Trump's Budget by JEWELSTAITEFAN

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Trump's Budget

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Monday, November 7, 2022 12:17
SHORT URL:
VIEWED: 22285
PAGE 7 of 7

Saturday, July 16, 2022 12:31 AM

Monthly Revenues, Outlays.

Updated with the MTS for June 2022.

I think I will go forward with data from the Monthly Treasury Statement each month. It has already been shown that CBO distorts and Fakes their data, and the more accurate MTS is usually less than a week later.

I won't redo all the past years, but will look up the FY2019 data.
The projected Deficit numbers will continue to be from CBO, since I have not seen Treasury delve into that. I should check OMB.

https://fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/mts/

https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/mts/mts0819.p
df

CBO still has this new format to their report, which again tried to hide the numbers, since highly partisan Deep State CBO was too incompetent to report clearly.

This looks like an interesting resource linky:
https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/major-recurring-reports#9

https://WWW.CBO.Gov/about/press-center

Apr 2018 CBO estimate:
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/53821#section2

These data sources actually seem to correlate to the figures in the Budget Statements.
I'll try to post some data to breakdown how the projections progress.

The 1st column is Category and Fiscal Year. Categories are Revenue, Outlays, Surplus/Deficit (estimate) and Surplus/Deficit (Actual, or corrected). Projected is the figure that CBO projected for the FY, most recent at the time of the report. Proportional Percent is the cumulative Deficit compared to the actual FY Total. For the newest year, % Projection is based upon the historical proportion for that month of the cycle.

Each FY has 2 groups. First group is the individual month data. Second group is the cumulative Deficit for that FY so far.

Figures in Billions.

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Rev16 $211 $205 $350 $314 $169 $228 $438 $225 $330 $210 $231 $358
Out16 $347 $270 $364 $258 $362 $336 $332 $277 $323 $323 $338 $323
S/D16 -136 -$65 -$14 +$55 -193 -108 +106 -$53 +$06 -113 -107 +$35

Rev16 $211 $416 $766 1079 1248 1476 1915 2139 2469 2679 2910 3268
Out16 $347 $617 $981 1240 1601 1936 2268 2545 2868 3191 3529 3852
S/D16 -136 -201 -216 -160 -353 -459 -353 -405 -399 -512 -619 -585
Projt -414 -414 -414 -544 -544 -534 -534 -534 -534 -534 -590 -590
Port% 23.2 34.4 36.9 27.4 60.3 78.5 60.3 69.2 68.2 87.5 106% 100%

Rev17 $222 $200 $319 $344 $172 $217 $456 $240 $339 $231 $226 $348
Out17 $267 $337 $347 $293 $364 $393 $273 $327 $426 $276 $336 $342
S/D17 -$46 -137 -$27 +$51 -192 -176 +182 -$87 -$87 -$45 -109 +$06

Rev17 $222 $422 $741 1085 1257 1473 1929 2168 2509 2738 2966 3314
Out17 $267 $604 $951 1243 1607 2000 2273 2600 3028 3307 3642 3982
S/D17 -$46 -183 -210 -159 -351 -527 -344 -432 -520 -568 -675 -668
Projt -594 -594 -594 -559 -559 -559 -559 -559 -693 -693 -693 -693
Port% 06.9 27.5 31.6 23.9 52.8 79.2 51.7 65.0 78.2 85.4 101% 100%

Rev18 $235 $210 $326 $362 $157 $213 $515 $217 $314 $225 $219 $343
Out18 $299 $344 $352 $311 $373 $420 $297 $361 $389 $301 $430 $227
SDEst -6$2 -134 -$26 +$51 -216 -207 +218 -144 -$75 -$75 -211 +116
Act18 -$63 -139 -$23 +$49 -215 -209 +214 -146 -$74 -$77 -214 +118

Rev18 $235 $445 $770 1131 1287 1499 2012 2224 2539 2766 2985 3328
Out18 $299 $643 $998 1306 1679 2097 2394 2754 3146 3448 3880 4110
SDEst -$62 -198 -228 -174 -392 -598 -382 -530 -607 -682 -894 -782
Act18 -$63 -202 -225 -176 -391 -600 -386 -532 -606 -683 -897 -779
Projt -873 -873 -873 -873 -873 -873 -804 -792 -793 -793 -793 -793
%Prj7 -911 -734 -713 -736 -741 -757 -747 -815 -776 -799 -885 -782
%Prj6 -271 -588 -609 -644 -648 -765 -640 -766 -890 -779 -845 -782
Port% 08.1 25.9 28.9 22.6 50.2 77.0 49.6 74.7 77.8 87.7 115% 100%

Rev19 $253 $205 $312 $340 $171
Out19 $353 $408 $324 $331 $398
SDEst -$98 -203 -012 +$09 -227
Act19 -100 -205 -013 +$09 -234

Rev19 $253 $458 $771 1111 1282
Out19 $353 $761 1088 1421 1819
SDEst -$98 -303 -317 -310 -537
Act19 -100 -305 -318 -310 -544
Projt -985 -985 -985 -897 -897 -897 -897 -897 -897 -897
%Pjt8 1212 1170 1097 1372 1060 (944)
%Pjt7 1423 1102 1003 1297 1017
%Pjt6 -422 -881 -859 1131 -891

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Following are from Monthly Treasury Statements:

Rev19 $253 $206 $313 $340 $167 $229 $536 $232 $334 $251 $228 $374
Out19 $353 $411 $326 $331 $401 $376 $375 $440 $342 $371 $428 $291
S/D19 -100 -205 -014 +$09 -234 -147 +160 -208 -$08 -120 -200 +083

Rev19 $253 $459 $771 1111 1278 1507 2043 2275 2609 2860 3088 3462
Out19 $353 $764 1090 1421 1823 2198 2574 3014 3356 3727 4155 4447
S/D19 -100 -305 -319 -310 -544 -691 -531 -739 -747 -867 1067 -984
Projt -985 -985 -985 -897 -897 -897 -896 -896 -896 -960 -960 -960
%Pjt8 1237 1176 1104 1372 1084 -897 1072 1082 -960 -989 -927
%Pjt7 1452 1113 1015 1302 1035 -876 1031 1143 -960 1020 1056
%Pjt6 -430 -888 -864 1133 -902 -881 -880 1067 1095 -991 1008

Rev20 $246 $225 $336 $372 $189 $237 $242 $174 $241 $563 $223 $373
Out20 $380 $434 $349 $405 $423 $356 $980 $573 1105 $626 $423 $498
S/D20 -134 -209 $-13 $-33 -235 -119 -738 -399 -864 $-63 -200 -125

Rev20 $246 $471 $806 1179 1367 1603 1845 2019 2260 2823 3047 3420
Out20 $380 $814 1163 1568 1991 2347 3327 3900 5004 5631 6053 6552
S/D20 -134 -343 -357 -389 -624 -744 1482 1880 2745 2807 3007 3132
Projt 1008 1008 1008 1008 1008 1008
%Pjt9
%Pjt8 1
%Pjt7 14
%Pjt6 -4
notesR5520 0705 6510 8798 6649 3415 5278 9139 9968 3464 6685
notesO9988 4112 3203 8086 1315 7069 6954 9568 4471 0958 3274
notesD4468 3407 6693 9288 4666 3654 1676 0429 4503 7494 6589

Rev21 $238 $220 $346 $385 $248 $268 $439 $464 $449 $262 $268 $460
Out21 $522 $365 $490 $547 $559 $927 $665 $596 $623 $564 $439 $521
S/D21 -284 -145 -144 -163 -311 -660 -226 -132 -174 -302 -171 -062

Rev21 $238 $457 $803 1188 1436 1704 2143 2607 3056 3318 3586 4046
Out21 $522 $887 1376 1924 2483 3410 4075 4671 5294 5858 6297 6818
S/D21 -284 -429 -573 -736 1047 1706 1932 2064 2238 2540 2711 2772
Projt 10
%Pjt0
%Pjt9
%Pjt8 1
%Pjt7 14
%Pjt6 -4

Rev22 $284 $281 $487 $465 $290 $315 $864 $389 $461
Out22 $449 $473 $508 $346 $506 $508 $555 $455 $550
S/D22 -165 -192 -$21 +119 -217 -193 +308 -$66 -$89

Rev22 $284 $565 1052 1517 1807 2122 2986 3375 3835
Out22 $449 $922 1430 1776 2282 2790 3346 3801 4350
S/D22 -165 -356 -378 -259 -476 -668 -360 -426 -515
Projt 1837 1837
%Pjt1
%Pjt0
%Pjt9
%Pjt8
%Pjt7
%Pjt6

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

Items of note:
Despite the endless whining of "Tax Cuts" from CBO, they admit they exaggerated the deficit, and more revenue was generated Every Single Month this FY2018.

Hmmmm.
Revenue gain from October 2015 -> 2016: $11 Billion.
Revenue gain from October 2016 -> 2017: $13 Billion.
Revenue gain from October 2017 -> 2018: $18 Billion.
ETA:
Revenue gain from October 2018 -> 2019: $134 Billion.
Revenue gain from October 2018 -> 2020: $92 Billion, amidst Libtard Lockdowns.

And Outlays (spending) is almost back to Obama's October 2015 level, considering inflation/devaluation from Obamanomics.

For November 2018, payment shifts caused a bloat of $45 Billion more than normal.

For December the timing shifts in payments caused a bloat of $44 Billion.
The Deficit for December 2018 is $11 Billion less than December 2017, and without the bloat would be a Surplus of $32 Billion for this December, or $55 Billion better than the year before.
Even with the bloat, Spending (Outlays) for December 2018 were $28 Billion less than December 2017. You will not find that number in the CBO report, because they are toiling feverishly to convolute it to hide such good news now that their God Obama is out of Office. Also $23 Billion less than December 2016, and $40 Billion less than December 2015 - both Obama Spending.

Without using the bloat, extrapolation indicates the FY Deficit to be more than $100 Billion below projections, after only the first Quarter.

Timing shifts of payments only alter Outlays, there is no effect on Revenues. First Quarter Revenues are more than any other First Quarter.

Net interest on the Public Debt went from $86 Billion in December 2017 to $102 Billion in December 2018. Thanks, Obama - and Obama toadie Powell. An Increase of $16 Billion per month will make an annual Surplus even harder to achieve.

For January 2019, the picture clarifies a bit.
After months of shifting payments to a prior month based upon days of the week for payment, January does not seem to have that. Such phenomenon made direct comparison to prior years more difficult. January is also the first month of the new spendaholic Pelosi House.
Although Individual Income Tax is $33B less for FYTD compared to January 2018, $15B of that is from January 2019 alone, suggesting the GDP slowdown resulting from the Anti-Economy Election is reducing Income of Taxpayers. Or possibly the Pelosi Shutdown interfered with the collection of Revenues.
By comparison, Payroll Tax Revenues for December 2018 were $10B more than December 2017. $95B vs. $85B - an increase of 12%.

For April 2019: The largest Revenue collection in history, for the second consecutive April.
CBO continues to whine about less Corporate Income Tax Revenue because of the Tax Law, but This April Corporate Income Tax Revenue were $3B more than April 2018, and Individual income and payroll Taxes were $22B more than last year. Withheld Taxes for those payments were up $16B over last year.

For August 2019: Revenues were more than August 2018, and spending was less.

Wow. For March 2021: Almost a $Trillion in one month. Quite impressive amount of Pork Waste Spending, even for a radical Libtard. Spending more than 3 times the revenue.
And only halfway through the Fiscal Year, Libtards have already spent more than twice the total Revenues so far. 12997, 15 Apr

For the April 2021 figures, the revenues seem to be very large Social Insurance and Retirement Receipts, and large Individual Income Tax Revenue and Corporate Income Tax Revenue. But not as much as 2020 (delayed until July), or 2019, or 2018, or 2017.

For June 2021, Individual Income Taxes are $265 Billion - more than the entire Revenue total for same month last year.

For August 2021 MTS - yes, that is close to a $3 Trillion deficit, for one year.

The revenues, which were budgeted by Trump, are record level, but Biden/Dems were able to still outspend it.

For Jan 2022: first monthly surplus since Sept 2019, under Trump. But I haven't heard Lord Darth Obiden bragging about it in the media. Maybe because it is still under Trump's Budget.

For July 2022, the webpage links for The Monthly Treasury Statement have stopped working, so the June Statement is not available in the regular format. Not sure if the data is valid, because the data does not match prior reports. When the Lies become just too overwhelming for The Deep State to continue perpetuating, seems just disabling or discontinuing the reports is the best option.

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Friday, July 29, 2022 1:47 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

GDP.
Updated from today.

Updated with most recent revision data, from last year, July 2021.

https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=19&step=2#reqid=19&am
p;step=2&isuri=1&1921=survey

Updated with revised 30 Jul 2020 report data, for 2015- present.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-202
0-advance-estimate
Table 7 in the Excel spreadsheet.

BEA seems to have had another round of hiding data, and discontinuing it's prior templates for providing data, including deleting the archived reports. So now all of the historical data is truly deleted, except for places like right here where the data has not been erased.

To find this data, one must used the "data tools" function, and find Table 1.1.5

The last several reports have been persistently rounding off the figure totals by 3 or 4 digits, so that the figures I'm posting are based upon addition, stacked many times, and could be subject to correction.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This data does appear to be listed under Calendar Year Quarters as opposed to Fiscal Year Quarters elsewhere.
Yes, this is Table.1.1.5 (use the Modify button to adjust dates) at this link:
https://bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?

This GDP data is from BEA News Release Archives. Current-Dollar GDP.

With new data from 27 July 2018:
Yr FY Qrtr1 FY Qrtr2 FY Qrtr3 FY Qrtr4 FiscalYr CalndrYr Paced FY
00 09890.4 10002.9 10247.7 10319.8 10107.4 10252.3
01 10439.0 10472.9 10597.8 10596.3 10526.5 10581.8 10659.7 --133
02 10660.3 10789.0 10893.2 10992.1 10833.6 10936.4 11212.0 --380
03 11071.5 11183.5 11312.9 11567.3 11283.8 11458.2 11764.3 --460
04 11769.3 11920.2 12109.0 12303.3 12025.4 12213.7 12316.5 --291
05 12522.4 12761.3 12910.0 13142.9 12834.1 13036.6 12868.8 --55
06 13332.3 13603.9 13749.8 13867.5 13638.4 13814.6 13421.1 +217
07 14037.2 14208.6 14382.4 14535.0 14290.8 14451.9 13973.3 +317
08 14681.5 14651.0 14805.6 14835.2 14743.3 14712.8 14525.6 +218
09 14559.5 14394.5 14352.9 14420.3 14431.9 14448.9 15077.9 --646
10 14628.0 14721.4 14926.1 15079.9 14838.8 14992.3 15630.2 --791
11 15240.8 15285.8 15496.2 15591.9 15403.7 15542.6 16182.5 --779
12 15796.5 16019.8 16152.3 16257.2 16056.4 16197.0 16735.8 --679
13 16358.9 16569.6 16637.9 16848.7 16603.8 16784.9 17288.1 --344
14 17083.1 17102.9 17425.8 17719.8 17392.7 17521.7 17840.3 --448
15 17838.5 17970.4 18221.3 18331.1 18090.3 18219.3 18392.6 --302
16 18354.4 18409.1 18640.7 18799.6 18551.0 18707.2 18944.8 --394
17 18979.2 19162.6 19359.1 19588.1 19272.3 19485.4 19497.1 --225
18 19831.8 20041.0 20411.9 20658.2 20210.7 20500.6 20049.4 +161
19 20865.1 21066.1 2134?.?

New altered data starting 26 July 2019:
Yr FY Qrtr1 FY Qrtr2 FY Qrtr3 FY Qrtr4 FiscalYr CalndrYr Paced FY
12 15796.5 16019.8 16152.3 16257.2 16056.4 16197.0 16735.8 --679
13 16358.9 16569.6 16637.9 16848.7 16603.8 16784.9 17288.1 --344
14 17083.1 17104.6 17432.9 17721.7 17335.6 17527.3
15 17849.9 17984.2 18219.4 18344.7 18099.8 18224.8
16 18350.8 18424.3 18637.3 18806.7 18554.8 18715.1
17 18991.9 19190.4 19356.6 19611.7 19287.7 19519.4
18 19918.9 20163.2 20510.2 20749.8 20335.5 20580.3
19 20897.8 21098.8 21340.2 21542.5 21194.8 21427.1
20 21726.7

New altered data starting 30 July 2020:
Yr FY Qrtr1 FY Qrtr2 FY Qrtr3 FY Qrtr4 FiscalYr CalndrYr Paced FY
00 09890.4 10002.9 10247.7 10319.8 10107.4 10252.3
01 10439.0 10472.9 10597.8 10596.3 10526.5 10581.8 10659.7 --133
02 10660.3 10789.0 10893.2 10992.1 10833.6 10936.4 11212.0 --380
03 11071.5 11183.5 11312.9 11567.3 11283.8 11458.2 11764.3 --460
04 11769.3 11920.2 12109.0 12303.3 12025.4 12213.7 12316.5 --291
05 12522.4 12761.3 12910.0 13142.9 12834.1 13036.6 12868.8 --55
06 13332.3 13603.9 13749.8 13867.5 13638.4 13814.6 13421.1 +217
07 14037.2 14208.6 14382.4 14535.0 14290.8 14451.9 13973.3 +317
08 14681.5 14651.0 14805.6 14835.2 14743.3 14712.8 14525.6 +218
09 14559.5 14394.5 14352.9 14420.3 14431.9 14448.9 15077.9 --646
10 14628.0 14721.4 14926.1 15079.9 14838.8 14992.3 15630.2 --791
11 15240.8 15285.8 15496.2 15591.9 15403.7 15542.6 16182.5 --779
12 15796.5 16019.8 16152.3 16257.2 16056.4 16197.0 16735.8 --679
13 16358.9 16569.6 16637.9 16848.7 16603.8 16784.9 17288.1 --684
14 17083.1 17104.6 17432.9 17721.7 17335.6 17527.3 17840.3 --505
15 17849.9 18003.4 18223.6 18347.4 18106.1 18238.3 18392.6 --286
16 18378.8 18470.2 18656.2 18821.4 18581.7 18745.1 18944.8 --357
17 19032.6 19237.4 19379.2 19617.3 19316.6 19543.0 19497.1 --181
18 19938.0 20242.2 20552.7 20742.7 20368.9 20611.9 20049.4 +319
19 20909.9 21115.3 21329.9 21540.3 21223.9 21433.2 20601.7 +622
20 21747.4 21561.1 19520.1 21170.3 20999.7 20936.6 21514.0 --514
21 21494.7 22055.3 22739.7

New altered data starting July 2021:
Yr FY Qrtr1 FY Qrtr2 FY Qrtr3 FY Qrtr4 FiscalYr CalndrYr Paced FY
00 09900.2 10002.2 10247.7 10318.2
01 10435.7 10470.2 10599.0 10598.0
02 10660.5 10783.5 10887.5 10984.0
03 11061.4 11174.1 11312.8 11566.7
04 11772.2 11923.4 12112.8 12305.4
05 12527.2 12767.3 12922.7 13142.6
06 13324.2 13599.2 13753.4 13870.2
07 14039.6 14215.7 14402.1 14564.1
08 14715.1 14706.5 14865.7 14899.0
09 14608.2 14430.9 14381.2 14448.9
10 14651.2 14764.6 14980.2 15141.6
11 15309.5 15351.4 15557.5 15647.7
12 15842.3 16068.8 16207.1 16319.5
13 16420.4 16629.1 16699.6 16911.1
14 17133.1 17144.3 17462.7 17743.2
15 17852.5 17991.3 18193.7 18307.0
16 18332.1 18425.3 18611.6 18775.5
17 18968.0 19153.9 19322.9 19558.7 19250.9 19479.6
18 19883.0 20143.7 20492.5 20659.1 00000.0 20527.2
19 20813.3 21001.6 21289.3 21505.0 00000.0 21372.6
20 21694.5 21481.4 19477.4 21138.6 20948.0 20893.7
21 21477.6 22038.2 22741.0 23202.3 22364.8 22746.1 00000.0
22 24002.8 24386.7 24851.8

Quote:
This data meshes well. Taking the average of the 4 FY Quarters produces the FY figure listed by Treasury, except for FY 2017. This is because each quarter has the data multiplied by 4, to present as a full year's rate.

Something to note: Obama constantly projected that he would generate repeated increases to GDP of over $1 Trillion from one year to the next. Yet Obamanomics never allowed growth like that to occur. Not one single year did the GDP grow by $1 Trillion. Not during Obamanomics, nor ever before. But Trump accomplishes this feat, in only his very first full year - even though Obama's overly optimistic predictions did not identify it would be possible this soon.

Peak Quarters of growth: (including all-time Top 10 prior to Trump)

1,661.2 FY2020 Q4

800.5 FY2022 Q1
702.8 FY2021 Q3
560.6 FY2021 Q2
461.3 FY2021 Q4

383.9 FY2022 Q2

348.8 FY2018 Q3
339.0 FY2021 Q1
324.3 FY2018 Q1
318.4 FY2014 Q3

287.7 FY2019 Q3
280.5 FY2014 Q4
275.0 FY2006 Q2
260.7 FY2018 Q2

245.5 FY2000 Q3
243.9 FY2003 Q4
240.1 FY2005 Q2
235.8 FY2017 Q4
226.5 FY2012 Q2
222.0 FY2014 Q1
221.8 FY2005 Q1
219.9 FY2005 Q4

Clearly, 2nd Quarters are a tough nut to crack. So here are top Q2s:

Using revised data of July 2021:

560.6 FY2021 Q2

383.9 FY2022 Q2

275.0 FY2006 Q2
260.7 FY2018 Q2

240.1 FY2005 Q2
226.5 FY2012 Q2
208.7 FY2013 Q2

188.3 FY2019 Q2
185.9 FY2017 Q2
176.7 FY2007 Q2
151.2 FY2004 Q2

Trump is color coded Orange. Bush is color coded Green.

Peak 4 Quarter cycles of growth:

3,263.6 FY2020Q4 - 21Q3

2,525.2 FY2021Q2 - 22Q1

2,348.5 FY2021Q3 - 22Q2

2,063.7 FY2021Q1-4

1,169.6 FY2017Q4 - 18Q3
1,100.4 FY2018Q1-4

989.8 FY2017Q3 - 18Q2
930.3 FY2018Q2 - 19Q1
915.0 FY2017Q2 - 18Q1

881.2 FY2019Q2 - 20Q1
857.9 FY2018Q3 - 19Q2

847.0 FY2014Q3 - 15Q2
845.9 FY2019Q1-4
843.9 FY2004Q3 - 05Q2
837.2 FY2005Q1-4
832.1 FY2014Q1-4
831.9 FY2005Q3 - 06Q2
828.7 FY2005Q4 - 06Q3
809.9 FY2004Q4 - 05Q3
800.0 FY2003Q4 - 04Q3

797.0 FY2005Q2 - 06Q1
796.8 FY2018Q4 - 19Q3
783.2 FY2017Q1-4
763.1 FY2913Q4 - 14Q3
755.0 FY2004Q2 - 05Q1

749.3 FY2003Q3 - 04Q2
738.7 FY2004Q1-4
731.0 FY2014Q4 - 15Q3
728.6 FY2016Q3 - 17Q2
727.6 FY2006Q1-4
719.4 FY2014Q2 - 15Q1
717.4 FY2011Q3 - 12Q2
715.4 FY2006Q2 - 07Q1
712.7 FY2013Q2 - 14Q1
711.3 FY2016Q4 - 17Q3
710.8 FY03Q2 - 04Q1

635.9 FY2016Q2 - 17Q1 - for reference comparison, the last span which ended before Trump's Inauguration. The culmination of 8 years of Obamanomics.
468.5 FY2016Q1-4 - for reference comparison, the last span which ended before Trump's Election.

So far, every single 4-Quarter cycle which has ended with Trump has been above $720 Billion GDP growth, all 12 Quarters prior to Democrats Covid Lockdown starting 20 Q2.
Of Obama's 32 Quarters, only 6 did so well.
Of Bush's 32 Quarters, 11 did so well, when the GDP was a smaller size and before Obamanomics had devalued the U.S. Dollar.

So it looks clear that Trump is the only President to accomplish more than $875 Billion of GDP Growth in any 4-Quarter period. And he did it in only his very first full 4 Quarters. Apparently some here claim that this must be attributed to Bush43 - but most reasonable people can see that is fallacy.
Further, the first 5 periods of 4 full Quarters of Trump are the 5 largest such gains in history.
Which Obama succeeded in avoiding. His 23rd and 25th such periods were the best in history (using the Obamanomics devalued $), at the time (now 5th & 6th best). His 27th such period was 10th best at the time (now 15th best). Even after all his work to devalue the $, his dismal performance could not rise in that metric. His goal to lower the tide in order to make his shipwrecks stand taller did not work.

(July and August 2021) Wow.
OK, so I have found the data, I think. But, they have revised the numbers since at least back to 1999. Changing even the Clinton figures.
This will likely take me a while to fill in this fake numbers.
Other revisions every year have been generally for the prior 5 year span, not the prior 22 year span.

For Jan 2022: the bar graph in the report looks really wonky compared to the actual numbers. Specifically for CY2021 Q3 (FY Q4), but maybe for the last 5 Quarters.

Fake News is reporting today (Apr 2022) that GDP decreased by 1.4% - although it increased $379.9 B. I haven't looked into that yet.

For May 26, 2022 report says Real GDP decreased 1.5% but Current Dollar GDP increased $381.5 Billion.
For CY Q1, FY Q2.

For June 29, 2022 report says Real GDP decreased 1.6% but Current Dollar GDP increased $383.9 Billion. For CY Q1, FY Q2.

For 28 July 2022, I have only posted the addition figure given in the DEEP STATE Release. I have not yet checked how badly they have corrupted all of the data in history.

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Monday, August 15, 2022 12:55 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Monthly Revenues, Outlays.

Updated with the MTS for June 2022.

I think I will go forward with data from the Monthly Treasury Statement each month. It has already been shown that CBO distorts and Fakes their data, and the more accurate MTS is usually less than a week later.

I won't redo all the past years, but will look up the FY2019 data.
The projected Deficit numbers will continue to be from CBO, since I have not seen Treasury delve into that. I should check OMB.

https://fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/mts/

https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/mts/mts0819.p
df

CBO still has this new format to their report, which again tried to hide the numbers, since highly partisan Deep State CBO was too incompetent to report clearly.

This looks like an interesting resource linky:
https://www.cbo.gov/about/products/major-recurring-reports#9

https://WWW.CBO.Gov/about/press-center

Apr 2018 CBO estimate:
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/53821#section2

These data sources actually seem to correlate to the figures in the Budget Statements.
I'll try to post some data to breakdown how the projections progress.

The 1st column is Category and Fiscal Year. Categories are Revenue, Outlays, Surplus/Deficit (estimate) and Surplus/Deficit (Actual, or corrected). Projected is the figure that CBO projected for the FY, most recent at the time of the report. Proportional Percent is the cumulative Deficit compared to the actual FY Total. For the newest year, % Projection is based upon the historical proportion for that month of the cycle.

Each FY has 2 groups. First group is the individual month data. Second group is the cumulative Deficit for that FY so far.

Figures in Billions.

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Rev16 $211 $205 $350 $314 $169 $228 $438 $225 $330 $210 $231 $358
Out16 $347 $270 $364 $258 $362 $336 $332 $277 $323 $323 $338 $323
S/D16 -136 -$65 -$14 +$55 -193 -108 +106 -$53 +$06 -113 -107 +$35

Rev16 $211 $416 $766 1079 1248 1476 1915 2139 2469 2679 2910 3268
Out16 $347 $617 $981 1240 1601 1936 2268 2545 2868 3191 3529 3852
S/D16 -136 -201 -216 -160 -353 -459 -353 -405 -399 -512 -619 -585
Projt -414 -414 -414 -544 -544 -534 -534 -534 -534 -534 -590 -590
Port% 23.2 34.4 36.9 27.4 60.3 78.5 60.3 69.2 68.2 87.5 106% 100%

Rev17 $222 $200 $319 $344 $172 $217 $456 $240 $339 $231 $226 $348
Out17 $267 $337 $347 $293 $364 $393 $273 $327 $426 $276 $336 $342
S/D17 -$46 -137 -$27 +$51 -192 -176 +182 -$87 -$87 -$45 -109 +$06

Rev17 $222 $422 $741 1085 1257 1473 1929 2168 2509 2738 2966 3314
Out17 $267 $604 $951 1243 1607 2000 2273 2600 3028 3307 3642 3982
S/D17 -$46 -183 -210 -159 -351 -527 -344 -432 -520 -568 -675 -668
Projt -594 -594 -594 -559 -559 -559 -559 -559 -693 -693 -693 -693
Port% 06.9 27.5 31.6 23.9 52.8 79.2 51.7 65.0 78.2 85.4 101% 100%

Rev18 $235 $210 $326 $362 $157 $213 $515 $217 $314 $225 $219 $343
Out18 $299 $344 $352 $311 $373 $420 $297 $361 $389 $301 $430 $227
SDEst -6$2 -134 -$26 +$51 -216 -207 +218 -144 -$75 -$75 -211 +116
Act18 -$63 -139 -$23 +$49 -215 -209 +214 -146 -$74 -$77 -214 +118

Rev18 $235 $445 $770 1131 1287 1499 2012 2224 2539 2766 2985 3328
Out18 $299 $643 $998 1306 1679 2097 2394 2754 3146 3448 3880 4110
SDEst -$62 -198 -228 -174 -392 -598 -382 -530 -607 -682 -894 -782
Act18 -$63 -202 -225 -176 -391 -600 -386 -532 -606 -683 -897 -779
Projt -873 -873 -873 -873 -873 -873 -804 -792 -793 -793 -793 -793
%Prj7 -911 -734 -713 -736 -741 -757 -747 -815 -776 -799 -885 -782
%Prj6 -271 -588 -609 -644 -648 -765 -640 -766 -890 -779 -845 -782
Port% 08.1 25.9 28.9 22.6 50.2 77.0 49.6 74.7 77.8 87.7 115% 100%

Rev19 $253 $205 $312 $340 $171
Out19 $353 $408 $324 $331 $398
SDEst -$98 -203 -012 +$09 -227
Act19 -100 -205 -013 +$09 -234

Rev19 $253 $458 $771 1111 1282
Out19 $353 $761 1088 1421 1819
SDEst -$98 -303 -317 -310 -537
Act19 -100 -305 -318 -310 -544
Projt -985 -985 -985 -897 -897 -897 -897 -897 -897 -897
%Pjt8 1212 1170 1097 1372 1060 (944)
%Pjt7 1423 1102 1003 1297 1017
%Pjt6 -422 -881 -859 1131 -891

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Following are from Monthly Treasury Statements:

Rev19 $253 $206 $313 $340 $167 $229 $536 $232 $334 $251 $228 $374
Out19 $353 $411 $326 $331 $401 $376 $375 $440 $342 $371 $428 $291
S/D19 -100 -205 -014 +$09 -234 -147 +160 -208 -$08 -120 -200 +083

Rev19 $253 $459 $771 1111 1278 1507 2043 2275 2609 2860 3088 3462
Out19 $353 $764 1090 1421 1823 2198 2574 3014 3356 3727 4155 4447
S/D19 -100 -305 -319 -310 -544 -691 -531 -739 -747 -867 1067 -984
Projt -985 -985 -985 -897 -897 -897 -896 -896 -896 -960 -960 -960
%Pjt8 1237 1176 1104 1372 1084 -897 1072 1082 -960 -989 -927
%Pjt7 1452 1113 1015 1302 1035 -876 1031 1143 -960 1020 1056
%Pjt6 -430 -888 -864 1133 -902 -881 -880 1067 1095 -991 1008

Rev20 $246 $225 $336 $372 $189 $237 $242 $174 $241 $563 $223 $373
Out20 $380 $434 $349 $405 $423 $356 $980 $573 1105 $626 $423 $498
S/D20 -134 -209 $-13 $-33 -235 -119 -738 -399 -864 $-63 -200 -125

Rev20 $246 $471 $806 1179 1367 1603 1845 2019 2260 2823 3047 3420
Out20 $380 $814 1163 1568 1991 2347 3327 3900 5004 5631 6053 6552
S/D20 -134 -343 -357 -389 -624 -744 1482 1880 2745 2807 3007 3132
Projt 1008 1008 1008 1008 1008 1008
%Pjt9
%Pjt8 1
%Pjt7 14
%Pjt6 -4
notesR5520 0705 6510 8798 6649 3415 5278 9139 9968 3464 6685
notesO9988 4112 3203 8086 1315 7069 6954 9568 4471 0958 3274
notesD4468 3407 6693 9288 4666 3654 1676 0429 4503 7494 6589

Rev21 $238 $220 $346 $385 $248 $268 $439 $464 $449 $262 $268 $460
Out21 $522 $365 $490 $547 $559 $927 $665 $596 $623 $564 $439 $521
S/D21 -284 -145 -144 -163 -311 -660 -226 -132 -174 -302 -171 -062

Rev21 $238 $457 $803 1188 1436 1704 2143 2607 3056 3318 3586 4046
Out21 $522 $887 1376 1924 2483 3410 4075 4671 5294 5858 6297 6818
S/D21 -284 -429 -573 -736 1047 1706 1932 2064 2238 2540 2711 2772
Projt 10
%Pjt0
%Pjt9
%Pjt8 1
%Pjt7 14
%Pjt6 -4

Rev22 $284 $281 $487 $465 $290 $315 $864 $389 $461 $269
Out22 $449 $473 $508 $346 $506 $508 $555 $455 $550 $480
S/D22 -165 -192 -$21 +119 -217 -193 +308 -$66 -$89 $211

Rev22 $284 $565 1052 1517 1807 2122 2986 3375 3835 4105
Out22 $449 $922 1430 1776 2282 2790 3346 3801 4350 4831
S/D22 -165 -356 -378 -259 -476 -668 -360 -426 -515 -726
Projt 1837 1837
%Pjt1
%Pjt0
%Pjt9
%Pjt8
%Pjt7
%Pjt6

CatFY Octo Nove Dece Janu Febr Marc Apri MayM June July Augu Sept

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX

Items of note:
Despite the endless whining of "Tax Cuts" from CBO, they admit they exaggerated the deficit, and more revenue was generated Every Single Month this FY2018.

For November 2018, payment shifts caused a bloat of $45 Billion more than normal.

For August 2019: Revenues were more than August 2018, and spending was less.

For June 2021, Individual Income Taxes are $265 Billion - more than the entire Revenue total for same month last year.

For August 2021 MTS - yes, that is close to a $3 Trillion deficit, for one year.

The revenues, which were budgeted by Trump, are record level, but Biden/Dems were able to still outspend it.

For Jan 2022: first monthly surplus since Sept 2019, under Trump. But I haven't heard Lord Darth Obiden bragging about it in the media. Maybe because it is still under Trump's Budget.

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Monday, November 7, 2022 12:17 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

GDP.
Updated from October 27.
Looks like I missed the updates in August and September.
lso looks like I have not looked up all of the shenanigans reshuffling all the historical data from the July update.

Updated with most recent revision data, from last year, July 2021.

https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?reqid=19&step=2#reqid=19&am
p;step=2&isuri=1&1921=survey

Updated with revised 30 Jul 2020 report data, for 2015- present.

https://www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-product-third-quarter-202
0-advance-estimate
Table 7 in the Excel spreadsheet.

BEA seems to have had another round of hiding data, and discontinuing it's prior templates for providing data, including deleting the archived reports. So now all of the historical data is truly deleted, except for places like right here where the data has not been erased.

To find this data, one must used the "data tools" function, and find Table 1.1.5

The last several reports have been persistently rounding off the figure totals by 3 or 4 digits, so that the figures I'm posting are based upon addition, stacked many times, and could be subject to correction.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
This data does appear to be listed under Calendar Year Quarters as opposed to Fiscal Year Quarters elsewhere.
Yes, this is Table.1.1.5 (use the Modify button to adjust dates) at this link:
https://bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?

This GDP data is from BEA News Release Archives. Current-Dollar GDP.

Quote:
This data meshes well. Taking the average of the 4 FY Quarters produces the FY figure listed by Treasury, except for FY 2017. This is because each quarter has the data multiplied by 4, to present as a full year's rate.

Something to note: Obama constantly projected that he would generate repeated increases to GDP of over $1 Trillion from one year to the next. Yet Obamanomics never allowed growth like that to occur. Not one single year did the GDP grow by $1 Trillion. Not during Obamanomics, nor ever before. But Trump accomplishes this feat, in only his very first full year - even though Obama's overly optimistic predictions did not identify it would be possible this soon.

For Jan 2022: the bar graph in the report looks really wonky compared to the actual numbers. Specifically for CY2021 Q3 (FY Q4), but maybe for the last 5 Quarters.

Fake News is reporting today (Apr 2022) that GDP decreased by 1.4% - although it increased $379.9 B. I haven't looked into that yet.

For May 26, 2022 report says Real GDP decreased 1.5% but Current Dollar GDP increased $381.5 Billion.
For CY Q1, FY Q2.

For June 29, 2022 report says Real GDP decreased 1.6% but Current Dollar GDP increased $383.9 Billion. For CY Q1, FY Q2.

For 28 July 2022, I have only posted the addition figure given in the DEEP STATE Release. I have not yet checked how badly they have corrupted all of the data in history.

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