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CINEMA
2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread
Monday, May 19, 2025 8:12 PM
SECOND
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Quote:Tom Cruise has made it his life’s work to save the theatrical movie. He has faced down the pandemic, thrown himself off a cliff, and materialized from on high to show us that the righteous path leads to the multiplex. With “Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning,” we have reached the apotheosis of Cruise’s Christ-like journey; nearly three hours of mythmaking and self-aggrandizement make abundantly clear that Ethan Hunt is no longer just a hypercompetent spy — he is literally Cinema Jesus.
Monday, May 19, 2025 10:08 PM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Quote:Originally posted by second: Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning (2025) Production Budget: $400,000,000 (worldwide box office is 0.0 times production budget)
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 12:10 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: . . . the Tom Cruse movie is going to be blamed for the end of Paramount like the video game E.T. is singularly blamed for the fall of Atari by many today even though that's not true either.
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 12:44 AM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: . . . the Tom Cruse movie is going to be blamed for the end of Paramount like the video game E.T. is singularly blamed for the fall of Atari by many today even though that's not true either.Paramount and Skydance (its logo is on Mission Impossible) are play toys for the multi-billionaire family of Larry Ellison. If it shrivels up and dies, that is good. Paramount and Skydance merge, signaling the end of the Redstone family reign in Hollywood and the rise of a new power - July 8, 2024 https://apnews.com/article/paramount-skydance-redstone-entertainment-merger-8ba177aebe4ec6c3152e5b8ef82a72e0 The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 1:08 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: . . . the Tom Cruse movie is going to be blamed for the end of Paramount like the video game E.T. is singularly blamed for the fall of Atari by many today even though that's not true either.Paramount and Skydance (its logo is on Mission Impossible) are play toys for the multi-billionaire family of Larry Ellison. If it shrivels up and dies, that is good. Paramount and Skydance merge, signaling the end of the Redstone family reign in Hollywood and the rise of a new power - July 8, 2024 https://apnews.com/article/paramount-skydance-redstone-entertainment-merger-8ba177aebe4ec6c3152e5b8ef82a72e0 The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two You won't ever see me shedding any tears when billionaires lose money. On this one thing I think we can find common ground.
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 11:32 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: What is the word for "The Powers That Be decide that now is the time to let all of us know that 25% of us are no longer necessary and that we're no longer necessary?"
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 2:16 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: What is the word for "The Powers That Be decide that now is the time to let all of us know that 25% of us are no longer necessary and that we're no longer necessary?" In the latest Mission: Impossible, The Powers That Be was called "The Entity" and the mission was to kill it before it killed 25% or more of America's population. America has had a mission like that in the past. The Japs and Germans were killing 25% or more of the population of countries they invaded and Americans took on the mission to kill Japs and Germans. The result was an economic boom to replace the lingering Great Depression. 6ix, there are numerous real-life Missions: Impossible, if you choose to accept them. Besides saving a billion lives, there would be an economic boom in America from the work needed to save those lives. Here is one mission from today: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/may/20/sea-level-rise-migration
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 2:27 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Thunderbolts still strong but the movie business aint what it used to be, Final Destination Bloodlines expected to have a big weeked Made it's production budget back from the US Box office alone on opening weekend. Easily makes money, but we already knew that it was going to despite the high budget. Although, it wasn't a Bloomhouse or A24 joint and this may have gotten some real heavy marketing compared to what they would have gotten. Still have to give this one the 2.5x treatment because it's WB. $125 Million to break even. Internationally it did just a little better so we're already at $105 Million worldwide. Easy peasy. Still though. $50 Million is a big gamble on a horror flick in 2025. I'm glad it worked out for them this time, but it might not next time. Anybody remember 2023's The Last Voyage of the Demeter? No? https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Last-Voyage-of-the-Demeter-The#tab=summary $45 Million budget in 2023 adjusted for inflation at $47,376,700 today. Grossed $13.6 Million in the US and bowed out with a worldwide total of $20.4 Million, with a little over $2 Million in DVD/BluRay sales since then. Glad to see physical media making a small comeback, btw... Demeter's budget was nearly $3 Million less than Final Destination Bloodlines', but it lost Universal somewhere in the area of $100 Million and ended up one of their rare flops in an otherwise stellar year. Though the loss here was probably quite a bit less than that because I think Universal knew they had a big flop on their hands and didn't put any marketing budget into Demeter. ... Plus, when a movie makes that little, it ends up being the movie theaters themselves that end up eating a lot of that pain too. They'd be splitting that $20 Million roughly 50/50, so if Universal didn't dump any money into marketing, their actual losses on this were probably only around $30 Million. And with how much money Universal raked in during 2023 while just destroying everyone else that year, that $30 Million loss probably ended up becoming a wash somewhere with tax write-offs or whatever tricks their accountant teams use to maximize profits. -------------------------------------------------- "I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Thunderbolts still strong but the movie business aint what it used to be, Final Destination Bloodlines expected to have a big weeked
Quote:Final Destination is highly unlikely to have a second weekend anything like Sinners did, but our model is predicting its final box office at a little over $150 million right now. With another $51 million from international territories this weekend, the film should end with something around $300 million in total worldwide, making it highly profitable, based on an estimated $50-million production budget (and maybe the same again to market).
Tuesday, May 20, 2025 6:09 PM
JAYNEZTOWN
Wednesday, May 21, 2025 6:40 AM
Wednesday, May 21, 2025 2:49 PM
Wednesday, May 21, 2025 8:42 PM
Quote:Bloodlines’ opening is the third hit in a row for Warner Bros., following A Minecraft Movie and Sinners, and the studio now leads Disney by over $100 million in what is essentially a two-horse race (so far) for top-earning studio in 2025.
Thursday, May 22, 2025 6:16 AM
Thursday, May 22, 2025 8:27 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Okay. I see you're not interested in an actual conversation. That's not a mission. That's just a future problem that nobody in the Democratic Party has ever offered any legitimate and cost-effective means of combating. And it's one of the reasons that the Democratic Party is dead and they will never make a comeback. They can't lie about fixing the environment anymore either because nobody is buying it anymore when they say they will. Everything your party relied on to win votes doesn't work anymore. If you have something serious to propose, I'd suggest you write to your congressman and give them the ideas because your dead party can't come up with shit on their own. -------------------------------------------------- "I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon
Thursday, May 22, 2025 5:50 PM
Friday, May 23, 2025 4:08 PM
Friday, May 23, 2025 5:54 PM
Saturday, May 24, 2025 5:12 AM
Saturday, May 24, 2025 5:51 AM
Saturday, May 24, 2025 1:59 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: The quality of movies did not cause reduced ticket sales. The real cause? Roku is slowly murdering the habit of attending movie theaters 05-22-2025 Roku is still riding the streaming wave. The company ended 2024 with 89.8 million streaming households, an increase of 9.8 million year over year. In the first quarter of 2025, it streamed 35.8 billion hours of video, up 5.1 billion year over year—and more than 10 times what it was doing per quarter when it went public in 2017. https://www.fastcompany.com/91324863/roku-anthony-wood-2025 The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Sunday, May 25, 2025 10:09 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: This is having a much larger negative impact on traditional cable TV than it ever will have on movie theaters. People aren't going to see movies because there's still a glut of half-assed DEI projects that were too far completed to outright cancel, there's a shortage of movies in general still because of the actor/writer's strikes and because all the venture capital dried up and they used that opportunity to slash more than half of the movies and shows they were planning on making. Which is why you never saw a cartoon for My Racist Baby and you haven't heard a word out of race grifter Kendi for years now. And Joe Biden*'s economy made going to the theaters cost so much that people are making real decisions about which movies they can afford to see in a theater right now. Hollywood only continues its downward slide for one or both of 2 reasons. 1. They continue the woke DEI shit that nobody wants to pay to see. 2. The economy continues to tumble. At least right now, it doesn't look like either of those things are going to happen. And, other than just giving up and dying, with nowhere really left to go but up, Hollywood should start posting some improvements over the coming years. -------------------------------------------------- "I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon
Sunday, May 25, 2025 1:02 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: This is having a much larger negative impact on traditional cable TV than it ever will have on movie theaters. People aren't going to see movies because there's still a glut of half-assed DEI projects that were too far completed to outright cancel, there's a shortage of movies in general still because of the actor/writer's strikes and because all the venture capital dried up and they used that opportunity to slash more than half of the movies and shows they were planning on making. Which is why you never saw a cartoon for My Racist Baby and you haven't heard a word out of race grifter Kendi for years now. And Joe Biden*'s economy made going to the theaters cost so much that people are making real decisions about which movies they can afford to see in a theater right now. Hollywood only continues its downward slide for one or both of 2 reasons. 1. They continue the woke DEI shit that nobody wants to pay to see. 2. The economy continues to tumble. At least right now, it doesn't look like either of those things are going to happen. And, other than just giving up and dying, with nowhere really left to go but up, Hollywood should start posting some improvements over the coming years. -------------------------------------------------- "I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon6ixStringJack, you are full of shit.
Monday, May 26, 2025 6:54 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: No. I'm not. It's why I'm better at this than people who are paid to do it. Not going to bother reading any of that wall of text that I know was written by a moron because you decided to post it.
Quote:Mission: Impossible (1996) 5.7 (worldwide box office is 5.7 times production budget) Mission: Impossible (2000) 4.6 Mission: Impossible (2006) 2.7 Mission: Impossible (2011) 4.8 Mission: Impossible (2015) 4.6 Mission: Impossible (2018) 4.4 Mission: Impossible (2023) 2.0 Mission: Impossible (2025) 0.5 (worldwide box office is 0.5 times production budget) https://www.the-numbers.com/custom-search?searchterm=mission+impossible
Monday, May 26, 2025 12:58 PM
Quote:Originally posted by second: Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: No. I'm not. It's why I'm better at this than people who are paid to do it. Not going to bother reading any of that wall of text that I know was written by a moron because you decided to post it.Trump
Monday, May 26, 2025 1:02 PM
Monday, May 26, 2025 2:01 PM
Quote:Audience approval for Lilo & Stitch is sky-high, with CinemaScore reporting an “A” rating, and an “A+” from younger fans. The audience is 36% male, 64% female, and breaks down as 56% “general audience”, 29% parents and 15% kids, per Disney. That general audience score is notable, and one of the reasons the film is doing these numbers. 30% of the audience is 25–34, a demographic that will include some parents with kids, but many who are not. The audience is culturally diverse too: 39% Hispanic, 34% Caucasian, 12% African-American, 8% Native American/Other, and 7% Asian.
Tuesday, May 27, 2025 1:32 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Shut the fuck up. -------------------------------------------------- "I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon
Wednesday, May 28, 2025 4:52 PM
Wednesday, May 28, 2025 6:52 PM
Thursday, May 29, 2025 12:53 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: -44% drop for the weekend. $22,720,000. Worldwide Total after Weekend 4: $816,567,000 It wrapped up Weekend 3 with $695,526,515, or $121 Million for the week. Let's be super conservative and say it only drops -40% week to week from here on out... Weekend 5: $889 Million (+72 Million) Weekend 6: $932 Million (+43 Million) Weekend 7: $957 Million (+26 Million) Weekend 8: $972 Million (+15 Million) Weekend 9: $981 Million (+9 Million) Weekend 10: $986 Million (+5 Million) Weekend 11: $989 Million (+3 Million) Weekend 12: $991 Million (+2 Million) It gets close if we give it 3 full months and straight -40% drops from here on out. But I don't see either of those scenarios playing out, let alone both of them.
Friday, May 30, 2025 5:49 AM
Friday, May 30, 2025 2:28 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Thunderbolts might not beat Nu Captain America, its stuck right behind on its heels and earning less and now the box office is busy so it will have trouble picking up any more money. Thunderbolts has been in theaters for less than four weeks and it’s about $50m ish behind https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Sinners-(2025)/Captain-America-Brave-New-World-(2025)/Thunderbolts-(2025)#tab=day_by_day_comparison 4th Wednesday almost the same $179,165,966 vs $176,310,746
Monday, June 2, 2025 4:34 AM
Monday, June 2, 2025 1:56 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Tom Cruise’s ‘Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning’ Rules China Box Office https://variety.com/2025/film/news/tom-cruise-mission-impossible-china-box-office-1236415430/
Monday, June 2, 2025 5:52 PM
Tuesday, June 3, 2025 12:12 AM
Tuesday, June 3, 2025 3:42 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6ixStringJack: Didn't have much hope for Karate Kid. Sounds like a blip. You know if they broke the bank on that budget or not? I can't even be arsed to look it up, honestly. -------------------------------------------------- "I don't find this stuff amusing anymore." ~Paul Simon
Thursday, June 5, 2025 4:45 AM
Thursday, June 5, 2025 11:38 AM
Monday, June 9, 2025 6:08 AM
Monday, June 9, 2025 7:09 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: Gavin Newsom Demands Trump Administration Remove National Guard From L.A. Amid ICE Protests: ‘Rescind the Order. Return Control to California’ Article https://variety.com/2025/biz/news/gavin-newsom-demands-trump-remove-national-guard-la-protest-1236422793/
Tuesday, June 10, 2025 8:56 AM
Tuesday, June 10, 2025 9:04 AM
Tuesday, June 10, 2025 10:08 AM
Wednesday, June 11, 2025 7:22 AM
Wednesday, June 11, 2025 12:21 PM
Thursday, June 12, 2025 6:47 PM
Thursday, June 12, 2025 6:58 PM
Quote:Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN: ‘Thunderbolts*’ Lost Millions of Dollars Despite Great Reviews. Where Does Marvel Go Next?
Friday, June 13, 2025 9:06 AM
Friday, June 13, 2025 6:35 PM
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