Elections 2026, U.S. House and State Governors by JEWELSTAITEFAN

REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

Elections 2026, U.S. House and State Governors

POSTED BY: JEWELSTAITEFAN
UPDATED: Saturday, December 20, 2025 02:48
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Wednesday, November 12, 2025 8:50 PM

Stefanik for NY Governor.
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/poll-shows-stefanik-3-points-161851196.html

AZ-5 Rep Andy Biggs for AZ Governor.
https://azfreenews.com/2025/01/biggs-formally-launches-2026-challenge-
against-gov-katie-hobbs/

Sheriff Mark Lamb running for AZ-5.
https://ballotpedia.org/Arizona%27s_5th_Congressional_District_electio
n,_2026

Others in this thread:
VA-2
TN-7
GA-14
FL-20

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Thursday, November 13, 2025 5:01 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

VA-2
After her Jan 6 scam, wanna bet The Trump campaigns against her?
https://rollcall.com/2025/11/12/elaine-luria-comeback-virginia-midterm
-elections/

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Friday, November 28, 2025 1:28 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Aftyn Behn or Bane declared she hates her city in TN, so now she is running to represent in Congress. TN-7
Special Election, so 6ix sez she will win as a Libtard.

MTG retiring in Jan, so her GA seat in The House will need a Special Election - which 6ix sez will be won by the Libtard.

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Monday, December 1, 2025 3:14 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Aftyn Behn or Bane declared she hates her city in TN, so now she is running to represent in Congress.
Special Election, so 6ix sez she will win as a Libtard.

TN-7.
Election Tuesday.
She also wants to bomb Police Stations, with Police inside. Plus dicks with chicks, and mutilating children on any whim.

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Monday, December 1, 2025 3:21 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

FL-20
Sheila Cherfilus McCormick might not survive until midterm elections. Pile of crimes from her. Worth 53 years.
https://www.palmbeachpost.com/story/news/crime/2025/11/20/sheila-cherf
ilus-mccormick-accused-of-stealing-millions-in-fema-funds/87365169007/

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Thursday, December 4, 2025 8:42 PM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Aftyn Behn or Bane declared she hates her city in TN, so now she is running to represent in Congress.
Special Election, so 6ix sez she will win as a Libtard.
TN-7.
Election Tuesday.
She also wants to bomb Police Stations, with Police inside. Plus dicks with chicks, and mutilating children on any whim.

Republican won in TN-7 Special Election. This means 6ix is wrong when he says this never happens.

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Sunday, December 7, 2025 11:52 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Aftyn Behn or Bane declared she hates her city in TN, so now she is running to represent in Congress.
Special Election, so 6ix sez she will win as a Libtard.
TN-7.
Election Tuesday.
She also wants to bomb Police Stations, with Police inside. Plus dicks with chicks, and mutilating children on any whim.
Republican won in TN-7 Special Election. This means 6ix is wrong when he says this never happens.

Yes and no...

I'm right 80 to 90% of the time about it for sure, but in this instance I did say that what we were likely looking at with Ted's push poll at the time showing a virtual tie or maybe even stupidly claiming that the Democrat was even in front at one point was just another 2024 Iowa State Push Poll situation, created completely from somebody's own imagination.

Republicans won, handily, but anything less than that would have been something for Republicans to panic about. And I would argue that there is a reason that it wasn't closer, and it isn't because Trump is doing anything he says he's going to do.

It is because the Republicans FINALLY did what they need to be doing in all of these special elections, especially when they aren't in seats that are automatic gimmies either way and/or they think they could actually eek a win out where maybe they shouldn't... and what they did here was SPEND, SPEND, SPEND.

The entire expenditure on this campaign was over $7 Million ($10 Million if you include the primary election spending). An EXTREMELY large portion of this money from both sides didn't come from individuals inside of the state either. Most of the money was from Super PACs on both sides.

That is awful and should be illegal. The only people who should be allowed to spend money on campaigns in individual states are people who LIVE AS THEIR PRIMARY RESIDENCE EXCLUSIVELY in that state. No different than the only people who should be able to contribute to foreign elections should be Citizens. This includes businesses too. They want to be considered as individuals when it comes to freedom of speech, they're individuals here too. No corporation that is large enough to have any bases, warehouses or office space outside of the state should be allowed to contribute to a state campaign either.

Now... Republicans seemed to get away without spending all that much compared to Democrats, with only $2.4 Million counted up on their side out of that $7 Million figure, but they didn't ignore it. Trump certainly didn't. $1.2 Million of that $2.2 Million was from Trump's very own MAGA Inc. PAC. $600k came from "Conservatives For American Excellence". And I don't argue that any of that Republican money was wasted. At the end of the day, even after spending $2.4 Million, they only had a 9% win where Trump won by 22%.

I'm not saying that this means anything for how good or bad Trump is doing, like the Left is trying to do today. What I am saying is that this just bolsters my analysis that Democrats always win special and off-year elections. The have the entire apparatus to get the word out, and mostly just through the elementary school systems, TBH.

I'm just glad that somebody in the Republican Party seemed to be aware that this could be a problem and decided to throw some money at it to keep anything stupid from happening there. They only spent about half of what the Democrats spent. Spending more could have given them a higher percentage, but there's zero ROI for doing that other than denying the Lefty media from having a few days of headlines that make idiots happy. Things that will be long forgotten about by the time Next November rolls around.

And those are the only two Republican PACs I know about. $1.8 Million of the campaign money Republicans spent for this win out of the $2.4 Million total they spent came from two entities. That's 75% of the money for this campaign that came from influences outside of the state of Tennessee just on the Republican side.

On the flip side...

Of course Google AI won't give any actual numbers that would make any Democrat person or institution look bad, so I don't have any exact numbers right now, but here's what it does say:

HMP and Your Community PAC: These two groups were responsible for the majority of the spending. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also injected nearly $1 million late in the race.

So no actual number figures for HMP and "Your Community PAC", but they were responsible for a "majority of the spending". And then they follow this up with the DNCC spending nearly $1 Million in the race.

Majority means 51% or more. So right there, HMP and YCP just spent at least $2.3 Million combined. Then the DNCC kicked in another $1 Million.

So now your Democratic side of outside-of-Tennessee influence is at least 71% of the campaign money they spent to lose.

So at the very least, that's over 70% this election being decided because of influence outside of Tennessee and the will of their own people, and both sides are equally as guilty of this.

And these are only the PACs and their activity I'm seeing from a simple Google search. You could go right to the SEC website and see where all the money came from on both sides to get the actual number for outside-of-the-state influence going on here.

TL;DR - This election result does not mean what you think it means anymore than it means what Ted thinks it means.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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Saturday, December 20, 2025 12:57 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Stefanik for NY Governor.
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/poll-shows-stefanik-3-points-161851196.html

She withdrew. bummer.

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Saturday, December 20, 2025 12:59 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Stefanik for NY Governor.
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/poll-shows-stefanik-3-points-161851196.html
She withdrew. bummer.

Her reasoning is sound. Why bother wasting all that time and money on such a fruitless endeavor.

New York is fucked, at least for now. Mandami is liable to blow the whole state up with his bullshit and she or somebody like her would have a much better shot next time.

Just as I don't envy anybody being charged with fixing California and Illinois once they get these anti-American democrats out of office, I'd hate to be the one trying to fix NY 4 years from now.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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Saturday, December 20, 2025 1:44 AM

JEWELSTAITEFAN

Her reason is "family"

She is also retiring from Congress.

Abandoning both offices is a double bummer.

I wish her well.

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Saturday, December 20, 2025 2:48 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JEWELSTAITEFAN:
Her reason is "family"

Yes. But it's also the reason I stated.

https://x.com/EliseStefanik/status/2002121519342793163

Quote:
However, as we have seen in past elections, while we would have overwhelmingly won this primary, it is not an effective use of our time or your generous resources to spend the first half of next year in an unnecessary and protracted Republican primary, especially in a challenging state like New York.

The Republican, whoever it is, has zero chance of winning NY next year, unless everything that Trump promised will happen the other night does happen, and something horribly unforseen doesn't happen.

She knows I'm not lying. That's why she called the whole endeavor "unnecessary". Because if nothing changes between now and then, it is.

--------------------------------------------------

Be Nice. Don't be a dick.

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