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REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS
Brexit vote Thursday June 23
Thursday, June 23, 2016 12:10 PM
SIGNYM
I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.
Thursday, June 23, 2016 12:27 PM
THGRRI
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: Happening today. What bothers me about it is that there will be no exit polls. That way, there is no check on whether the vote was manipulated or not. No matter how the vote turns out, people should be outraged about how it was conducted.
Thursday, June 23, 2016 3:05 PM
Thursday, June 23, 2016 6:14 PM
KPO
Sometimes you own the libs. Sometimes, the libs own you.
Quote:What bothers me about it is that there will be no exit polls.
Thursday, June 23, 2016 7:31 PM
JEWELSTAITEFAN
Thursday, June 23, 2016 7:42 PM
Friday, June 24, 2016 7:18 AM
Quote:Truth is, A U.K. law prohibits news organizations from reporting how people voted before polls close.
Quote:I'm guessing they don't want early poll numbers to affect late voters. Of course, that makes perfect sense. And it's not like exit polls can't be muddled with. So outrage over nothing.
Quote:The first indication that something was gravely amiss on November 2nd, 2004, was the inexplicable discrepancies between exit polls and actual vote counts. Polls in thirty states weren't just off the mark -- they deviated to an extent that cannot be accounted for by their margin of error. In all but four states, the discrepancy favored President Bush. Over the past decades, exit polling has evolved into an exact science. Indeed, among pollsters and statisticians, such surveys are thought to be the most reliable. Unlike pre-election polls, in which voters are asked to predict their own behavior at some point in the future, exit polls ask voters leaving the voting booth to report an action they just executed. The results are exquisitely accurate: Exit polls in Germany, for example, have never missed the mark by more than three-tenths of one percent. "Exit polls are almost never wrong," Dick Morris, a political consultant who has worked for both Republicans and Democrats, noted after the 2004 vote. Such surveys are "so reliable," he added, "that they are used as guides to the relative honesty of elections in Third World countries." In 2003, vote tampering revealed by exit polling in the Republic of Georgia forced Eduard Shevardnadze to step down. And in November 2004, exit polling in the Ukraine -- paid for by the Bush administration -- exposed election fraud that denied Viktor Yushchenko the presidency. But that same month, when exit polls revealed disturbing disparities in the U.S. election, the six media organizations that had commissioned the survey treated its very existence as an embarrassment. Instead of treating the discrepancies as a story meriting investigation, the networks scrubbed the offending results from their Web sites and substituted them with ''corrected'' numbers that had been weighted, retroactively, to match the official vote count. Rather than finding fault with the election results, the mainstream media preferred to dismiss the polls as flawed.
Quote:But as the evening progressed, official tallies began to show implausible disparities -- as much as 9.5 percent -- with the exit polls. In ten of the eleven battleground states, the tallied margins departed from what the polls had predicted. According to Steven F. Freeman, a visiting scholar at the University of Pennsylvania who specializes in research methodology, the odds against all three of those shifts occurring in concert are one in 660,000. "As much as we can say in sound science that something is impossible," he says, "it is impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote count in the three critical battleground states of the 2004 election could have been due to chance or random error."
Friday, June 24, 2016 7:21 AM
Friday, June 24, 2016 7:34 AM
Friday, June 24, 2016 7:46 AM
JAYNEZTOWN
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: It's All Over As "Leave" Wins Brexit Referendum: Markets Everywhere Are Crashing
Friday, June 24, 2016 7:50 AM
Quote: I learned you still can't see the forest for the trees no matter how you think you know or how much you type. Let's unpack your bullshit:
Quote:Why did you whine about "no exit polls" and then say there were?
Quote: There really is a law in the UK banning them - fact.
Quote:Of course that doesn't keep people from doing them - they just call them opinion polls instead.
Quote:"And it's not like vote counting can't be muddle with. Overall, exit polls are as, or more, reliable than vote counting." Cites - muddle is muddle. NUMBERS DO LIE. Numbers do whatever someone with resources and desire wants them to do. NUMBERS OBEY.
Quote:You even showed why exit polls can't be trusted in your post: "Rather than finding fault with the election results, the mainstream media preferred to dismiss the polls as flawed."
Quote:MY POINT EXACTLY - thank you, you silly twit.
Friday, June 24, 2016 8:03 AM
Friday, June 24, 2016 9:00 AM
Friday, June 24, 2016 10:57 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: I'm laughing hysterically at the carnage. I'm surprised you can't hear me all the way over there.
Friday, June 24, 2016 10:59 AM
Quote:Because they [academic statisticians] could never be bought? What Russian fairy village did you grow up in?
Quote:Only shows how easily you can be fooled. "They called it an Opinion poll so it must be. Carry on!" -GSTRING
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: I'm laughing hysterically at the carnage. I'm surprised you can't hear me all the way over there. -SIGNY Comrade SPUTNYK laughing at other's pain. The reveal is complete, the mask comes off and the grotesque figure smiles a near toothless smile. (maybe one silver tooth)
Friday, June 24, 2016 11:13 AM
Quote:Originally posted by G: Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: I'm laughing hysterically at the carnage. I'm surprised you can't hear me all the way over there. Comrade SPUTNYK laughing at other's pain. The reveal is complete, the mask comes off and the grotesque figure smiles a near toothless smile. (maybe one silver tooth)
Friday, June 24, 2016 11:17 AM
Friday, June 24, 2016 11:49 AM
Quote:Originally posted by THGRRI: Quote:Originally posted by G: Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: I'm laughing hysterically at the carnage. I'm surprised you can't hear me all the way over there. Comrade SPUTNYK laughing at other's pain. The reveal is complete, the mask comes off and the grotesque figure smiles a near toothless smile. (maybe one silver tooth) That would be fang G. One fang
Friday, June 24, 2016 1:24 PM
Quote:Originally posted by Brenda: Colour me confused but are the Brits staying in the EU or leaving? Your graphs and posts make no sense to me right now.
Friday, June 24, 2016 1:41 PM
Friday, June 24, 2016 2:23 PM
Friday, June 24, 2016 3:45 PM
Friday, June 24, 2016 7:19 PM
SECOND
The Joss Whedon script for Serenity, where Wash lives, is Serenity-190pages.pdf at https://www.mediafire.com/two
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: What this reminds me of is the Greek vote on austerity. The polls were saying it was a close vote, and most Greeks assumed that the pro-EU party would win, but in the end, 60% voted against austerity and against the EU. What happened after THAT was a different story!
Saturday, June 25, 2016 4:51 AM
Saturday, June 25, 2016 5:56 AM
Quote:The world’s 400 richest people lost $127.4 billion Friday as global equity markets reeled from the news that British voters elected to leave the European Union. The billionaires lost 3.2 percent of their total net worth, bringing the combined sum to $3.9 trillion, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The biggest decline belonged to Europe’s richest person, Amancio Ortega, who lost more than $6 billion, while nine others dropped more than $1 billion, including Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos and Gerald Cavendish Grosvenor, the wealthiest person in the U.K.
Saturday, June 25, 2016 6:51 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: there are no INTERNATIONAL democratic institutions to reflect their will. Right now, the only effect that people have - if any- is on their NATIONAL government . . . Look at the Greeks- they have been 100% unable to remove themselves from the yoke of the troika which is bleeding their economy dry. And it was designed that way.
Saturday, June 25, 2016 9:58 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: World’s 400 Richest People Lose $127 Billion on Brexit: Chart Quote:The world’s 400 richest people lost $127.4 billion Friday as global equity markets reeled from the news that British voters elected to leave the European Union.
Quote:The world’s 400 richest people lost $127.4 billion Friday as global equity markets reeled from the news that British voters elected to leave the European Union.
Saturday, June 25, 2016 11:03 AM
Saturday, June 25, 2016 11:26 AM
Saturday, June 25, 2016 5:48 PM
Quote:We the undersigned call upon HM Government to implement a rule that if the remain or leave vote is less than 60% based a turnout less than 75% there should be another referendum.
Saturday, June 25, 2016 7:17 PM
Quote:Originally posted by G: Quote:Originally posted by second: A petition calling for another referendum on whether Britain should stay in the European Union has now received at least 2.5 million signatures — a level that means it must now be debated by British politicians. It was apparently so popular that the British Parliament's website, where the petition was hosted, briefly crashed. https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/131215 < incredulous > an online petition ??????? < / oy > Done!
Quote:Originally posted by second: A petition calling for another referendum on whether Britain should stay in the European Union has now received at least 2.5 million signatures — a level that means it must now be debated by British politicians. It was apparently so popular that the British Parliament's website, where the petition was hosted, briefly crashed. https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/131215
Sunday, June 26, 2016 2:14 AM
Quote:A petition calling for another referendum on whether Britain should stay in the European Union has now received at least 2.5 million signatures — a level that means it must now be debated by British politicians. It was apparently so popular that the British Parliament's website, where the petition was hosted, briefly crashed. https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions/131215 < incredulous > an online petition ??????? < / oy > Done! GSTRING Incredulous, troll much SIG?-THIRDSTOOGE
Sunday, June 26, 2016 3:33 AM
Sunday, June 26, 2016 8:27 AM
Sunday, June 26, 2016 9:09 AM
Quote:Originally posted by kpo: Brilliant G
Sunday, June 26, 2016 10:19 AM
Quote:If two percent of the voters had flipped from "leave" to "stay", the Brexit vote would have failed 49.9% versus 50.1%. To make a momentous decision based on only two percent is very odd. The US Constitution requires two-thirds majority vote in both the House of Representatives and the Senate and ratified by the legislatures of at least three-fourths of the states. For example, the 26th amendment required those large majorities to lower the minimum voting age to eighteen.
Sunday, June 26, 2016 10:22 AM
Quote:Brilliant G - KRAPO
Quote:I see that a second EU Referendum petition has twenty time more signatures than the petition making it illegal for a company to require women to wear high heels at work. https://petition.parliament.uk/petitions?state=awaiting_debate ". . . many people signing it appear to be doing so from outside the UK. . . . Any signatures found to be fraudulent would be removed." - Second EU referendum petition investigated for fraud www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36634407 SECOND
Quote:What the advocates of "multiculturalism" don't seem to realize is that there are no international democratic institutions. All of the international structures, like the EU, "free trade" agreements, and even the UN, are out of the reach of most people. We can't vote on any of the policies that are decided on by international committees, technocrats, and arbitrators. If people were to look with any sort of clarity on the role of the Eurocrats in bringing unending unemployment to people of Southern Europe and how their economies are being sacrificed to support the Euro (currency), and how "free trade" agreements will ensure that decisions about the environment, labor, food safety etc. will be made by trade lawyers in secret courts only on the basis of their effect on international trade, "internationalism" stops looking so good. By handing over the ability to take control of their own national policies, people have given up on being able to control ANY policy. And they've given it up and gotten nothing in return except a warm, fuzzy, meaningless feeling. What is so wrong with wanting to be able to set national policies, to control (or at least manage) the production and flow of goods, the value of your national currency, and the number of people immigrating to your country? Who would rather have policy set by some faceless, distant bureaucrat five borders away? Don't we have enough problems of non-responsive government already, without making it a lot worse? Curiously, judging by some of the people on this board, their warm fuzzy feeling of world solidarity ends the moment they encounter someone who TRULY thinks differently. One of the things that is beginning to horrify Germans, for example, is their encounter with large a large group of people who have entirely different views about what's right and wrong, what's important and unimportant, and who should decide. So even the self-congratulatory feeling of being a "person of the world" comes to a screeching halt when some of the other people of the world are TOO different, and those differences go beyond tasty food and interesting music. So much for multiculturalism!
Sunday, June 26, 2016 11:05 AM
Quote:"We won't let anyone [including the people, apparently] take Europe from us".
Sunday, June 26, 2016 11:39 AM
1KIKI
Goodbye, kind world (George Monbiot) - In common with all those generations which have contemplated catastrophe, we appear to be incapable of understanding what confronts us.
Sunday, June 26, 2016 11:55 AM
Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: Again, assuming that TPTB don't find a way to block Brexit, I don't expect it to be easy. The closest example I can think of is Iceland, which went on a huge borrowing binge pre-2008. Man, it was party-time nationwide! But once their three major banks crashed in an orgy of self-dealing and corruption, the Icelanders did what no one else has done: They let their banks fold, nationalized them, and threw the bankers in jail. But while Icelanders did the right thing, they paid a price: Britain declared Iceland to be a "terrorist state" (for refusing to back British deposits in the Icelandic bank branches in Britain) and froze the Landsbanki assets in Britain, and British allies declared a freeze on all Icelandic assets everywhere. Iceland, in the throes of a financial crisis and a liquidity crisis, and with its financial lifelines cut, had to go begging for a creative loan from China. And although Iceland came through the ordeal in the end, their living standard has taken a hit: People are working harder for less. I think there's a couple of reasons for that, but one of them is that a nation living within its means will never feel as prosperous as one borrowing to the hilt and partying like there's no tomorrow. Being responsible isn't going to be as much fun, there's no two ways about it.
Sunday, June 26, 2016 12:14 PM
Sunday, June 26, 2016 3:09 PM
ELVISCHRIST
Sunday, June 26, 2016 3:21 PM
Sunday, June 26, 2016 5:03 PM
Quote:"Two of the early beneficiaries were London hedge-fund chieftains who took different views on the vote, but both wound up making money..."
Sunday, June 26, 2016 5:34 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 1kiki: "I don't recall you being upset when the DNC did away with exit polls in the majority of states with closed primaries..." It did? I didn't know that! The DNC sucks even more than I thought, then. It looks to me like the DNC is tightening its grip on the process, making itself even less accountable, and shutting voters out even more. YAY for the DNC, Debbie, Hillary, and Roberta and their strike for women's equality!! It just goes to show you don't have to be an old white male to be a power-hungry asshole.
Sunday, June 26, 2016 5:44 PM
Sunday, June 26, 2016 8:50 PM
Quote:Originally posted by ElvisChrist: Quote:Originally posted by SIGNYM: Happening today. What bothers me about it is that there will be no exit polls. That way, there is no check on whether the vote was manipulated or not. No matter how the vote turns out, people should be outraged about how it was conducted. I don't recall you being upset when the DNC did away with exit polls in the majority of states with closed primaries...
Sunday, June 26, 2016 8:52 PM
Quote:Oh well Sig, at least plenty of ordinary working people will get hurt.
Sunday, June 26, 2016 10:01 PM
Quote:Originally posted by 1kiki: "Your hypocrisy knows no bounds. How can you claim Hillary to be a power hungry bitch while remaining quite as a church mouse, when Putin changed the constitution to run for a third term." I see you can't even quote correctly. Leave it to YOU to use the sexist term bitch when I used the utterly gender neutral term asshole. How can you be such a brainless liar? Whatever the DNC is doing, they're pretending to do it. IN MY NAME. They're doing it. IN MY COUNTRY. And what they doing. DIRECTLY INFRINGES ON ME. Or are you a Russian? Does the US not matter to you?
Sunday, June 26, 2016 10:05 PM
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