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Originally posted by THG:
CNN’s chief polling expert says Donald Trump would get wiped in an electoral rematch against Kamala Harris.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/cnn-data-guru-delivers-bad-new
s-to-trump-in-2024-election-rematch/ar-AA1WxcLS?

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tick tock...

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NBC News SurveyMonkey poll

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The
NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll (often referred to as the NBC News Decision Desk Poll powered by SurveyMonkey) is an online tracking poll used to measure public opinion on political candidates, policy issues, and approval ratings.
Here is what it is and why it has that name:

What it is: A collaborative polling effort, most notably active during the 2016 election cycle, designed to track weekly shifts in voter sentiment. It often surveys large, diverse samples (sometimes over 11,000 to 20,000+ people) to gauge opinions on topics like presidential elections and approval ratings.

The Partnership: It combines the news gathering and reporting power of NBC News with the online, rapid-polling technology of SurveyMonkey.

The Method: It is an online, non-probability poll. Instead of traditional phone calls, it uses SurveyMonkey's massive online platform to gather responses from individuals, which are then weighted to match demographic data.

Usage: The poll has been used to track major political events, such as approval ratings for Donald Trump in 2026, or election matchups between Trump and Hillary Clinton in 2016.

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CNN averaged 573,000 total primetime viewers and 102,000 A25-54 viewers during primetime in 2025. The network saw declines in total viewers by -16% and -31% in the demo compared to the previous year (2024*). In total day, it had 432,000 total viewers and 70,000 viewers in the demo. This represented a -10% drop in total viewers and a -23% drop in the demo.

In relation to all the cable networks, CNN was in seventh place among total viewers. In the primetime demo, the network finished in tenth place, down from sixth. During total day, CNN remained in fourth place with total viewers and slid to seventh from sixth place in the demo.

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Originally posted by THG:
T

Every Republican political add everywhere.

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Originally posted by THG:
CNN’s chief polling expert says Donald Trump would get wiped in an electoral rematch against Kamala Harris.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/cnn-data-guru-delivers-bad-new
s-to-trump-in-2024-election-rematch/ar-AA1WxcLS?

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tick tock...

T

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NBC News SurveyMonkey poll

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Quote:

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The
NBC News/SurveyMonkey poll (often referred to as the NBC News Decision Desk Poll powered by SurveyMonkey) is an online tracking poll used to measure public opinion on political candidates, policy issues, and approval ratings.
Here is what it is and why it has that name:

What it is: A collaborative polling effort, most notably active during the 2016 election cycle, designed to track weekly shifts in voter sentiment. It often surveys large, diverse samples (sometimes over 11,000 to 20,000+ people) to gauge opinions on topics like presidential elections and approval ratings.

The Partnership: It combines the news gathering and reporting power of NBC News with the online, rapid-polling technology of SurveyMonkey.

The Method: It is an online, non-probability poll. Instead of traditional phone calls, it uses SurveyMonkey's massive online platform to gather responses from individuals, which are then weighted to match demographic data.

Usage: The poll has been used to track major political events, such as approval ratings for Donald Trump in 2026, or election matchups between Trump and Hillary Clinton in 2016.

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CNN averaged 573,000 total primetime viewers and 102,000 A25-54 viewers during primetime in 2025. The network saw declines in total viewers by -16% and -31% in the demo compared to the previous year (2024*). In total day, it had 432,000 total viewers and 70,000 viewers in the demo. This represented a -10% drop in total viewers and a -23% drop in the demo.

In relation to all the cable networks, CNN was in seventh place among total viewers. In the primetime demo, the network finished in tenth place, down from sixth. During total day, CNN remained in fourth place with total viewers and slid to seventh from sixth place in the demo.

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Originally posted by THG:
Chris D Jackson, a Democratic political strategist, described the trio of negative polls as “brutal,” posting on X that “when even Rasmussen shows it, you know how bad things have gotten for Trump”. “Democrats should have stood and rallied behind Biden in 2024,” he added.

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Jasmine Crockett Melts Down, Cries 'Disenfranchisement' After Dallas Chaos—Blames Republicans for Her Own Party's Problems

Fresh off a bruising Texas Democratic Senate primary on March 3, 2026, Rep. Jasmine Crockett took the stage at her watch party to deliver a classic sore-loser rant. Facing an uphill battle against state Rep. James Talarico—who held a slim lead as results rolled in—Crockett blamed Republicans for "targeting" Dallas County and insisted voters were deliberately suppressed.

“I can tell you now that people have been disenfranchised,” she declared, hyping up her crowd with claims of massive confusion that would delay results. “Unfortunately, this is what Republicans like to do. And so they specifically targeted Dallas County and I think we all know why.”

The so-called "chaos"? Dallas County Republicans ditched countywide vote centers for Election Day—reverting to traditional precinct-based voting under state law. Democrats had to follow suit, and some voters (accustomed to showing up anywhere during early voting) got lost and turned away. Hundreds were redirected, lines formed, and frustrations boiled over.

Democrats cried foul, got a local judge to briefly extend Democratic polling hours to 9 p.m., and Crockett crowed about keeping polls open. But the Texas Supreme Court swiftly stayed the order at AG Ken Paxton's request, directing any post-7 p.m. ballots be separated as provisionals. No grand conspiracy—just basic election rules and poor preparation from the left.

Crockett ranted that “we will not know the election results overall tonight” because of Dallas County's delayed "big dump of votes," warning her supporters not to expect her back that night. “I fully anticipate it won’t be until tomorrow.” Translation: If the early vote numbers don't look good for her in her home turf, expect more excuses tomorrow.

Classic Democrat playbook—when the votes don't break your way, scream suppression and hint at shady motives. Meanwhile, the real story? Voters followed the rules, polls closed on time, and Crockett's campaign is left grasping for reasons why the "second largest voter participation" county didn't deliver her the win she expected.
Stay classy, Jasmine. The people spoke—deal with it.

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DALLAS — James Talarico is fond of saying that the “closest thing we have to the Kingdom of Heaven is a multiracial, multicultural democracy.” But Texas’ battle royale of a Democratic Senate primary feels far from heaven.

Talarico, a white state representative, is facing off with Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas), who is Black, in a contest that’s turned increasingly bitter. It has ignited a fierce intraparty debate — with racial overtones — about what type of candidate Democrats need to nominate to win in tough places as they look to rebuild the racially diverse coalition that President Donald Trump shattered with his 2024 victory.

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Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:
It also looks like Dan Crenshaw is getting his ass handed to him too.

Good. Fuck Dan Crenshaw.

I don't know what the lying Leftist Media is talking about when they're saying that's a schism in the MAGA crowd or whatever BS headlines they're writing up on it now. I don't know a single person who ever liked Crenshaw that I talk to. He's a NeoCon piece of shit. Good riddance.

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Texas state Rep. Steve Toth defeated Rep. Dan Crenshaw in a Republican primary in Texas, NBC News projects, unseating Crenshaw after a race that centered on which candidate more closely aligned with President Donald Trump.

Crenshaw becomes the first member of Congress to lose renomination in the 2026 midterm election cycle.

Toth challenged Crenshaw — the lone GOP House member running for re-election in Tuesday’s primaries who didn’t have Trump’s endorsement — from the right, arguing that his foreign policy and immigration views did not sufficiently align with those of the MAGA movement. Toth, an ordained pastor, also secured a late endorsement from Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas.

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Crenshaw, who is in his fourth term, has at times bucked his party by backing aid for Ukraine and criticizing Trump allies for their claims that the 2020 election was stolen. But he sought to tie himself closely to Trump throughout the campaign in the solidly Republican 2nd District.

“If you think I’m not MAGA enough, then you’re not following me on social media, that’s the reality,” Crenshaw said in a February interview with the Houston Chronicle’s editorial board “If you don’t think I support Trump enough, then you’re not following me, you’re not listening to a thing I say. I’m out there defending his policies pretty hard and have defended them in extremely hard places in the past.”

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Originally posted by THG:
T

30 minutes of Harry Enten running this week's numbers

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James Talarico

@jamestalarico

White skin gives me and every white American immunity from the virus. But we spread it wherever we go—through our words, our actions, and our systems. We don’t have to be showing symptoms—like a white hood or a Confederate flag—to be contagious.

11:00 AM · May 8, 2020 from Texas, USA

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Rep. Dan Crenshaw’s decisive defeat in Texas on Tuesday is already being spun by the media as proof that the GOP is just a bloodthirsty Trump cult. This is an unhelpful narrative because what voters rejected in Crenshaw went much deeper.

A Daily Beast headline on Wednesday blared, “GOP Star Kicked Out of Congress Due to MAGA’s Desperate Midterm Push”. MAGA, for its part, was happy to take credit for the loss, with pundits noting on X that Crenshaw was the only House GOP incumbent without a primary endorsement from Trump this cycle.

In Texas’s second congressional district, just north of Houston, Crenshaw got pummeled by Steve Toth, who ran to his Right. With most of the votes counted, Toth appears to have upset Crenshaw by a gargantuan and unexpected 15-point margin. After a decorated career as a Navy SEAL, voters first elected the congressman in 2018 — and he immediately became recognized as a rising star in the party.

As a candidate, Crenshaw responded to Saturday Night Live mockery of his eye patch, covering up a battle wound that left him partially blind, by joining the “Weekend Update” desk with Pete Davidson to smooth things over. An MSNOW story accurately recalled, “The question at the time wasn’t whether he’d climb the ranks in GOP politics, but rather how high he’d go.” So sky-high were the congressman’s ambitions that he actually started hosting “Crenshaw Youth Summits”.

Now he’s gone, unable even to clear a primary hurdle. So what changed? As a New York Times analysis reported, Crenshaw “has voted in lockstep with President Trump’s second-term agenda”. But his demise is not just about Trump. It’s about the congressman’s open hostility to voters’ anti-establishment bent. Unlike establishment Sen. John Cornyn, who overperformed expectations in his Texas primary on Tuesday, Crenshaw’s breaks with the base became extremely personal. And frankly, a bit odd.

Crenshaw memorably threatened to “fucking kill” Tucker Carlson on a GB News hot mic last year. And in recent months, the congressman has been engaged in a nasty feud with his fellow Navy SEAL Shawn Ryan, whose podcast is enormously popular on the Right. Crenshaw threatened to sue Ryan and posted their private communications.

Ryan took issue with Crenshaw’s defense of congressional stock trading, which is widely disliked by voters on both sides of the aisle. Defending himself, Crenshaw once dismissed $20,000 as a minor amount of money and griped about his pay check. He also accused anti-interventionist Republicans of “wanting Russia to win” the war against Ukraine, and called popular MAGA lawmakers “grifters”.

Crenshaw’s voting record suggests he isn’t merely out of step with Trump. He is out of step with Trump’s voters. Many Republican voters are willing to give the president latitude on foreign policy negotiations and bouts of intra-party drama. They see those as part of the job. What they are less willing to tolerate are repeated defections from other figures in the party. In that sense, Crenshaw’s problem is not opposition to Trump so much as a pattern of breaks that voters instinctively distrust.

Political Science professor Brandon Rottinghaus at the University of Houston put it this way, “The foreign policy stuff definitely is the biggest crack, but the beginning of that crack was because Crenshaw didn’t significantly support Trump in the election fight.” It’s true that after the 2020 election, Crenshaw described claims of a “stolen” election as “a lie meant to rile people up.” It’s also true that this likely soured some voters on him.

But Crenshaw’s problems weren’t just about foreign policy and the 2020 election. They were about his desire to seem pro-Trump while refusing to stop insulting Trump voters. That doesn’t make for a clean-cut narrative about fealty to Trump, but it’s a more accurate picture of what actually happened.

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Originally posted by THG:

Trump promises to endorse a Texas Senate candidate 'soon'

It leaked it is going to be Cornin.

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Originally posted by THG:
And this was 3 months ago, and it has only gotten worse.

WHOOPIEE!!

T


'This is staggering': Joe on stunning new midterm poll giving Dems wide advantage

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It didn’t take long for Democrats’ hopes of flipping Texas to dim.

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Enthusiasm remains high for the party’s Senate nominee, James Talarico, but national Democrats aren’t sure how far they should go to support him — particularly if Sen. John Cornyn emerges from the GOP runoff in May. Interviews with nearly a dozen high-dollar donor advisers and strategists poured cold water on the likelihood that the party would fully commit to the staggering price tag it’d take to finally flip Texas.

“No one’s taking Texas seriously,” said a Democratic bundler who, like most others, was granted anonymity to speak candidly about intra-party dynamics.

Among their concerns is that Cornyn did better than expected in the GOP primary against Attorney General Ken Paxton, and with President Donald Trump’s potential endorsement would be able to ease his runoff victory. Democrats planning for Talarico to compete against Paxton, a scandal-ridden MAGA darling, are instead facing the prospect of trying to oust a 24-year moderate incumbent in a state that hasn’t voted for a Senate Democrat in nearly four decades.

There are also competing priorities for national spending — just Wednesday evening, Sen. Steve Daines (R-Mont.) dropped his re-election bid in a state Senate Democrats held as recently as 2018 — potentially elevating it as a target for spending.

Underlying it all, Democrats said, is the reality that contesting Texas would require a massive injection of cash — while there are other, cheaper options on the Senate landscape.

“We have to be practical about how we use our resources,” said Alex Hoffman, a Democratic donor adviser. “You need a perfect storm to kill a white whale, and if it’s going to be Cornyn [in the general election], then it’s not a perfect storm.”

Democrats have long dreamed of turning Texas blue. But the idea of flipping the state — much less retaking the Senate overall — appeared laughable last year, when the party hit new lows in its public polling and sustained sweeping losses in 2024. But a string of overperformances in off-year and special election races, combined with Trump’s own stubbornly low approval rating, have Democrats increasingly bullish about their chances.

“If I’m being super honest, Texas would not be within the reach of our boat here, as fishermen of the white whale, but for the wave moment we're in,” said Tory Gavito, a Democratic donor who leads the progressive donor network Way To Win.

Tuesday’s results gave them another boost when Talarico, a social media star and prolific grassroots fundraiser, easily dispatched Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas). He now has a head start on Republicans, who after already dropping $70 million to lift Cornyn, must continue battling it out for another two and a half months through a runoff — which some are predicting could cost upwards of $100 million.

Texas Democrats see this as the moment to strike. Gavito said Democrats have built to this moment, cycle after cycle. Back in 2014, when President Barack Obama won with a young, multi-racial coalition, Democrats believed it was just a matter of time before they’d eventually flip Texas, a youthful, diverse state.

But Trump, both in 2016 and 2024, whittled down Democrats’ advantages with young, diverse voters, suggesting Texas was further out of reach than they thought. Then-Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas), boosted by more than $80 million, came the closest in 2018, losing to Sen. Ted Cruz by 2.6 percentage points. When former-Rep. Colin Allred tried to oust Cruz in 2024, he lost by 8.5 points.

Gavito said it would be “important” for Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and Senate Majority PAC, Democrats’ top Senate super PAC, to invest in Texas to actually flip it because even though “Talarico has proven he can raise a bunch of non-corporate money ... leadership, like Schumer, should see that their job is to be bullish.”

She also argued against Democrats having to pick between investing in Texas or other states — “you can do both things,” she said.

That’s a tall ask in a cycle when Democrats are already struggling mightily in the money race.

House and Senate Republicans entered 2026 with more than double the cash equivalent of their Democratic counterparts. The Republican National Committee has a more than $100 million cash advantage over the Democratic National Committee. Should the Supreme Court lift coordination limits, a looming decision cited by several donor advisers, then they believe Republicans will have an even more lopsided advantage.

“If the goal is to win the House and Senate, then there are other, cheaper, more competitive places,” said a Democratic consultant who works on Senate races. “Do you want to try to get another $150 million for Texas or another $50 million to put Iowa or Montana or Nebraska in play? That’s the Schumer calculation.”

Before Tuesday’s primary, Schumer hadn’t placed Texas in the DSCC’s top tier of battleground races. Instead, North Carolina, Maine, Ohio and Alaska ranked highest in his list of offensive targets. That could change, however, should Paxton ultimately emerge from the runoff.

“If Paxton wins the runoff, the race is on the battleground list,” a person familiar with the DSCC’s thinking said, granted anonymity to describe private conversations. “If Cornyn makes it out, I wouldn’t count it out [either].”

When asked about Texas on Wednesday, Schumer said “Tuesday’s results in Texas are a step forward in our quest to win the Senate,” and called Talarico “a great candidate, and we can win.”

SMP spokesperson Lauren French reiterated that “the majority runs through Ohio, Maine, Iowa, Alaska, and North Carolina … but it can also run through Texas.”

Republicans, for their part, continue to scoff at the idea Texas is competitive. In a statement, NRSC Regional Press Secretary Samantha Cantrell said: “James Talarico thinks ‘God is nonbinary,’ wants to lay a welcome mat on our southern border, and would prioritize the rights of our ‘trans community’, all things Texans will never vote for in November.”

Even if Democrats can’t ultimately flip Texas in November, they believe Talarico’s campaign — and a potentially weakened Cornyn — will force the GOP to spend cash to defend it, turning it into “a money sinkhole for Republicans,” said Cooper Teboe, a Democratic donor adviser and strategist.

“Do we win Ohio by one [percentage point] because of this?” Teboe added.

Some Republican strategists are warning of the possibility.

“In every race, from this point until November, there's going to be the Texas undertones: You spent $70 million there to protect an incumbent,” a GOP strategist said, granted anonymity to discuss the issue candidly. “I think there is some frustration amongst the consulting class of like, all right, can we focus on Georgia and Michigan, some of these other places a little bit more?”

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James Talarico, the newest Democratic candidate for the Senate in Texas, speaks with the moral authority of a 1980s televangelist and the intellectual depth of a freshman gender studies major at Oberlin.

Sure, enlightened leftists have long mocked believers of the Sky God as both irrational and anti-science. In truth, they’ve only been frustrated by the inability to appropriate Christianity to spread their distinctly secular morality. For decades, candidates come and go promising to “reclaim” Christianity for the Left.

Now, I’m not a Christian myself, but I’m not fond of frauds, either. And even I can see that the problem with Talerico’s pious rhetoric is that his faith doesn’t inform his political values, but rather, the reverse. It justifies his progressivism.

Talarico, for instance, infamously argued that God is “nonbinary.” I strongly suspect that most devout Christians would take issue with applying goofy neologisms to their Lord and Savior. Even now, Talarico insists that “most” people in Texas understand that God is “beyond” gender. Just ask the Apostle Paul who allegedly made the case in his letters to the Galatians!

If I could speak to Apostle Paul, who refers to God as the “Father” in Galatians while using masculine pronouns, I’d probably be more curious to know which of the six different sexes he was going to choose, the number the Texas representative came up with while opposing a bill prohibiting trans boys from playing in girls’ high school sports.

Talarico doesn’t prove modern progressivism is compatible with traditional notions of faith but rather that modern progressivism is more prone to embrace social science quackery than the average social conservative.

In Talarico’s worldview, gender is highly malleable in both nature and faith, but skin color is an immutable characteristic that predetermines not only a person’s thoughts and actions but his innocence and guilt — a view that undercuts the entire notion of free will and basic science.

“White skin gives me and every white American immunity from the virus,” Talarico once tweeted. “But we spread it wherever we go — through our words, our actions, and our systems. We don’t have to be showing symptoms — like a white hood or a Confederate flag — to be contagious.”

Did the saintly Talarico suggest to his constituents that the way to shake off the depravity of racism and embrace love was to find salvation in Jesus Christ? No. Talarico didn’t even bother lifting any snippets from Paul’s letters to Thessalonians to argue that white people are inherently racist. He told them the way to stop being a racist was “proclaiming loudly and unequivocally that #BlackLivesMatter.”

The Texan deserves some credit for embracing racial predeterminism even before the death of George Floyd drove the country into a spasm of lunacy and violence. Most of the time, though, he’s nothing if not predictable.

When a Senegal immigrant wearing a “property of Allah” hoodie murdered three and wounded 13 people in Austin not long ago, the Presbyterian seminarian’s first instinct was to take aim at the most obvious culprits in the massacre … those wishing the victims’ families "thoughts and prayers.”

But forget faith. Any cursory examination of Talarico platitudes and tautologies exposes him as an intellectual lightweight, as well.

Take his argument concerning issues like abortion and gay marriage, which he stresses aren’t very important because they aren’t explicitly mentioned in the Gospels. Jesus, I’m fairly certain, never once spoke on the funding mechanisms of Medicaid or Planned Parenthood either, and yet, Talarico preaches that both are moral imperatives.

Indeed, Talerico reminisces about attending a Planned Parenthood march as a teenager the way a normal person of faith might recall a confirmation or bar mitzvah. There are, of course, wide-ranging debates over the ethics and permissibility of abortion, but only a few faiths or denominations — perhaps Baalists, Unitarian Universalists, and “cosmic Jews” — celebrate it as others might a sacrament. Talarico’s half-baked theological case for abortion is to contend that the Annunciation, Gabriel’s announcement of Jesus’s coming to Mary, shows that "creation has to be done with consent."

Talarico fans argue that bringing up comments from five, six years ago is uncharitable and misleading. People change, they argue. Indeed, they do.

Voters, however, can only judge a candidate by their words and actions. And this candidate still uses theology to argue his points rather than admitting he was roped in by ludicrous radicalism. Then again, even if he walked back his wokeness, Talerico is obviously susceptible to embracing a host of bizarre notions — not mere partisan positions that might be wrong, but distortions of incontrovertible truth — that should render him completely unsuitable for public office.

Talerico will almost surely moderate his deranged social views during the general election. Then again, once the patina of religiosity is stripped from his rhetoric, all that’s left is the typical hackneyed socialist sloganeering and the politics of aggrievement, envy, and zero-sum economics. Most of it would fit neatly into a Bernie Sanders speech:

“Billionaires have taken over Texas and taken over America — but together, we can take power back for working people.”

“The reason poverty exists in the wealthiest country on Earth is not because we can't feed the poor. It's because we can't satisfy the rich.”

“The biggest welfare queens in this country are the giant corporations that don't pay a penny in federal taxes. It's not hungry kids.”

And, let’s face it: that’s the rhetoric, not his inspirational faith, that really triggers gushing from the left-wing media and Democrats.

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