REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

The latest polling from Ohio

POSTED BY: KPO
UPDATED: Monday, September 10, 2012 08:18
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Sunday, September 9, 2012 5:06 PM

KPO

Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.

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Monday, September 10, 2012 8:18 AM

NIKI2

Gettin' old, but still a hippie at heart...


Not just Ohio, but nationally:
Quote:

Daily tracking polls published over the weekend show President Barack Obama enjoying a modest boost in support following the Democratic party convention, though how long that polling "bounce" will last remains uncertain.

The latest results from two daily telephone tracking surveys conducted by Gallup and Rasmussen Reports show a very similar pattern. Both had found a roughly even race on interviews conducted in the month of August before the conventions, and both now show Obama leading Republican nominee Mitt Romney by similar margins (5 and 4 percentage points, respectively).More at http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/10/obama-convention-bounce_n_187
0087.html?utm_hp_ref=elections-2012


Of course, that's a convention bump, which just about everyone (except Romney/Ryan!) gets, and how long those last or how important they are is up for debate, so I'm not giving it much weight.

Polls are interesting, but don't mean much of course, partly because they change so much and partly because (as we just saw with Romney getting a zero among African Americans), it depends on who is polled and how the question is asked. But when, as in this case, when several polls show pretty much the same thing, I'd pay more attention to it--but still bear in mind it's a convention bump, so who knows how long that will last?

At least it's somewhat comforting that it was a goodly bump, and gave him the highest lead in a long time:
Quote:

The last time Obama held a five-point margin over Romney occurred on July 1, when the president had 48% and Romney had 43%.

Nonetheless, polls are interesting, but little more than that, to me. Besides, it's not national numbers, but the swing states that are all that count this time around.


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