REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Unemployment Rate Facts

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Tuesday, October 8, 2024 21:15
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Saturday, January 7, 2023 3:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from yesterday (Friday, 6 January 2023):

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Saturday, January 7, 2023 3:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4


Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Saturday, January 7, 2023 3:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Saturday, January 7, 2023 3:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Saturday, January 7, 2023 3:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Friday, February 3, 2023 3:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from today:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Friday, February 3, 2023 3:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Friday, February 3, 2023 3:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Friday, February 3, 2023 3:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Friday, February 3, 2023 3:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Friday, February 3, 2023 3:34 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Yeah. They're really fudging the numbers right now, and claiming the unemployment rate is lower than it's been since 1969.

Okay. Give me actual job numbers, and not the number that doesn't include people who used to work but aren't looking for work right now.

The reason there are 11 Million job openings going unfilled right now is because the ACTUAL unemployment number is a lot higher than 3.4%.


I hate how stupid most people are. That's the only reason they get away with this.

--------------------------------------------------

Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Friday, February 3, 2023 7:28 PM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two


Quote:
Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Yeah. They're really fudging the numbers right now, and claiming the unemployment rate is lower than it's been since 1969.

Okay. Give me actual job numbers, and not the number that doesn't include people who used to work but aren't looking for work right now.

The reason there are 11 Million job openings going unfilled right now is because the ACTUAL unemployment number is a lot higher than 3.4%.


I hate how stupid most people are. That's the only reason they get away with this.

--------------------------------------------------

Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.
Economic News Release

Employment Situation Summary

Transmission of material in this news release is embargoed until 8:30 a.m. (ET) Friday, February 3, 2023 USDL-23-0151

Technical information:
Household data: (202) 691-6378 * cpsinfo@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/cps
Establishment data: (202) 691-6555 * cesinfo@bls.gov * www.bls.gov/ces

Media contact: (202) 691-5902 * PressOffice@bls.gov


THE EMPLOYMENT SITUATION -- JANUARY 2023


Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 517,000 in January, and the unemployment rate changed little at 3.4 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job growth was widespread, led by gains in leisure and hospitality, professional and business services, and health care. Employment also increased in government, partially reflecting the return of workers from a strike.

This news release presents statistics from two monthly surveys. The household survey measures labor force status, including unemployment, by demographic characteristics. The establishment survey measures nonfarm employment, hours, and earnings by industry. For more information about the concepts and statistical methodology used in these two surveys, see the Technical Note.

More at https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at
https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Friday, February 3, 2023 8:37 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Yup.

That's the lie I was talking about.

--------------------------------------------------

Growing up in a Republic was nice... Shame we couldn't keep it.

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Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN




Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN




Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3


Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Saturday, March 4, 2023 4:53 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
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General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Friday, March 10, 2023 3:09 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Whoops.
Deep State was too lazy to push out the lies by the First Friday of March, so they waited to do it today, Friday 10 March.

So I updated the above posts today, with data.

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Friday, April 7, 2023 5:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 03.6% 4646 2.8% 10689 06.4% 4115 2.5% 14804 08.9% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Friday, April 7, 2023 5:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mr23 06043 03.6 1190 0.7 07233 04.3 4115 2.5 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8


Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Friday, April 7, 2023 5:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 1190 4115 11348 06.8 10158 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Friday, April 7, 2023 5:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3%
Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8%


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Friday, April 7, 2023 5:45 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902
Mar23 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6% | 160 00605 01058 | 2828 2509 2730


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Friday, May 5, 2023 2:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 03.6% 4646 2.8% 10689 06.4% 4115 2.5% 14804 08.9% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 03.1% 5145 3.1% 10291 06.2% 3627 2.2% 12918 07.8% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Friday, May 5, 2023 2:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mr23 06043 03.6 1190 0.7 07233 04.3 4115 2.5 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Ap23 05146 03.1 1461 0.9 06607 04.0 3627 2.2 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1


Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Friday, May 5, 2023 2:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 1190 4115 11348 06.8 10158 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 1461 3627 10234 06.2 08773 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Friday, May 5, 2023 2:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3%
Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8%
Ap23 05146 03.1 1461 0.9 06607 04.0 3627 2.2 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Friday, May 5, 2023 2:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902
Mar23 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6% | 160 00605 01058 | 2828 2509 2730
Apr23 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4% | 171 -0562 00823 | 2884 0775 3488


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Saturday, June 3, 2023 4:47 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 03.6% 4646 2.8% 10689 06.4% 4115 2.5% 14804 08.9% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 03.1% 5145 3.1% 10291 06.2% 3627 2.2% 12918 07.8% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 03.4% 6004 3.6% 11704 07.0% 3518 2.1% 15222 09.1% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Saturday, June 3, 2023 4:47 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mr23 06043 03.6 1190 0.7 07233 04.3 4115 2.5 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Ap23 05146 03.1 1461 0.9 06607 04.0 3627 2.2 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
My23 05700 03.4 1477 0.9 07177 04.3 3518 2.1 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4


1477

Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Saturday, June 3, 2023 4:47 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 1190 4115 11348 06.8 10158 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 1461 3627 10234 06.2 08773 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 1477 3518 10695 06.4 09218 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Saturday, June 3, 2023 4:48 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3%
Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8%
Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5%
My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3%


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Saturday, June 3, 2023 4:48 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902
Mar23 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6% | 160 00605 01058 | 2828 2509 2730
Apr23 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4% | 171 -0562 00823 | 2884 0775 3488
May23 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5% | 175 00481 00036 | 2939 3545 3616


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Friday, July 7, 2023 4:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 03.6% 4646 2.8% 10689 06.4% 4115 2.5% 14804 08.9% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 03.1% 5145 3.1% 10291 06.2% 3627 2.2% 12918 07.8% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 03.4% 6004 3.6% 11704 07.0% 3518 2.1% 15222 09.1% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jun23 06351 03.8% 5846 3.5% 12197 07.3% 4337 2.6% 16534 09.8% 266801 167910 62.9 07.2


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Friday, July 7, 2023 4:20 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mr23 06043 03.6 1190 0.7 07233 04.3 4115 2.5 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Ap23 05146 03.1 1461 0.9 06607 04.0 3627 2.2 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
My23 05700 03.4 1477 0.9 07177 04.3 3518 2.1 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jn23 06351 03.8 1479 0.9 07830 04.7 4337 2.6 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2



Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Friday, July 7, 2023 4:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 1190 4115 11348 06.8 10158 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 1461 3627 10234 06.2 08773 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 1477 3518 10695 06.4 09218 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jun23 06351 1479 4337 12167 07.2 10688 157222 41.1% 266801 167910 62.9 07.2

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Friday, July 7, 2023 4:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3%
Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8%
Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5%
My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3%
Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7%


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Friday, July 7, 2023 4:21 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902
Mar23 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6% | 160 00605 01058 | 2828 2509 2730
Apr23 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4% | 171 -0562 00823 | 2884 0775 3488
May23 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5% | 175 00481 00036 | 2939 3545 3616
Jun23 157222 41.1% 266801 167910 62.9% | 183 01208 -0262 | 2966 2898 2357


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Friday, August 4, 2023 4:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 03.6% 4646 2.8% 10689 06.4% 4115 2.5% 14804 08.9% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 03.1% 5145 3.1% 10291 06.2% 3627 2.2% 12918 07.8% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 03.4% 6004 3.6% 11704 07.0% 3518 2.1% 15222 09.1% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jun23 06351 03.8% 5846 3.5% 12197 07.3% 4337 2.6% 16534 09.8% 266801 167910 62.9 07.2
Jul23 06372 03.8% 5578 11950 4082 16032 267002 168354 63.1 07.1


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Friday, August 4, 2023 4:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mr23 06043 03.6 1190 0.7 07233 04.3 4115 2.5 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Ap23 05146 03.1 1461 0.9 06607 04.0 3627 2.2 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
My23 05700 03.4 1477 0.9 07177 04.3 3518 2.1 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jn23 06351 03.8 1479 0.9 07830 04.7 4337 2.6 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2
Jl23 06372 03.8 1467 0.9 07839 04.7 4082 2.4 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1




Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Friday, August 4, 2023 4:44 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 1190 4115 11348 06.8 10158 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 1461 3627 10234 06.2 08773 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 1477 3518 10695 06.4 09218 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jun23 06351 1479 4337 12167 07.2 10688 157222 41.1% 266801 167910 62.9 07.2
Jul23 06372 1467 4082 11921 07.1 10454 157900 40.9% 267002 168354 63.1 07.1

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Friday, August 4, 2023 4:45 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:

The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3%
Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8%
Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5%
My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3%
Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7%
Jl23 06372 03.8 1467 0.9 07839 04.7 4082 2.4 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.

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Friday, August 4, 2023 4:45 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902
Mar23 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6% | 160 00605 01058 | 2828 2509 2730
Apr23 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4% | 171 -0562 00823 | 2884 0775 3488
May23 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5% | 175 00481 00036 | 2939 3545 3616
Jun23 157222 41.1% 266801 167910 62.9% | 183 01208 -0262 | 2966 2898 2357
Jul23 157900 40.9% 267002 168354 63.1% | 201 00444 00678 | 2990 3033 2901


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Saturday, September 2, 2023 3:14 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with Jobs Report data from next Friday, 10 march:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-1

Jan 2002 is listed twice. First with original report data from February 2002. Second with revised data from new Census data, published in February 2003.

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
BLS currently defines the Want A Job category as not being part of the Labor Force.

So I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6
Jan98 07069 05.2% 5026 3.7% 12095 08.9% 4090 3.0% 16185 11.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 04.8% 4800 3.5% 11404 08.3% 3645 2.6% 15049 10.9% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 04.5% 4354 3.1% 10670 07.6% 3355 2.4% 14025 10.0% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 04.7% 4474 3.2% 11121 07.9% 3559 2.5% 14680 10.4% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 06.3% 4872 3.5% 13807 09.8% 4249 3.0% 18056 12.8% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 06.3% 4938 3.4% 13989 09.8% 4453 3.1% 18442 12.9% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 06.5% 4779 3.3% 14174 09.8% 5003 3.4% 19177 13.2% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 06.3% 4913 3.4% 14057 09.6% 5152 3.5% 19209 13.2% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 05.7% 5136 3.5% 13580 09.2% 4793 3.3% 18373 12.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 05.1% 5095 3.4% 12703 08.5% 4513 3.0% 17216 11.5% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 05.0% 4633 3.0% 12282 08.1% 4620 3.0% 16902 11.1% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 05.4% 4977 3.2% 13198 08.6% 5235 3.5% 18433 12.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 08.5% 5866 3.8% 18875 12.3% 8675 5.7% 27550 18.0% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 10.6% 6108 4.0% 22255 14.6% 9161 5.9% 31416 20.5% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 09.8% 6643 4.3% 21580 14.1% 9027 6.0% 30607 20.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 08.8% 6495 4.3% 20036 13.1% 8747 5.7% 28783 18.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 08.5% 6781 4.4% 19962 12.9% 8506 5.5% 28468 18.4% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 07.0% 6508 4.2% 17363 11.2% 7617 5.0% 24980 16.2% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 06.1% 6467 4.1% 15965 10.2% 7125 4.6% 23090 14.8% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 05.3% 6166 3.9% 14475 09.2% 6234 4.0% 20709 13.2% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 05.1% 5934 3.8% 14083 08.9% 6127 3.8% 20210 12.7% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Jan18 07189 04.5% 5364 3.3% 12553 07.8% 5380 3.4% 17933 11.2% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 04.4% 5152 3.2% 12243 07.6% 5241 3.2% 17484 10.8% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 04.1% 4793 3.0% 11464 07.1% 4975 3.1% 16439 10.2% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 03.7% 5010 3.1% 10942 06.8% 4631 2.9% 15573 09.7% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
May18 05657 03.6% 5696 3.5% 11353 07.0% 4677 2.9% 16030 09.9% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 04.2% 5654 3.5% 12466 07.6% 4974 3.0% 17440 10.7% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 04.1% 5483 3.3% 12213 07.5% 4701 2.9% 16914 10.3% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 03.9% 5534 3.4% 11904 07.3% 4263 2.6% 16167 09.9% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 03.6% 5070 3.1% 10836 06.7% 4238 2.6% 15074 09.3% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 03.5% 5048 3.1% 10819 06.6% 4169 2.6% 14988 09.2% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 03.5% 5060 3.1% 10710 06.6% 4512 2.8% 15222 09.4% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 03.7% 5121 3.1% 11150 06.8% 4621 2.8% 15771 09.6% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 04.4% 5435 3.4% 12575 07.8% 5543 3.4% 18118 11.2% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 04.1% 5196 3.2% 11821 07.3% 4477 2.8% 16298 10.0% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 03.9% 4887 3.0% 11269 06.9% 4548 2.8% 15817 09.7% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 03.3% 4951 3.1% 10338 06.4% 4424 2.7% 14762 09.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 03.4% 5500 3.4% 11003 06.8% 4070 2.5% 15073 09.3% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 03.8% 5725 3.5% 12017 07.3% 4529 2.8% 16546 10.1% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 04.0% 5289 3.2% 11845 07.2% 4017 2.4% 15862 09.6% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 03.8% 5331 3.3% 11534 07.0% 4237 2.6% 15771 09.6% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 03.3% 4637 2.8% 10102 06.2% 3925 2.4% 14027 08.6% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 03.3% 4412 2.7% 09922 06.0% 3961 2.4% 13883 08.4% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 03.3% 4515 2.7% 09956 06.1% 4053 2.5% 14009 08.5% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 03.4% 4643 2.8% 10146 06.2% 4170 2.5% 14316 08.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 04.0% 5107 3.1% 11611 07.1% 4605 2.8% 16216 09.9% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 03.8% 4973 3.0% 11191 06.8% 4501 2.7% 15692 09.5% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 04.5% 5215 3.2% 12585 07.7% 5788 3.6% 18373 11.3% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 14.4% 9761 6.3% 32265 20.7 10524 6.8% 32789 21.0% 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 13.0% 9422 6.0% 29936 18.9 10286 6.5% 40222 25.5% 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 11.2% 8633 5.4% 26705 16.6% 9210 5.7% 35915 22.3% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 10.5% 8003 5.0% 24885 15.4% 8521 5.3% 33406 20.7% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 08.5% 7184 4.5% 20926 13.0% 7387 4.6% 28313 17.6% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 07.7% 6984 4.4% 19261 12.0% 5901 3.7% 25162 15.7% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 06.6% 6317 3.9% 16937 10.5% 6237 3.9% 23174 14.4% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 06.4% 6791 4.2% 17055 10.6% 6423 4.0% 23478 14.6% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 06.5% 7088 4.4% 17492 10.9% 6133 3.8% 23625 14.8% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 06.8% 7129 4.5% 17980 11.3% 6284 3.9% 24264 15.2% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 06.6% 6902 4.3% 17388 10.9% 6199 3.9% 23587 14.7% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 06.2% 6576 4.1% 16481 10.3% 5859 3.7% 22340 13.9% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 05.7% 6466 4.0% 15686 09.8% 4968 3.1% 20654 12.9% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 05.5% 7087 4.4% 15916 09.9% 5016 3.1% 20932 13.0% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 06.1% 6869 4.2% 16752 10.3% 4776 2.9% 21528 13.3% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 05.7% 6818 4.2% 16039 09.9% 4526 2.8% 20565 12.6% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 05.3% 5810 3.6% 14366 08.9% 4309 2.7% 18675 11.5% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 04.6% 5710 3.5% 13076 08.1% 4077 2.5% 17153 10.6% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 04.3% 5567 3.4% 12463 07.7% 3998 2.5% 16461 10.2% 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 03.9% 5499 3.4% 11793 07.3% 4121 2.5% 15914 09.8% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 03.7% 5524 3.4% 11488 07.1% 3994 2.5% 15482 09.6% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 04.4% 5872 3.6% 13079 08.0% 4094 2.5% 17173 10.5% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 5299 3.2% 12081 07.4% 4278 2.6% 16359 10.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 5502 3.3% 11670 07.1% 4211 2.6% 15881 09.7% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 5712 3.5% 11170 06.8% 3777 2.3% 14947 09.1% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 6180 3.8% 11728 07.1% 4033 2.5% 15761 09.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 6100 3.7% 12434 07.5% 3813 2.3% 16247 09.8% 263835 165012 62.5 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 6224 3.8% 12479 07.5% 4067 2.5% 16546 10.0% 264012 165321 62.6 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 5633 3.4% 11889 07.2% 3996 2.4% 15885 09.6% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 5650 3.4% 11110 06.8% 3479 2.1% 14589 08.9% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 03.4% 5341 3.2% 10950 06.6% 3301 2.0% 14251 08.6% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 03.4% 5211 3.2% 10734 06.5% 3498 2.1% 14232 08.7% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 03.3% 4948 3.0% 10300 06.3% 3903 2.4% 14203 08.6% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 03.9% 5466 3.3% 10844 06.6% 4401 2.7% 15245 09.2% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 03.9% 4987 3.0% 11452 06.9% 4146 2.5% 15598 09.4% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 03.6% 4646 2.8% 10689 06.4% 4115 2.5% 14804 08.9% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 03.1% 5145 3.1% 10291 06.2% 3627 2.2% 12918 07.8% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 03.4% 6004 3.6% 11704 07.0% 3518 2.1% 15222 09.1% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jun23 06351 03.8% 5846 3.5% 12197 07.3% 4337 2.6% 16534 09.8% 266801 167910 62.9 07.2
Jul23 06372 03.8% 5578 3.3% 11950 07.1% 4082 2.4% 16032 09.5% 267002 168354 63.1 07.1
Aug23 06623 03.9% 5482 3.3% 12105 07.2% 4084 2.4% 16189 09.6% 267213 168049 62.9 07.2


Jul12 13400 08.6% 6837 4.3% 20237 12.9% 8218 5.3% 28455 18.2% 243354 156526 64.3 15.2
Aug12 12696 08.2% 7631 4.9% 20327 13.1% 7723 5.0% 28050 18.1% 243566 155255 63.7 14.6
Sep12 11742 07.6% 6427 4.1% 18169 11.7% 8003 5.2% 26172 16.9% 243772 155075 63.6 14.2
Oct12 11741 07.5% 6142 4.0% 17883 11.5% 7768 5.0% 25651 16.5% 243983 155779 63.8 13.9
Nov12 11404 07.4% 6495 4.2% 17899 11.6% 7898 5.0% 25797 16.6% 244174 154953 63.5 13.9

Mo/Yr Unemp Pcnt WAJb Pcnt SubTtl Pcnt InvPT Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U-6

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.


Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
Well, it looks like the current U6 right now is lower than every January of the past 24 years, since the creation of U-6, according to BLS figures.

From 2009 to 2017, the Civilian noninstitutional Population grew by 19.343 Million. With a nominal post-9/11 Labor Participation Rate of 66%, the Labor Force would have grown by 12.766 Million. But Obama's Deep State reported that the Labor Force only grew by 5.231 Million. Labor Force is defined as all Employed + all Unemployed. So Obama would have you believe that during his 8 years, 7.5 Million extra Employ-eligible population were NOT unemployed (nor employed).



Quote:
The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Want A Job category, which Obamanomics managed to increase to over 7 Million for the only time in the BLS tables. This Jan figure (Want A Job) didn't return to within 0.1% of 2008 level until 2018, after Trump's first year.
The figure of Unemployed plus Want A Job is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

The Want A Job count maxxed out in Aug 2012, just as Obama was proclaiming that Unemployment Rates had dropped, which he needed to get below 8.0% by October, in order to win re-election.
For July 2019:
The Involuntary Part-time percent matched the lowest rate on the table, from 2000. And the Participation Rate hit another high point following Obama.

July and August both have the highest number of Employed in history.
For September 2019, practically the best numbers in all categories.
For Jan 2022 figures, something unusual. The population count has a correction, but in the opposite direction of other Januarys. This does have some effect on figures like Participation Rate. The counts come from Census Bureau, and after bloating the Fake Population in the Fake Census, they seem to have dialed back the bloated Fake Population projections since then, hoping the actual population will grow enough to cover up their Fake Counts.
For April 2022, Lord Darth Obiden's Fake Figures have Want A Job count actually higher than Unemployed count.
Jan22 07207 04.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 04.1% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 03.8% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 03.3% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 03.4% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 03.8% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 03.8% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 03.8% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 03.3% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4

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Saturday, September 2, 2023 3:14 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



Updating with today's Jobs Report to this Table of Data, which seems to best show the components of U6:

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-2

Note: this year the Marginally Attached data is in Table A-16 of the report.
Quote:
I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. For example, the current Rate of 4.1% (for 4 months straight) is SeasAdj, and the real Rate is 4.5% for Jan 2018. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category. The 5th column is the sum of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached - which more accurately represents the Actual Unemployed. The 6th column is the Rate for column 5 figure.
The 7th column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 8th column is the Rate for column 7. The 9th column is the sum of the 5th column plus 7th column. 10th column is the Rate for column 9 figure. The Rates in columns 2, 4, 6, 8, 10 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 11th column is the Civilian Population. 12th column is Labor Force, 13th column is Participation Rate. 14th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unemp Pct MrgAt Pct SbTtl Pct InvPT Pct Total Pcnt CivPop LbrFrc Prtc% U6%
Ja93 09911 07.9 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 6181 4.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 2120 1.6 11612 09.0 4963 3.8 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0
Ja95 08101 06.2 1783 1.4 09884 07.6 4620 3.5 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1
Ja96 08270 06.3 1737 1.3 10007 07.6 4103 3.1 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Ja97 07933 05.9 1615 1.2 09548 07.1 4338 3.2 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Ja98 07069 05.2 1479 1.1 08548 06.3 4090 3.0 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Ja99 06604 04.8 1358 1.0 07962 05.8 3645 2.6 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Ja00 06316 04.5 1197 0.9 07513 05.4 3355 2.4 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Ja01 06647 04.7 1290 0.9 07937 05.6 3559 2.5 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Ja02 08935 06.3 1509 1.1 10444 07.4 4249 3.0 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Ja02 09051 06.3 1532 1.1 10583 07.4 4453 3.1 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Ja03 09395 06.5 1598 1.1 10993 07.6 5003 3.4 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Ja04 09144 06.3 1670 1.1 10814 07.4 5152 3.5 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Ja05 08444 05.7 1804 1.2 10248 07.0 4793 3.3 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Ja06 07608 05.1 1644 1.1 09252 06.2 4513 3.0 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Ja07 07649 05.0 1577 1.0 09226 06.1 4620 3.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Ja08 08221 05.4 1729 1.1 09950 06.5 5235 3.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Ja09 13009 08.5 2130 1.4 15139 09.9 8675 5.6 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Ja10 16147 10.6 2539 1.6 18686 12.2 9161 6.0 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Ja11 14937 09.8 2800 1.8 17737 11.6 9027 5.9 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Ja12 13541 08.8 2809 1.9 16350 10.7 8747 5.7 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Ja13 13181 08.5 2443 1.6 15624 10.1 8506 5.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Ja14 10855 07.0 2592 1.7 13447 08.7 7617 4.9 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Ja15 09498 06.1 2234 1.4 11732 07.5 7125 4.6 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Ja16 08309 05.3 2089 1.3 10398 06.6 6234 4.0 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Ja17 08149 05.1 1752 1.1 09901 06.2 6127 3.9 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4


Ja18 07189 04.5 1653 1.0 08842 05.5 5380 3.4 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Fb18 07091 04.4 1602 1.0 08693 05.4 5241 3.2 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mr18 06671 04.1 1454 0.9 08125 05.0 4975 3.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Ap18 05932 03.7 1362 0.8 07294 04.5 4631 2.9 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My18 05657 03.6 1455 0.9 07112 04.4 4677 2.9 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jn18 06812 04.2 1437 0.9 08249 05.1 4974 3.0 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jl18 06730 04.1 1498 0.9 08228 05.0 4701 2.9 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Au18 06370 03.9 1443 0.9 07813 04.8 4263 2.6 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Se18 05766 03.6 1577 1.0 07343 04.5 4238 2.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oc18 05771 03.5 1491 0.9 07262 04.5 4169 2.6 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nv18 05650 03.5 1678 1.0 07328 04.5 4512 2.8 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dc18 06029 03.7 1556 0.9 07585 04.6 4621 2.8 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Ja19 07140 04.4 1614 1.0 08754 05.4 5543 3.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Fe19 06625 04.1 1424 0.9 08049 04.9 4477 2.8 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mr19 06382 03.9 1357 0.8 07739 04.8 4548 2.8 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Ap19 05387 03.3 1417 0.9 06804 04.2 4424 2.7 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
My19 05503 03.4 1395 0.9 06898 04.2 4070 2.5 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jn19 06292 03.8 1571 1.0 07863 04.8 4529 2.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jl19 06556 04.0 1478 0.9 08034 04.9 4017 2.4 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Au19 06203 03.8 1564 1.0 07767 04.7 4237 2.6 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Se19 05465 03.3 1299 0.8 06764 04.1 3925 2.4 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oc19 05510 03.3 1229 0.7 06739 04.1 3961 2.4 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nv19 05441 03.3 1246 0.8 06687 04.1 4053 2.5 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dc19 05503 03.4 1246 0.8 06749 04.1 4170 2.5 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Ja20 06504 04.0 1464 0.9 07968 04.9 4605 2.8 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Fe20 06218 03.8 1494 0.9 07712 04.7 4501 2.7 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mr20 07370 04.5 1380 0.8 08750 05.4 5788 3.6 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Ap20 22504 14.4 2211 1.4 24715 15.9 10524 6.8 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
My20 20514 13.0 2292 1.5 22806 14.4 10286 6.5 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jn20 18072 11.2 2486 1.5 20558 12.8 9210 5.7 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jl20 16882 10.5 2027 1.3 18909 11.7 8521 5.3 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Au20 13742 08.5 2083 1.3 15825 09.8 7387 4.6 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Se20 12277 07.7 1921 1.2 14199 08.9 5901 3.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oc20 10620 06.6 1923 1.2 12543 07.8 6237 3.9 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
No20 10264 06.4 2068 1.3 12332 07.7 6423 4.0 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dc20 10404 06.5 2197 1.4 12601 07.9 6133 3.8 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Ja21 10851 06.8 2053 1.3 12904 08.1 6284 3.9 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Fe21 10486 06.6 1942 1.2 12428 07.8 6199 3.9 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mr21 09905 06.2 1783 1.1 11688 07.3 5859 3.7 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Ap21 09220 05.7 1763 1.1 10983 06.8 4968 3.1 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
My21 08829 05.5 1872 1.2 10701 06.7 5016 3.1 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jn21 09883 06.1 1856 1.1 11739 07.2 4776 2.9 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jl21 09221 05.7 1923 1.2 11144 06.8 4526 2.8 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Au21 08556 05.3 1558 1.0 10114 06.3 4309 2.7 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Se21 07366 04.6 1732 1.1 09098 05.6 4077 2.5 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oc21 06896 04.3 1638 1.0 08534 05.3 3998 2.5 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7
No21 06302 03.9 1594 1.0 07896 04.9 4121 2.5 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
De21 05964 03.7 1671 1.0 07635 04.7 3994 2.5 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Ja22 07207 04.4 1623 1.0 08830 05.4 4094 2.5 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Fe22 06782 04.1 1496 0.9 08278 05.1 4278 2.6 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mr22 06168 03.8 1281 0.8 07449 04.5 4211 2.6 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Ap22 05458 03.3 1570 1.0 07028 04.3 3777 2.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
My22 05548 03.4 1417 0.9 06965 04.2 4033 2.5 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jn22 06334 03.8 1541 0.9 07875 04.8 3813 2.3 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jl22 06255 03.8 1614 1.0 07869 04.8 4067 2.5 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Au22 06256 03.8 1412 0.9 07668 04.6 3996 2.4 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Se22 05460 03.3 1619 1.0 07079 04.3 3479 2.1 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oc22 05609 03.4 1469 0.9 07078 04.3 3301 2.0 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
No22 05523 03.4 1501 0.9 07024 04.3 3498 2.1 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
De22 05352 03.3 1266 0.8 06618 04.0 3903 2.4 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Ja23 06378 03.9 1434 0.9 07812 04.7 4401 2.7 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Fe23 06465 03.9 1420 0.9 07885 04.7 4146 2.5 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mr23 06043 03.6 1190 0.7 07233 04.3 4115 2.5 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Ap23 05146 03.1 1461 0.9 06607 04.0 3627 2.2 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
My23 05700 03.4 1477 0.9 07177 04.3 3518 2.1 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jn23 06351 03.8 1479 0.9 07830 04.7 4337 2.6 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2
Jl23 06372 03.8 1467 0.9 07839 04.7 4082 2.4 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1
Au23 06623 03.9 1500 0.9 08123 04.8 4084 2.4 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2




Jl12 13400 08.6 2529 1.6 15929 10.2 8218 5.2 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 2561 1.6 15257 09.8 7723 5.0 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 2517 1.6 14259 09.2 8003 5.2 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 2433 1.6 14174 09.1 7768 5.0 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 2505 1.6 13909 09.0 7898 5.1 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure. It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
By 2016 the Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time counts were more than the Fake Unemployment count.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.

Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.
For March 2019, the Marginally Attached raw count is the lowest since Jan 2001, and the percentage of 0.8 is the lowest on the table.
Comparing to March 2018, the U-3 is 0.2% less, the Marginally Attached is 0.1% less, the Involuntary Part-Time is 0.3% less, and the U-6 is 0.6% less.
Most of the time, the April U-6 drops about 0.8%, so next month we'll likely see record low numbers across the board.
For April 2021, BLS admits that March had 636,000 unemployed counted as employed, and in April had 1,200,000 unemployed counted as employed.

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Saturday, September 2, 2023 3:14 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which includes Not Fully Employed Rate.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-3

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.

The 1st column of numbers is the Unemployed.
The 2nd column is what is called Marginally Attached to the Labor Force, which is included in the Want A Job Now category but NOT included in the Labor Force category and therefore excluded from the reported Unemployment category.
The 3rd column is the Involuntary Part-Time workers, who are Not Employed Full Time due to poor Economy, and want, are able to work FT. The 4th column of numbers is the sum of the 1st, 2nd, and 3rd columns. 5th column is the Rate for column 4 figure, divided by Labor Force.

The 6th column of numbers is the Subtotal of columns 1 and 3, Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time.
The 7th column is Labor Force minus column 6. This is also Employed minus column 3 Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 8th column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 9th column is the Civilian Population. 10th column is Labor Force, 11th column is Participation Rate. 12th column is the published U-6 figure.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%
Jan94 09492 2120 4963 16575 12.8 14455 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0
Jan95 08101 1783 4620 14504 11.1 12721 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1
Jan96 08270 1737 4103 14110 10.7 12373 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8 10.8
Jan97 07933 1615 4338 13886 10.3 12271 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4 10.4
Jan98 07069 1479 4090 12638 09.3 11159 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6 09.3
Jan99 06604 1358 3645 11607 08.4 10249 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7 08.5
Jan00 06316 1197 3355 10868 07.8 09671 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9 07.8
Jan01 06647 1290 3559 11496 08.2 10206 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9 08.1
Jan02 08935 1509 4249 14693 10.4 13184 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2 10.5

Jan02 09051 1532 4453 15036 10.5 13504 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2 10.5
Jan03 09395 1598 5003 15996 11.0 14398 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1 11.0
Jan04 09144 1670 5152 15966 10.9 14296 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7 10.9
Jan05 08444 1804 4793 15041 10.2 13237 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4 10.2
Jan06 07608 1644 4513 13765 09.2 12122 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5 09.2
Jan07 07649 1577 4620 13846 09.1 12269 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9 09.1
Jan08 08221 1729 5235 15185 09.9 13456 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7 09.9
Jan09 13009 2130 8675 23814 15.5 21684 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4 15.4
Jan10 16147 2539 9161 27847 18.2 25308 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6 18.0
Jan11 14937 2800 9027 26764 17.5 23964 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9 17.3
Jan12 13541 2809 8747 25097 16.4 22288 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4 16.2
Jan13 13181 2443 8506 24130 15.6 21687 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3 15.4
Jan14 10855 2592 7617 21064 13.6 18472 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5 13.5
Jan15 09498 2234 7125 18857 12.1 16623 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5 12.0
Jan16 08309 2089 6234 16632 10.6 14543 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3 10.5
Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4



Jan17 08149 1752 6127 16028 10.1 14276 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5 10.1
Feb17 07887 1723 5700 15310 09.6 13587 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7 09.5
Mar17 07289 1595 5498 14381 09.0 12787 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9 08.9
Apr17 06555 1534 4990 13079 08.2 11545 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8 08.1
My 17 06572 1475 4994 13041 08.2 11566 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8 08.1
Jun17 07250 1582 5555 14387 08.9 12805 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3 08.9
Jul17 07441 1629 5430 14500 09.0 12871 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5 08.9
Aug17 07287 1548 5130 13965 08.7 12417 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0 08.6
Sep17 06556 1569 4740 12865 08.0 11296 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0 08.0
Oct17 06242 1535 4496 12273 07.6 10738 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7 07.6
Nov17 06286 1481 4554 12321 07.7 10840 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7 07.7
Dec17 06278 1623 4992 12893 08.1 11270 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4 08.0

Jan18 07189 1653 5380 14222 08.9 12569 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3 08.9
Feb18 07091 1602 5241 13934 08.6 12332 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9 08.6
Mar18 06671 1454 4975 13100 08.1 11646 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8 08.1
Apr18 05932 1362 4631 11925 07.4 10563 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7 07.4
My 18 05657 1455 4677 11789 07.3 10334 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8 07.3
Jun18 06812 1437 4974 13223 08.1 11786 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4 08.1
Jul18 06730 1498 4701 12929 07.9 11431 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5 07.9
Aug18 06370 1443 4263 12076 07.4 10633 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7 07.4
Sep18 05766 1577 4238 11581 07.2 10004 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7 07.1
Oct18 05771 1491 4169 11431 07.0 09940 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9 07.0
Nov18 05650 1678 4512 11840 07.3 10162 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9 07.2
Dec18 06029 1556 4621 12206 07.4 10650 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8 07.5

Jan19 07140 1614 5543 14297 08.8 12683 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8 08.8
Feb19 06625 1424 4477 12526 07.7 11102 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0 07.7
Mar19 06382 1357 4548 12287 07.5 10930 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0 07.5
Apr19 05387 1417 4424 11228 06.9 09811 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7 06.9
May19 05503 1395 4070 10968 06.7 09573 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8 06.7
Jun19 06292 1571 4529 12391 07.5 10820 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4 07.5
Jul19 06556 1478 4017 12051 07.3 10573 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6 07.3
Aug19 06203 1564 4237 12004 07.3 10440 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2 07.3
Sep19 05465 1299 3925 10689 06.5 09390 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1 06.5
Oct19 05510 1229 3961 10700 06.5 09471 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3 06.5
Nov19 05441 1246 4053 10740 06.5 09494 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2 06.5
Dec19 05503 1246 4170 10919 06.7 09673 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0 06.7

Jan20 06504 1464 4605 12573 07.7 11109 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0 07.7
Feb20 06218 1494 4501 12213 07.4 10719 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3 07.4
Mar20 07370 1380 5788 14538 08.9 13158 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6 08.9
Apr20 22504 2211 10524 35239 22.6 33028 122802 52.7 259896 155830 60.0 22.4
May20 20514 2292 10286 33092 20.9 30800 127175 51.1 260047 157975 60.7 20.7
Jun20 18072 2486 9210 29768 18.5 27282 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8 18.3
Jul20 16882 2027 8521 27430 17.0 25403 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0 16.8
Aug20 13742 2083 7387 23212 14.4 21129 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8 14.3
Sep20 12277 1921 5901 20099 12.6 18178 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4 12.4
Oct20 10620 1923 6237 18780 11.7 16857 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7 11.6
Nov20 10264 2068 6423 18755 11.7 16687 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5 11.6
Dec20 10404 2197 6133 18732 11.7 16537 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3 11.6

Jan21 10851 2053 6284 19188 12.1 17135 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0 12.0
Feb21 10486 1942 6199 19743 12.3 16685 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3 11.6
Mar21 09905 1783 5859 17547 10.9 15764 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5 10.9
Apr21 09220 1763 4968 15951 09.9 14188 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4 09.9
May21 08829 1872 5016 15717 09.8 13845 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5 09.7
Jun21 09883 1856 4776 16515 10.2 14659 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1 10.1
Jul21 09221 1923 4526 15670 09.6 13747 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3 09.6
Aug21 08556 1558 4309 14423 08.9 12865 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8 08.9
Sep21 07366 1732 4077 13175 08.2 11443 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7 08.1
Oct21 06896 1638 3998 12532 07.7 10894 150498 42.5% 262908 161863 61.8 07.7
Nov21 06302 1594 4121 12017 07.4 10423 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9 07.4
Dec21 05964 1671 3994 11629 07.2 09958 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7 07.2

Jan22 07207 1623 4094 12924 07.9 11301 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9 07.9
Feb22 06782 1496 4278 12556 07.7 11060 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2 07.6
Mar22 06168 1281 4211 11660 07.1 10379 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4 07.1
Apr22 05458 1570 3777 10805 06.6 09489 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0 06.6
May22 05548 1417 4033 10998 06.7 09581 153868 41.6% 263679 164157 62.3 06.7
Jun22 06334 1541 3813 11688 07.1 10147 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1 07.0
Jul22 06255 1614 4067 11936 07.2 10322 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2 07.2
Aug22 06256 1412 3996 11664 07.1 10252 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4 07.0
Sep22 05460 1619 3479 10558 06.4 08939 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2 06.4
Oct22 05609 1469 3301 10379 06.3 08910 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3 06.3
Nov22 05523 1501 3498 10522 06.4 09021 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1 06.4
Dec22 05352 1266 3903 10521 06.4 09255 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0 06.4

Jan23 06378 1434 4401 12213 07.4 10779 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1 07.4
Feb23 06465 1420 4146 12031 07.2 10611 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4 07.3
Mar23 06043 1190 4115 11348 06.8 10158 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6 06.8
Apr23 05146 1461 3627 10234 06.2 08773 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4 06.1
May23 05700 1477 3518 10695 06.4 09218 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5 06.4
Jun23 06351 1479 4337 12167 07.2 10688 157222 41.1% 266801 167910 62.9 07.2
Jul23 06372 1467 4082 11921 07.1 10454 157900 40.9% 267002 168354 63.1 07.1
Aug23 06623 1500 4084 12207 07.3 10707 157342 41.1% 267213 168049 62.9 07.2

Mo/Yr Unem MrgAt InvPT Totl Prct SbTtl AcEmpl NotEm CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6%


Jul12 13400 2529 8218 24147 15.4 21618 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3
Aug12 12696 2561 7723 22980 14.8 20419 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7
Sep12 11742 2517 8003 22262 14.4 19745 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6
Oct12 11741 2433 7768 21942 14.1 19509 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8
Nov12 11404 2505 7898 21807 14.1 19302 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
With Obamanomics pushing more into the Involuntary Part-Time group, this also got bloated to disguise the horrible Unemployment problems, and this Rate did not return to 2008 level until 2018.

The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.


The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 8th column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working, and compare to other periods since U-6 was created. These 2 figures help show how the Labor Force Participation Rate and U-6 realistically work together.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
One comparison of note for July 2018: in the past 2 months (since schools were in session), the Labor Force has increased by almost 2 million, but the sums of Unemployed and Involuntary Part-time have only increased 1.1 million. This means that about 900,000 of fresh schooling products have been absorbed by the demand from employers, in only 2 months.
For February 2019, not much spectacular is shown. Mostly a return of most figures to the trends present in the December figures, which were prior to the Pelosi Shutdown of Government.
Of some interest is that this indicates that the January U-6 figure without the Pelosi Shutdown would have been about 8.0%. Since I had chosen to use January as the annual snapshot representation of all the years, this leaves this one year a blip out of context. All other Januarys have similar situations and templates, and 2019 has no similar comparison.
This 8.0% realistic comparison figure would have been the 2nd best on the table, behind 7.8% in 2000.
One thing I had not continued to noticed before. After Obamanomics was able to get the total of Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-Time higher than the U-3 Unemployment Rate by Jan 2016, Trump was able to keep that balance reversed until Oct 2018, except for Dec 2017. The U-3 is the larger, more stable and consistent of all the subcomponents of the U-6, and the other 2 are just bloated from Obamanomics.
Following the 2018 Midterm Elections, this balanced switched again for Nov, Dec, Jan. But now for Feb and March, the balance is restored and the subtotal is lower than the Unemployment Rate.
For June 2022, 41.3% is, in fact the lowest figure since the start of Libtard Lockdowns.

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Saturday, September 2, 2023 3:14 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



The shadowstats site is lean on actual data, requiring a subscription to access what it claims as database.
However, I will make attempt to add in some of the data it presents. This does make assumption that their methodology and counting methods are valid, which I cannot find clear information about.
There also may be comingling of Seasonally Adjusted figures from shadowstats without clarity, but this will be the only series of Tables I post which veer from Not Seasonally Adjusted figures.

The charts they present do show that Unemployment under Trump is better than any time under Obamanomics, so it may be a worthwhile endeavor to investigate.




I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-5


I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow. The documented shenanigans of Obamabots deliberately refusing to Report jobless data in the months before the 2012 Election are a different matter, I will just use the Fake Data they produced and pretend it was real.


The 1st column of numbers is the unemployed. The 2nd column is the Rate.
The 3rd column is the sum of the Unemployed plus Marginally Attached plus Involuntary Part-time. 4th column is the Rate for column 3 figure. The Rates in columns 2 and 4 have the denominator of Labor Force.
The 5th column is the Civilian Population. 6th column is Labor Force, 7th column is Participation Rate. 8th column is the published U-6 figure.
The 9th column is the Real Unemployment figure, as presented by shadowstats. The 10th column is the underreported, the difference between the U-6 figure from BLS and the Real figure from shadowstats.

Figures in thousands.

MoYr Unem Pcnt Total Prcnt CivPop LbrForc Prtc% U6% Real Separation
Ja93 09911 07.9 16575 12.8 192644 126034 65.4
Ja94 09492 07.3 16575 12.8 195953 129393 66.0 12% 15.3% 2.3%
Ja95 08101 06.2 14504 11.1 197753 130698 66.1 10% 13.5% 3.5%
Ja96 08270 06.3 14110 10.7 199634 131396 65.8 10.8% 13.5% 2.7%
Ja97 07933 05.9 13886 10.3 202285 134317 66.4 10.4% 13% 2.6%
Ja98 07069 05.2 12638 09.3 204238 135951 66.6 09.3% 12% 2.7%
Ja99 06604 04.8 11607 08.4 206719 137943 66.7 08.5% 11.5% 3.0%
Ja00 06316 04.5 10868 07.8 208782 139621 66.9 07.8% 11% 3.2%
Ja01 06647 04.7 11496 08.2 210889 141049 66.9 08.1% 10.5% 2.4%
Ja02 08935 06.3 14693 10.4 213089 141074 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%

Ja02 09051 06.3 15036 10.5 216506 143228 66.2 10.5% 13% 2.5%
Ja03 09395 06.5 15996 11.0 219897 145301 66.1 11.0% 13% 2.0%
Ja04 09144 06.3 15966 10.9 222161 146068 65.7 10.9% 14% 3.1%
Ja05 08444 05.7 15041 10.2 224837 147125 65.4 10.2% 13% 2.8%
Ja06 07608 05.1 13765 09.2 227553 149090 65.5 09.2% 12% 2.8%
Ja07 07649 05.0 13846 09.1 230650 151924 65.9 09.1% 12% 2.9%
Ja08 08221 05.4 15185 09.9 232616 152828 65.7 09.9% 13% 3.1%
Ja09 13009 08.5 23814 15.5 234739 153445 65.4 15.4% 20% 4.6%
Ja10 16147 10.6 27847 18.2 236832 152957 64.6 18.0% 22% 4.0%
Ja11 14937 09.8 26764 17.5 238704 152536 63.9 17.3% 22.5% 5.2%
Ja12 13541 08.8 25097 16.4 242269 153485 63.4 16.2% 22.5% 6.3%
Ja13 13181 08.5 24130 15.6 244663 154794 63.3 15.4% 23% 7.6%
Ja14 10855 07.0 21064 13.6 246915 154381 62.5 13.5% 23.5% 10%
Ja15 09498 06.1 18857 12.1 249723 156050 62.5 12.0% 23.5% 11.5%
Ja16 08309 05.3 16632 10.6 252397 157347 62.3 10.5% 23% 12.5%
Ja17 08149 05.1 16028 10.1 254082 158676 62.5 10.1% 23% 12.9%
Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%




Ja18 07189 04.5 14222 08.9 256780 160037 62.3 08.9% 22% 13.1%
Fb18 07091 04.4 13934 08.6 256934 161494 62.9 08.6% 21.9% 13.3%
Mr18 06671 04.1 13100 08.1 257097 161548 62.8 08.1% 21.8% 13.7%
Ap18 05932 03.7 11925 07.4 257272 161280 62.7 07.4% 21.5% 14.1%
My18 05657 03.6 11789 07.3 257454 161765 62.8 07.3% 21.4% 14.1%
Jn18 06812 04.2 13223 08.1 257642 163277 63.4 08.1% 21.5% 13.4%
J l 18 06730 04.1 12929 07.9 257843 163734 63.5 07.9% 21.3% 13.4%
Au18 06370 03.9 12076 07.4 258066 161909 62.7 07.4% 21.2% 13.8%
Se18 05766 03.6 11581 07.2 258290 161958 62.7 07.1% 21.3% 14.2%
Oc18 05771 03.5 11431 07.0 258514 162723 62.9 07.0% 21.2% 14.2%
Nv18 05650 03.5 11840 07.3 258708 162665 62.9 07.2% 21.4% 14.2%
Dc18 06029 03.7 12206 07.4 258888 162510 62.8 07.5% 21.4% 13.9%

Ja19 07140 04.4 14297 08.8 258239 162104 62.8 08.8% 21.8% 13.0%
Fe19 06625 04.1 12526 07.7 258392 162793 63.0 07.7% 21.1% 13.4%
Mr19 06382 03.9 12287 07.5 258537 162823 63.0 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
Ap19 05387 03.3 11228 06.9 258693 162097 62.7 06.9% 21.2% 14.3%
My19 05503 03.4 10968 06.7 258861 162655 62.8 06.7% 21.1% 14.4%
Jn19 06292 03.8 12392 07.5 259037 164120 63.4 07.5% 21.2% 13.7%
J l 19 06556 04.0 12051 07.3 259225 164941 63.6 07.3% 21.0% 13.7%
Au19 06203 03.8 12004 07.3 259432 164019 63.2 07.3% 21.2% 13.9%
Se19 05465 03.3 10689 06.5 259638 163943 63.1 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Oc19 05510 03.3 10700 06.5 259845 164576 63.3 06.5% 21.0% 14.5%
Nv19 05441 03.3 10740 06.5 260020 164386 63.2 06.5% 20.9% 14.4%
Dc19 05503 03.4 10919 06.7 260181 164007 63.0 06.7% 20.8% 14.1%

Ja20 06504 04.0 12573 07.7 259502 163497 63.0 07.7% 21.0% 13.3%
Fe20 06218 03.8 12213 07.4 259628 164235 63.3 07.4% 21.1% 13.7%
Mr20 07370 04.5 14538 08.9 259758 162537 62.6 08.9% 22.9% 14.0%
Ap20 22504 14.4 35239 22.6 259896 155830 60.0 22.4% 39.3% 16.9%
My20 20514 13.0 33092 20.9 260047 157975 60.7 20.7% 36.5% 15.8%
Jn20 18072 11.2 29768 18.5 260204 160883 61.8 18.3% 31.2% 12.9%
J l20 16882 10.5 27430 17.0 260373 161374 62.0 16.8% 30.0% 13.2%
Au20 13742 08.5 23212 14.4 260558 160966 61.8 14.3% 28.0% 13.7%
Se20 12277 07.7 20099 12.6 260742 160073 61.4 12.4% 26.9% 14.5%
Oc20 10620 06.6 18780 11.7 260925 161053 61.7 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
No20 10264 06.4 18755 11.7 261085 160468 61.5 11.6% 26.3% 14.7%
De20 10404 06.5 18732 11.7 261230 160017 61.3 11.6% 26.2% 14.6%

Ja21 10851 06.8 19188 12.1 260851 159234 61.0 12.0% 25.7% 13.7%
Fe21 10486 06.6 19743 12.3 260918 160008 61.3 11.6% 25.8% 14.2%
Mr21 09905 06.2 17547 10.9 261003 160397 61.5 10.9% 25.7% 14.8%
Ap21 09220 05.7 15951 09.9 261103 160379 61.4 09.9% 25.5% 15.6%
My21 08829 05.5 15717 09.8 261210 160607 61.5 09.7% 26.0% 16.3%
Jn21 09883 06.1 16515 10.2 261338 162167 62.1 10.1% 25.8% 15.7%
J l21 09221 05.7 15670 09.6 261469 162817 62.3 09.6% 25.4% 15.8%
Au21 08556 05.3 14423 08.9 261611 161788 61.8 08.9% 25.4% 16.5%
Se21 07366 04.6 13175 08.2 261766 161392 61.7 08.1% 25.1% 17.0%
Oc21 06896 04.3 12532 07.7 261908 161863 61.8 07.7% 25.1% 17.4%
No21 06302 03.9 12017 07.4 262029 162099 61.9 07.4% 24.8% 17.4%
De21 05964 03.7 11629 07.2 262136 161696 61.7 07.2% 24.5% 17.3%

Ja22 07207 04.4 12924 07.9 263202 162825 61.9 07.9% 24.5% 16.6%
Fe22 06782 04.1 12556 07.7 263324 163725 62.2 07.6% 24.6% 17.0%
Mr22 06168 03.8 11660 07.1 263444 164274 62.4 07.1% 24.4% 17.3%
Ap22 05458 03.3 10805 06.6 263559 163449 62.0 06.6% 24.5% 17.9%
My22 05548 03.4 10998 06.7 263679 164157 62.3 06.7% 24.6% 17.9%
Jn22 06334 03.8 11688 07.1 263835 165012 60.1 07.0% 24.3% 17.3%
J l22 06255 03.8 11936 07.2 264012 165321 60.2 07.2% 24.4% 17.2%
Au22 06256 03.8 11664 07.1 264184 164973 62.4 07.0% 24.6% 17.6%
Se22 05460 03.3 10558 06.4 264356 164463 62.2 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
Oc22 05609 03.4 10379 06.3 264535 164753 62.3 06.3% 24.5% 18.2%
No22 05523 03.4 10522 06.4 264708 164272 62.1 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%
De22 05352 03.3 10521 06.4 264844 164224 62.0 06.4% 24.4% 18.0%

Ja23 06378 03.9 12213 07.4 265962 165070 62.1 07.4% 24.5% 17.1%
Fe23 06465 03.9 12031 07.2 266112 166178 62.4 07.3% 24.6% 17.3%
Mr23 06043 03.6 11348 06.8 266272 166783 62.6 06.8% 24.6% 17.8%
Ap23 05146 03.1 10234 06.2 266443 166221 62.4 06.1% 24.6% 18.5%
My23 05700 03.4 10695 06.4 266618 166702 62.5 06.4% 24.7% 18.3%
Jn23 06351 03.8 12167 07.2 266801 167910 62.9 07.2% 24.9% 17.7%
J l23 06372 03.8 11921 07.1 267002 168354 63.1 07.1% 24.9% 17.8%
Au23 06623 03.9 12207 07.3 267213 168049 62.9 07.2%


J l 12 13400 08.6 24147 15.4 243354 156526 64.3
Au12 12696 08.2 22980 14.8 243566 155255 63.7
Se12 11742 07.6 22262 14.4 243772 155075 63.6
Oc12 11741 07.5 21942 14.1 243983 155779 63.8
Nv12 11404 07.4 21807 14.1 244174 154953 63.5


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:
Comparing to The Great Depression: the Unemployment peaked in 1933 at 24.75% with 12.830 Million unemployed. In 1932 there were 12.060 M unemployed, and 11.340M in 1934, 10.610 in 1935.
The 5 year stretch from 2009 to 2014 exceeded 12.9 Million each year, more Unemployed than the Great Depression. And 2014 was only less with the Fake figure, but including Marginally Attached was still more than Great Depression.

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated.
The Unemployment Rate was almost doubled by Jan 2010, and the Fake figure didn't return to 2008 level until Jan 2016. This figure after 2008 was able to be artificially less by shifting more unemployed into the Marginally Attached category, which Obamanomics managed to almost double. This Jan figure didn't return to 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. With 10 Million in 2008, this count did not fall back to sub-10 Million until 2017.
A key factor that shadowstats points out is that the feeder category, the category which generates the discrepancy between BLS Fiction and reality, is the Marginally Attached. When Obamanomics doubled this figure, it was able to permanently exclude these Unemployed from the stats for the remainder of the Obamanomics Stagnation Extended Recession.
It was much more difficult for Obama to expell his victims from the BLS rolls around 2011 when Unemployment was so bad there were Extended Benefits, (so applicants were required to document work searches before getting Unemployment Insurance Payments) - and this part of the Work Force could not be deleted from the Labor Force until they stopped documenting their search for work.


The figure of Unemployed plus Marginally Attached is indisputably the real Unfake Unemployment figure since the Redefining of 1994 (which shadowstats states was to cover up the Losses of Employment from NAFTA). It does not return to Jan 2008 level until 2017, after Trump was Elected. For April 2018 this figure is lower than any January figure since it was created in 1994.


The Jan Rate of all 3 categories combined of Obamanomics Unemployment did not fall back to 2008 level until 2018.
The Shadowstats figure for Jan 2019 shows the difference (bloat) is less than the prior Jan figure, for the first time since 2010.
So I assume this would mean that the bloat of Long-term Unemployed is being chipped away by Trump. Either by re-employment or transition to Retirement age, or both.
But this extra 9% of the Population that Obamanomics forced to Unemployment can now be whittled away and not expanded by default, only by actions such as the 2018 Elections.
For September 2019, even Shadowstats begrudgingly dropped below 21% for the first time since 2009.
Wow. For Dec 2019, even Shadow Stats has dropped to it's lowest figure in years. Next month could mark a 10-year low.
For Dec 21, the last few months have record bloat of real Obamination unemployed above the Fake stats.
For Jan 2022 figures, ShadowStats has quite a few comments, including about pandemic figures. More than 7.8 million folk trying to work but unable due to Libtard Lockdowns. Also, points out that BLS decided to stop estimating the understated Unemployed that it is confused about.
In mid-August 2023, the web host for Shadow Stats, for almost 2 decades, abruptly went out of business.
It seems that since then, data is not publicly available without a subscription.
I will try to post the data I have, but some data will not be able to be updated.

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Saturday, September 2, 2023 3:15 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN



This Table of Data, which breaks down the numerical changes in the key figures.

I will refer to this set of data as Table JSF-URF-6

I will post some actual numbers and let the comparisons and discussion follow.

The BLS uses both Seasonally Adjusted figures and Unadjusted figures, and interchanges them without clearly identifying so. I will use only the Unadjusted numbers, to help maintain clarity and transparency.

Some numbers may have a 0 placed as first digit, to maintain column form in this format.


The 1st column is Labor Force minus both Unemployed and Involuntary Part-Time. This is also Employed minus Involuntary Part-Time. This is not a figure identified by BLS, so I will call it Actually Fully Employed. This is Employed Full-time plus Voluntary Part-Time.

Not listed, but Civilian noninstitutional Population minus Actually Fully Employed is also a figure avoided by BLS, and I will call it Not Fully Employed, which is Unemployed plus Involuntary Part-Time plus Marginally Attached plus Not In Labor Force. The 2nd column is Not Fully Employed Rate, which is divided by Civilian noninstitutional Population.

The 3rd column is the Civilian Population. 4th column is Labor Force, 5th column is Participation Rate.

After the separation bar, the 7th column is the Increase in Civilian Population from the previous entry. For the entries by year, this is the 12 month Increase. For the entries broken down by month, this is the 1 month Increase.
The 8th column is the Increase in Labor Force from the previous entry.
The 9th column is the Increase in Actually Fully Employed count, from the previous entry.

In the monthly breakdown for 2018, after the second separation bar, the 10th column is the Civilian Population Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 11th column is the Labor Force Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 12th column is the Actually Fully Employed Increase from the entry 12 months prior.
The 13th column is the amount that the 12th column exceeds the 10th column, or the amount of Unemployed that is being chipped away, despite manipulation of other figures.

Figures in thousands.

Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Jan94 114938 41.3% 195953 129393 66.0% |
Jan95 117923 40.4% 197753 130698 66.1% | 1800 1305 02985/+1185
Jan96 119023 40.4% 199634 131396 65.8% | 1881 0698 01100/-0781
Jan97 122046 39.7% 202285 134317 66.4% | 2651 2921 03023/+0372
Jan98 124798 38.9% 204238 135951 66.6% | 1953 1634 02752/+0799
Jan99 127694 38.2% 206719 137943 66.7% | 2481 1992 02896/+0415
Jan00 129950 37.8% 208782 139621 66.9% | 2063 1678 02256/+0193
Jan01 130843 38.0% 210889 141049 66.9% | 2107 1428 00893/-1214
Jan02 127890 40.0% 213089 141074 66.2% | 2200 0025 -2953/-5153

Jan02 129724 40.1% 216506 143228 66.2% | 5617 2179 -1119/-6736
Jan03 130903 40.5% 219897 145301 66.1% | 3391 2073 01179/-2212
Jan04 131772 40.7% 222161 146068 65.7% | 2264 0767 00869/-1395
Jan05 133888 40.5% 224837 147125 65.4% | 2676 1057 02116/-0560
Jan06 136978 39.8% 227553 149090 65.5% | 2716 1965 03090/+0374
Jan07 139655 39.5% 230650 151924 65.9% | 3097 2834 02677/-0420
Jan08 139372 40.1% 232616 152828 65.7% | 1966 0904 -0283/-2249
Jan09 131761 43.9% 234739 153445 65.4% | 2123 0617 -7611/-9734
Jan10 127649 46.1% 236832 152957 64.6% | 2093 -488 -4112/-6205
Jan11 128572 46.1% 238704 152536 63.9% | 1872 -421 00923/-0949
Jan12 131197 45.8% 242269 153485 63.4% | 3565 0949 02625/-0940
Jan13 133107 45.6% 244663 154794 63.3% | 2394 1309 01910/-0484
Jan14 135909 45.0% 246915 154381 62.5% | 2252 -413 02802/+0550
Jan15 139427 44.2% 249723 156050 62.5% | 2808 1669 03518/+0710
Jan16 142804 43.4% 252397 157347 62.3% | 2664 1297 03377/+0713
Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% | 1685 1329 01596/-0089
Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 2698 1361 03068/+0370
Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% | 1459 2067 01953/+0494
Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% | 1263 1393 02967/+1704
Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% | 1349 -4263 -12235/-13584
Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)



Jan17 144400 43.2% 254082 158676 62.5% |
Feb17 145895 42.6% 254246 159482 62.7% | 164 00806 01495
Mar17 147125 42.2% 254414 159912 62.9% | 168 00430 01230
Apr17 148272 41.8% 254588 159817 62.8% | 174 -0095 00147
My 17 148413 41.7% 254767 159979 62.8% | 179 00162 00141
Jun17 148532 41.7% 254957 161337 63.3% | 190 01358 00119
Jul17 149040 41.6% 255151 161911 63.5% | 194 00574 00508
Aug17 148446 41.9% 255357 160863 63.0% | 206 -1048 -0594
Sep17 149753 41.4% 255562 161049 63.0% | 205 00186 01307
Oct17 149727 41.5% 255766 160465 62.7% | 204 -0584 -0026
Nov17 149626 41.5% 255949 160466 62.7% | 183 00001 -0101
Dec17 148610 42.0% 256109 159880 62.4% | 160 -0586 -1016

Jan18 147468 42.6% 256780 160037 62.3% | 671 00157 -1142 | 2698 1361 3068 +370
Feb18 149162 41.9% 256934 161494 62.9% | 154 01457 01694 | 2688 2012 3267 +579
Mar18 149902 41.7% 257097 161548 62.8% | 163 00054 00740 | 2681 1636 2777 +096
Apr18 150717 41.4% 257272 161280 62.7% | 175 -0268 00815 | 2684 1463 2445 -239
My 18 151431 41.2% 257454 161765 62.8% | 182 00485 00714 | 2687 1786 3028 +341
Jun18 151491 41.2% 257642 163277 63.4% | 188 01512 00060 | 2685 1940 2959 +274
Jul18 152303 40.9% 257843 163734 63.5% | 201 00457 00812 | 2692 1823 3262 +570
Aug18 151276 41.4% 258066 161909 62.7% | 223 -1825 -1027 | 2709 1046 2830 +121
Sep18 151954 41.2% 258290 161958 62.7% | 224 00049 00678 | 2341 0909 2201 -140
Oct18 152783 40.9% 258514 162723 62.9% | 224 00765 00829 | 2748 2218 3056 +308
Nov18 152503 41.1% 258708 162665 62.9% | 194 -0058 -0280 | 2759 2199 2877 +118
Dec18 151860 41.3% 258888 162510 62.8% | 180 -0155 -0643 | 2779 2630 3250 +471

Jan19 149421 42.1% 258239 162104 62.8% |-649 -0406 -2439 | 1459 2067 1953 +494
Feb19 151691 41.3% 258392 162793 63.0% | 153 00689 02270 | 1458 1299 2529 1071
Mar19 151893 41.2% 258537 162823 63.0% | 145 00030 00202 | 1440 1275 1991 +551
Apr19 152286 41.1% 258693 162097 62.7% | 156 -0726 00393 | 1421 0817 1569 +148
May19 153082 40.9% 258861 162655 62.8% | 168 00558 00796 | 1407 0890 1651 +244
Jun19 153300 40.8% 259037 164120 63.4% | 176 01465 00218 | 1395 0843 1809 +414
Jul19 154368 40.5% 259225 164941 63.6% | 188 00821 01068 | 1382 1207 2065 +683
Aug19 153579 40.8% 259432 164019 63.2% | 207 -0922 -0789 | 1366 2110 2303 +937
Sep19 154553 40.5% 259638 163943 63.1% | 216 -0076 00974 | 1348 1985 2599 1251
Oct19 155472 40.2% 259845 164576 63.3% | 207 00633 00919 | 1331 1853 2689 1358
Nov19 154892 40.4% 260020 164386 63.2% | 175 -0190 -0580 | 1312 1721 2389 1077
Dec19 154334 40.7% 260181 164007 63.0% | 161 -0379 -0558 | 1293 1493 2474 1181

Jan20 152388 41.3% 259502 163497 63.0% |-679 -0510 -1946 | 1263 1393 2967 1704
Feb20 153516 40.9% 259628 164235 63.3% | 126 00738 01128 | 1236 1442 1845 +609
Mar20 149389 42.5% 259758 162537 62.6% | 130 -1698 -4127 | 1221 -286 -2504
Apr20 122802 52.7% 259896 155830 60.0% | 138 -6707 -26587 | 1203 -6267 -29494
May20 127175 51.1% 260047 157975 60.7% | 151 02145 04373 | 1186 -4680 -25907
Jun20 133601 48.7% 260204 160883 61.8% | 157 02908 06426 | 1167 -4058 -19699
Jul20 135971 47.8% 260373 161374 62.0% | 169 00491 02370 | 1148 -3567 -18397
Aug20 139837 46.3% 260558 160966 61.8% | 185 -0408 03834 | 1126 -3053 -13742
Sep20 141895 45.6% 260742 160073 61.4% | 184 -0893 02058 | 1104 -3870 -12658
Oct20 144196 44.7% 260925 161053 61.7% | 183 00980 02301 | 1080 -3523 -11276
Nov20 143781 44.9% 261085 160468 61.5% | 160 -0585 -0415 | 1065 -3918 -11111
Dec20 143480 45.1% 261230 160017 61.3% | 145 -0451 -0301 | 1049 -3990 -10854

Jan21 142099 45.5% 260851 159234 61.0% |-379 -0783 -1381 | 1349 -4263 -12235
Feb21 143323 45.1% 260918 160008 61.3% | 067 00774 01224 | 1290 -4227 -10193
Mar21 144633 44.6% 261003 160397 61.5% | 085 00389 01310 | 1245 -2140 -4756(-7260)
Apr21 146191 44.0% 261103 160379 61.4% | 100 -0018 01558 | 1207 4549 23389(-6105)
May21 146762 43.8% 261210 160607 61.5% | 107 00228 00571 | 1163 2632 19587(-6320)
Jun21 147508 43.6% 261338 162167 62.1% | 128 01560 00746 | 1134 1284 13907(-5792)
Jul21 149070 43.0% 261469 162817 62.3% | 131 00650 01562 | 1096 1443 13099(-5298)
Aug21 148923 43.1% 261611 161788 61.8% | 142 -1029 -0147 | 1053 0822 9086(-4656)
Sep21 149949 42.7% 261766 161392 61.7% | 155 -0396 01026 | 1024 1319 8054(-4604)
Oct21 150498 42.5% 261908 161863 61.8% | 142 00471 00549 | 0984 0810 6302(-4974)
Nov21 151676 42.1% 262029 162099 61.9% | 121 00236 01178 | 0944 1561 7895(-3216)
Dec21 151738 42.1% 262136 161696 61.7% | 107 -0403 00062 | 0906 1679 8258(-2596)

Jan22 151524 42.4% 263202 162825 61.9% | 1066 1129 -0214 | 2351 3591 9425(-2810)
Feb22 152665 42.0% 263324 163725 62.2% | 122 00900 01141 | 2406 3717 9342 (-851)
Mar22 153895 41.6% 263444 164274 62.4% | 120 00549 01230 | 2441 3877 9262 (2002)
Apr22 153960 41.6% 263559 163449 62.0% | 115 -0825 00065 | 2456 3070 7769 (1674)
May22 153868 41.6% 263679 163157 62.3% | 120 -0292 -0092 | 2469 2550 7106 ( 786)
Jun22 154865 41.3% 263835 165012 60.1% | 156 01855 00997 | 2497 2845 7357 (1565)
Jul22 154999 41.3% 264012 165321 60.2% | 177 00309 00134 | 2543 2504 5929 ( 631)
Aug22 154721 41.4% 264184 164973 62.4% | 172 -0348 -0278 | 2573 3185 5798 (1142)
Sep22 155524 41.2% 264356 164463 62.2% | 172 -0510 00803 | 2590 3071 5575 ( 971)
Oct22 155843 41.1% 264535 164753 62.3% | 179 00290 00319 | 2627 2890 5345 ( 371)
Nov22 155251 41.4% 264708 164272 62.1% | 173 -0481 -0592 | 2506 2173 3575 ( 359)
Dec22 154969 41.5% 264844 164224 62.0% | 136 -0048 -0282 | 2708 2528 3231 ( 635)

Jan23 154291 42.0% 265962 165070 62.1% | 1118 0846 -0678 | 2760 2245 2767 ( -43)
Feb23 155567 41.5% 266112 166178 62.4% | 150 01108 01276 | 2788 2453 2902
Mar23 156625 41.2% 266272 166783 62.6% | 160 00605 01058 | 2828 2509 2730
Apr23 157448 40.9% 266443 166221 62.4% | 171 -0562 00823 | 2884 0775 3488
May23 157484 40.9% 266618 166702 62.5% | 175 00481 00036 | 2939 3545 3616
Jun23 157222 41.1% 266801 167910 62.9% | 183 01208 -0262 | 2966 2898 2357
Jul23 157900 40.9% 267002 168354 63.1% | 201 00444 00678 | 2990 3033 2901
Aug23 157342 41.1% 267213 168049 62.9% | 211 -0305 -0558 | 3029 3076 2621


Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | CPIn LFIn AEInc | CPIn LFIn AEInc
Mo/Yr AcEmpl NtEm CiviPop LbrFrc Prtc% | \SincLastMonth/ | \SinceLastYear/


Jul12 134908 44.1% 243354 156526 64.3 |
Aug12 134836 44.6% 243566 155255 63.7 | 212 -1271 -0072
Sep12 135330 44.5% 243772 155075 63.6 | 206 -0180 00494
Oct12 136270 44.1% 243983 155779 63.8 | 211 00704 00940
Nov12 135651 44.4% 244174 154953 63.5 | 191 -1174 -0619

Display stabilization row:
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX


General color-coding guidelines:
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column in the Table.
This color mostly highlights the most favorable figure of it's column since 9/11, or else since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession.
This color highlights the worst figures in it's column in the Table, including loss of Labor Force count.

Quote:

The Civilian Adult Population steadily Increases, suggesting that figure is not manipulated. Except possibly 2010, 2011, 2016.

The Labor Force Participation Rate steadily dropped each year until finally reversing in 2017, Trump's first year.
Some have mentioned concern regard a tight Labor Market, too many vacant jobs without enough bodies to fill them.
But we should remember to consider the Labor Participation Rate. At the turn of the century it was around 67%, and in the later Bush43 period it was 66%.
Just because Obamanomics was able to drive it down to the 62% range does not mean that is the new norm. That 5% loss of Participation Rate amounts to about 13 Million potential employees.
Sure, they may not need to live in their mom's basement anymore if they become employed, but life can just be rough.


In the previous Tables of data, we can see that as far as common Indicators are concerned, all figures, totals, and Subtotals are at or near all-time lows (since the creation of U-6 in 1994) under Trump. But the categories are still manipulated, and potentially misrepresented.
So to help understand how much of the population is actually not allowed to be Employed Full-time when they want to, I have included in the above Table the 2nd column of numbers, the Not Fully Employed Rate, which is a percentage of the Civilian noninstitutional Population. Because of the much larger denominator this figure will not have such drastic swings as other figures reported. This can help demonstrate how many are still able to fill a "tight Labor Market" which some are worried about. It can also provide an unvarnished picture of how many are not working.

Even with this new figure, it is the lowest since the Rock-The-Vote Democrat Recession, which began October 2007 at the start of FY2008.
I am really impressed with how well this Table 6 presents the data.

The problem of data manipulation is driven by the desire for Fake Headlines. I have attempted to circumvent the Fake Data by looking at it in a way which avoids the manipulations.
I don't feel the Civilian noninstitutional Population is easily manipulated or faked, and I have not heard claims of such. This could be thought of as birthing rates, just delayed by 16-18 years until chillen are job-ready.
I also don't feel that the count of who is actually Employed is being consistently faked or manipulated - what would be the point of any of that? Both Full-Time and Voluntary Part-Time would apply here. Why would either employers or employees lie about that?
The figure which is fiddled and manipulated mostly seems to be how many are "Unemployed" and, therefore, the "Labor Force" figure. I do not argue that. But this Table presents data circumventing that manipulation.
Other manipulating and faking occur with "Seasonally Adjusted" counts and calculations, which the Shadow Stats site comments on a lot. I have been avoiding these numbers in this thread, using only non-adjusted figures. However, this does allow fluctuations of different months and seasons to show up, and can be more difficult to filter and interpret, and interpolate.

For the yearly January counts, the table shows the Increase of the Civilian Population, and also the Increase of the Actually Fully Employed, compared to the count 12 months prior.
For the monthly breakdowns, the first sets show the Increase from the month before.
But for the breakdown of 2018 months, the second sets show the Increase from the prior same month, 12 months before. This is a figure which ignores Seasonal variations, because last year the same month was in the same season. Also, these figures can be compared to the historical trend, because all of these figures are on a 12-month scale.

By this method, we can clearly see that in the past 12 months, only 2 months (April and September) had an Increase in Actually Fully Employed which was less than the Increase in Civilian Population.
This shows that for 10 of the months, the AE Increase was greater than the CivPop Increase! Meaning that for every single fresh newly added Civilian, there was a job to absorb them, AND also additional jobs to suck out more workers from the "Unemployed" cloud, no matter how they were categorized. That means that the job growth is certainly chipping away at the portion of Labor Force which is non Employed, or not Fully Employed.
To be clear: to maintain Par, the Actually Fully Employed Increase would only need to keep pace with the Increase of Labor Force - which is less than 2/3 of the Civilian Population. But the AE Inc is not only blowing past that Par figure, it is even exceeding the raw count of the full Civilian noninstitutional Population Increase! In February and July it was a half million more, even with a reportedly tight labor market.
This is seen as the last column being a greater number than the third-to-last column.

And even the stated Labor Force Increase over 12 months prior (second to last column) is a positive number every month this year, no losses.

I hope this makes sense.
I am certainly interested in hearing valid arguments about how or why this is not a clear presentation of the data.

This does help show a consistent trend for the year, and can predict that next month (Jan 2019) will show an improvement in the Labor Force Participation Rate, about 0.5% higher than January 2018.
I guess that last statement could be considered a prediction, which was proven True.
For March 2019: from Jan 2018 to Jan 2019 the Actual Fully Employed figure increased by almost a half million beyond the total increase in Civilian noninstitutional Population. Meaning not only every additional person added to the available Population, but an additional half million who were previously in an unemployed or underemployed category.
For the months Jan-Mar 2018, the average was 348,000 (compared to the same month, prior year).
For the months Jan-Mar 2019, the average is 705,000.
For April 2019: For the months Jan-Apr 2018, the average was 202,000.
For the months Jan-Apr 2019, the average was 566,000.
For June 2019, that final column shows 9 consecutive months without a negative.
The average for that figure from Jan-Jun 2018 was 274, and same for 2019 is 487. At this pace, it seems that by Aug or Sep the Involutary Part-Time will be lower than any January figure, and the Not Fully Employed will be the lowest since the start of the Rock-The-Vote Recession, and the U6 will be even lower than the past few months.
September 2019: that last column, not only is the highest margin of additionally employed on the chart (while last September was a negative), but also marks 12 consecutive months of plusses, no negatives for any month. And this shows the increase of Actually Fully Employed is almost twice the amount that the Civilian Population increased. That is why the Labor Participation Rate is hovering around 1/2 percent better than the preceeding year.
For August 2020, that last column shows that more than half of the lost jobs have been recovered.
For Mar 2021, The disaster of Lord Darth Obiden has finally managed to get the Not Fully Employed percent down to what Trump achieved by last October. But the Participation rate is still not up to the level Trump had last October. And keeping the Labor Force artificially depressed.
For Jan 2022 figures, Census Bureau has finally accounted for a small portion of those millions of Invading Illegal Aliens from the southern Border. They added an extra million Civ Pop just since December, and the largest one-year January increase in 4 years.
Since April 2020, the Labor Force count in the report has been less than that of 2 years prior. This Jan marks the first time that the count is less than 1 million short (of Jan 2020).

Also, in conjunction with the Shadow Stats notes, these counts show that Lord Darth Obiden has kept Labor Force more than 2 million less than the peak count of July 2019. Back then, Trump normally grew the Labor Force count by 2 million each year. So 2 years would make us 6 million short of the expected Labor Force, and now we are 2 1/2 years since that peak count. So that 7.8 million sounds highly credible as the current shortage of Labor Force that Obiden is creating.
For August 2022, the largest month-to-month loss of Actual Fully Employed since the Libtard Lockdowns. This figure is 1 million more than from 3 YEARS AGO. At that point, Trump had added almost that much in only the prior year.
Under Trump, we were in a RECOVERY from Libtard Lockdowns, not increasing Unemployed. Lord Darth Obiden hasn't even allowed us to recover, now he's making it worse again. The coasting along under the economic steamroller of Trumponomics is finally petering out.

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Thursday, November 2, 2023 5:54 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN


I keep hearing that each month's reports are downgraded in optimism months later.

Sounds like at least since last Nov 2022, every month's overly optimistic lies - errrr, data - are downgraded 30 days later, and then again 60 days after the release.
Every month.
I was hoping to find the specifics at this point, but I have not found it yet.

Anyhow, I have not made revisions to the data in this thread, only posting the figures from the original date of release. And I don't plan to start revising with the reality figures.

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