REAL WORLD EVENT DISCUSSIONS

SURVIVAL STRATEGIE$: WHAT ARE YOURS ?

POSTED BY: OUT2THEBLACK
UPDATED: Friday, October 10, 2008 07:46
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Saturday, October 4, 2008 2:08 AM

OUT2THEBLACK




So this is US , on the raggedy edge...

Hyperinflation , Economic Depression Ahead ;

How will You get by ?


"It's an extraordinary new world, and survival is simply a question of
whether we can reach deep enough to find the extraordinary in
ourselves."
~~Morgan Martin, "Earth 2"

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 2:15 AM

KHYRON


Quote:

Originally posted by out2theblack:
How will You get by ?

I'd start by not bitching when the government tries to save the banks that have my money.

------------------------------

Trolls against McCain, you betcha!

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 2:45 AM

KIRKULES


Quote:

Originally posted by out2theblack:
So this is US , on the raggedy edge...

Hyperinflation , Economic Depression Ahead ;


I don't think our current inflation rate of 2-4% qualifies as "hyperinflation" and we aren't even technically in a recession yet. The US has survived much worse than this in recent years, we'll be out of this funk in no time.
Quote:


How will You get by


Canabilizim!

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 2:51 AM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by Khyron:
I'd start by not bitching when the government tries to save the banks that have my money.



Yeah! We should all just take our ass-fucking and appreciate that it's for our own good!

Quote:

BILL MOYERS:
On Monday, the people rose up and Congress backed down, sending the bailout to defeat. But then the lobbyists rushed in with a brinks truck of bribes, and this afternoon Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson got $700 billion dollars to save the system that his crowd on Wall Street had exploited to enrich themselves while plunging the country to the edge of catastrophe.

The bailout offers almost no help for homeowners, or equity for taxpayers in banks that are being thrown a lifeline...it turns our Secretary of the Treasury into Caesar Augustus and plunders democracy with tax breaks for Hollywood studios, Samoan sweat shops, Alaskan fishermen, rum merchants, makers of toy arrows and giveaways to big oil. All this on the very day the government reports that another 160,000 people lost their jobs last month — that's the most in five and a half years.

No wonder that Congress today resembled Monty Python's ministry of silly walks — one palm open to the lobbyists, the other holding their nose against the stinking odor of a bill everyone said they didn't want — while rushing for the airport to go home and tell the voters how important it is for them to be re-elected — so they can come back and clean up the mess they just made.



At least one journalist gets it.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 3:07 AM

KHYRON


SergeantX, I was referring to all of those people who were against government bail-out on principle, since they (understandably) want the greedy corporate fat-cats to come crashing down burning, but apparently fail to see that the entire system would come crashing down with them.

I generally agree with what Moyers wrote, but Congress didn't "back down", they tried again and got it passed, with or without lobbyist influence. Just because one doesn't agree with some of the specifics of this bail-out proposal (and I don't), doesn't mean a bail-out is fundamentally wrong.

------------------------------

Trolls against McCain, you betcha!

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 3:38 AM

SERGEANTX


Quote:

Originally posted by Khyron:
I was referring to all of those people who were against government bail-out on principle, since they (understandably) want the greedy corporate fat-cats to come crashing down burning, but apparently fail to see that the entire system would come crashing down with them.



That's specifically the attitude I find so condescending and the one that is most typically presented by the press. What the people do get is that this correction has been a long time coming. They're willing to live through a some pain to see the slime flushed out of our system.

The press has dutifully droned the refrain that "something must be done", but is that really the case? Looking beyond the corporate media...

http://www.reason.com/news/show/129158.html

Quote:

from "Roots of the Crisis: How did Wall Street get into this mess?"

...

The original plan crafted by Treasury would authorize the department to spend up to $700 billion to buy MBSes and other "toxic" debt and thereby remove them from banks' balance sheets. With the "bad loans" off the books, the banks would become sound. Because it was assumed that the MBS market was "illiquid," the government would become the buyer of last resort for these products. There is a certain simple elegance to the plan.

Except that no market is truly illiquid. It just isn't liquid at the price you want to sell. This summer, Merrill Lynch unloaded a bunch of bad debt at 22 cents on the dollar. There are likely plenty of buyers for the banks' bad debt, just not at the price the banks would prefer. Enter the government, which clearly intends to purchase MBSes at some premium above the market price. That was the nature of the bailout that failed on Monday.

Congressional leaders have vowed to bring a new proposal for a vote, possibly as soon as Thursday, proving yet again that Washington is fertile ground for really bad ideas. But with the market rebounding—as of this writing the Dow was up almost 300 points—and public opposition hardening, signs are emerging that banks are starting to clean house. The crisis may have already peaked. Of course, Congress' ability to further screw this up can't be overstated.




Why I hope voters are at last able to see from this situation, is that the Democrats are not there to save them from the Bush administration. Why anyone would support them at this point is beyond reason.

SergeantX

"Dream a little dream or you can live a little dream. I'd rather live it, cause dreamers always chase but never get it." Aesop Rock

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 4:13 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SergeantX:
Quote:



Originally posted by Khyron:
I'd start by not bitching when the government tries to save the banks that have my money.



Yeah! We should all just take our ass-fucking and appreciate that it's for our own good!

Quote:

BILL MOYERS:
On Monday, the people rose up and Congress backed down, sending the bailout to defeat. But then the lobbyists rushed in with a brinks truck of bribes, and this afternoon Secretary of the Treasury Henry Paulson got $700 billion dollars to save the system that his crowd on Wall Street had exploited to enrich themselves while plunging the country to the edge of catastrophe.

The bailout offers almost no help for homeowners, or equity for taxpayers in banks that are being thrown a lifeline...it turns our Secretary of the Treasury into Caesar Augustus and plunders democracy with tax breaks for Hollywood studios, Samoan sweat shops, Alaskan fishermen, rum merchants, makers of toy arrows and giveaways to big oil. All this on the very day the government reports that another 160,000 people lost their jobs last month — that's the most in five and a half years.

No wonder that Congress today resembled Monty Python's ministry of silly walks — one palm open to the lobbyists, the other holding their nose against the stinking odor of a bill everyone said they didn't want — while rushing for the airport to go home and tell the voters how important it is for them to be re-elected — so they can come back and clean up the mess they just made.



At least one journalist gets it.

SergeantX




WELCOME To BUSHVILLE

http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2008197171_apwanickels
ville1stldwritethru.html


http://www.businessandmedia.org/articles/2008/20081002100113.aspx

http://www.opednews.com/articles/Hoovervilles--camping-out-by-Jane-Sti
llwater-080922-593.html


http://www.crosscut.com/business-technology/18179/House+votes+to+re-en
act+the+Great+Depression


"The joyful cynics on “The Street” cared little about a California Employment Development Department report of a rise in unemployment to 7.7%. In August, 60,000 fewer Californians had jobs. Officially, almost 1.5 million Californians are unemployed. Unofficially, that figure is considerably higher. Workers in construction and farm work often get paid under the table and thus don’t get listed in official data."

"Wall Street tycoons and munitions manufacturers share the taxpayers’ wealth. The CEOs can claim exemptions worth millions of dollars for all kinds of luxuries, but are not exempt from the nasty connotations of their shared deadly sin. “When is enough enough?

“Never!” John D. Rockefeller sneered, referring to accumulating wealth."



'Rob from the poor , give to the Rich...'

http://www.counterpunch.org/landau10032008.html

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Saturday, October 4, 2008 4:43 AM

OUT2THEBLACK





In Depth: 10 Tips For the Unemployed

Forbes, NY - 15 hours ago

"The unemployment rate is at a five-year high and the economic news just keeps getting grimmer. If you're pounding the pavement, or fear you may be soon," ...

http://www.forbes.com/home/2008/10/03/unemployment-taxes-bailout-biz-w
ash-cz_ae_1003beltway.html

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Sunday, October 5, 2008 1:21 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


"...most importantly, without the huge fraud perpetrated by AIG, the mortgage bubble could have never grown as large as it did. Yes, other factors contributed, like the role of Fannie and Freddie in particular. But the key to enabling the huge global growth in credit during the last decade can be tied directly to AIG's sale of credit default swaps without collateral. That was the barn door.
And it was left open for nearly a decade.

There's no way to replace this massive credit-building machine, which makes me very skeptical of the government's bailout plan. Quite simply, we can't replace the credit that existed in the world before September 15 because it didn't deserve to be there in the first place. While the government can, and certainly will, paper over the gaping holes left by this enormous credit collapse, it can't actually replace the trust and credit that existed... because it was a fraud.

And that leads me to believe the coming economic contraction will be longer and deeper than most people understand. "

$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

" Sometimes , a thing gets broke , can't be fixed..."

Well now... the bailout bill has passed as the
banksters wanted (but not as we wanted), fear and
corruption ruled today. What have they done? Only
prolonged Judgment Day.

Thank you to everyone who called and pressured their
congressman, we won the first round but they got us
on the second.

Buckle up , it's time to get ready for
hyperinflation... the problem is not fixed. This bail
out is only a band-aid on a bullet wound, the system
will continue to hemorrhage, there will be more bail
outs...

Have you heard of the Weimar Republic?

During 1921-1923 the German Weimar Republic experienced
a period of hyperinflation where it was cheaper to burn
German Marks than to purchase firewood!

John Maynard Keynes described the Weimar Republic
hyperinflation in The Economic Consequences of the
Peace: "The inflationism of the currency systems of
Europe has proceeded to extraordinary lengths. The
various belligerent Governments, unable, or too timid
or too short-sighted to secure from loans or taxes the
resources they required, have printed notes for the
balance."

You know how Germany solved their economic crisis?
They created a new currency called the Rentenmark!

How will we eventually solve our financial crisis?
We'll create a new currency called the Amero!

Please read Michael Lemieux's analysis of today's
events for more information:

Bailout - Devil is in the details

http://www.restoretherepublic.com/economy/bailout-devil-is-in-the-deta
ils



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Sunday, October 5, 2008 1:29 AM

GEEZER

Keep the Shiny side up


Me, I'll laugh at the comics.

http://www.sinfest.net/archive_page.php?comicID=2952

"Keep the Shiny side up"

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Sunday, October 5, 2008 1:35 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


Thanks for that...It's Awesome !

I don't care for Michael Moore at all , but he had this to say about the " Bailout " :

'...Let me cut to the chase. The biggest robbery in the history of this country is taking place as you read this. Though no guns are being used, 300 million hostages are being taken. Make no mistake about it: After stealing a half trillion dollars to line the pockets of their war-profiteering backers for the past five years, after lining the pockets of their fellow oilmen to the tune of over a hundred billion dollars in just the last two years, Bush and his cronies -- who must soon vacate the White House -- are looting the U.S. Treasury of every dollar they can grab. They are swiping as much of the silverware as they can on their way out the door.

No matter what they say, no matter how many scare words they use, they are up to their old tricks of creating fear and confusion in order to make and keep themselves and the upper one percent filthy rich. Just read the first four paragraphs of the lead story in last Monday's New York Times and you can see what the real deal is:

"Even as policy makers worked on details of a $700 billion bailout of the financial industry, Wall Street began looking for ways to profit from it.

"Financial firms were lobbying to have all manner of troubled investments covered, not just those related to mortgages.

"At the same time, investment firms were jockeying to oversee all the assets that Treasury plans to take off the books of financial institutions, a role that could earn them hundreds of millions of dollars a year in fees.

"Nobody wants to be left out of Treasury's proposal to buy up bad assets of financial institutions."

Unbelievable. Wall Street and its backers created this mess and now they are going to clean up like bandits. Even Rudy Giuliani is lobbying for his firm to be hired (and paid) to "consult" in the bailout.

The problem is, nobody truly knows what this "collapse" is all about. Even Treasury Secretary Paulson admitted he doesn't know the exact amount that is needed (he just picked the $700 billion number out of his head!). The head of the congressional budget office said he can't figure it out nor can he explain it to anyone.

And yet, they are screeching about how the end is near! Panic! Recession! The Great Depression! Y2K! Bird flu! Killer bees! We must pass the bailout bill today!! The sky is falling! The sky is falling!

Falling for whom? NOTHING in this "bailout" package will lower the price of the gas you have to put in your car to get to work. NOTHING in this bill will protect you from losing your home. NOTHING in this bill will give you health insurance.

Health insurance? Mike, why are you bringing this up? What's this got to do with the Wall Street collapse?

It has everything to do with it. This so-called "collapse" was triggered by the massive defaulting and foreclosures going on with people's home mortgages. Do you know why so many Americans are losing their homes? To hear the Republicans describe it, it's because too many working class idiots were given mortgages that they really couldn't afford. Here's the truth: The number one cause of people declaring bankruptcy is because of medical bills. Let me state this simply: If we had had universal health coverage, this mortgage "crisis" may never have happened.

This bailout's mission is to protect the obscene amount of wealth that has been accumulated in the last eight years. It's to protect the top shareholders who own and control corporate America. It's to make sure their yachts and mansions and "way of life" go uninterrupted while the rest of America suffers and struggles to pay the bills...

P.S.-- Having read further the details of this bailout bill, you need to know you are being lied to. They talk about how they will prevent golden parachutes. It says NOTHING about what these executives and fat cats will make in SALARY. According to Rep. Brad Sherman of California, these top managers will continue to receive million-dollar-a-month paychecks under this new bill. There is no direct ownership given to the American people for the money being handed over. Foreign banks and investors will be allowed to receive billion-dollar handouts. A large chunk of this $700 billion is going to be given directly to Chinese and Middle Eastern banks. There is NO guarantee of ever seeing that money again.'







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Sunday, October 5, 2008 3:24 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by Khyron:

I'd start by not bitching when the government tries to save the banks that have my money.




You would...

The Banksters are the largest part of the problem...

They don't have MY money...

If they crash , it's that much easier to get rid of the big , bad 'fractional' reserve system...

Where did the crisis get created ?


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Monday, October 6, 2008 5:17 AM

HERO


Quote:

Originally posted by out2theblack:
How will You get by ?


My good looks and keen fashion sense...

H

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Monday, October 6, 2008 5:39 AM

JONGSSTRAW


Many say that the Dow is going down to 8,000. So there will be more pain and volatility ahead.

Stay away from trading stocks, unless you want to throw some risk capital at some stocks that have been beaten down. No matter when you buy, it's still a risk to go even lower though.

I like CDs. Find a local bank that is strong, and isn't too involved with home mortgages (do some DD), and then park your money in short-term CDs. You'll get around 4.5% now, and it's FDIC insured.




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Monday, October 6, 2008 5:52 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Quote:

Originally posted by out2theblack:
So this is US , on the raggedy edge...

Hyperinflation , Economic Depression Ahead ;

How will You get by ?


"It's an extraordinary new world, and survival is simply a question of
whether we can reach deep enough to find the extraordinary in
ourselves."
~~Morgan Martin, "Earth 2"



Lots of these, actually....

http://lifehacker.com/software/macgyver-tip/make-a-diy-portable-stove-
303864.php


They'll be worth a lot more than batteries.

~6

"A government is a body of people, usually notably ungoverned." http://www.myspace.com/6ixstringjack

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Monday, October 6, 2008 5:58 AM

CHRISISALL


Quote:

Originally posted by out2theblack:

How will You get by ?



3 or 4 different jobs, as Bush said, how uniquely American.

Chrisisall

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Monday, October 6, 2008 6:17 AM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Many say that the Dow is going down to 8,000. So there will be more pain and volatility ahead. Stay away from trading stocks, unless you want to throw some risk capital at some stocks that have been beaten down. No matter when you buy, it's still a risk to go even lower though.

I like CDs. Find a local bank that is strong, and isn't too involved with home mortgages (do some DD), and then park your money in short-term CDs. You'll get around 4.5% now, and it's FDIC insured.

I second that.

Guy at work said "There's got to be a way of making money offa this thing."

My response: "First thing: don't lose it."






---------------------------------
Let's party like its 1929.

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Monday, October 6, 2008 6:32 AM

6IXSTRINGJACK


Good advice Signy.

Also, don't sell if you're a loser now. We're all screwed if the sysetem comes apart at the seams. Just hold and hope for better days. And buy some damn silver.

"A government is a body of people, usually notably ungoverned." http://www.myspace.com/6ixstringjack

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Monday, October 6, 2008 10:09 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Quote:

Many say that the Dow is going down to 8,000. So there will be more pain and volatility ahead. Stay away from trading stocks, unless you want to throw some risk capital at some stocks that have been beaten down. No matter when you buy, it's still a risk to go even lower though.

I like CDs. Find a local bank that is strong, and isn't too involved with home mortgages (do some DD), and then park your money in short-term CDs. You'll get around 4.5% now, and it's FDIC insured.

I second that.

Guy at work said "There's got to be a way of making money offa this thing."

My response: "First thing: don't lose it."




There are some reasonably smart people on this board...
Still , the lack of economic literacy is stunning...

You'd be better off buying good whiskey on speculation...There are probably 100 'bank failures' looming in 2009...

Inflation is going to eat the puny returns on CD's in short order...
700 Billion 'New' Federal Reserve Rags in circulation will increase inflationary pressures drastically...Remember , there have been prior rounds to the Bailout Fiasco , some of which have received virtually no public disclosure...
There will be repeated rounds of Bailout financing in the future , as well...

Which means Carter-era inflation , at a minimum...

Keep in mind that all the figures get a statistical tweak and spin , if they're disclosed at all...As an example , try finding current 'M3' data...

They stopped bothering to report it a couple of years ago...

Meanwhile , state , local , and Federal taxes on liquor will spiral upward , as the 'governments' seek to cover
their 'funding shortfalls'...

Consequently , large increases in the price of liquor...

If you don't like whiskey , buy shotgun shells in 12 and 20 Gauge...While you still can...

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Monday, October 6, 2008 10:22 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by 6ixStringJack:


...Just hold and hope for better days. And buy some damn silver.




Silver is relatively cheap right now...It's a good 'buy'...

Anyone notice that Folk who got into Gold since mid-Summer have done pretty well ?

The 'Underground Economy' is the Real economy...Buy some storable foods , seeds , and 'comfort' items NOW !

It's what will hold up for a while , after the collapse of the 'fractional reserve' Federal Reserve economy...

Frem gave this link a while ago , and there's a lot of useful insight contained therein...

Here's a Quote ; does anything written in this little snippet seem to evoke a sense of deja vu ?

" When faced with such developments, some people are quick to realize what it is they have to do to survive, and start doing these things, generally without anyone's permission. A sort of economy emerges, completely informal, and often semi-criminal. It revolves around liquidating, and recycling, the remains of the old economy. It is based on direct access to resources, and the threat of force, rather than ownership or legal authority. People who have a problem with this way of doing things, quickly find themselves out of the game."

So this is US...

Find a crew , find a 'job' , keep flyin'...

http://madconomist.com/what-if-us-collapses-soviet-collapse-lessons-ev
ery-american-needs-to-know




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Tuesday, October 7, 2008 4:14 AM

FREMDFIRMA


Actually, even more relevant is what I often refer to as the Ghetto Free Market, aka underground urban economy.

Most folks have no clue, don't want one or need one, but having been "down there" for a great part of my life, knowing how to work it was a key factor in climbing out of that hellhole.

Add this to your recommended reading list.

Off the Books: The Underground Economy of the Urban Poor (Hardcover)
http://www.amazon.com/Off-Books-Underground-Economy-Urban/ dp/0674023552/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1223388295&sr=8-1
(spaced link)

Not only is it an in-depth account of how that economy works, but it's also a peek into a world so badly misunderstood that folks who don't understand the motivations behind that world, that culture, mistake them for malevolence rather than desperation.

-Frem

It cannot be said enough, those who do not learn from history, are doomed to endlessly repeat it

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Wednesday, October 8, 2008 2:58 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


My wish list of books , is quite lengthy , but the one that you've recommended has gone to the top of the stack...

Looked it up on Amazon already...A 'must-have'.

Thanks , again !

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Wednesday, October 8, 2008 5:15 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


I have an Ethiopian friend - he came through a lot of hardship - revolution, crackdown, jail, countrywide instability and starvation - and I asked him "Gold or mattress ?". He said "Not gold".

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Wednesday, October 8, 2008 7:23 AM

PIRATENEWS

John Lee, conspiracy therapist at Hollywood award-winner History Channel-mocked SNL-spoofed PirateNew.org wooHOO!!!!!!


US and most other govts, er, private jewish central banks, are now officially out of gold. Expect the price of solid gold to double as the yuppies feel left out.


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Thursday, October 9, 2008 4:14 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
I have an Ethiopian friend - he came through a lot of hardship - revolution, crackdown, jail, countrywide instability and starvation - and I asked him "Gold or mattress ?". He said "Not gold".




All that , and still didn't learn anything...Such is the scope of human tragedy...

I'll wager that folk like that look durned ridiculous , totin' their used mattresses around , tryin' to trade for commodities that are really in demand...


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Thursday, October 9, 2008 5:17 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


Something to think about :

" The manager of a gold hedge fun has said that governments in the past have banned owning gold and they could do it again. Mark Mahaffey of Hinde Capital notes that interest in gold soared when the financial markets got the wobbles and he's worried banking interests will see that as a threat and pull the levers of government to re-create something like Franklin Roosevelt's April 5th, 1933 decree calling in gold.

Americans complied for several reasons. The country was on a gold standard and the people received gold-backed paper dollars for their coins at the going rate, $20.67 per troy ounce. The Roosevelt administration made the call-in sound like it was a temporary act because of the financial emergency. Not a word was said about devaluing the dollar after the call in. Besides, silver coins remained in circulation. By surrendering their gold the people thought they were supporting the nation's credit during very tough times.

Is it reasonable to think that if the government demanded that people turn in their private gold hoards that the going rate of more than $900.00 per ounce would be paid? Very unlikely. In 1933 gold was money - by definition. Today it is not, although a U.S. gold eagle coin containing a troy ounce of pure gold is legal tender for $50.00. No rational person would trade a gold coin worth more than $900.00 for an irredeemable paper fifty-dollar note, so a call-in of gold on the basis of its face value would fail.

Then there is the matter of ownership. When the United States Treasury Department mints a one-ounce gold coin and sells it to you for something above $900.00 that bit of precious metal belongs to YOU. The government no longer owns it and has no more legal claim to it than it does the nickels and quarter-dollars that jingle in your pocket. So it could not demand a return of your gold coin to the treasury without paying you full value. The government is broke so its chances of buying up all the private gold hoards in America at market values is extremely remote. There is the further complication of setting a value on foreign gold coins, such as the Krugerrand and Canadian Maple Leaf.

The bottom line here is: The Federal government has no more claim to your gold coin(s) than it does your wrist watch.

Some alarmists believe the government would not be denied should it demand to lay its hands on America's private gold. It could decree that anyone caught with gold coins of any kind be thrown into prison and/or fined. Armed forces and other police might be sent on house-to-house searches. This would turn even tenuous rights to private property upside down, and only timid people who are comfortable being indentured to a governing class anyway would cave in to such ruthlessness.

What is more likely to happen is the current financial storm will eventually lead to a national conversation about returning to some level of gold backing for the U.S. dollar and other major currencies. Whereas the dollar was once worth 1/20th of an ounce of gold its new value might be established as 1/1000th of an ounce of pure gold. To be sure, there would be strong objections of tying the dollar to gold. It would scuttle the grand plans of the political con artists who yearn to get rich by running the paper-money printing press overtime.

We got into trouble by completely abandoning the money system mandated by the U.S. Constitution. It's time we admitted our folly and returned to honest money...a currency that is not only a reliable medium of exchange but also precise standard of measure and a store of value. "

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 5:34 AM

FREMDFIRMA


Out2B - The situations in Biafra and Ethiopia, and likely, soon to be Somalia, got to the point of a total social collapse, and in that particular case, more immediately useful assets spike in value, over and above precious metals because there is no remaining social or material infrastructure to make use of them beyond as a medium of exchange.

In a situation THAT awful, one has to look to what is valueable as an immediately useful commodity, stuff like tools, fuel, ammunition, canned goods, booze, toilet paper, what you call your basic beans & bullets scenario.

And skill has it's place even then, for if the light truck you're using as a technical to defend your little scrap of land will not start cause of a mechanical problem, you're in a world of hurt.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_(fighting_vehicle)
(Remember to add final parenthesis manually.)

I don't see a total social collapse happening here, but should things come to that, starvation is gonna do for more folk than bullets when it comes right down to it - and you can't eat ammo, although it can be useful in producing something you can, of course.

Since food is a perishable good, longterm storage is a bit of an issue, and in a situation that nasty you just don't wanna part with it, the best longterm durable good you could invest in for a situation that's gonna get really ugly ?

Good tools and the skills to use them - believe me, in a crisis, you can name your price, and because of the value of that skill, folk tend to be unwilling to harm you, or even allow others to do so.

I find it highly unlikely it'd get that bad here, but tools and spam ain't never a bad investment, yanno.

-Frem

It cannot be said enough, those who do not learn from history, are doomed to endlessly repeat it

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 5:35 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


Rue: I have an Ethiopian friend - he came through a lot of hardship - revolution, crackdown, jail, countrywide instability and starvation - and I asked him "Gold or mattress ?". He said "Not gold".

OTB: All that , and still didn't learn anything...Such is the scope of human tragedy
No, here's the real deal.

90% of gold demand is for jewelry. When the vast majority of people have no money, no one is buying gold and gold becomes valueless.

When the vast majority of people have no money, any money you may have becomes increasingly valuable.

Oddly enough, the value of gold rises and falls with the money supply. And the value of money goes up when the money supply goes down.


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Thursday, October 9, 2008 5:36 AM

WULFENSTAR

http://youtu.be/VUnGTXRxGHg


Ehh...we could always be like the Russians in Siberia.

Stock up on Vodka and bullets.

Thats the only currency they use over there.


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Thursday, October 9, 2008 8:28 AM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by Fremdfirma:
Out2B - The situations in Biafra and Ethiopia, and likely, soon to be Somalia, got to the point of a total social collapse, and in that particular case, more immediately useful assets spike in value, over and above precious metals because there is no remaining social or material infrastructure to make use of them beyond as a medium of exchange.

In a situation THAT awful, one has to look to what is valueable as an immediately useful commodity, stuff like tools, fuel, ammunition, canned goods, booze, toilet paper, what you call your basic beans & bullets scenario.

And skill has it's place even then, for if the light truck you're using as a technical to defend your little scrap of land will not start cause of a mechanical problem, you're in a world of hurt.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technical_(fighting_vehicle)
(Remember to add final parenthesis manually.)

I don't see a total social collapse happening here, but should things come to that, starvation is gonna do for more folk than bullets when it comes right down to it - and you can't eat ammo, although it can be useful in producing something you can, of course.

Since food is a perishable good, longterm storage is a bit of an issue, and in a situation that nasty you just don't wanna part with it, the best longterm durable good you could invest in for a situation that's gonna get really ugly ?

Good tools and the skills to use them - believe me, in a crisis, you can name your price, and because of the value of that skill, folk tend to be unwilling to harm you, or even allow others to do so.

I find it highly unlikely it'd get that bad here, but tools and spam ain't never a bad investment, yanno.

-Frem




Some folk never read the rest of the thread...

Not sayin' you're one of 'em , 'cause I know better...

Pretty much everything you said is nothin' but old news to me...I've known several bush pilots that were busy on the African continent , in the locales that you named , Somalia being among the most recent...'Technicals' are old news , too...

I know some 'contract' flyers in Afghanistan right now , and others operating in Central or S. America...Folk who are used to the raggedy edge , for the purposes of fun and profit...

We've been over many of these facts before , and the same sort of ruefully-retarded folk keep showing up , same as always , making the same old hoary arguments for the sake of arguing , or for purposes of partisan pettiness...

I expect 'em to be stupid , and they never disappoint...Well , they're always disappointing , of course , but the true depths of their persistently-challenged 'mentality' remain fashionably un-plumbed...non compos mentis...

Still , musty mattresses don't exactly make good currency in most parts of the world , but folk who bought gold since this past midsummer , when I started advising it , have done Very
well...So , they can redeem some of their 'surplus' for other goods , if they wish...

In other words , they can buy a lot more tools , food , ammo , and the like , now versus just a few months ago...

Hey , there was a civil war here in the States not so many generations ago , I'm sure you know...Over 600,000 dead...It CAN happen again...Hey , it wouldn't take much of a disaster , epidemic , what-have-you , to break down the 'social order' of this country...

When I was born , the 'Civil War' was , historically-speaking , more recent an event than the Wright Brothers flights are now...

Hey , I didn't have this discussion taking place for the stupid people...It's really for the situationally-aware , and those inclined persistently to hope for the best , while they prepare for the worst...

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 9:11 AM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


OTB --

And your purpose of evading my point ? I wasn't talking about mattresses you know (or should know, unless you're as stupid as Rap, in which case - nevermind !).

The point is there are two ways the economy could go ---
-- out of control inflation (hyperinflation), like Germany starting 1923 and Zimbawe now - in which case gold value goes up as the money supply goes up (gee -- didn't I say that before ?)
-- or depression, where the value of your dollars skyrockets as the dollar supply goes down.

Since, historically and by a sheer cause-effect relationship, hyperinflation leads to depression, depression is the ultimate outcome of any scenario.

In which case your gold become dead weight, and the money you spent to buy it becomes a vanished treasure.

DUH !

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 12:35 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Sergeant X :

"...I hope voters are at last able to see from this situation, is that the Democrats are not there to save them from the Bush administration. Why anyone would support them at this point is beyond reason."

Good point...Ditto'ed !

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 12:39 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by Wulfenstar:
...we could always be like the Russians in Siberia.

Stock up on Vodka and bullets.

Thats the only currency they use over there.




So it goes in tough times...Smart man , Wulfie !

For the not-so-brain-blown Folk who may wander in to the thread , just for review :

I've never advocated holding gold (or , silver , or copper) until no one wants them any more...

Being that the metals ARE Lawful Money , and the Federal Reserve debt-rags are NOT , the metals are an enduring storehouse of value that have historically NEVER yet been worthless...While 'paper' currencies OFTEN have...The thickest never catch on to this plain FACT !

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/l/lawfulmoney.asp

http://www.investorwords.com/2733/lawful_money.html

http://www.civil-liberties.com/pages/money.html


This has been discussed at some great length in SEVERAL prior threads...Most recently ;

http://fireflyfan.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=34963

but there are others :

http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=34935

PART I
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=34184
PART II
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=34664
PART III
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=34859
PART IV
http://www.fireflyfans.net/mthread.asp?b=18&t=34935




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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:02 PM

FREMDFIRMA


Look up the phrase "Not worth a continental!" and comprehend that it's simply better to have your money in goods - NO MATTER WHAT THOSE GOODS ARE - than an unstable currency that seems doomed to implode in the near future.

Might wanna look up Rio's problems with it too, when last months currency is lying in the gutters cause it isn't even worth the effort to pick up and redeem it.

So yeah, go right on ahead and hold on to those greenbacks as their value plummets, and some day I might trade you a pint of whiskey for a million of em or so... if I run short on toilet paper.

-Frem

It cannot be said enough, those who do not learn from history, are doomed to endlessly repeat it

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:05 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:


DUH !




" I wasn't talking about mattresses you know..."--Rue-FULLY-St00pid

Then why'd you bring your nasty mattresses into a discussion of economics ?

Oh , I get it , the 'Ethiopian' moron did that , so it's not your fault...

But I get your point...Filthy lucre...Nasty cotton-rags that you prefer to Lawful Money...

Sooner or later , you'll be able to make a mattress out of all those debt-notes that you prefer...
They'll be so numerous and worthless otherwise...

Yeah , I see what you mean...

In your convoluted twisty way , you sorta-did have a point...






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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:11 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


You never heard the old saw about stuffing your money in your mattress for safe-keeping ? Why, even my Ethiopian friend for whom English is a fourth language knows about it.

BTW - 'saw' doesn't mean the thing you use to cut wood. It means saying, maxim, adage, motto, epigram, proverb, or aphorism. Just so you know.

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:20 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Fourth language...

Day-yam , that poor sucker is as hard-up for communications as he is for 'friends'...

Why a 4th language ?

'Cause the first three just weren't workin' for him...

Jack of all trades , master of none...

Yeah , we need more immigrants like that...

Didn't know that you played the saw...

So you're musically-talented , too ?

Had you figured for a 'wood-wind player'...

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:26 PM

SIGNYM

I believe in solving problems, not sharing them.


Quote:

Yeah , we need more immigrants like that...
You jackass. The guy is a Senior Staff Chemist. Would rather have more of him than of you.

---------------------------------
Let's party like its 1929.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:40 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Another gorramned 'chemist' that doesn't recognize the intrinsic , chemical , and physical properties of Au and Ag ?

Pathetic...

Yeah , our world needs more folk like that , plainly 'educated' far in excess of their true intelligence...Sure , they'll be real handy when the fecal matter contacts the air-circulating device...Probably yet another dumbass on the gum-or-mint dole...Figures !

My condolences...

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:42 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


SignyM

Yeah, well, OTTB doesn't have much else to add.

I sense a certain poverty of mentation in him.

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:44 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


"Ar"

You mean Argon ???

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:45 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:


Yeah, well, OTTB doesn't have much else to add.

I sense a certain poverty of mentation in him.




So , you're 'psychic' , too...Er , seems you mean psychotic...

Saw that comin'...


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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:47 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


That's all you've got ? That's your best and only argument ?

***************************************************************

And - tell me about argon. WHY is it so valuable, again ?

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:47 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


That too...

Try , Argentum...

You can look it up , later...

Thought you wanted to talk about stuffing your mattress...

Go on , it's your 'sex life'...

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:50 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


That's STILL all you've got ? That's STILL your best and only argument ?

BTW - your interest in my mattress smacks of desperation. Sexual desperation to be clear about it. You need to get a life. Maybe pal up with Rap. He's not very discriminating. And neither are you. You two are a perfect pair.

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:52 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


So, to try to get this train back on the track - OTB - do you have anything to say about the value of gold as it relates to the money supply ?

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:56 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
That's STILL all you've got ? That's your best and only argument ?

BTW - your interest in my mattress smacks of desperation. Sexual desperation. You need to get a life. Maybe pal up with Rap. He's not very discriminating, and neither are you.




Hey , Ricardo Cabeza , you dragged your effing mattress into the discussion of science and economics...

Sexual desperation ?

Yes , all-knowing Rue seems to conduct much 'mentation' , er , rumination on that as well...

Turns out , I'm very 'discriminating'...You're just another gorramned phony , not worth anyone's time ,
more particularly not mine...

Spam away , porcine untermenschen...

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 2:59 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by rue:
So, to try to get this train back on the track - OTB - do you have anything to say about the value of gold as it relates to the money supply ?




Only , " been there , done that " , took the profits , read the cites...

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 3:03 PM

RUE

I have a vote and I'm not afraid to use it!


And that's STILL all you've got ! That's STILL your best and only argument !

Got anything to add to the TOPIC ?

BTW - I have lots of dollars. The problem with giving up your dollars for things - gold, argon (or maybe silver, hard to tell with your poor knowledge of chemistry), even real estate - is that when you need the dollars, they aren't there.

When credit freezes even more and dollars stop circulating it's really, really nice to have some dollars to spare. And your gold - has no value.

***************************************************************

Silence is consent.

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Thursday, October 9, 2008 3:06 PM

OUT2THEBLACK


Quote:

Originally posted by SignyM:
Quote:

Yeah , we need more immigrants like that...
You jackass. The guy is a Senior Staff Chemist. Would rather have more of him than of you.




Get busy , then ! You can have his baby ?

Go get on his mattress , he wants to 'drive the train'...

He seems like just your 'type' , too !

Best to both of you...Happy gene-splicing !

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