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Ruh Roh...
Friday, July 31, 2020 12:49 AM
6IXSTRINGJACK
Friday, July 31, 2020 1:13 PM
Friday, July 31, 2020 1:26 PM
Friday, July 31, 2020 1:42 PM
THG
Friday, July 31, 2020 1:50 PM
Quote:Originally posted by THG: Jacks poll. The truth is in the last number aisle. That's the one that shows the direction Trumps approval it going. Date Approve RCP Average 7/12 - 7/30 -11.6 Rasmussen 7/28 - 7/30 +2 Reuters 7/27 - 7/28 -18 YouGov 7/26 - 7/28 -9 IBD/TIPP 7/25 - 7/28 -11 The Hill 7/24 - 7/26 -12 CNBC 7/24 - 7/26 -12 Politico 7/24 - 7/26 -17 Harris 7/21 - 7/23 -12 FOX News 7/12 - 7/15 -9 ABC/WP 7/12 - 7/15 -18 T Stupid people don't know they're stupid, and they certainly don't realize how obvious it is to others.
Quote:That's the one that shows the direction Trumps approval it going.
Friday, July 31, 2020 1:55 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Not "my" poll. The RCP aggregate of polls, which I've always used. If you ever only show one poll, which Ted consistently does, then you're retarded. And what the fuck is a "number aisle"? Seriously dude. Get your brain fixed. Do Right, Be Right. :)
Friday, July 31, 2020 1:58 PM
Quote:Originally posted by THG: Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Not "my" poll. The RCP aggregate of polls, which I've always used. If you ever only show one poll, which Ted consistently does, then you're retarded. And what the fuck is a "number aisle"? Seriously dude. Get your brain fixed. Do Right, Be Right. :) It's the poll you posted in an attempt to show he was moving up. I posted the same poll showing the day of the poll and the fact that in all but one poll it shows Trumps approval going into the toilet. And to think you started a thread to show that off. T Stupid people don't know they're stupid, and they certainly don't realize how obvious it is to others.
Friday, July 31, 2020 2:24 PM
Friday, July 31, 2020 2:50 PM
Friday, July 31, 2020 3:08 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: You're wrong, about everything you just posted. I have math to back it up. You have feels. And yes... the polls are bullshit and in no way reflect reality and the "hidden" Trump vote. You'll find that out the hard way in November. However, as I've said before, the aggregate of polls are useful for showing trends. Even when they are lying, knowing which way the lie is blowing is good information to have on hand. All that being said... Here. I'll do what you were trying and FAILING HARD to do because you're retarded. You're not going to like the results: TABLE A: POLLS CURRENTLY IN THE AGGREGATE VS. PREVIOUS POLL BY FIRM (Current polls in the aggregate are Highlighted in this link: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html) RASMUSSEN REPORTS: CURRENT: 7/28 - 7/30 - SPREAD: +2 PREVIOUS: 7/12 - 7/14 - SPREAD: -2 / +4 APPROVAL REUTERS: CURRENT: 7/27 - 7/38 - SPREAD: -18 PREVIOUS: 7/15 - 7/21 - SPREAD: -18 / NO CHANGE YOUGOV: CURRENT: 7/26 - 7/28 - SPREAD: -9 PREVIOUS: 7/19 - 7/21 - SPREAD: -14 / +5 APPROVAL IBD/TIPP: CURRENT: 7/25 - 7/28 - SPREAD: -11 PREVIOUS: 6/27 - 6/30 - SPREAD: -17 / +6 APPROVAL THE HILL: CURRENT: 7/24 - 7/26 - SPREAD: -12 PREVIOUS: 7/7 - 7/10 - SPREAD: -10 / +2 APPROVAL CNBC: CURRENT: 7/24 - 7/26 - SPREAD: -12 PREVIOUS: 7/10 - 7/12 - SPREAD: -14 / +2 APPROVAL POLITICO: CURRENT: 7/24 - 7/26 - SPREAD: -17 PREVIOUS: 7/17 - 7/19 - SPREAD: -17 / NO CHANGE HARRIS: CURRENT: 7/21 - 7/23 - SPREAD: -12 PREVIOUS: 6/17 - 6/18 - SPREAD: -14 / +2 APPROVAL FOX NEWS: CURRENT: 7/12 - 7/15 - SPREAD: -9 PREVIOUS: 6/13 - 6/16 - SPREAD: -11 / +2 APPROVAL ABC/WP: CURRENT: 7/12 - 7/15 - SPREAD: -18 PREVIOUS: 5/25 - 5/28 - SPREAD: -8 / -10 APPROVAL*
Friday, July 31, 2020 3:13 PM
Quote:I don't know whats what with you claiming all the plus numbers. They aren't there.
Friday, July 31, 2020 3:26 PM
Friday, July 31, 2020 4:52 PM
Friday, July 31, 2020 9:06 PM
Quote:Originally posted by THG: I see what you’ve done dummy. You posted different polling in your revised post.
Quote:********* EDIT: Originally, I accidentally give Trump a +2 approval for the difference in the current spread of -12 compared to its previous spread of -10 for The Hill polling firm, when it should have been a -2. This change is now reflected in TABLE(s) A and C. (This mistake did not impact TABLE B). The totals above for the final aggregate spread change have been changed from -2.3 and -2.56 to -2.1 and -2.33, respectively, as well. *********
Quote:The first time you posted you referenced the same poll I referenced. The one reflecting the 43% average.
Quote:Those numbers reflect what my post says.
Quote:They are the numbers at the end of the link you provided.
Quote:It was about his overall job performance.
Quote: This is the link you provided: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html
Quote:Then you went searching for better polling and found polling on the economy.
Quote:That explains your revised numbers.
Quote:You also posted the wrong link with your revised numbers.
Quote:At any rate, as I’ve said. Yesterday the new numbers on the economy showed it contracting by a full third.
Friday, July 31, 2020 9:11 PM
Saturday, August 1, 2020 12:17 AM
Saturday, August 1, 2020 8:37 AM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Please keep any trolling in here, Ted, but I did make a lesson plan for you to learn how to use Polling Aggregates and read the tables. http://fireflyfans.net/mthread.aspx?bid=18&tid=63767&mid=1106678#1106678 If you have any legitimate questions though, please feel free to ask them in the lesson thread. Do Right, Be Right. :)
Saturday, August 1, 2020 12:38 PM
Quote:Ok, all anyone need do is follow the link you've provided. It will reflect the numbers I've posted. I don't know whats what with you claiming all the plus numbers. They aren't there.
Quote:His poll numbers are dropping across the board. They are in no way going up. Yesterday the economy tanked big time. His polls are going to get even worse. My post pointed out all the - numbers in your poll.
Quote:Then you went searching for better polling and found polling on the economy. That explains your revised numbers.
Quote:It is a beautiful thread though Jack. And it really shows from all the different angels just how badly Biden is beating Trump. You've done this days' work for me. I couldn't have done better myself, and be prouder of you Jack. Thanks dummy.
Saturday, August 1, 2020 2:14 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 6IXSTRINGJACK: Yes. I edited the post. I was completely transparent about that fact and I noted what the edits were. I'll post them again here, because I'm not hiding anything. I made three edits to the original thread. All of them were remarked in the original post. Only one of them had any bearing on the outcome of the numbers due to a mistake on my part, and it was small. 1. Added the Emerson poll which was added to the RCP Aggregate after I made the original post. (And raised Trumps aggreage approval from 43.2% to 43.4%.) 2. Changed the names of the polling firms to the expanded names that RCP was using last night when I took screenshots. They change these from time to time and I have no idea why. I commented both in this lesson and in the original post that I did so. All numbers and dates matched and it did not change the outcome. 3. I had originally added 2 points to Trump's approval rather than subtract two points from The Hill poll. This had a very small net effect on his overall IMPROVEMENT of his polling average, which was still a sizable improvement either way. Do Right, Be Right. :)
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