REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

And now for something important: Siberia's prolonged unusually warm weather is an 'alarming sign': scientist

POSTED BY: 1KIKI
UPDATED: Friday, June 26, 2020 14:13
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Thursday, June 18, 2020 4:12 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/18/europe/siberia-warming-climate-cris
is-intl-hnk/index.html


Siberia's prolonged period of unusually warm weather is an "alarming sign," according to climate change scientists.
Surface temperatures in Siberia were up to 10 degrees Celsius (18 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than average last month, making it the vast Russian region's hottest May since records began in 1979, according to research by the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S), a program affiliated with the European Commission. Siberia's warmer weather came as the world experienced its hottest May on record, the C3S findings show.

But in Siberia, it wasn't just May that was warmer than usual -- the region experienced periods of higher-than-average surface air temperatures throughout winter and spring, with warmer temperatures particularly from January, C3S found.






https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/18/climate/summer-weather-prediction.h
tml


Scientists Predict Scorching Temperatures to Last Through Summer

Hotter than normal temperatures are expected across almost all of the United States into September, government researchers said.

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Friday, June 19, 2020 3:33 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Too bad the slowdown of frenetic consumpion due to Covid-19 won't really help.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, June 19, 2020 4:46 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Yep. Greenhouse gas emissions were TF^2. And SARS-CoV-2 is TL^2.


TF^2 = too far, too fast
TL^2 = too little, too late

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Friday, June 19, 2020 6:13 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Statistical Review of World Energy
2020 | 69th edition

https://www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business-sites/en/global/corporate/p
dfs/energy-economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2020-co2-emissions.pdf


China’s Coal Rush Causes Global Capacity To Rise For The First Time Since 2015

https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Chinas-Coal-Rush-Ca
uses-Global-Capacity-To-Rise-For-The-First-Time-Since-2015.html




Chinese CO2 emissions accounted for the single largest share of global carbon emissions last year – 28.8 percent, according to BP’s annual statistics report. Its 2019 emission were up 3.4% from the previous year.

China, for its part, saw its coal capacity surge in 2019 to the point of raising the world’s net capacity additions of coal-fired power generation for the first time since 2015, a report from environmental organizations showed earlier this year. As much as 64 percent of the newly-commissioned coal capacity was in China, another 12 percent came from India, and the remaining 24 percent was mainly in Asian countries, including Malaysia, Indonesia, and Pakistan.



https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-News/World-News/Chinas-Emissions-Ju
mp-By-The-Most-Since-2011.html

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Friday, June 19, 2020 10:34 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Overpopulation.

Period.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Sunday, June 21, 2020 11:48 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


per capita consumption

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Sunday, June 21, 2020 12:00 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Both

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Sunday, June 21, 2020 11:19 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Yeah, what happened to that "global cooling" we were all supposed to experience thanks to the quieter sun?

****

Just to explain why "both"... we can negotiate lower per capita CO2 emissions, make them more equitable and maybe not overwhelm the carbon cycle, but there simply isn't enough land to feed all 7+billion people decent food, organically grown, nor enough fish in the ocean to give everyone the recommended one serving of fish per week.

When there are too many people for even the basics, there are just too many people.

On top of that, SOME people consume way too much of everything.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Monday, June 22, 2020 1:52 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Ok.

I was thinking about it - our messed up economic system which needs for us to consume more ... but that's an over-consumption category.

And perhaps we could use technology to make up for the foods we can't supply naturally - but that's still addressing the overpopulation category.

I can't think of anything that doesn't revert to one of those 2.

And your post indicates that there is a problem with both, that we can see in real world circumstances. So I think your post sums it up well.

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Monday, June 22, 2020 8:27 AM

SECOND

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Too bad the slowdown of frenetic consumption due to Covid-19 won't really help.

Americans had a really hard time understanding that they should not dump raw sewage into lakes and rivers providing drinking water, but after long political battles, sewage treatments plants were built at enormous expense. Similarly, Americans are now having a really hard time understanding that they should not dump their CO2 into the breathing air. After long political battles, atmospheric CO2 treatment plants will perhaps be built, again at enormous expense. The expense is why there is a political fight in the first place, as there was with building sewage treatment plants and installing low-flush toilets (or low-flow toilets or high-efficiency toilets).

Trump hates low-flow toilets: "Trump complains low-flow toilets are flush with problems"
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/trump-reconsider-requirement
-low-flow-toilets-67554491


"Is It Feasible to Remove Enough CO2 from the Air?"
https://e360.yale.edu/features/negative-emissions-is-it-feasible-to-re
move-co2-from-the-air


"Carbon dioxide removal"
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carbon_dioxide_removal

The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at www.mediafire.com/folder/1uwh75oa407q8/Firefly

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Monday, June 22, 2020 5:48 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.

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Monday, June 22, 2020 10:29 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Yeah, what happened to that "global cooling" we were all supposed to experience thanks to the quieter sun?

****

Just to explain why "both"... we can negotiate lower per capita CO2 emissions, make them more equitable and maybe not overwhelm the carbon cycle, but there simply isn't enough land to feed all 7+billion people decent food, organically grown, nor enough fish in the ocean to give everyone the recommended one serving of fish per week.

When there are too many people for even the basics, there are just too many people.

On top of that, SOME people consume way too much of everything.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK




Well... and there you go.

The overpopulation problem isn't a problem if you can artificially make it not one.

But that requires doing a whole lot of long-term harmful shit.

That also ignores the fact that even during the worst days of The Coomph we were spitting out twice as many babies as people were dying of everything that people died of, meaning that this problem is only getting exponentially worse as it nearly always has been.



I'm alright if some people want to cover their eyes and ears and yell "NEENER NEENER NEENER!!!" at the top of their lungs and then pretend like I'm some sort of evil sociopath when I bring this up.

That still doesn't change the fact that overpopulation is the single greatest problem facing humanity and all living creatures and ecosystems on this planet. A problem that only gets worse and compounds every day that passes.



What we need is more people like me who bring up these facts that nobody wants to think about and start beating people over the head with them everyday. Karen's be damned.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Monday, June 22, 2020 11:37 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

SIGNYM:
Yeah, what happened to that "global cooling" we were all supposed to experience thanks to the quieter sun?

****

Just to explain why "both"... we can negotiate lower per capita CO2 emissions, make them more equitable and maybe not overwhelm the carbon cycle, but there simply isn't enough land to feed all 7+billion people decent food, organically grown, nor enough fish in the ocean to give everyone the recommended one serving of fish per week.

When there are too many people for even the basics, there are just too many people.

On top of that, SOME people consume way too much of everything.


SIX: Well... and there you go.

The overpopulation problem isn't a problem if you can artificially make it not one.

But that requires doing a whole lot of long-term harmful shit.

That also ignores the fact that even during the worst days of The Coomph we were spitting out twice as many babies as people were dying of everything that people died of, meaning that this problem is only getting exponentially worse as it nearly always has been.



I'm alright if some people want to cover their eyes and ears and yell "NEENER NEENER NEENER!!!" at the top of their lungs and then pretend like I'm some sort of evil sociopath when I bring this up.

That still doesn't change the fact that overpopulation is the single greatest problem facing humanity and all living creatures and ecosystems on this planet. A problem that only gets worse and compounds every day that passes.



What we need is more people like me who bring up these facts that nobody wants to think about and start beating people over the head with them everyday. Karen's be damned.


Yanno SIX, when you call anyone who disagrees with you a "Karen" that's just being trollish, and worse, it's STUPID.

The person who would be your natural opposite on the topic of overpopulation would either be a virtue-signalling SJW or a libertarian.

In any case, the most effective way to limit population growth is to educate women, make contraception available, and make sure that women have another significant role besides making babies.

-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Monday, June 22, 2020 11:53 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SIGNYM:
Yanno SIX, when you call anyone who disagrees with you a "Karen" that's just being trollish, and worse, it's STUPID.



Kiki started it by calling me Kevin, when my name clearly is not Kevin. The beginnings of her behaving just like Wishy, and after Wish started with it and Ted jumped on, Kiki was the third.

She hasn't been able to let it go, and follows me around from thread to thread to harass me.

I don't call her Karen because I disagree with her. I call her Karen because she is a Karen. When she stops acting like a Karen, I'll stop calling her Karen.

Quote:

The person who would be your natural opposite on the topic of overpopulation would either be a virtue-signalling SJW or a libertarian.


Yet she will still argue me on this. She has claimed that I'm a horrible sociopath because of my views on overpopulation.

I'm not making this problem up. It's a real problem that grows every day. Like I said before, I'm a big boy and I don't give two shits if she wants to be on my shit list like Wishy and Ted. That's on her. But I'm not going to stop giving it right back to her if that's what she wants to continue to do.

I was already over it. I stopped calling her Karen for almost a week. But then she decided to pile on again.

Quote:

In any case, the most effective way to limit population growth is to educate women, make contraception available, and make sure that women have another significant role besides making babies.



I know you're not talking about Western civilization, because we've already done that and some. Bad decisions continue to be made certainly, but it's not for lack of education or contraception or another significant role besides making babies in the West.

This is largely a Muslim problem, an Asian problem and an African problem.

But at the end of the day it ends up being everyone's problem.

Do Right, Be Right. :)

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Tuesday, June 23, 2020 12:15 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Er, no SIX. That's not how I remember it. YOU started it by lying about why KIKI was posting what she was, not once but over and over, claiming that she was being hysterical, was "for" government control of "everything" etc.


-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Tuesday, June 23, 2020 12:28 AM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.


Quote:

Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK:
Kiki started it by calling me Kevin, when my name clearly is not Kevin. The beginnings of her behaving just like Wishy, and after Wish started with it and Ted jumped on, Kiki was the third.

Jeez you're such a pussy. You've been trolling me since I started posting about SARS-CoV-2. Like starting here http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63473&p=2 when you gave me endless grief because you were too stupid to read the word 'insertions'.
Quote:

blah blah blah ... more self justification for being a liar and a troll blah blah blah ...

Do Right Wrong, Be Right Wrong. :)



fify

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Tuesday, June 23, 2020 7:27 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Apropos. this was sent to me recently:

Quote:

A landmark study in the journal Nature Communications, “Scientists’ warning on affluence” — by scientists in Australia, Switzerland and the UK — concludes that the most fundamental driver of environmental destruction is the overconsumption of the super-rich.

This factor lies over and above other factors like fossil fuel consumption, industrial agriculture and deforestation: because it is overconsumption by the super-rich which is the chief driver of these other factors breaching key planetary boundaries.

The paper notes that the richest 10 percent of people are responsible for up to 43 percent of destructive global environmental impacts.

In contrast, the poorest 10 percent in the world are responsible just around 5 percent of these environmental impacts:

“These findings mean that environmental impact is to a large extent caused and driven by the world’s rich citizens.”

The new paper is authored by Thomas Wiedmann of UNSW Sydney’s School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Manfred Lenzen of the University of Sydney’s School of Physics, Lorenz T. Keysser of ETH Zürich’s Department of Environmental Systems Science, and Julia K. Steinberger of Leeds University’s School of Earth and Environment.

It confirms that global structural inequalities in the distribution of wealth are intimately related to an escalating environmental crisis threatening the very existence of human societies.

Synthesising knowledge from across the scientific community, the paper identifies capitalism as the main cause behind “alarming trends of environmental degradation” which now pose “existential threats to natural systems, economies and societies.” The paper concludes:

It is clear that prevailing capitalist, growth-driven economic systems have not only increased affluence since World War II, but have led to enormous increases in inequality, financial instability, resource consumption and environmental pressures on vital earth support systems.”

Capitalism and the pandemic

Thanks to the way capitalism works, the paper shows, the super-rich are incentivised to keep getting richer — at the expense of the health of our societies and the planet overall.

The research provides an important scientific context for how we can understand many earlier scientific studies revealing that industrial expansion has hugely increased the risks of new disease outbreaks.

Just last April, a paper in Landscape Ecology found that deforestation driven by increased demand for consumption of agricultural commodities or beef have increased the probability of ‘zoonotic’ diseases (exotic diseases circulating amongst animals) jumping to humans. This is because industrial expansion, driven by capitalist pressures, has intensified the encroachment of human activities on wildlife and natural ecosystems.

Two years ago, another study in Frontiers of Microbiology concluded presciently that accelerating deforestation due to “demographic growth” and the associated expansion of “farming, logging, and hunting”, is dangerously transforming rural environments. More bat species carrying exotic viruses have ended up next to human dwellings, the study said. This is increasing “the risk of transmission of viruses through direct contact, domestic animal infection, or contamination by urine or faeces.”

It is difficult to avoid the conclusion that the COVID19 pandemic thus emerged directly from these rapidly growing impacts of human activities. As the new paper in Nature Communications confirms, these impacts have accelerated in the context of the fundamental operations of industrial capitalism.
Eroding the ‘safe operating space’

The result is that capitalism is causing human societies to increasingly breach key planetary boundaries, such as land-use change, biosphere integrity and climate change.

Remaining within these boundaries is essential to maintain what scientists describe as a “safe operating space” for human civilization. If those key ecosystems are disrupted, that “safe operating space” will begin to erode. The global impacts of the COVID19 pandemic are yet another clear indication that this process of erosion has already begun.

“The evidence is clear,” write Weidmann and his co-authors.

“Long-term and concurrent human and planetary wellbeing will not be achieved in the Anthropocene if affluent overconsumption continues, spurred by economic systems that exploit nature and humans. We find that, to a large extent, the affluent lifestyles of the world’s rich determine and drive global environmental and social impact. Moreover, international trade mechanisms allow the rich world to displace its impact to the global poor.”

The new scientific research thus confirms that the normal functioning of capitalism is eroding the ‘safe space’ by which human civilisation is able to survive.
The structures

The paper also sets out how this is happening in some detail. The super-rich basically end up driving this destructive system forward in three key ways.

Firstly, they are directly responsible for “biophysical resource use… through high consumption.”

Secondly, they are “members of powerful factions of the capitalist class.”

Thirdly, due to that positioning, they end up “driving consumption norms across the population.”

But perhaps the most important insight of the paper is not that this is purely because the super-rich are especially evil or terrible compared to the rest of the population — but because of the systemic pressures produced by capitalist structures.

Capitalism is destroying the natureThe authors point out that: “Growth imperatives are active at multiple levels, making the pursuit of economic growth (net investment, i.e. investment above depreciation) a necessity for different actors and leading to social and economic instability in the absence of it.”

At the core of capitalism, the paper observes, is a fundamental social relationship defining the way working people are systemically marginalised from access to the productive resources of the earth, along with the mechanisms used to extract these resources and produce goods and services.

This means that to survive economically in this system, certain behavioural patterns become not just normalised, but seemingly entirely rational — at least from a limited perspective that ignores wider societal and environmental consequences. In the words of the authors:

“In capitalism, workers are separated from the means of production, implying that they must compete in labour markets to sell their labour power to capitalists in order to earn a living.”

Meanwhile, firms which own and control these means of production “need to compete in the market, leading to a necessity to reinvest profits into more efficient production processes to minimise costs (e.g. through replacing human labour power with machines and positive returns to scale), innovation of new products and/or advertising to convince consumers to buy more.”

If a firm fails to remain competitive through such behaviours, “it either goes bankrupt or is taken over by a more successful business. Under normal economic conditions, this capitalist competition is expected to lead to aggregate growth dynamics.”

The irony is that, as the paper also shows, the “affluence” accumulated by the super-rich isn’t correlated with happiness or well-being.
Restructure

The “hegemonic” dominance of global capitalism, then, is the principal obstacle to the systemic transformation needed to reduce overconsumption. So it’s not enough to simply try to “green” current consumption through technologies like renewable energy — we need to actually reduce our environmental impacts by changing our behaviours with a focus on cutting back our use of planetary resources:

“Not only can a sufficient decoupling of environmental and detrimental social impacts from economic growth not be achieved by technological innovation alone, but also the profit-driven mechanism of prevailing economic systems prevents the necessary reduction of impacts and resource utilisation per se.”

The good news is that it doesn’t have to be this way.

The paper reviews a range of “bottom-up studies” showing that dramatic reductions in our material footprint are perfectly possible while still maintaining good material living standards.

In India, Brazil and South Africa, “decent living standards” can be supported “with around 90 percent less per-capita energy use than currently consumed in affluent countries.” Similar possible reductions are feasible for modern industrial economies such as Australia and the US.

By becoming aware of how the wider economic system incentivises behaviour that is destructive of human societies and planetary ecosystems critical for human survival, both ordinary workers and more wealthy sectors — including the super-rich — can work toward rewriting the global economic operating system.

This can be done by restructuring ownership in firms, equalising relations with workers, and intentionally reorganising the way decisions are made about investment priorities.

The paper points out that citizens and communities have a crucial role to play in getting organised, upgrading efforts for public education about these key issues, and experimenting with new ways to work together in bringing about “social tipping points” — points at which social action can catalyse mass change.

While a sense of doom and apathy about the prospects for such change is understandable, mounting evidence based on systems science suggests that global capitalism as we know it is in a state of protracted crisis and collapse that began some decades ago. This research strongly supports the view that as industrial civilization reaches the last stages of its systemic life-cycle, there is unprecedented and increasing opportunity for small-scale actions and efforts to have large system-wide impacts.

The new paper shows that the need for joined-up action is paramount: structural racism, environmental crisis, global inequalities are not really separate crises — but different facets of human civilization’s broken relationship with nature.

Yet, of course, the biggest takeaway is that those who bear most responsibility for environmental destruction — those who hold the most wealth in our societies — urgently need to wake up to how their narrow models of life are, quite literally, destroying the foundations for human survival over the coming decades.



-----------
Pity would be no more,
If we did not MAKE men poor - William Blake

#WEARAMASK

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Friday, June 26, 2020 2:13 PM

1KIKI

Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.




A Historic Heat Wave Roasts Siberia

Wildfires are spreading. The mosquitoes are ravenous. People are shielding their windows from the midnight sun with foil and blankets.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/06/25/world/europe/siberia-heat-wave-clim
ate-change.html

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