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CINEMA
2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread
Saturday, September 6, 2025 3:24 PM
JAYNEZTOWN
Quote:Snow White is out of the top15
Quote: 36+ Million to enter the Top50 Worldwide 413 + Million to enter the Top10 on international Box Office movie F1 did poor domestically but had a huge overseas percentage 1 Ne Zha 2 China $1,994,564,524 2 Lilo & Stitch $1,019,270,728 3 A Minecraft Movie $954,585,398 4 Jurassic World Rebirth $736,406,546 5 How to Train Your Dragon $609,978,139 6 Mission: Impossible—The Final Reckoning $592,101,824 7 Superman $531,606,392 8 F1: The Movie $528,270,512 9 Tang Tan 1900 China $452,502,745 10 Captain America: Brave New World $413,640,021 11 Thunderbolts* $382,376,746 12 Sinners $365,821,942 13 Final Destination: Bloodlines $285,330,814 14 The Fantastic Four: First Steps $268,917,087 15 Disney’s Snow White $205,679,463
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Maybe Weapons does better than I thought despite the Conjuring coming out this weekend?
Saturday, September 6, 2025 3:28 PM
Sunday, September 7, 2025 7:47 AM
Monday, September 8, 2025 4:40 AM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Maybe Weapons does better than I thought despite the Conjuring coming out this weekend? Many expected a growth in horror movies by the studios since they have proven to be very profitable post-Covid but not all studios have been learning this lesson
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Maybe Weapons does better than I thought despite the Conjuring coming out this weekend? Bruce predicts only a -27% drop for some reason this weekend on Weapons, even with a projected $66.8 Million for Conjuring. I would have thought there would be some serious overlap between the two and Weapons would have been buried under it. So far, he's not right. It's dropped -44% from Friday to Friday, but looking just at F/F drops rarely paints the weekend picture, so I guess we wait and see. ETA: Well... he does mention this at the end of his prediction article... Quote:With all the returning films coming out of a slight uptick thanks to Labor Day last weekend, we might see some steep drops on the chart when we get the numbers on Saturday and Sunday. The model partially accounts for that, but drops of 40% or more for all the returning films are quite likely, in my opinion. ... which is basically what I said on the 2nd regarding Fantastic 4's smaller than expected Labor Day Weekend drop: Quote:I fully expect FF4 to end up taking a larger than normal dive next weekend to make up for this temporary bump it got with zero new competition. ETA2: And a deeper look at Friday's numbers in general appear to support this theory all around. Friday to Friday drops: Weapons: -45% Freakier Friday: -47% Caught Stealing: -71% The Roses: -68% Fantastic Four: -43% The Bad Guys 2: -62% Superman: -62% The Naked Gun: -70% F1: The Movie: -55% Jurassic World Rebirth: -66% Nobody 2: -81% Toxic Avengare Unrated: -90% Honey Don't: -90% Lilo & Stitch: -93%
Quote:With all the returning films coming out of a slight uptick thanks to Labor Day last weekend, we might see some steep drops on the chart when we get the numbers on Saturday and Sunday. The model partially accounts for that, but drops of 40% or more for all the returning films are quite likely, in my opinion.
Quote:I fully expect FF4 to end up taking a larger than normal dive next weekend to make up for this temporary bump it got with zero new competition.
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: It will probably make another $5 or $6 Million in the US this weekend. Although, now that I look at the new movies that just came out, The Conjuring is probably going to overlap that audience by quite a bit and there might be a pretty big fall for Weapons this time around, so maybe not. Oh well. WB should be more than pleased at this result even if it nosedives now. It's done well.
Wednesday, September 10, 2025 2:32 PM
Wednesday, September 10, 2025 2:39 PM
Saturday, September 13, 2025 7:41 AM
Saturday, September 13, 2025 9:59 AM
Saturday, September 13, 2025 11:22 AM
SECOND
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: How the mighty have fallen. Gotta write a positive spin by calling the lowest weekend opening for a Dwayne Johnson movie an A24 success story. That dude's career is pretty much over man. Turns out he was kind of a cunt that got too high on his own farts. -------------------------------------------------- The Democrats are the party of Murder.
Saturday, September 13, 2025 2:20 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: How the mighty have fallen. Gotta write a positive spin by calling the lowest weekend opening for a Dwayne Johnson movie an A24 success story. That dude's career is pretty much over man. Turns out he was kind of a cunt that got too high on his own farts. -------------------------------------------------- The Democrats are the party of Murder.Who is going to the movies when they can watch the same for free on streaming in October? https://www.primetimer.com/features/the-smashing-machine-release-date-cast-and-character-where-to-watch-and-more Who is going to a fictionalized 2025 version of the 2002 HBO documentary titled The Smashing Machine: The Life and Times of Extreme Fighter Mark Kerr? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Kerr_(fighter)#In_popular_culture The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Saturday, September 13, 2025 5:03 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Who is going to make the movies when nobody pays to see them? Every single streaming service on the planet including Netflix has done nothing but lose money every quarter they've been in existence. If they don't figure out how to get asses back in seats, they'll just stop making anything new for you to pirate. -------------------------------------------------- The Democrats are the party of Murder.
Saturday, September 13, 2025 5:30 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: The world would be better if there was less talking and fewer high budget movies.
Sunday, September 14, 2025 4:14 AM
Sunday, September 14, 2025 9:21 AM
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