September 3, 2021 5:27 PM
JEWELSTAITEFAN
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force. So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.
Quote:The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year. The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year. The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Quote:I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real. The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency. Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format. The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate. The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure. The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force. The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.
Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
Friday, September 3, 2021 5:28 PM
Quote:Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935. The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression. The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017. With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018. The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018. The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Quote: The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016. The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Friday, September 3, 2021 5:45 PM
Friday, September 3, 2021 5:47 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Friday, October 8, 2021 4:39 PM
Friday, October 8, 2021 5:05 PM
Saturday, October 9, 2021 2:43 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: Well, that is a fanciful report today. Lowest Unemployment since the Covid Libtard Lockdowns began. Despite a shrinking size of Labor Force, and decrease in Participation Rate. I wonder how many people believe such rubbish. Continued reports of BLS being unable to actually count the number of unemployed, so they continue to mis-classify unemployed folk as employed. And continuing to grow the largest gap between Fake Unemployment figures and the more realistic Shadow Stats tally.
Sunday, October 17, 2021 4:52 PM
Friday, November 5, 2021 12:13 AM
Friday, November 5, 2021 5:54 PM
Friday, November 5, 2021 11:58 PM
Saturday, November 6, 2021 2:11 AM
Quote:Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN: Tomorrow the Unemployment report will likely show that the Civ Pop increase of the past year will be less than 1 million, for the first time since this version of report figures was created (under Clinton).
Saturday, November 6, 2021 4:50 AM
Saturday, November 6, 2021 8:04 AM
SECOND
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Saturday, November 6, 2021 9:27 AM
Saturday, November 6, 2021 10:46 AM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Blue line - Unemployment Rate (right scale) Red Line - All Employees, Total Nonfarm (left scale) https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=IBvp The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Saturday, November 6, 2021 11:02 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Unemployment is not under 5% by a longshot. Yup. Thanks for showing a graph that illustrates the lies I mentioned.
Saturday, November 6, 2021 5:10 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Unemployment is not under 5% by a longshot. Yup. Thanks for showing a graph that illustrates the lies I mentioned.Is this one of those things where more than 5% of the people you know are unemployed, therefore the NATIONAL unemployment must be more than 5%? Maybe you know too many people who are unemployable due to their psychological factors, e.g. they are crazy, lazy, drug hazy, lost souls?
Saturday, November 6, 2021 6:33 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: No. It's me still calling bullshit.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 1:53 AM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: No. It's me still calling bullshit. Where did you get your still unspecified unemployment numbers? If the source is you and your feelings, it is you full bullshit. Or it could be your mind is hazy from past drinking and past contact with Covid-19. Either could make you think you know far more than you know in the form of delusions of adequacy.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 6:59 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: No. It's me still calling bullshit. Where did you get your still unspecified unemployment numbers? If the source is you and your feelings, it is you full bullshit. Or it could be your mind is hazy from past drinking and past contact with Covid-19. Either could make you think you know far more than you know in the form of delusions of adequacy. What, are you a fuckin moron? Even the most biased sources tell you in the fine print buried deep in the articles that the unemployment numbers don't count people who have "dropped out of the workforce". Oh. That's right. You only read headlines. Because you're retarded.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 7:06 AM
Sunday, November 7, 2021 7:45 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: It appears that somebody programmed the Roomba to go around playing bargain-bin therapist in Nilbog's absence. Shut up idiot. You're not nearly as intelligent as you believe yourself to be.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 7:50 AM
Quote:Originally posted by second: 6ix, you are definitely smarter than I am
Sunday, November 7, 2021 8:19 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Quote:Originally posted by second: 6ix, you are definitely smarter than I am Of this, there is zero doubt.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 8:23 AM
Quote:Originally posted by second: It's funny that you're convinced you know from local experience of being unemployed what the National unemployment rate is.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 9:04 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: The Unemployment numbers are and will always be false and not at all reflective of reality. This was the case under GWB, Obama, Trump and now Biden*.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 9:05 AM
Sunday, November 7, 2021 9:17 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Posting your same fake graph on repeat isn't doing your false argument any favors.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 9:20 AM
Sunday, November 7, 2021 9:29 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Go find it yourself, idiot. Is your internet broken?
Sunday, November 7, 2021 5:10 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Go find it yourself, idiot. Is your internet broken?6ix, you don't have anything to support your fake unemployment numbers, do you? Nothing other than new craziness piled on top of old crazy. To quote you: "I'll take my leave . . . I have shit to do. No more time to waste on you." 6ix, you know perfectly well you have nothing worth doing and nothing supporting your unemployment numbers.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 8:05 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: You continue to be wrong about everything. Don't let me stop you.
Sunday, November 7, 2021 8:21 PM
Monday, November 8, 2021 6:56 AM
Monday, November 8, 2021 8:30 AM
Monday, November 8, 2021 1:33 PM
1KIKI
Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.
Monday, November 8, 2021 8:09 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 1KIKI: AFAIK to be counted as being unemployed you have to be actively receiving unemployment benefits and all the caveats and limitations that imposes.
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Common Misperceptions: - Not everyone who is out of work is unemployed. In order to be counted as unemployed you have to be out of work, looking for work, and able to accept a job if one is offered to you. If you are out of work and not looking, then you are considered “not in the labor force” rather than unemployed.
Tuesday, November 9, 2021 1:35 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 1KIKI: AFAIK to be counted as being unemployed you have to be actively receiving unemployment benefits and all the caveats and limitations that imposes. I hope most people know by now that unemployment numbers are hardly meaningful, and that the labor force participation rate is a better metric. But it's not perfect! It counts "those who are employed or unemployed and looking for work, compared to the total adult population". If you work 1 hour a week, you're counted as employed. If your LOOKING for work, you still count!
Quote:So even though this measure is better than unemployment figures there are serious deficits in this metric as well. That said, the media's over-emphasis on unemployment figures is yet another example of how we're being propagandized every day by our government/media propaganda machine. https://www.bls.gov/charts/employment-situation/civilian-labor-force-participation-rate.htm The labor force participation rate dropped from 66.7% in November 2001 to a low of 63.3% in September 2015 (note for Second: including an overall drop from 65.7% to 62.7% during Obama's terms in office). It rose slightly during Trump's term in office from 62.8% 63.2%. But February through April 2020 it dropped from 63.4 to 60.2. It rebounded sharply to reach 61.7% in August 2020. Since then it's been flat, in October 2021 it was 61.6%. OVERALL the labor force participation rate dropped sharply from 63.3% in Jan 2020 to 61.7 in August 2020 and has been stalled out since.
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