2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread by 6ixStringJack

CINEMA

2025 Wide Release Prediction Game Thread

POSTED BY: 6IXSTRINGJACK
UPDATED: Wednesday, November 5, 2025 19:39
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Saturday, October 25, 2025 12:37 PM

it looks like some Japan cartoon horror called Chainsaw Man by Sony Pictures can reach number1

the other two incoming are Regretting You and Springsteen

Universal's Black Phone 2 grossed an estimated $3.79M on Friday
https://bsky.app/profile/boxofficereport.bsky.social/post/3m3zmnepd4c2
w

Bugonia 1st Friday $320,000

The Thirteenth Floor (1999) vs. Bugonia (2025) vs. The Birdcage (1996)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Thirtee
nth-Floor-The/Bugonia-(2025)/Birdcage-The#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Bugonia (2025) vs. Nine (2009) vs. Nosferatu (2024)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Bugonia
-(2025)/Nine/Nosferatu-(2024)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Solaris (2002) vs. Bugonia (2025) vs. The Pink Panther (2006)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Solaris
/Bugonia-(2025)/Pink-Panther-The-(2006)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Bugonia (2025) vs. Bangkok Dangerous (2008) vs. Alien: Resurrection (1997)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Bugonia
-(2025)/Bangkok-Dangerous-(2008)/Alien-Resurrection#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Alita: Battle Angel (2019) vs. Bugonia (2025) vs. The Grudge (2004)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Alita-B
attle-Angel-(2019)/Bugonia-(2025)/Grudge-The-(2004)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Bugonia (2025) vs. Quarantine (2008) vs. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Bugonia
-(2025)/Quarantine/Avengers-Age-of-Ultron#tab=day_by_day_comparison

TRON: ARES | 48.6M overseas | 105.5M worldwide
https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/33204-tron-ares-486m-overseas
-1055m-worldwide/

Disney's Tron: Ares grossed an estimated $1.30M on Friday
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1982100639867174913#m

Johnny Depp To Star In ‘Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol’ At Paramount
https://deadline.com/2025/10/johnny-depp-ebenezer-scrooge-movie-ti-wes
t-1236586975/

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Saturday, October 25, 2025 2:02 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

Quote:
Originally posted by JAYNEZTOWN:
The Thirteenth Floor (1999) vs. Bugonia (2025) vs. The Birdcage (1996)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Thirtee
nth-Floor-The/Bugonia-(2025)/Birdcage-The#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Your comparison here after talking about horror movies dug out an old memory and made me laugh...

I was playing a few drinking games with my girlfriend, her roomate and some of her other friends before going to a campus party and we were playing some game where you had to answer a question without any hesitation if you pulled a certain card and one of her roomate's ex-boyfriends got asked "what's the scariest horror movie you've ever seen?" and he said "The Birdcage".

Somebody said "That's not a horror movie" and told him to drink and he refused and total deadpan he said "That's the scariest movie I've ever seen."

--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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Sunday, October 26, 2025 8:02 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

an upcoming action drug bust shoot em up dark comedy crime thriller film directed by Michael Dowse Canada and written by Gary Scott Thompson and Tom O'Connor the Fast n Furious movies

Trap House

Demon Slayer
Friday
$150,000 / $131,887,639

One Battle After Another still makes money
Friday $650,000 / $64,106,387

Tron Ares
Friday $1,300,000 / $59,767,203

Smashing Machine
Friday $13,565 / $11,294,735

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Monday, October 27, 2025 6:05 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

Sony Group has no desire to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, CEO says
https://asia.nikkei.com/business/media-entertainment/sony-group-has-no
-desire-to-buy-warner-bros.-discovery-ceo-says

Disney and other box office ? this year Snow White remake is still at 18th place in the US

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Tuesday, November 4, 2025 5:25 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

old Back to the Future has returned to cinema for a re-run

some Indian Hindu Telugu-language movie 'Baahubali' got a release in North America but it doesnt seem to go anywhere

Baahubali: The Epic (2025) vs. Tron: Ares (2025) vs. Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Infinity Castle (2025)
https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/custom-comparisons-extended/Baahuba
li-The-Epic-(2025-India)/Tron-Ares-(2025)/Demon-Slayer-Kimetsu-no-Yaiba-The-Movie-Infinity-Castle-(2025-Japan)#tab=day_by_day_comparison

Disney's Tron: Ares grossed $3.05M this weekend (from 2,575 locations). Total domestic gross stands at $68.15M.
https://x.com/BORReport/status/1985474028648501706#m

Save the Green Planet 2003

Bugonia remake Budget aprox $45–55 million
https://deadline.com/2025/10/box-office-chainsaw-man-springsteen-regre
tting-you-black-phone-2-1236596417/
Springsteen Budget $55 million

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Tuesday, November 4, 2025 5:32 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

normally its cheap slasher films not expensive block buster attempts

This year's October box office was the lowest in 28 years – and Halloween was the worst weekend of the year

https://www.yahoo.com/entertainment/movies/articles/years-october-box-
office-lowest-114119471.html

Warner Bros.’ Sale Is a ‘Red Alert’ Moment for Theaters
https://ca.news.yahoo.com/warner-bros-sale-red-alert-135727547.html
Theaters have already been calling on Hollywood to give them more films, but Warner's acquisition could crush those hopes

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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 7:19 AM

JAYNEZTOWN

Five Nights at Freddy's 2...successful?

it missed a chance to win the Halloween box office

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Wednesday, November 5, 2025 7:39 PM

6IXSTRINGJACK

I have no predictions for FNAF2, I've been so out of the movie loop for the last 6 months or so.

I think it will show well and make a few bucks, but won't come anywhere near the bragging rights they had after the first movie made so much even when it was streamed at the same time at no additional charge to Peacock customers.

Kids movies seem to be what is really driving most of the Box Office in 2025. Whether it's kids movies that were made for kids, or kids movies that were aimed for adults...

WORLDWIDE TOP 10 (Allegedly):

1 Ne Zha 2 $2,000,944,213
2 Lilo & Stitch $1,037,869,713
3 A Minecraft Movie $957,195,130
4 Jurassic World Rebirth $868,348,944
5 Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie $667,982,716
6 How to Train Your Dragon
7 F1: The Movie $630,303,615
8 Superman $616,584,465
9 Mission: Impossible—The Final Reckoning $591,353,074
10 The Fantastic Four: First Steps $520,636,922

I'll make no bones about it... I don't believe China at all when they say that Ne Zha 2 made over $2 Billion. There are zero checks and balances on the Chinese Government telling themselves, their citizens and the world that the movie their government created made twice as much money as any Hollywood film to come out in 2025.

We aided and abetted them lying about creating Covid in a lab with our funding. We'll apparently just ignore this completely ridiculous and bogus claim and let it stand. Honestly, it isn't very important when compared to other worldwide issues, so I can hardly fault the logic.

Are you going to be the American reporter that goes undercover and digs up the real dirt on these claims and live to tell about it? I know I'm not.

Anyway...

Even with that $2 Billion movie in there, that Top 10 is one of the saddest things I've seen. It's so little.

I can't speak for the Chinese movie, but nearly everything else I see up there is trite crap...

Not one, but TWO live action remakes. Universal joins Disney, cashing in on the nostalgia with How to Train your Dragon alongside Lilo and Stitch.

The seventh or eighth or ninth or whatever Jurassic Park movie nobody asked for.

The fourth or fifth Superman reboot nobody asked for.

Number 9 is probably not half bad, but is the second of the final two Mission Impossible / Tom Cruise installments that lost hundreds of millions of dollars despite making more than half a billion.

And all of this while a Japanese Anime that only cost $20 Million to make embarrasses nearly everyone else on the entire Top 100 list and off of it with how much money that raked in worldwide.

The only even remotely interesting movie in the Top 10 is the F1 movie. And I say that knowing that I have no interest in racing on any level and will probably never see it. But I always did like Days of Thunder, so maybe it's worth a watch.

They made a huge mistake not releasing FNAF2 before Halloween though. I'll bet some people got fired over that. That will probably come back to bite them in the ass with their second problem, which is the fact they had more 250% for the budget this time around with $51 Million.

The first movie needed less than the sequel's production budget to break even, and it went on to make nearly six times that. FNAF2 is going to need to make $125 Million just to break even this time around. My guess is that it does this fairly easily, but doesn't really make much money beyond that. It might surprise me and make over $250 Million worldwide, but I kinda doubt it.

--------------------------------------------------

For all that I've blessed, and all that I've wronged. In dreams until my death, I will wander on.

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